tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-62077942063793954592024-02-07T17:54:15.293-05:00perceptionasrealityobserve, orient, decide, actskoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comBlogger83125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-27321392027059237142016-08-05T10:31:00.002-04:002017-05-12T08:40:04.389-04:00Election 2016 Campaign Photo Album<span style="font-size: x-small;"></span><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxPx63mkgyXXO9cXp9lwMwrxNG45RUcKjS-mvAf3EsTf3IAQJpcS8LUjStD-Vt2ATun0qiPSqizHV_KwwWaTRAGV_-zBZ5stcFc20BChJiT7NkwC9U9gkz8irtNK6xlxIcYiCdsBNO3v1g/s1600/Trump+Reno+11-5-2016.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="258" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxPx63mkgyXXO9cXp9lwMwrxNG45RUcKjS-mvAf3EsTf3IAQJpcS8LUjStD-Vt2ATun0qiPSqizHV_KwwWaTRAGV_-zBZ5stcFc20BChJiT7NkwC9U9gkz8irtNK6xlxIcYiCdsBNO3v1g/s400/Trump+Reno+11-5-2016.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump Secret Service Reno 11/5/2016</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtXNpIvZGdbO7pevVgLdJlHGXPtxE9a_g1uGXeLeRhOAPIqveQOYWqeBLAZZcArJVp-rbR-w3fs_tnK2r2tY_NG_1vthbhv4xTPInr3kH8udu2d6IqYdSLyh07fjblvOGuWqgEb3rDGZhB/s1600/Clinton+Ohio+Halloween+2016.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtXNpIvZGdbO7pevVgLdJlHGXPtxE9a_g1uGXeLeRhOAPIqveQOYWqeBLAZZcArJVp-rbR-w3fs_tnK2r2tY_NG_1vthbhv4xTPInr3kH8udu2d6IqYdSLyh07fjblvOGuWqgEb3rDGZhB/s400/Clinton+Ohio+Halloween+2016.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton Ohio Halloween 2016 </td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi7GhWhugtG0KJVw3C6TP1X_OPgRhAsN1wRDssWb66UW3DbdN_CjjOl3pf-z6bzIpZFK5zeKwBThN2NEv4t_Ezaq9ahlhEAeOMvA0DA9N1BnrRyDtFqGnvW4PnA6ZTa4K0DjCxNOVgTfsS0/s1600/Huma+10-28+FBI+probe.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi7GhWhugtG0KJVw3C6TP1X_OPgRhAsN1wRDssWb66UW3DbdN_CjjOl3pf-z6bzIpZFK5zeKwBThN2NEv4t_Ezaq9ahlhEAeOMvA0DA9N1BnrRyDtFqGnvW4PnA6ZTa4K0DjCxNOVgTfsS0/s400/Huma+10-28+FBI+probe.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Huma Abedin 10/28 FBI probe</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhiExTaZesJ5vUWLuE6sak_kE8YixDBtIDMPkwKl7971t3TCrXdVtPFL1xoYOwzkQXFmbJOqLD4s4lSlGeC65sgnXMy1MEY4qob8TILlxPCb4U1CHGmTT_q3MCGmhdsRN7QF85tgXlj_i7P/s1600/Clinton+North+Carolina+10-23.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="275" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhiExTaZesJ5vUWLuE6sak_kE8YixDBtIDMPkwKl7971t3TCrXdVtPFL1xoYOwzkQXFmbJOqLD4s4lSlGeC65sgnXMy1MEY4qob8TILlxPCb4U1CHGmTT_q3MCGmhdsRN7QF85tgXlj_i7P/s400/Clinton+North+Carolina+10-23.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton North Carolina 10/23/2016</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-wtJ8Z8GmRZin9CAMNM9s8D_qI-3mnklZyM3_B-BS-AB8kdDnV3CAXT9pzOqtRSaeY0dtU6-uHyvQ2KdLWl75gMNfYAfPPzCbln7gNG6iQIHHFL5HZgDZUF7ENJ2aJKcKtq_lTHCOAIFX/s1600/Campaign+planes+Las+Vegas+10-18.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-wtJ8Z8GmRZin9CAMNM9s8D_qI-3mnklZyM3_B-BS-AB8kdDnV3CAXT9pzOqtRSaeY0dtU6-uHyvQ2KdLWl75gMNfYAfPPzCbln7gNG6iQIHHFL5HZgDZUF7ENJ2aJKcKtq_lTHCOAIFX/s400/Campaign+planes+Las+Vegas+10-18.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Campaign planes Las Vegas 10/18</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUwT91RF2gJD3t4FPR2cF-QHsZ0Yf9eXZOpN3E6fts4rmw3-aAl6PuuifaiYmDZ5N3wQILJTxR9gFQV74_yRcAFsW6RIEzZ9K8DIDffPheZJzQGmAecD6NIii31_Lqp9tRvpdldeFWnu32/s1600/Hindu+Trump+event+NJ+10-15.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUwT91RF2gJD3t4FPR2cF-QHsZ0Yf9eXZOpN3E6fts4rmw3-aAl6PuuifaiYmDZ5N3wQILJTxR9gFQV74_yRcAFsW6RIEzZ9K8DIDffPheZJzQGmAecD6NIii31_Lqp9tRvpdldeFWnu32/s400/Hindu+Trump+event+NJ+10-15.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Hindus for Trump event in New Jersey, 10/15 - Pepe the Frog</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh54zpmcTAd5r1JyDmChgxh7rBZhEiFKerLaciPxEERpO7Ib25PN1sUqf9gpkoeWCd7y7dz2UFv-Mu2gqK2NQauWLNgm6mDcVQLUFLsBYPcrvXmK2Z8IaXQqMdVskjLOW0_MdTKAypFAqmu/s1600/9-9+pre-debate+with+clinton+sex+accusers.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh54zpmcTAd5r1JyDmChgxh7rBZhEiFKerLaciPxEERpO7Ib25PN1sUqf9gpkoeWCd7y7dz2UFv-Mu2gqK2NQauWLNgm6mDcVQLUFLsBYPcrvXmK2Z8IaXQqMdVskjLOW0_MdTKAypFAqmu/s400/9-9+pre-debate+with+clinton+sex+accusers.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">10/9 pre-debate photo-op with Clinton sex assault accusers</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcwk7cOPDQHqfnu-w0UHK_ETpj4aEgqLKruMGPKh8p5HLYY7FP5wlrV9r8InH8qQwBqlrUBQXZICfNA9DdHeNH1GQN8DC8w5YuJCoGyA2xgdQvcdFGvQFFcc_ZC6QU_zztfwMHUXLGiolN/s1600/Drudge+10-7-2016.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="332" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcwk7cOPDQHqfnu-w0UHK_ETpj4aEgqLKruMGPKh8p5HLYY7FP5wlrV9r8InH8qQwBqlrUBQXZICfNA9DdHeNH1GQN8DC8w5YuJCoGyA2xgdQvcdFGvQFFcc_ZC6QU_zztfwMHUXLGiolN/s400/Drudge+10-7-2016.PNG" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">10/7/2016</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgy9RZfyQQCXTDUBUAicwAe6xHp5lPtOII2BI3NB79UAgIuJCjwgfoea84a5b4IToxUQ3XLuJjY67XUrzU8Cj9GNOpfmi_fQT9iSLpr2lYdrmqoQ3VYzmL6XGwAapXYEwuv9MCDvfQ159y/s1600/Loveland%252C+CO+10-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgy9RZfyQQCXTDUBUAicwAe6xHp5lPtOII2BI3NB79UAgIuJCjwgfoea84a5b4IToxUQ3XLuJjY67XUrzU8Cj9GNOpfmi_fQT9iSLpr2lYdrmqoQ3VYzmL6XGwAapXYEwuv9MCDvfQ159y/s320/Loveland%252C+CO+10-3.jpg" width="240" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump Loveland CO 10/3</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsg39CfLNRJ9Dy1MsGAVfbmFlsNz5whqnOowvKy-Ok7c3LdGf2zPmPM2BDZ2VE5GU4geKslzaPXrzPnV23kL0Fr4LWpirP2z__GpFjr_H-YO4grSKm3lEIn3ENAxwmkDQuYLwQ26h2ecn6/s1600/Trump+Melbourne+FL+9-27.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="298" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsg39CfLNRJ9Dy1MsGAVfbmFlsNz5whqnOowvKy-Ok7c3LdGf2zPmPM2BDZ2VE5GU4geKslzaPXrzPnV23kL0Fr4LWpirP2z__GpFjr_H-YO4grSKm3lEIn3ENAxwmkDQuYLwQ26h2ecn6/s400/Trump+Melbourne+FL+9-27.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump Rally Melbourne FL 9/27</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQGAs_aTpWz5cN-wVtI0sqC1zp0BlEYBum4aP_7XN_kYT-RkG_XhrFbylvG5UsamG3fPNnCbUsv4So6CHzlLTOqtFtZmjcH_XfkdqfjLbR8eEMUl_S0teiW_TtOpa8sV8bvNy-6CO96_cb/s1600/debate+Youngstown%252C+PA.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQGAs_aTpWz5cN-wVtI0sqC1zp0BlEYBum4aP_7XN_kYT-RkG_XhrFbylvG5UsamG3fPNnCbUsv4So6CHzlLTOqtFtZmjcH_XfkdqfjLbR8eEMUl_S0teiW_TtOpa8sV8bvNy-6CO96_cb/s400/debate+Youngstown%252C+PA.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">first debate, 9.26 Youngstown, PA (photo: J Merriman)</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVV2gx8ZxyCpEPXtiPeahySvhrif7YIrSe6AG-OqvyHw13o4oiYDbFULTlOVixAaIZ_rd69XCwr3D0Op4oHKA9UuAyIz3VueJgPsotaQcUYysXl5XCN1P4b2uThfUKZfvKgWz42ovzwdvw/s400/Clinton+White+Plains+9-19.jpg" width="300" /></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton White Plains 9/19</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4jj8YaWZ1dQoy3io338A_JaPWq5G7-ww17-pRHEUpD3ZB0Sgro1tCpcO8JO58pd_vRwtyeJZFz_p-GhLZDHGlHwphjXPcoXH_7Ha2c6_6OHu4RsRJiV0xUtbgMhPoXQHEs0s7MszVVxZg/s1600/Trump+Miami+September+16.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4jj8YaWZ1dQoy3io338A_JaPWq5G7-ww17-pRHEUpD3ZB0Sgro1tCpcO8JO58pd_vRwtyeJZFz_p-GhLZDHGlHwphjXPcoXH_7Ha2c6_6OHu4RsRJiV0xUtbgMhPoXQHEs0s7MszVVxZg/s400/Trump+Miami+September+16.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump in Miami 9/16</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsEtqtqH1rvgTpR7uuCH8DJINqkDNPrGoe74CS0ctS37miqwxdve6c6_RhzXqiB9EQM7an1pM6NzHex3UbDD91cuMLo-fDrEVc0pWiRzuA3VMBvS7ZlJnKNKC4yTeB5rjPSZaeXXVjhyphenhyphenFp/s1600/Clinton+Fallon+9-16.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsEtqtqH1rvgTpR7uuCH8DJINqkDNPrGoe74CS0ctS37miqwxdve6c6_RhzXqiB9EQM7an1pM6NzHex3UbDD91cuMLo-fDrEVc0pWiRzuA3VMBvS7ZlJnKNKC4yTeB5rjPSZaeXXVjhyphenhyphenFp/s400/Clinton+Fallon+9-16.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton on Fallon 9/16</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjq4FcqwlUD7jNdkHAPGzVhonshYDwFqNLxZHhrxzXND9YigDE3_ZqlJwEuqTFeGzafWdt6MrA2dRbz-41Eq39Xu414-aLnM0lG8TiCs5tqVvOrPiQ6Xsi3Kxe2Kgnpj7hjgBLrWeNrUCrE/s1600/Trump+Fallon+sep+15.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="223" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjq4FcqwlUD7jNdkHAPGzVhonshYDwFqNLxZHhrxzXND9YigDE3_ZqlJwEuqTFeGzafWdt6MrA2dRbz-41Eq39Xu414-aLnM0lG8TiCs5tqVvOrPiQ6Xsi3Kxe2Kgnpj7hjgBLrWeNrUCrE/s400/Trump+Fallon+sep+15.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump on Fallon 9/15</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><img border="0" height="208" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgdCgYdRVpxQsXatRp2jlZsj6yLtrxBvj4s3_ZF4lrcsOhZ2q9OwD8H69GBCXmtObqEGgiy_HfWHSR74l7O5sesT2q2BGwP43G4VwAPLQFZMDnAsMXuV5xs_Bn1C8uwip9hCO5F5nnpaNNB/s400/Clinton+Greensboror+9-15.jpg" width="400" /></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton in Greensboro, NC 9/15</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><img border="0" height="223" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi1-uG1pAzrxOaH3RAXwfCtxLu6SXwJMW-PCkOZtuAIrdyX-sx7Paj68Th6t9tay5FlEDmnAnVQN80bYQZzjpKTAMGMP3IylHrgcuS3Gx3C2FFWuLB9uHVDaTkSIHvlWP7O_HlGDhSU30Hb/s400/Clinton+9-11+NYC+moments+before+fainting.jpg" width="400" /></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton leaving 9/11 ceremony in NYC</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYT6ogHEcrf0ZwZkwk8zpiFt-T7lFXVd-xaAkkqMfGC4qnVBNL6bMw0UURXF1MdruluwCET5Ggs0DXmnHGw8YCNwqXM7kvr3eWFu9xtBlvJoN1QJJSrDwVSSzNEmof4uAkQBEKu9CmfhQl/s1600/Hillary+Huma+White+Plains+NY+9-9.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="250" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYT6ogHEcrf0ZwZkwk8zpiFt-T7lFXVd-xaAkkqMfGC4qnVBNL6bMw0UURXF1MdruluwCET5Ggs0DXmnHGw8YCNwqXM7kvr3eWFu9xtBlvJoN1QJJSrDwVSSzNEmof4uAkQBEKu9CmfhQl/s400/Hillary+Huma+White+Plains+NY+9-9.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Hillary & Huma White Plains NY 9/9</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLzzSqGmCPLl1xiNowyBcLPoLWEdi4TNiJh7Mhv4kpejvPz1PbL48a_mNo5XbPWPb01mHUm6dFwv5tXx6YpaA9UZs5lcpXlsiK0KRsgnyeaoicQ2JZPnb1czWFQWNWmVHIaJ1NP_PNd1zH/s1600/commander+in+chief+forum+9-7+american+legion%252C+FL.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLzzSqGmCPLl1xiNowyBcLPoLWEdi4TNiJh7Mhv4kpejvPz1PbL48a_mNo5XbPWPb01mHUm6dFwv5tXx6YpaA9UZs5lcpXlsiK0KRsgnyeaoicQ2JZPnb1czWFQWNWmVHIaJ1NP_PNd1zH/s400/commander+in+chief+forum+9-7+american+legion%252C+FL.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Commander in Chief Forum, American Legion Post 9/7 FL</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFzVhqZJTK9LZL4trTzsx17hD43wokCLS0pDQHxqLlCME0Y4TTOkYvv2ApBeKMKEdaomEKhVluCEgfQ1Wvc6CtBVPWie7kUo5vxSpOTq8HkJ_oXtQFe1ryd5Kv1SwIXkLbqeqxK4sEBjgw/s1600/Clinton+press+pool+labor+day.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFzVhqZJTK9LZL4trTzsx17hD43wokCLS0pDQHxqLlCME0Y4TTOkYvv2ApBeKMKEdaomEKhVluCEgfQ1Wvc6CtBVPWie7kUo5vxSpOTq8HkJ_oXtQFe1ryd5Kv1SwIXkLbqeqxK4sEBjgw/s400/Clinton+press+pool+labor+day.PNG" width="397" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton press pool Cleveland Labor Day 9/5</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgk7HHPi3r6K5OAGyhQQd-TAcklgjzdW3E3I8bjs2kLM5s2hzXalySs8XBZ0yoYKSYWnG-Rs8T1jalGGoycZKSLGMEyyyq6Wli9FqM4AHrNIytWkmuxY5JCV5B6KSagwnoEcqzjh_fNw0Nj/s1600/Trump+Pence+Canfield+Fair+Ohio+9-5.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="298" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgk7HHPi3r6K5OAGyhQQd-TAcklgjzdW3E3I8bjs2kLM5s2hzXalySs8XBZ0yoYKSYWnG-Rs8T1jalGGoycZKSLGMEyyyq6Wli9FqM4AHrNIytWkmuxY5JCV5B6KSagwnoEcqzjh_fNw0Nj/s400/Trump+Pence+Canfield+Fair+Ohio+9-5.PNG" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump Pence Canfield, OH 9/5 Labor Day</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjx7RNG0NNqBnpREb-4wbQUlDOKPLQWx3pJ_IwspHLHS2fRkZNC46KOk5JYRUcir5IKlSD5AwaQCtSgftQdc6boI5SpYzu8L4So0UgxLNGqM2VH9n5GSkSWfd_xK1qUKWzA_PMM_41DRVcm/s1600/Clinton+in+Hamptons%252C+8-28.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjx7RNG0NNqBnpREb-4wbQUlDOKPLQWx3pJ_IwspHLHS2fRkZNC46KOk5JYRUcir5IKlSD5AwaQCtSgftQdc6boI5SpYzu8L4So0UgxLNGqM2VH9n5GSkSWfd_xK1qUKWzA_PMM_41DRVcm/s400/Clinton+in+Hamptons%252C+8-28.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton in Hamptons, 8/28, 267 days without press conference</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4D4Bz72uAjvW0pI9c66KRV4d1yeQtxR07tbA1VwRdIAZy2lA3KfR2rSks3Ho6Z-Qae3IPkRbDi_O5lqEA-L-YbbkJrFI48vY6B2rwNT7lNC_1gNkGmlNQsJSkW4OuiOBhk-QOaGzcU-Pw/s1600/Clinton%252C+Kimmel%252C+pickle+jar%252C+Aug+22.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4D4Bz72uAjvW0pI9c66KRV4d1yeQtxR07tbA1VwRdIAZy2lA3KfR2rSks3Ho6Z-Qae3IPkRbDi_O5lqEA-L-YbbkJrFI48vY6B2rwNT7lNC_1gNkGmlNQsJSkW4OuiOBhk-QOaGzcU-Pw/s400/Clinton%252C+Kimmel%252C+pickle+jar%252C+Aug+22.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clinton, Kimmel Live 8/22</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhSdQRFnlb8dFkZzx3TPxhAGIj7DpXZrEilrTD8Dc8rJlTlW4QgJhkGe1AuS8AOEVB1iHpTOBeArGjCXA9yQ_a63jR3vmkXBNyPQdAEk0ixpHY_FK-cfawXTgik40o03Z2tpcOhbpNj0W6O/s1600/Trump+rally+Fairfield%252C+CT+8-13.