Friday, August 5, 2016

Election 2016 Campaign Photo Album



Trump Rally Melbourne FL 9/27

first debate, Youngstown, PA (photo: J Merriman)

9/26 debate, Youngstown, PA (photo: J Merriman)


addressing Laborers' International Union of North America 9/21

Clinton White Plains 9/19

Trump in Miami 9/16

Clinton on Fallon 9/16

Trump on Fallon 9/15

Clinton in Greensboro, NC 9/15

Clinton leaving 9/11 ceremony in NYC

Hillary & Huma White Plains NY 9/9


Commander in Chief Forum, American Legion Post 9/7 FL

Clinton press pool Cleveland Labor Day 9/5

Trump Pence Canfield, OH 9/5 Labor Day


Clinton in Hamptons, 8/28, 267 days without press conference


Clinton, Kimmel Live 8/22

Fairfield, CT Trump rally 8/13

Trump supporter to CNN at FL rally 8/11

Mateen at Clinton FL event 8/8


Trump rally Dayton, FL 8/3


Commerce City, CO 8/3











Monday, August 1, 2016

Campaign Rally Tally, Clinton vs Trump...

Starting from August 1, 2016...


Trump:   64
Clinton:  24


10/3

Trump:
Prescott Valley, AZ 

10/1

Trump:
Loveland, CO

September Totals:
Trump:     30
Clinton:    13

9/30

Trump:
Novi, MI  (7,000+)

Clinton:
Pierce, FL
Coral Springs, FL

9/29

Trump:
Bedford, NH

Clinton:
Des Moines, IA

9/28

Trump:
Ottumwa, IA
Waukesha, WI

Clinton:
Durham, NH

9/27

Trump:
Melbourne, FL (11,000+)

Clinton:
Raleigh, NC

9/24

Trump:
Roanoke, VA  (+4,000)

9/22

Trump:
Pittsburgh, PA
Chester Township, PA

9/21

Trump:
Toledo, OH

Clinton:
Orlando, FL

9/20

Trump:
High Point, NC (pop 881) (+3,000)
Kenansville, NC  (+3,000)

9/19

Trump:
Fort Myers, FL  (+10,000)

Clinton:
Philadelphia, PA

9/17

Trump:
Houston, TX
Colorado Springs, CO

9/16

Trump:
Washington DC
Miami, FL  (+4,000)

Clinton:
Washington DC

9/15

Trump:
New York, NY
Laconia, NH

Clinton:
Greensboro, NC

9/14

Trump:
Canton, OH  (+7,000)

9/13

Trump:
Clive, IA
Ashton, PA

9/12

Trump:
Baltimore, MD
Asheville, NC  (+7,000)

9/9

Trump:
Washington DC
Pensacola, FL  (+10,000)

9/8

Trump:
Cleveland, OH

Clinton:
Charlotte, NC
Kansas City, MO

9/7

Trump:
Philadelphia, PA

9/6

Trump:
Virginia Beach, VA
Greenville, NC

Clinton:
Tampa Bay, FL

9/5

Clinton:
Cleveland, OH

9/1

Trump:
Wilmington, OH  (3,000+)

August Totals:
Trump:   32
Clinton:  11   

8/31

Trump:
Phoenix, AZ  (4,000+)

8/30

Trump:
Everett, WA  (9,000+)

8/27

Trump:
Des Moines, IA

8/25

Trump:
Manchester, NH

Clinton:
Reno, NV

8/24

Trump:
Tampa, FL  (4,000+)
Jackson, MS  (5,000+)

8/23

Trump:
Austin, TX  (8,000+)

8/22

Trump:
Akron, OH  (6,000+)

8/20

Trump:
Fredericksburg, VA  (4,000+)

8/19

Trump:
Dimondale, MI  (6,000+)

8/18

Trump:
Charlotte, NC  (4,000+)

8/17

Clinton:
Cleveland, OH

8/16

Trump:
West Bend, WI

Clinton:
Philadelphia, PA 

8/15

Trump:
Youngstown, OH

Clinton:
Scranton, PA

8/13

Trump:
Fairfield, CT  (4,000+)

