Assuming as a given: Obama 222 (-38); Romney 181 (-89)
(114) Colorado 9, Florida 29, Missouri 10, North Carolina 15, Ohio 18, Pennsylvania 20, Virginia 13
*since 1964, margin average decides POTUS...
**Data represents poll sample weights ranging from +6 Democrat to +1 Republican
11/5/2012
CO 49 - 48 Romney +1
FL 49 - 48 Romney +1
MO 55 - 44 Romney +11 (-1)
NC 51 - 48 Romney +3 (-1)
OH 49 - 48 Obama +1 (-1)
PA 52 - 48 Obama +4 (-1)
VA 49 - 48 Romney +1
Advantage Romney @ 1.86
11/1/2012
CO 49 - 48 Romney +1 (+1)
FL 49 - 47 Romney +2
MO 56 - 44 Romney +12 (+2)
NC 50 - 46 Romney +4 (-1)
OH 49 - 47 Obama +2
PA 48 - 43 Obama +5
VA 48 - 47 Romney +1
POTUS: Romney @ 1.86 (+0.29)
10/27/2012
CO 47 - 47 even (-2)
FL 48 - 46 Romney +2 (-1)
MO 52 - 42 Romney +10 (+2)
NC 51 - 46 Romney +5 (+1)
OH 48 - 46 Obama +2 (+1)
PA 48 - 43 Obama +5
VA 48 - 47 Romney +1
POTUS: Romney @ 1.57 (-0.14)
10/24/2012
CO 48 - 46 Romney +2 (+2)
FL 49 - 46 Romney +3
MO 50 - 42 Romney +8
NC 50 - 46 Romney +4
OH 47 - 46 Obama +1 (-1)
PA 48 - 43 Obama +5
VA 48 - 47 Romney +1
POTUS: Romney @ 1.71 (+0.42)
[10/22 - Boca Raton Debate]
10/19/2012
CO 46 - 46 even (R -1)
FL 49 - 46 Romney +3 (+1)
MO 48 - 40 Romney +8 (+2)
NC 49 - 45 Romney +4 (+1)
OH 47 - 45 Obama +2 (+1)
PA 48 - 43 Obama +5 (-1)
VA 47 - 46 Romney +1 (+2)
POTUS: Romney @ 1.29 (+0.72)
[10/16 - Hempstead Debate]
10/12/2012
CO 45 - 44 Romney +1 (+1)
FL 47 - 45 Romney +2 (+2)
MO 46 - 40 Romney +6
NC 47 - 44 Romney +3 (+1)
OH 46 - 45 Obama +1 (-1)
PA 47 - 41 Obama +6 (-1)
VA 46 - 45 Obama +1
POTUS: Romney @ 0.57 (+0.86)
10/5/2012
CO 44 - 44 even (-2)
FL 45 - 45 even (-2)
MO 46 - 40 Romney +6 (-1)
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2
OH 46 - 44 Obama +2 (-1)
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7
VA 46 - 45 Obama +1 (-1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.29 (-0.71)
[10/3 - Denver Debate]
9/28/2012
CO 45 - 43 Obama +2
FL 45 - 43 Obama +2
MO 47 - 40 Romney +7
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2
OH 46 - 43 Obama +3 (-1)
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7 (-1)
VA 46 - 44 Obama +2
POTUS: Obama @ 1.00 (-0.29)
9/21/2012
CO 45 - 43 Obama +2 (-1)
FL 46 - 44 Obama +2 (+1)
MO 47 - 40 Romney +7
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2 (-1)
OH 46 - 42 Obama +4 (+1)
PA 48 - 40 Obama +8
VA 46 - 44 Obama +2 (+1)
POTUS: Obama @ 1.29 (+0.43)
9/14/2012
CO 46 - 43 Obama +3 (+1)
FL 45 - 44 Obama +1
MO 47 - 40 Romney +7 (-1)
NC 46 - 43 Romney +3 (+1)
OH 45 - 42 Obama +3 (+1)
PA 48 - 40 Obama +8
VA 45 - 44 Obama +1
POTUS: Obama @ 0.86 (+0.29)
9/7/2012
CO 45 - 43 Obama +2
FL 45 - 44 Obama +1 (-1)
MO 48 - 40 Romney +8 (+1)
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2
OH 44 - 42 Obama +2
PA 48 - 40 Obama +8
VA 45 - 44 Obama +1 (+1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.57 (-0.14)