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhSdQRFnlb8dFkZzx3TPxhAGIj7DpXZrEilrTD8Dc8rJlTlW4QgJhkGe1AuS8AOEVB1iHpTOBeArGjCXA9yQ_a63jR3vmkXBNyPQdAEk0ixpHY_FK-cfawXTgik40o03Z2tpcOhbpNj0W6O/s400/Trump+rally+Fairfield%252C+CT+8-13.jpg" width="300" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Fairfield, CT Trump rally 8/13</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEMQrv8Kn-k7O2C71pp2B-7lWHnYMztXug-W0yf6vSyY-ANUoxHbJpSs_wh2JXkffXds3JPIa2TGGHwZWrxwreVzWtVe65V6d2kkwo4dzF3K0x5US5vu9F07fu44skUXOecnncs6VaepQj/s1600/Trump+supporter+to+CNN+at+FL+rally.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="265" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEMQrv8Kn-k7O2C71pp2B-7lWHnYMztXug-W0yf6vSyY-ANUoxHbJpSs_wh2JXkffXds3JPIa2TGGHwZWrxwreVzWtVe65V6d2kkwo4dzF3K0x5US5vu9F07fu44skUXOecnncs6VaepQj/s400/Trump+supporter+to+CNN+at+FL+rally.PNG" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump supporter to CNN at FL rally 8/11</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilM37PBxZL1X8kG1uwvt2eFtfAELmMPn2hGbsdLThSe1Elq0wbSJ8Os34eOSfXZ1jSH9LVPmi3EGv6xYrmfTkKfLa5amqlKtz0_uw7c9kxTFdmkNOeejzFWnejRDBTIANiycrKt22MAjtS/s1600/Mateen+at+Clinton+event.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilM37PBxZL1X8kG1uwvt2eFtfAELmMPn2hGbsdLThSe1Elq0wbSJ8Os34eOSfXZ1jSH9LVPmi3EGv6xYrmfTkKfLa5amqlKtz0_uw7c9kxTFdmkNOeejzFWnejRDBTIANiycrKt22MAjtS/s400/Mateen+at+Clinton+event.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Mateen at Clinton FL event 8/8</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkoalSrkaK2xMr5TFTWUbrWBNELM1uK51MupU2wiABv1Ps1nAaEgo93UpyjJQznmw9EocQvUjI372PEzoIUwxef1oWFeFsFFjaauN-yAjRdFRWgPHwFhocaDf72U67gEFHfLu-9ywq4Hg6/s1600/Trump+Daytona.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkoalSrkaK2xMr5TFTWUbrWBNELM1uK51MupU2wiABv1Ps1nAaEgo93UpyjJQznmw9EocQvUjI372PEzoIUwxef1oWFeFsFFjaauN-yAjRdFRWgPHwFhocaDf72U67gEFHfLu-9ywq4Hg6/s400/Trump+Daytona.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Trump rally Dayton, FL 8/3</td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjh_PNXjqIrL1rM7uv8DeK6o07oMNwKF4VKpBu8HyqeVboYJhdagrfurSUHjpUn4V7I4cpPQII_KrBC1qJkKheZ6XfLCQnAwtSTBksB3Fj6a5ejDhVVeJ030u7COLzMcj3pcP-3jEgp85Js/s1600/Clinton+Election+1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjh_PNXjqIrL1rM7uv8DeK6o07oMNwKF4VKpBu8HyqeVboYJhdagrfurSUHjpUn4V7I4cpPQII_KrBC1qJkKheZ6XfLCQnAwtSTBksB3Fj6a5ejDhVVeJ030u7COLzMcj3pcP-3jEgp85Js/s400/Clinton+Election+1.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Commerce City, CO 8/3</td></tr>
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/f--sakIve2Q" width="560"></iframe><br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-54450431819525234222016-08-01T11:11:00.001-04:002016-11-08T11:44:00.094-05:00Campaign Rally Tally, Clinton vs Trump... <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-small;">Starting from August 1, 2016...</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial"; font-size: large;">Trump: 134</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial"; font-size: large;">Clinton: 63</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">11/7</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Sarasota, FL (+6,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Raleigh, NC (+7,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Scranton, NC (+6,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Manchester, NH (+9,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Grand Rapids, MI (+8,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Oakland, PA</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Allendale, MI</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Philadelphia, PA (concert +30,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Raleigh, NC (concert)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">11/6</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Sioux City, IA (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Minneapolis, MN (+7,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Sterling Heights, MI (+9,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Moon Township, PA (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Leesburg, VA (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Cleveland, OH</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Manchester, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">11/5</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Tampa, FL (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Wilmington, NC (+6,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Reno, NV (+6,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Denver, CO (+7,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Pembroke Pines, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">11/4</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Atkinson, NH</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Wilmington, OH (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Hershey, PA (+12,000)</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Pittsburgh, PA</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Detroit, MI (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">11/3</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Jacksonville, FL (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Concord, NC (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Selma, NC (+15,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Greenville, NC</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Raleigh, NC (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">11/2</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Miami, FL (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Orlando, FL (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Pensacola, FL (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Tempe, AZ</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Las Vegas, NV</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">11/1</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Valley Forge, PA</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Eau Claire, WI (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Dade City, FL</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Sanford, FL</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Fort Lauderdale, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: large;"><strong>October Totals:</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial"; font-size: large;"><strong>Trump: 47</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial"; font-size: large;"><strong>Clinton: 23</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/31</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Grand Rapids, MI (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Warren, MI (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Kent, OH</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Cincinnati, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/30</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Las Vegas, NV (+8,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Greeley, CO (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Albuquerque, NM (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Wilton Manors, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/29</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Golden, CO</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Phoenix, AZ (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Daytona Beach, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/28</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Manchester, NH</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Lisbon, ME</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Cedar Rapids, IA (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Cedar Rapids, IA</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Des Moines, IA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/27</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Springfield, OH (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Toledo, OH</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Geneva, OH (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton (with Michelle Obama):</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Winston Salem, NC (+10,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/26</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Charlotte, NC</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Kinston, NC (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Lake Worth, FL</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Tampa, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/25</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Sanford, FL (+11,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Tallahassee, FL (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Coconut Creek, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/24</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">St. Augustine, FL (+8,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Tampa, FL (+16,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Manchester, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/23</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Naples, FL (+7,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Charlotte, NC</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Raleigh, NC</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/22</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Virginia Beach, VA (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Cleveland, OH (+8,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Pittsburg, PA</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Philadelphia, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/21</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Fletcher, NC (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Johnstown, PA (+6,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Newton, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Cleveland, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/20</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Delaware, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/18</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Colorado Springs, CO</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Grand Junction, CO (+4,000)</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/17</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Green Bay, WI</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/15</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Portsmouth, NH (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Bangore, ME (+5,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/14</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Greensboro, NC (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Charlotte, NC (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/13</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">West Palm Beach, FL</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Cincinnati, OH (+16,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/12</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Ocala, FL (+4,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Lakeland, FL (+6,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Pueblo, CO</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Las Vegas, NV</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/11</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Panama City, FL (+7,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Miami, FL</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/10</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Ambridge, PA (2,600 inside, +4,000 outside)</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Wilkes-Barre, PA (+8,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Detroit, MI (+3,000)</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Ohio State University (+12,000)</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/6</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Sandown, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/5</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";"><span style="color: red;">Henderson, NV <span style="color: black;">(+7,000)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";"><span style="color: red;">Reno, NV <span style="color: black;">(+4,000)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/4</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="color: red;">Prescott Valley, <span style="color: red;">AZ</span></span><span style="color: red;"> (+6,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Harrisburg, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/3</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Pueblo, CO</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";"><span style="color: red;">Loveland, CO <span style="color: black;">(+7,000)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Toledo, OH</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Akron, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">10/1</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Manheim, <span style="color: red;">PA <span style="color: black;">(+5,000)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September Totals:</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">Trump: 30</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">Clinton: 13</span></strong><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/30</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Novi, MI <span style="color: black;">(7,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Pierce, FL</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Coral Springs, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/29</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Bedford, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Des Moines, IA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/28</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Ottumwa, IA</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Waukesha, WI</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Durham, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/27</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Melbourne, FL <span style="color: black;">(11,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Raleigh, NC</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/24</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Roanoke, VA <span style="color: black;">(+4,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/22</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Pittsburgh, PA</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Chester Township, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/21</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Toledo, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Orlando, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/20</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">High Point, NC <span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">(pop 881)</span> (+3,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Kenansville, NC <span style="color: black;">(+3,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/19</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Fort Myers, FL <span style="color: black;">(+10,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Philadelphia, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/17</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Houston, TX</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Colorado Springs, CO</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/16</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Washington DC</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Miami, FL <span style="color: black;">(+4,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Washington DC</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/15</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">New York, NY</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Laconia, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Greensboro, NC</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/14</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Canton, OH <span style="color: black;">(+7,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/13</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Clive, IA</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Ashton, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/12</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Baltimore, MD</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Asheville, NC<span style="color: black;"> (+7,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/9</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Washington DC</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Pensacola, FL <span style="color: black;">(+10,000)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/8</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Cleveland, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Charlotte, NC</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Kansas City, MO</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/7</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Philadelphia, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/6</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Virginia Beach, VA</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Greenville, NC</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Tampa Bay, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/5</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Cleveland, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">9/1</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Wilmington, OH<span style="color: black;"> (3,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: large;"><strong>August Totals:</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial"; font-size: large;">Trump: 32</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">Clinton: 11</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/31</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Phoenix, AZ<span style="color: black;"> (4,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/30</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Everett, WA<span style="color: black;"> (9,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/27</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Des Moines, IA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/25</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Manchester, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Reno, NV</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/24</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Tampa, FL <span style="color: black;">(4,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Jackson, MS <span style="color: black;">(5,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/23</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Austin, TX <span style="color: black;">(8,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/22</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Akron, OH<span style="color: black;"> (6,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/20</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Fredericksburg, VA<span style="color: black;"> (4,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/19</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Dimondale, MI <span style="color: black;">(6,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/18</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Charlotte, NC <span style="color: black;">(4,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/17</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Cleveland, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/16</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">West Bend, WI</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Philadelphia, PA </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/15</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Youngstown, OH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Scranton, PA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/13</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Fairfield, CT <span style="color: black;">(4,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/12</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Erie, PA <span style="color: black;">(9,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Altoona, PA <span style="color: black;">(speaks to "overflow room" of 2,000 beforehand)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/11</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Miami Beach, FL</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Kissimmee, FL <span style="color: black;">(6,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Warren, MI</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/10</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Abingdon, VA</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Fort Lauderdale, FL<span style="color: black;"> (10,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Des Moines, IA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/9</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Wilmington, NC<span style="color: black;"> (7,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Fayetteville, NC</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/8</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Detroit, MI</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">St. Petersburg, FL</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Kissimmee, FL</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/6</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Windham, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/5</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Des Moines, IA</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Green Bay, WI</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/4:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Portland, ME</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Las Vegas, NV</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/3:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Daytona Beach, FL <span style="color: black;">(8,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Jacksonville, FL <span style="color: black;">(12,000+)</span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Commerce City, CO</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/2:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Ashburn, VA</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">8/1: </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Trump:</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Columbus, OH</span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-family: "arial";">Harrisburg, PA <span style="color: black;">(6,000+)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial";">Omaha, NE</span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-939873705048694212016-06-28T10:18:00.001-04:002017-05-12T09:09:51.760-04:00PPP Public Policy Polling, Phone vs Internet, Methodolgy, Mode...<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXgvO9Mu2BcParcdlpewEHcd8Fg9foQjLC3_AL60wU_Nb-yeInneAucSXcmxvKkYrf8IunWIrDIjAD9ThE62CDCzPvSeBMRAuPIJA9A6y_Dy4vG6ij89PwZym9X5cJxevMqKP4OJjWgzkM/s1600/ppp.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="121" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXgvO9Mu2BcParcdlpewEHcd8Fg9foQjLC3_AL60wU_Nb-yeInneAucSXcmxvKkYrf8IunWIrDIjAD9ThE62CDCzPvSeBMRAuPIJA9A6y_Dy4vG6ij89PwZym9X5cJxevMqKP4OJjWgzkM/s400/ppp.PNG" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">In 2012 presidential race, PPP used only live phone interviews to predict the outcome.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In 2016, PPP is using 80% phone interview and 20% internet survey to predict the race.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The difference is noteworthy:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">*Clinton won popular vote by 2.1% - <b>PPP's internet survey was off by 16.9%,</b> phone interview off by 3.9%.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">*Trump won North Carolina by 3.7% - <b>PPP was off 6.7%, their internet survey off by 28.7%</b>.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">*Trump won Florida by 1.2% - PPP was off by 5.2%, <b>PPP's internet survey by 20.2%</b>.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">*Trump won Ohio by 8.1% - <b>PPP was off by 9.1%, PPP's internet survey off by 32.1%.</b></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">*Trump won Pennsylvania by 0.7% - PPP was off by 6.7%, <b>their internet survey off by 26.7%.</b></span><br />
<b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b>