8/12

Trump:
Erie, PA  (9,000+)
Altoona, PA (speaks to "overflow room" of 2,000 beforehand)

8/11

Trump:
Miami Beach, FL
Kissimmee, FL  (6,000+)

Clinton:
Warren, MI

8/10

Trump:
Abingdon, VA
Fort Lauderdale, FL  (10,000+)

Clinton:
Des Moines, IA

8/9

Trump:
Wilmington, NC  (7,000+)
Fayetteville, NC

8/8

Trump:
Detroit, MI

Clinton:
St. Petersburg, FL
Kissimmee, FL

8/6

Trump:
Windham, NH

8/5

Trump:
Des Moines, IA
Green Bay, WI

8/4:

Trump:
Portland, ME

Clinton:
Las Vegas, NV

8/3:

Trump:
Daytona Beach, FL  (8,000+)
Jacksonville, FL   (12,000+)

Clinton:
Commerce City, CO

8/2:

Trump:
Ashburn, VA

8/1:

Trump:
Columbus, OH
Harrisburg, PA   (6,000+)

Clinton:
Omaha, NE





Tuesday, June 28, 2016

PPP Public Policy Polling, Phone vs Internet, Methodolgy, Mode...


In 2012 presidential race, PPP used only live phone interviews to predict the outcome.

In 2016, PPP is using 80% phone interview and 20% internet survey to predict the race.

The difference is noteworthy:



September 29

National (4-way)

Phone: Trump 46 - 42%
Internet: Clinton 54 - 18%
Outcome: Clinton 44 - 40%

Virginia

Phone: Clinton 47 - 44%
Internet: Clinton 42 - 22%
Outcome: Clinton 46 - 40%

Pennsylvania

Phone: Clinton 45 - 43%
Internet: Clinton 47 - 21%
Outcome: Clinton 45 - 39%

Florida

Phone: Trump 48 - 44%
Internet: Clinton 47 - 25%
Outcome: Clinton 45 - 43%

Colorado

Phone: even at 44 - 44%
Internet: Clinton 56 - 28%
Outcome: Clinton 46 - 40%

September 21

North Carolina

Phone:  Trump 49 - Clinton 44 - Johnson 4%
Internet:  Clinton 35 - Trump 29 - Johnson 12%
Outcome:  Trump 45 - Clinton 43 - Johnson 6%

September 12

Nevada

Phone:  Trump 47 - 44%
Internet:  Clinton 49 - 20%
Outcome:  Clinton 45 - 42%

September 7

Florida

Phone:  Trump 52 - Clinton 41%
Internet:  Clinton 72 - Trump 22%
Outcome:  Clinton 47 - Trump 46%

Phone: Trump 50 - Clinton 39 - Johnson 5%
Internet: Clinton 60 - Trump 18 - Johnson 6%
Outcome: Trump 44 - Clinton 43 - Johnson 5%

September 1

Missouri

Phone:  Trump 51 - Clinton 40%
Internet:  Clinton 46 - Trump 32%
Outcome:  Trump 47 - Clinton 41%

North Carolina

Phone:  Trump 48 - Clinton 45%
Internet:  Clinton 44 - Trump 28%
Outcome:  Clinton 45 - Trump 44%


Ohio

Phone:  Clinton 46 - Trump 44%
Internet:  Clinton 45 - Trump 34%
Outcome:  Clinton 46 - Trump 42%


Pennsylvania

Phone:  Clinton 47 - Trump 45%
Internet:  Clinton 51 - Trump 36%
Outcome:  Clinton 48 - Trump 43%


Arizona

Phone:  Trump 49 - Clinton 43%
Internet:  Clinton 46 - Trump 33%
Outcome:  Trump 46 - Clinton 43%


New Hampshire

Phone:  Clinton 46 - Trump 42%
Internet:  Clinton 45 - Trump 32%
Outcome:  Clinton 46 - Trump 40%