8/31/2012
CO 44 - 42 Obama +2
FL 45 - 43 Obama +2 (+1)
MO 47 - 40 Romney +7 (+1)
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2
OH 44 - 42 Obama +2 (-1)
PA 48 - 40 Obama +8
VA 44 - 44 even
POTUS: Obama @ 0.71 (-0.15)
8/24/2012
CO 45 - 43 Obama +2 (+1)
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1 (-1)
MO 46 - 40 Romney +6 (-1)
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2
OH 45 - 42 Obama +3 (+1)
PA 48 - 40 Obama +8 (+1)
VA 44 - 44 even
POTUS: Obama @ 0.86 (+0.43)
8/17/2012
CO 44 - 43 Obama +1 (+1)
FL 45 - 43 Obama +2 (-1)
MO 47 - 40 Romney +7 (-1)
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2
OH 44 - 42 Obama +2 (-1)
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7
VA 44 - 44 even (Obama - 1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.43 (-0.14)
8/10/2012
CO 43 - 43 even
FL 45 - 42 Obama +3 (+1)
MO 48 - 40 Romney +8
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2 (-1)
OH 45 - 42 Obama +3
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7
VA 45 - 44 Obama +1 (+1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.57 (+0.28)
8/3/2012
CO 43 - 42 Obama +1 (-1)
FL 44 - 42 Obama +2 (+1)
MO 48 - 40 Romney +8 (+1)
NC 46 - 43 Romney +3 (+1)
OH 45 - 42 Obama +3 (+1)
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7 (+1)
VA 44 - 44 even
POTUS: Obama @ 0.29
7/27/2012
CO 44 - 42 Obama +2
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1
MO 47 - 40 Romney +7 (+1)
NC 45 - 43 Romney +2
OH 45 - 43 Obama +2 (+1)
PA 46 - 40 Obama +6
VA 43 - 43 even (Obama -1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.29 (-0.14)
7/20/2012
CO 43 - 41 Obama +2 (-1)
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1
MO 46 - 40 Romney +6
NC 44 - 42 Romney +2 (-1)
OH 44 - 43 Obama +1 (+1)
PA 46 - 40 Obama +6 (-1)
VA 43 - 42 Obama +1
POTUS: Obama @ 0.43
7/13/2012
CO 44 - 41 Obama +3
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1
MO 46 - 40 Romney +6
NC 45 - 42 Romney +3
OH even
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7 (+1)
VA 43 - 42 Obama +1 (-1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.43
7/6/2012:
CO 44 - 41 Obama +3
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1
MO 46 - 40 Romney +6
NC 45 - 42 Romney +3 (+1)
OH 43 - 43 even (Romney -1)
PA 46 - 40 Obama +6
VA 44 - 42 Obama +2
POTUS: Obama @ 0.43
6/29/2012:
CO 44 - 41 Obama +3 (+1)
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1 (+1)
MO 46 - 40 Romney +6 (+1)
NC 44 - 42 Romney +2
OH 43 - 42 Romney +1 (-1)
PA 46 - 40 Obama +6 (-1)
VA 44 - 42 Obama +2 (-1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.43
6/22/2012:
CO 44 - 42 Obama +2 (+1)
FL 44 - 44 even
MO 45 - 40 Romney +5
NC 44 - 42 Romney +2
OH 43 - 41 Romney +2 (+1)
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7 (-1)
VA 45 - 42 Obama +3