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 26</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>National</em></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 46 - 40</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 47 - 28</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - 40</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 24</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>North Carolina</em></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 48 - 46</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 53 - 28</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 47 - 44</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 14</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><strong>Florida </strong>(4-way)</em></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: even 46 - 46%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 44 - 25%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - 42%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 12</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Nevada</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 47 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 58 - 27%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 47 - 43%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Ohio (4-way)</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 48 - 43%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 47 - 23%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 44 - 43%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>National (4-way)</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 46 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 54 - 18%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 44 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Virginia</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 47 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 42 - 22%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Pennsylvania</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 45 - 43%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 47 - 21%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 45 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Florida</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 48 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 47 - 25%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 45 - 43%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Colorado</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: even at 44 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 56 - 28%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>North Carolina</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 49 - Clinton 44 - Johnson 4%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 35 - Trump 29 - Johnson 12%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 45 - Clinton 43 - Johnson 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 12</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Nevada</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 47 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 49 - 20%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 45 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Florida</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 52 - Clinton 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 72 - Trump 22%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 47 - Trump 46%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 50 - Clinton 39 - Johnson 5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 60 - Trump 18 - Johnson 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 44 - Clinton 43 - Johnson 5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Missouri</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 51 - Clinton 40%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 46 - Trump 32%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 47 - Clinton 41%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>North Carolina</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 48 - Clinton 45%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 44 - Trump 28%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 45 - Trump 44%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Ohio</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 46 - Trump 44%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 45 - Trump 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - Trump 42%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Pennsylvania </em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 47 - Trump 45%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 51 - Trump 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 48 - Trump 43%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><strong>Arizona</strong></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 49 - Clinton 43%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 46 - Trump 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 46 - Clinton 43%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>New Hampshire</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 46 - Trump 42%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 45 - Trump 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - Trump 40%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Wisconsin</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 47 - Trump 45%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 51 - Trump 24%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 48 - Trump 41%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>National</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 47 - 45%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 53 - 32%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 48 - 43%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 17</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Missouri</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 48 - Clinton 43%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 40 - Trump 34%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 45 - Clinton 42%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 16</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Texas</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 56 - Clinton 39%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 65 - Trump 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 50 - Clinton 44%</span><span style="font-size: large;"> </span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 50 - Clinton 36 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 49 - Trump 20 - Johnson 2 - Stein 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 44 - Clinton 38 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 9</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><strong>North Carolina</strong></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 51 - Clinton 43%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 61 - Trump 24%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 47 - Trump 46%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 47 - Clinton 40 - Johnson 7 - Stein 2%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 52 - Trump 18 - Johnson 9 - Stein 1%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 43 - Trump 41 - Johnson 7 - Stein 2%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Pennsylvania </em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 52 - Clinton 44%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 71 - Trump 20%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 49 - Trump 45%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 48 - Clinton 42 - Johnson 4 - Stein 2%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 58 - Trump 16 - Johnson 2 - Stein 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 45 - Trump 42 - Johnson 4 - Stein 2%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 31</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>National</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 50 - Clinton 46%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 66 - Trump 23%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 50 - Trump 45%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 46 - Clinton 43 - Johnson 6 - Stein 1%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 58 - Trump 22 - Johnson 6 - Stein 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - Trump 41 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%</span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 25</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><strong>Ohio</strong></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 47 - Clinton 45%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 47 - Trump 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 45 - Clinton 45%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 45 - Clinton 40 - Johnson 4 - Stein 1%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 37 - Trump 29 - Johnson 14 - Stein 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 42 - Clinton 39 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 15</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><strong>Missouri</strong></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 52 - Clinton 40%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Trump 42 - Clinton 40%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 50 - Clinton 40%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 48 - Clinton 36 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Trump 35 - Clinton 33 - Johnson 10 - Stein 1%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 46 - Clinton 36 - Johnson 7 - Stein 1%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>National</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 50 - Clinton 44%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 65 - Trump 22%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 48 - Trump 44%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 47 - Clinton 41 - Johnson 5 - Stein 2%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 59 - Trump 20 - Johnson 6 - Stein 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 45 - Trump 41 - Johnson 5 - Stein 2%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 28</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Arizona</em></span></strong><br />
<strong><em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 46 - Clinton 38%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 48 - Trump 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 44 - Clinton 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Iowa</em></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 43 - Clinton 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 42 - Trump 24%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 41 - Trump 39%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Pennsylvania</em></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 47 - Clinton 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 67 - Trump 24%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - Trump 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Wisconsin</em></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Clinton 46 - Trump 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 50 - Trump 26%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 47 - Trump 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 23</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>North Carolina</em></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 53 - Trump 33%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 46 - Trump 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 16</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Virginia</em></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 44 - Clinton 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 48 - Trump 20%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 42 - Trump 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 8</span></strong><br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Pennsylvania</em></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 47 - Clinton 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 52 - Trump 30%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Clinton 44 - Trump 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Florida</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 49 - Clinton 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 53 - Trump 29%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 45 - Clinton 44%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><em>Georgia</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Phone: Trump 53 - Clinton 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internet: Clinton 52 - Trump 31%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outcome: Trump 49 - Clinton 40%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-8925176891049131762016-06-16T15:16:00.001-04:002016-11-08T07:23:51.988-05:002016 Battleground Swing State polls (vs 2012, 2008, 2004, 2000 election results) <div align="left" class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-size: large;"><em><strong>Average of recent state polls (vs last election):</strong></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>FL:</strong> <span style="color: red;"> <span style="color: blue;"> <span style="color: red;">Trump +0.2</span><span style="color: red;"> (R +1.1)</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>OH: </strong><span style="color: red;">Trump +2.3</span><span style="color: red;"> (R +5.3)</span></span><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: red;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: blue;"><strong><span style="color: black;">VA:</span></strong> Clinton +4.9 (D +1.0)</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: #0b5394;"> </span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: blue;"><strong><span style="color: black;">PA:</span></strong> Clinton +3.1 <span style="color: red;"> (R +2.3)</span></span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: #0b5394;"> </span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>MO: </strong><span style="color: #cc0000;"><span style="color: red;">Trump +10.1 (R +0.7)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>CO:</strong> <span style="color: blue;"> </span><span style="color: blue;">Clinton +4.8 <span style="color: red;"> </span><span style="color: red;">(R +0.6)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>NC:</strong> <span style="color: red;"> Trump +0.7 <span style="color: blue;">(D +1.3)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>IA: </strong><span style="color: red;">Trump +1.7</span><span style="color: red;"> </span><span style="color: red;">(R +7.5)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">_______________________________</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November: <span style="color: red;">+2.2 </span><span style="color: red;">(R +15.2)</span></strong></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October: <span style="color: blue;">+15.8 (D +2.8)</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September: <span style="color: red;">+1.8</span><span style="color: blue;"> </span><span style="color: red;"> (R +14.8) </span></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong>August: <span style="color: blue;">+37.6 (D +24.6)</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong>July: <span style="color: blue;">+12.7</span> <span style="color: red;">(R +0.3)</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June:</strong> <span style="color: blue;"><strong>+19.8 (D +6.8)</strong></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">_______________________________</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Florida</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Trump 0.2% (3/15)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Trafalgar</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Opinion Savvy</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 Opinion Savvy</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 CNN</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Trafalgar Group</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Google Consumer Surveys</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>October: Clinton 1.4% (73/52)</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Remington</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 Axiom Strategies</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 Gravis</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 Siena</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 NBC/WSJ</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/29 Emerson</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/29 IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/28 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/28 PPP</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/27 Dixie Strategies</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/27 Pulse</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/27 U of North Florida</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/26 Florida Atlantic U</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/26 Stelzer</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 GCS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 Associate Industries</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 SurveyUSA</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 Pulse</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 Remington</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/24 CVoter</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/23 YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 Pulse Opinion</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 Cherry Communications</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 Opinion Savvy</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 WaPo/SM</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/14 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 FAU</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/12 Opinion Savvy</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/12 Tel Opinion Research</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/9 Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/9 NBC/WSJ</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/7 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/6 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/6 U of North Florida</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3</em> </span><span style="font-size: large;"><em>CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Clinton +1.5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/30 Opinion Savvy</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (47 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/30 Mason Dixon</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/29 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (45 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7 (41 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">9/26 UPI/CVoter</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (48 - 46%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (49 - 45%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">9/26 FL Chamber of Commerce</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (43 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/22 Suffolk</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (45 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/20 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (46 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/19 Siena</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (41 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (50 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/16 Global Strategies</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (46 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/14 CNN/ORC</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (47 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/12 JMC Analytics</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/11 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (43 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Morning Consult</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (38 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/7 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (42 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (48 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>August: Clinton +2.9</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/26 Mason-Dixon</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/24 Florida Chamber of Commerce</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/24 Florida Atlantic U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (43 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">8/16 </span><span style="font-size: large;">Monmouth</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (48 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/14 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (45 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (44 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/11 Opinion Savvy</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (45 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (46 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/4 Suffolk</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (48 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;">July: Trump +0.6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (44 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (42 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/12 OnMessage Inc</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (47 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/11 JMC Analytics</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 (47 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/2 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (49 - 49%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">June: Clinton 3.4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/29 BayNews9/SurveyUSA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/26 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (44 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/21 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (47 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/7 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (45 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/3 Mason Dixon</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (45 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Ohio</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Trump 2.3 (25/11)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Target Smart</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Columbus Dispatch</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Trafalgar Group</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Google Consumer Surveys</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;"><strong>October: Trump +0.4% (15/42)</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/30 Axiom Strategies</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/27 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 Pulse Opinion</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 Suffolk U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/19 University of Akron</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 WaPo/SM</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CNN</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/14 TRZ Communications</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +12</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 NBC/WSJ</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (42 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (45 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/12 Baldwin Wallace</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (43 - 34%)</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (36 - 32%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (46 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (50 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/9 YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/9 NBC/WSJ</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/8 Target Smart</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (43 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">10/6 PPP</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 </em></span><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 Anzalone Liszt Grove</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (36 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3</em> </span><span style="font-size: large;"><em>CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (49 - 48%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 (47 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Trump +1.0</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (35 - 32%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 UPI/CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (49 - 48%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (46 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/25 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (43 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/23 Democracy Corps</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (41 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/21 FOX</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 (42 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/16 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (47 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/15 Suffolk</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (42 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/14 CNN/ORC</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 (46 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">9/14 Bloomberg/Selzer</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 (44 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/11 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (46 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (41 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Morning Consult</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (37 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (40 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (46 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/1 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">August: Clinton +3.2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/29 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (43 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/26 On Message</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (45 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/22 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (43 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/21 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (46 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (43 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (49 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">July: Clinton +0.8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/25 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even <span style="font-size: medium;"> (45 - 45%)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/21 Suffolk U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (44 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/17 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (44 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (39 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (41 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/2 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (49 - 48%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">June: Clinton +2.