Wisconsin

Phone:  Clinton 47 - Trump 45%
Internet:  Clinton 51 - Trump 24%
Outcome:  Clinton 48 - Trump 41%

August 30

National

Phone:  Clinton 47 - 45%
Internet:  Clinton 53 - 32%
Outcome:  Clinton 48 - 43%

August 17

Missouri

Phone:  Trump 48 - Clinton 43%
Internet:  Clinton 40 - Trump 34%
Outcome:  Trump 45 - Clinton 42%

August 16

Texas

Phone:  Trump 56 - Clinton 39%
Internet:  Clinton 65 - Trump 26%
Outcome:  Trump 50 - Clinton 44%  


Phone:  Trump 50 - Clinton 36 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%
Internet:  Clinton 49 - Trump 20 - Johnson 2 - Stein 2%
Outcome:  Trump 44 - Clinton 38 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%


August 9

North Carolina

Phone:  Trump 51 - Clinton 43%
Internet:  Clinton 61 - Trump 24%
Outcome:  Clinton 47 - Trump 46%

Phone:  Trump 47 - Clinton 40 - Johnson 7 - Stein 2%
Internet:  Clinton 52 - Trump 18 - Johnson 9 - Stein 1%
Outcome:  Clinton 43 - Trump 41 - Johnson 7 - Stein 2%


August 1

Pennsylvania

Phone:  Trump 52 - Clinton 44%
Internet:  Clinton 71 - Trump 20%
Outcome:  Clinton 49 - Trump 45%

Phone:  Trump 48 - Clinton 42 - Johnson 4 - Stein 2%
Internet:  Clinton 58 - Trump 16 - Johnson 2 - Stein 2%
Outcome:  Clinton 45 - Trump 42 - Johnson 4 - Stein 2%


July 31

National

Phone:  Trump 50 - Clinton 46%
Internet:  Clinton 66 - Trump 23%
Outcome:  Clinton 50 - Trump 45%


Phone:  Trump 46 - Clinton 43 - Johnson 6 - Stein 1%
Internet:  Clinton 58 - Trump 22 - Johnson 6 - Stein 5%
Outcome:  Clinton 46 - Trump 41 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%


July 25

Ohio

Phone:  Trump 47 - Clinton 45%
Internet:  Clinton 47 - Trump 35%
Outcome:  Trump 45 - Clinton 45%

Phone:  Trump 45 - Clinton 40 - Johnson 4 - Stein 1%
Internet:  Clinton 37 - Trump 29 - Johnson 14 - Stein 7%
Outcome:  Trump 42 - Clinton 39 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%


July 15

Missouri

Phone:  Trump 52 - Clinton 40%
Internet:  Trump 42 - Clinton 40%
Outcome:  Trump 50 - Clinton 40%


Phone:  Trump 48 - Clinton 36 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%
Internet:  Trump 35 - Clinton 33 - Johnson 10 - Stein 1%
Outcome:  Trump 46 - Clinton 36 - Johnson 7 - Stein 1%


June 30

National

Phone:  Trump 50 - Clinton 44%
Internet:  Clinton 65 - Trump 22%
Outcome:  Clinton 48 - Trump 44%


Phone:  Trump 47 - Clinton 41 - Johnson 5 - Stein 2%
Internet:  Clinton 59 - Trump 20 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%
Outcome:  Clinton 45 - Trump 41 - Johnson 5 - Stein 2%


June 28

Arizona

Phone:  Trump 46 - Clinton 38%
Internet:  Clinton 48 - Trump 37%
Outcome:  Trump 44 - Clinton 40%

Iowa

Phone:  Trump 43 - Clinton 41%
Internet:  Clinton 42 - Trump 24%
Outcome:  Clinton 41 - Trump 39%

Pennsylvania

Phone:  Trump 47 - Clinton 42%
Internet:  Clinton 67 - Trump 24%
Outcome:  Clinton 46 - Trump 42%

Wisconsin
Phone:  Clinton 46 - Trump 42%
Internet:  Clinton 50 - Trump 26%
Outcome:  Clinton 47 - Trump 39%