POTUS: Obama @ 0.43
6/15/2012:
CO 43 - 42 Obama +1
FL 45 - 44 Romney+1
MO 45 - 40 Romney +5 (+1)
NC 44 - 42 Romney +2 (+1)
OH 43 - 42 Romney +1 (+1)
PA 47 - 39 Obama +8
VA 45 - 42 Obama +3 (+1)
POTUS: Obama @ 0.43 (-0.28)
6/8/2012:
CO 43 - 42 Obama +1 (-1)
FL 45 - 44 Romney +1 (+1)
MO 45 - 41 Romney +4 (+1)
NC 44 - 43 Romeny +1
OH 43 - 43 even (Obama -1)
PA 47 - 39 Obama +8
VA 45 - 43 Obama +2
POTUS: Obama @ 0.71 (-0.58)
6/1/2012:
CO 44 - 42 Obama +2 (-1)
FL 45 - 45 even
MO 44 - 41 Romeny +3 (-1)
NC 44 - 43 Romney +1
OH 44 - 43 Obama +1 (-1)
PA 47 - 39 Obama +8
VA 45 - 43 Obama +2
POTUS: Obama @ +1.29 (-0.14)
5/25/2012:
CO 45 - 42 Obama +3
FL 44 - 44 even (Obama -1)
MO 45 - 41 Romney +4
NC 44 - 43 Romney +1
OH 45 - 43 Obama +2
PA 47 - 39 Obama +8
VA 44 - 42 Obama +2
POTUS: Obama @ 1.43 (-0.14)
5/18/2012:
CO 45 - 42 Obama +3
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1
MO 45 - 41 Romney +4 (+1)
NC 44 - 43 Romney +1 (+2)
OH 45 - 43 Obama +2
PA 47 - 39 Obama +8 (+1)
VA 44 - 42 Obama +2
POTUS: Obama @ +1.57 (-0.29)
5/11/2012:
CO 45 - 42 Obama +3 (-1)
FL 44 - 43 Obama +1 (-1)
MO 44 - 41 Romney +3
NC 44 - 43 Obama +1
OH 45 - 43 Obama +2 (-1)
PA 47 - 40 Obama +7 (+1)
VA 44 - 42 Obama +2 (+1)
POTUS: Obama @ +1.86 (-0.14)
5/4/2012:
CO 45 - 41 Obama +4 (+1)
FL 44 - 42 Obama +2 (-1)
MO 44 - 41 Romney +3
NC 44 - 43 Obama +1 (-1)
OH 45 - 42 Obama +3 (-1)
PA 46 - 40 Obama +6 (+1)
VA 44 - 43 Obama +1
POTUS: Obama @ +2.00 (-0.14)
4/27/2012:
CO 45 - 42 Obama +3 (-1)
FL 45 - 42 Obama +3
MO 44 - 41 Romney +3 (-1)
NC 44 - 42 Obama +2
OH 45 - 41 Obama +4
PA 45 - 40 Obama +5
VA 44 - 43 Obama +1 (-1)
POTUS: Obama @ +2.14 (-0.15)
4/20/2012:
CO 45 - 41 Obama +4
FL 45 - 42 Obama +3
MO 44 - 40 Romney +4
NC 44 - 42 Obama +2 (-1)
OH 44 - 40 Obama +4
PA 45 - 40 Obama +5
VA 44 - 42 Obama +2
POTUS: Obama @ +2.29 (-0.14)
4/13/2012:
CO 46 - 42 Obama +4 (+1)
FL 44 - 41 Obama +3
MO 45 - 41 Romney +4
NC 45 - 42 Obama +3 (+1)
OH 45 - 41 Obama +4
PA 45 - 40 Obama +5 (-1)
VA 44 - 42 Obama +2 (-1)
POTUS: Obama @ +2.43 (0)
4/6/2012:
CO 45 - 42 Obama +3 (+1)
FL 44 - 41 Obama +3
MO 45 - 41 Romney +4 (+1)
NC 45 - 43 Obama +2
OH 45 - 41 Obama +4 (-1)
PA 46 - 40 Obama +6 (+1)
VA 44 - 41 Obama + 3 (-1)
POTUS: Obama @ +2.43 (-0.14)
3/30/2012:
CO 45 - 43 Obama + 2
FL 44 - 41 Obama +3
MO 45 - 42 Romney +3
NC 45 - 43 Obama +2
OH 46 - 41 Obama +5
PA 45 - 40 Obama +5 (-1)
VA 45 - 41 Obama +4
POTUS: Obama @ +2.57 (-0.14)
3/23/2012:
CO 45 - 43 Obama +2
FL 44 - 41 Obama +3
MO 45 - 42 Romney +3
NC 46 - 44 Obama +2 (-1)
OH 46 - 41 Obama +5 (+1)
PA 46 - 40 Obama +6
VA 45 - 41 Obama +4 (+1)
POTUS: Obama @ +2.71 (+0.14)
3/16/2012:
CO 45 - 43 Obama +2
FL 45 - 42 Obama +3
MO 44 - 41 Romney +3
NC 46 - 43 Obama +3
OH 45 - 41 Obama +4
PA 45 - 39 Obama +6
VA 45 - 42 Obama +3
POTUS: Obama @ +2.57
(Secret Sauce Polling)