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/28 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (44 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/21 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (40 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Virginia</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Clinton 4.9% (63/13)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Hampton U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Christopher Newport U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 Roanoke College</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Hampton U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Winthrop U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 WaPo</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>October: Clinton +7.7% (240/31)</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/30 Axiom Strategies</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 Christopher Newport U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/27 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +12</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +12</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 Christopher Newport U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +12</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/19 Tarrance Group</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 WaPo/SM</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +13</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/16 Christopher Newport U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +15</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/11 Roanoke</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (48 - 47%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/8 Hampton</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +12 (46 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +14 (41 - 27%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 </em></span><span style="font-size: large;"><em>CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 (50 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 IPSOS</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (48 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Christopher Newport U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (42 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Clinton +5.7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/29 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (46 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (40 - 32%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 UPI/CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (50 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (47 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 CNU/Watson Center</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (39 - 33%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/25 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (45 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/22 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (45 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/22 Roanoke</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (44 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (47 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/15 Mary Washington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (40 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/13 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (45 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Morning Consult</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (40 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (43 - 36%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +13 (50 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/1 Hampton U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (43 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">August: Clinton 11.2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/23 Roanoke</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +16 (48 - 32%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/20 WaPo</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (46 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/17 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 (45 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/16 WaPo</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (51 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +13 (46 - 33%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/7 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +12 (49 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">July: Clinton +3.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/31 RABA Research</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/17 Hampton University</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (39 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (44 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 FOX</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (44 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">June: Clinton +3.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/16 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (48 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Pennsylvania</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Clinton 3.1% (56/18)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/7 YouGov</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/7 Trafalgar</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/7 Clarity Campaign Labs</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/6 Remington</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/5 Muhlenberg</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/4 Gravis</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/4 Harper Polling</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/4 PPP</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/3 IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/3 Gravis</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/2 Pulse</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/2 Quinnipiac</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/2 Monmouth</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/2 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/2 Susquehanna</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/2 CNN</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/1 Google Consumer Surveys</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/1 Franklin Marshall College </span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>October: Clinton +4.9% (206/42)</strong></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Gravis</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Pulse</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Remington</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 Axiom Strategies</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 CBS/YouGov</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/29 IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/28 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/28 Muhlenberg College</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/28 Emerson</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/27 Siena</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/27 Pulse</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 GCS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 Pulse</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/25 Remington</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/24 CVoter</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/22 Pulse Opinion</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/22 IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/21 GCS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/20 CVoter</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/19 Emerson</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/18 WaPo/SM</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/18 GCS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/17 Quinnipiac</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/17 CVoter</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/15 IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/13 Selzer</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 </span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Susquehanna Polling</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Google Consumer Surveys</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 </span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/10 IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (49 - 43%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/10 CVoter</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (49 - 47%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/9 YouGov</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (48 - 40%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/9 Marist</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +12 (49 - 37%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/9 CBS/YouGov</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (48 - 40%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/9 NBC/WSJ</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +12 (49 - 37%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/5 Google Consumer Survey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (37 - 37%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/4 Monmouth</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10 (50 - 40%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/4 Franklin</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (47 - 38%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/3 CVoter</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (50 - 46%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/3 IPSOS</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (45 - 42%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/3 Quinnipiac</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (45 - 41%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Clinton +3.3</strong></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/29 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (45 - 39%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">9/28 Google Consumer Survey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (36 - 35%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (46 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Mercyhurst U</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (42 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 UPI/CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (48 - 47%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (46 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Harper Polling</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (45 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 CNN/ORC</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (45 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/24 Morning Call/Muhlenberg</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (40 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/23 Democracy Corps</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (46 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (46 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Morning Call/Muhlenberg</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (40 - 32%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (44 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Morning Consult</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (37 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (41 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/4 