June 23

North Carolina

Internet:  Clinton 53 - Trump 33%
Outcome:  Clinton 46 - Trump 42%

June 16

Virginia

Phone:  Trump 44 - Clinton 41%
Internet:  Clinton 48 - Trump 20%
Outcome:  Clinton 42 - Trump 39%

June 8
 
Pennsylvania

Phone:  Trump 47 - Clinton 42%
Internet:  Clinton 52 - Trump 30%
Outcome:  Clinton 44 - Trump 44%

June 7

Florida

Phone:  Trump 49 - Clinton 42%
Internet:  Clinton 53 - Trump 29%
Outcome:  Trump 45 - Clinton 44%


June 1

Georgia

Phone:  Trump 53 - Clinton 37%
Internet:  Clinton 52 - Trump 31%
Outcome:  Trump 49 - Clinton 40%



Thursday, June 16, 2016

2016 Battleground Swing State polls (vs 2012, 2008, 2004, 2000 election results)


 
 
 

Average of recent state polls  (vs last election):

FL:   Clinton   +0.6     (R +0.3)

OH:  Trump   +1.5     (R +4.5)

VA:  Clinton   +5.2    (D +1.3) 

PA:   Clinton   +1.4    (R +3.6) 

MO:  Trump   +10.1   (R +0.7)

CO:   Clinton  +1.0     (R +4.4)

NC:   Clinton  +0.8     (D +2.8)

IA:    Trump   +4.1     (R +19.9)

_______________________________

October:            -----     (-----)

September:     +1.8     (R +14.8)

August:           +37.6    (D +24.6)

July:                 +12.7    (R +0.3)

June:               +19.8    (D +6.8)
_______________________________


Florida

September:  Clinton +1.5

9/30 Opinion Savvy
Clinton  +1  (47 - 46%)

9/30 Mason Dixon
Clinton  +4  (46 - 42%)

9/29 PPP
Clinton  +2  (45 - 43%)

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Trump   +7  (41 - 34%)

9/26 UPI/CVoter
Trump   +2  (48 - 46%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +4  (49 - 45%)

9/26 FL Chamber of Commerce
Clinton  +2  (43 - 41%)

9/22 Suffolk
Trump   +1  (45 - 44%)

9/20 Monmouth
Clinton  +5  (46 - 41%)

9/19 Siena
Clinton  +1  (41 - 40%)

9/17 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +4  (50 - 46%)

9/16 Global Strategies
Clinton  +3  (46 - 43%)

9/14 CNN/ORC
Trump   +3  (47 - 44%)

9/12 JMC Analytics
Trump   +4  (46 - 42%)

9/11 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +2  (44 - 42%)

9/8 Quinnipiac
even             (43 - 43%)

9/8 Morning Consult
even             (38 - 38%)

9/7 PPP
Trump   +1  (44 - 43%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
Clinton  +2  (42 - 40%)

9/2 IPSOS
Clinton  +3  (48 - 45%)

August: Clinton +2.9

8/26 Mason-Dixon
Clinton  +2  (44 - 42%)

8/24 Florida Chamber of Commerce
Trump   +1  (44 - 43%)

8/24 Florida Atlantic U
Trump   +2  (43 - 41%)

8/16 Monmouth
Clinton  +9  (48 - 39%)

8/14 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +5  (45 - 40%)

8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +5  (44 - 39%)

8/11 Opinion Savvy
Clinton  +1  (45 - 44%)

8/9 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +1  (46 - 45%)

8/4 Suffolk
Clinton  +6  (48 - 42%)

July: Trump +0.6

7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +7  (44 - 37%)

7/13 Quinnipiac
Trump   +3  (42 - 39%)

7/12 OnMessage Inc
Trump   +2  (47 - 45%)

7/11 JMC Analytics
Trump   +5  (47 - 42%)

7/2 Gravis
even             (49 - 49%)

June: Clinton 3.4

6/29 BayNews9/SurveyUSA
Clinton  +4  (46 - 42%)