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (45 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (48 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/1 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (48 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/1 Franklin Marshall</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (45 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">August: Clinton +8.1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/30 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (48 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/29 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (46 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 (48 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10 (52 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/8 Susquehanna PR</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10 (47 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/4 Franklin Marshall</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 (49 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/1 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (49 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">July: Clinton +4.5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/28 Suffolk</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (50 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (45 - 36%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (43 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/2 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (50 - 48%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">June: Clinton +1.7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/28 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/21 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (42 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/8 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (44 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Missouri</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Trump 10.1% (111/11)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Clarity Campaign Labs</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +16</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +13</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 DFM Research</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +12</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +15</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +14</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Google Consumer Surveys</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;"><strong>October: Trump +5.8% (139/24)</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 BK Strategies</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +14</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 St. Louis Post-Dispatch</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/27 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +14</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/19 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CVoter</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +12</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/12 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +12 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +6 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +9 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +12 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Trump +9.8</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +10 (49 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (34 - 32%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 UPI/CVote</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +8 (52 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +16 (51 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/25 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +9 (46 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +17 (53 - 36%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/15 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +13 (47 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Morning Consult</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +6 (39 - 33%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 Remington Research</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +9 (47 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +9 (43 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +16 (51 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/1 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +6 (47 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;">August: Trump +2.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/23 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/17 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (45 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 Remington Research Group</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;">July: Trump +9.5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/29 Mason Dixon</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (41 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/26 SurveyUSA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +10 (47 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/15 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +10 (46 - 36%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Colorado</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Clinton 4.8% (58/12)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 Keating Research</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 Trafalgar</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 Magellan Strategies</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Denver Post</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 U of Colorado</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Google Consumer Surveys</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +15</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>October: Clinton 6.3% (183/29)</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/30 Axiom Strategies</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/30 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +18</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +18</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 Magellan</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 WaPo/SM</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +19</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +15 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/8 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/4 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Keating Research</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Clinton +1.8</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/29 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (46 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (37 - 31%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 UPI/CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (49 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 CNN/ORC</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (42 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/25 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (41 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/25 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (40 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/22 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/22 CMU/PBS/FM</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (41 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (43 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/15 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (42 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/14 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (43 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Morning Consult</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (39 - 31%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Magellan Strategies</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (41 - 36%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (37 - 37%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (45 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">August: Clinton +12.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/17 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10 (49 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +14 (46 - 32%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">July: Clinton +8.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (43 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/14 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (43 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 FOX</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10 (44 - 34%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +13 (48 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/11 Harper</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (45 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">June: Clinton +1.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/26 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (40 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>North Carolina</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Trump 0.7% (9/13)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/7 Siena</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/6 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">11/2 </span><span style="font-size: large;">Trafalgar</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Elon</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Survey USA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Google Consumer Surveys</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>October: Clinton +1.7% (79/46)</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Pulse</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Remington</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/31 Survey Monkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 Axiom Strategies</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">10/30 CBS/YouGov</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/30 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/30 NBC/WSJ</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/27 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/27 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Pulse</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Remington</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Siena</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 Pulse Opinion</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/19 National Research</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/19 Civitas</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 Survey USA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 WaPo/SM</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CNN</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 Suffolk</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 NBC/WSJ</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/13 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/11 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 High Point</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +11 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/4 SurveyUSA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/4 Elon</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Selzer</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Bloomberg</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Clinton +0.3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/29 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +8 (41 - 33%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/27 Meredith College</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (38 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 UPI/CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (49 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (49 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 High Point U</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (43 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/23 Democracy Corps</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (44 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/22 Siena</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (41 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/21 FOX</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 (45 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/21 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (45 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/20 Elon</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (46 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/15 Civitas</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (42 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (42 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">9/8 Suffolk</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (44 - 41%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">9/8 Morning Consult</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3 (39 - 36%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (41 - 40%)</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/4 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (49 -44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/1 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (45 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">August: Clinton +0.7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/30 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (45 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/24 CNN/ORC</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even (45 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/24 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/21 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 (39 - 38%) </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/12 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (48 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (47 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/3 Civitas/SurveyUSA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">July: Clinton +6.