6/26 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +3  (44 - 41%)

6/21 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +8  (47 - 39%)

6/7 PPP
Trump   +1  (45 - 44%)

6/3 Mason Dixon
Clinton  +3  (45 - 42%)

Ohio

September:  Trump +1.0

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Trump   +3  (35 - 32%)

9/26 UPI/CVote
Trump   +1  (49 - 48%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +3  (46 - 43%)

9/25 Gravis
Trump   +1  (43 - 42%)

9/23 Democracy Corps
Trump   +2  (41 - 39%)

9/21 FOX
Trump   +5  (42 - 37%)

9/16 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +3  (47 - 44%)

9/15 Suffolk
Trump   +3  (42 - 39%)

9/14 CNN/ORC
Trump   +5  (46 - 41%)

9/14 Bloomberg/Selzer
Trump   +5  (44 - 39%)

9/11 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +7  (46 - 39%)

9/8 Quinnipiac
Trump   +4  (41 - 37%)

9/8 Morning Consult
Clinton  +2  (37 - 35%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
Trump   +3  (40 - 37%)

9/2 IPSOS
Trump   +3  (46 - 43%)

9/1 PPP
Clinton  +4  (46 - 42%)

August: Clinton +3.2

8/29 Emerson
even             (43 - 43%)

8/26 On Message
even             (45 - 45%)

8/22 Monmouth
Clinton  +4  (43 - 39%)

8/21 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +6  (46 - 40%)

8/9 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +5  (43 - 38%)

8/9 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +4  (49 - 45%)

July: Clinton +0.8

7/25 PPP
even             (45 - 45%)

7/21 Suffolk U
even             (44 - 44%)

7/17 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +4  (44 - 40%)

7/13 NBC/WSJ/Marist
even             (39 - 39%)

7/13 Quinnipiac
even             (41 - 41%)

7/2 Gravis
Clinton  +1  (49 - 48%)

June: Clinton +2.0

6/28 PPP
Clinton  +4  (44 - 40%)

6/21 Quinnipiac
even             (40 - 40%)

Virginia

September:  Clinton +5.7

9/29 PPP
Clinton  +6  (46 - 40%)

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Clinton  +8  (40 - 32%)

9/26 UPI/CVoter
Trump   +4  (50 - 46%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +7  (47 - 40%)

9/26 CNU/Watson Center
Clinton  +6  (39 - 33%)

9/25 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +8  (45 - 37%)

9/22 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +6  (45 - 39%)

9/22 Roanoke
Clinton  +7  (44 - 37%)

9/17 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +9  (47 - 38%)

9/15 Mary Washington
Clinton  +3  (40 - 37%)

9/13 PPP
Clinton  +6  (45 - 39%)

9/8 Morning Consult
Clinton  +6  (40 - 34%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
Clinton  +7  (43 - 36%)

9/2 IPSOS
Clinton  +13 (50 - 37%)

9/2 Emerson
Clinton  +1   (44 - 43%)

9/1 Hampton U
Clinton  +2   (43 - 41%)

August: Clinton 11.2

8/23 Roanoke
Clinton  +16 (48 - 32%)

8/20 WaPo
Clinton  +7   (46 - 39%)

8/17 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +11 (45 - 34%)

8/16 WaPo
Clinton  +8   (51 - 43%)

8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +13  (46 - 33%)

8/7 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +12 (49 - 37%)

July: Clinton +3.0

7/31 RABA Research
Trump   +4   (46 - 42%)

7/17 Hampton University
even             (39 - 39%)

7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +9  (44 - 35%)

7/13 FOX
Clinton  +7  (44 - 37%)

June: Clinton +3.0

6/16 PPP
Clinton  +3  (48 - 45%)

Pennsylvania

September:  Clinton +3.3

9/29 PPP
Clinton  +6  (45 - 39%)

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Trump   +1  (36 - 35%)

9/26 Gravis
Clinton  +3  (46 - 43%)

9/26 Mercyhurst U 
Clinton  +1  (42 - 41%)

9/26 UPI/CVoter
Trump   +1  (48 - 47%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
even             (46 - 46%)

9/26 Harper Polling
Clinton  +2  (45 - 43%)

9/26 CNN/ORC
Clinton  +1  (45 - 44%)

9/24 Morning Call/Muhlenberg
Clinton  +2  (40 - 38%)

9/23 Democracy Corps
Clinton  +8  (46 - 38%)

9/17 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +2  (46 - 44%)

9/17 Morning Call/Muhlenberg
Clinton  +8  (40 - 32%)

9/8 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +5  (44 - 39%)

9/8 Morning Consult
even             (37 - 37%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
Clinton  +3  (41 - 38%)

9/4 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +8  (45 - 37%)

9/2 IPSOS
Clinton  +6  (48 - 42%)

9/1 PPP
Clinton  +5  (48 - 43%)

9/1 Franklin Marshall
Clinton  +5  (45 - 40%)

August: Clinton +8.1

8/30 Monmouth
Clinton  +8  (48 - 40%)

8/29 Emerson
Clinton  +3  (46 - 43%)

8/9 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +11  (48 - 37%)

8/9 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +10  (52 - 42%)

8/8 Susquehanna PR
Clinton  +10  (47 - 37%)

8/4 Franklin Marshall
Clinton  +11 (49 - 38%)

8/1 PPP
Clinton  +4  (49 - 45%)

July: Clinton +4.5

7/28 Suffolk
Clinton  +9  (50 - 41%)

7/13 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +9  (45 - 36%)

7/13 Quinnipiac
Trump   +2  (43 - 41%)

7/2 Gravis
Clinton  +2  (50 - 48%)

June: Clinton +1.7

6/28 PPP
Clinton  +4  (46 - 42%)

6/21 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +1  (42 - 41%)

6/8 PPP
even             (44 - 44%)

Missouri

September:  Trump +9.8
 
9/28 Remington
Trump   +10 (49 - 39%)

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Clinton  +2  (34 - 32%)

9/26 UPI/CVote
Trump   +8  (52 - 44%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +16 (51 - 35%)

9/25 CBS/YouGov
Trump   +9  (46 - 37%)

9/17 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +17 (53 - 36%)

9/15 Emerson
Trump   +13 (47 - 34%)

9/8 Morning Consult
Trump   +6   (39 - 33%)

9/6 Remington Research
Trump   +9   (47 - 38%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
Trump   +9   (43 - 34%)

9/2 IPSOS
Trump   +16 (51 - 35%)

9/1 PPP
Trump   +6  (47 - 41%)

August: Trump +2.0

8/23 Monmouth
Trump   +1  (44 - 43%)

8/17 PPP
Trump   +3  (45 - 42%)

8/9 Remington Research Group
Trump   +2   (44 - 42%)

July: Trump +9.5

7/29 Mason Dixon
Clinton  +1   (41 - 40%)

7/26 SurveyUSA
Trump   +10  (47 - 37%)

7/15 PPP
Trump   +10  (46 - 36%)

Colorado

September:  Clinton +1.8

9/29 PPP
Clinton  +6  (46 - 40%)

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Clinton  +6  (37 - 31%)

9/26 UPI/CVoter
Clinton  +4  (49 - 45%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +2  (44 - 42%)

9/26 CNN/ORC
Trump   +1  (42 - 41%)

9/25 Gravis
Trump   +4  (41 - 37%)

9/25 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +1  (40 - 39%)

9/22 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +2  (44 - 42%)

9/22 CMU/PBS/FM
Clinton  +7  (41 - 34%)

9/17 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +3   (43 - 40%)

9/15 Emerson
Trump   +4   (42 - 38%)

9/14 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +2   (43 - 41%)

9/8 Morning Consult
Clinton  +8   (39 - 31%)

9/8 Magellan Strategies
Clinton  +5   (41 - 36%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
even              (37 - 37%)

9/2 IPSOS
Clinton  +6   (45 - 39%)

August: Clinton +12.0

8/17 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +10  (49 - 39%)

8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +14  (46 - 32%)

July: Clinton +8.0

7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +8  (43 - 35%)

7/14 Gravis
Clinton  +2   (43 - 42%)

7/13 FOX
Clinton  +10  (44 - 34%)

7/13 Monmouth
Clinton  +13  (48 - 35%)

7/11 Harper
Clinton  +7  (45 - 38%)

June: Clinton +1.0

6/26 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +1  (40 - 39%)

North Carolina

September:  Clinton +0.3

9/29 PPP
Clinton  +2  (44 - 42%)

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Trump   +8  (41 - 33%)

9/27 Meredith College
Clinton  +3  (38 - 35%)

9/26 Gravis
Clinton  +1  (44 - 43%)

9/26 UPI/CVoter
Trump   +3  (49 - 46%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +6  (49 - 43%)

9/26 High Point U
Clinton  +1  (43 - 42%)

9/23 Democracy Corps
Clinton  +4  (44 - 40%)

9/22 Siena
even            (41 - 41%)

9/21 FOX
Trump   +5  (45 - 40%)

9/21 PPP
Trump   +2  (45 - 43%)

9/20 Elon
Trump   +1  (44 - 43%)

9/17 Reuters/IPSOS
Clinton  +2  (46 - 44%)

9/15 Civitas
even             (42 - 42%)

9/8 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +4  (42 - 38%)

9/8 Suffolk
Trump   +3  (44 - 41%)

9/8 Morning Consult
Trump   +3  (39 - 36%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
Trump   +1  (41 - 40%)

9/4 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +4  (46 - 42%)

9/2 IPSOS
Clinton  +5  (49 -44%)

9/1 PPP
Clinton  +1  (45 - 44%)

August: Clinton +0.7

8/30 Emerson
Trump   +2  (45 - 43%)

8/24 CNN/ORC
even             (45 - 45%)

8/24 Monmouth
Clinton  +2  (44 - 42%)

8/21 Gravis
Trump   +1  (39 - 38%) 

8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +9  (48 - 39%)

8/9 PPP
Clinton  +1  (47 - 46%)

8/3 Civitas/SurveyUSA
Trump   +4  (46 - 42%)

July: Clinton +6.0

7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +6  (44 - 38%)

June: Clinton +0.7

6/29 Civitas
Clinton  +2  (42 - 40%)

6/26 CBS/YouGov
Clinton  +2  (44 - 42%)

6/23 PPP
Trump   +2  (48 - 46%)

Iowa

September:  Trump +3.6

9/28 Google Consumer Survey
Clinton  +6  (36 - 30%)

9/26 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +10 (51 - 41%)

9/26 UPI/CVote
Trump   +2   (49 - 47%)

9/26 Loras
even             (38 - 38%)

9/22 Quinnipiac
Trump   +7  (44 - 37%)

9/17 Reuters/IPSOS
Trump   +8  (49 - 41%)

9/15 Monmouth
Trump   +8  (45 - 37%)

9/12 Simpson/RABA
Trump   +1  (40 - 39%)

9/8 Morning Consult
Clinton  +1  (37 - 36%)

9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey
Trump   +4  (40 - 36%)

9/2 IPSOS
Trump   +5  (44 - 39%)

9/2 Emerson
Trump   +5  (44 - 39%)

August: Clinton + 1.5

8/21 CBS/YouGov
even            (40 - 40%)

8/17 Quinnipiac
Clinton  +3  (47 - 44%)

8/11 Suffolk
Trump   +1  (41 - 40%)

8/9 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +4  (41 - 37%)

July: Clinton +0.5

7/17 CBS/YouGov
Trump   +1  (40 - 39%)

7/13 NBC/WSJ/Marist
Clinton  +3  (42 - 39%)

7/13 Gravis
Clinton  +2  (42 - 40%)

7/12 Monmouth
Trump   +2  (44 - 42%)

June: Clinton +8.0

6/30 Loras College
Clinton  +14  (48 - 34%)

6/28 PPP
Clinton  +2   (41 - 29%)