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/15 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 (44 - 38%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">June: Clinton +0.7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/29 Civitas</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (42 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/26 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 (44 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/23 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 (48 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Iowa</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">November: Trump 1.7% (12/7)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/5 Des Moines Register</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/5 Loras</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/4 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 RABA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/2 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>11/1 Google Consumer Surveys</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October: even (0/21)</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/31 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/29 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/28 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/27 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/25 Survey Monkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/24 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/22 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/21 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/20 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 WaPo/SM</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/18 GCS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/17 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/15 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +10 </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/10 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/8 Selzer</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/5 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +11 </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 CVoter</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>10/3 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: red; font-size: large;"><strong>September: Trump +3.6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/28 Google Consumer Survey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +6 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +10 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 UPI/CVote</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/26 Loras</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/22 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +7 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/17 Reuters/IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +8 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/15 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +8 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/12 Simpson/RABA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/8 Morning Consult</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/6 WaPo/SurveyMonkey</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 IPSOS</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>9/2 Emerson</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +5 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">August: Clinton + 1.5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/21 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">even </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/17 Quinnipiac</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/11 Suffolk</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>8/9 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +4 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">July: Clinton +0.5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/17 CBS/YouGov</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +1 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 NBC/WSJ/Marist</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/13 Gravis</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>7/12 Monmouth</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +2 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">June: Clinton +8.0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/30 Loras College</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +14 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>6/28 PPP</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +2 </span><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-31511345821872996752016-06-07T12:36:00.002-04:002016-11-07T18:14:13.890-05:00Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton; 2016 National Election Polls; Gender, Race & Party<span style="font-size: x-small;">*M - male, F - female, W - white, H - Hispanic, O - other, B - black, A - Asian, C - Cuban, D - Democrat, R - Republican, I - independent</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"><strong>*Only polls with available and relevant crosstabs are included.</strong> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>November Average</strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">M: Trump +10 </span><br /><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">F: Clinton +10 </span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><br /><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">W: Trump +16 </span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +29 </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +76 </span></span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">D: Clinton +82 </span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +80 </span><br />I: Trump +9 </span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo (Clinton +4)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +7<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +13</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +15</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +43 </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +81</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +79<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +77</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +5</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov (Clinton +4)</em></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em> </span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +11</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +15</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +35 </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +80</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +84<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +80</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +13</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Selzer (Clinton +3)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +11<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +15</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +12</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +80<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +80</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +6</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton +4) </em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +12</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +17</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +87<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +77</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +6</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (Trump +2)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +7<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +5</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +18</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +30 </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +75</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +84<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +78</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +9</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times (Trump +5)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +16<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +7</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +23</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +3</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +84</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT (Clinton +4)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +79<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +78</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +2</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (even)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +8<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +8</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +17</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +85<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +87</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +6</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 4</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Marist (Clinton +1)</em></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +12<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +11</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +12</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +15</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +79</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +82<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +90</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +6</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton +2) </em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +11 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +13</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +19</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +86<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +80</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +8</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT (Clinton +3)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +11 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +14</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +12</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +81</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +76<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +74</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +4</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 2</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Economist/YouGov (Clinton +3)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +3<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +7</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +20</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +55</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +80</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +85<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +84</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +23</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Red Oak Strategies (even)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +4<br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +21</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +23</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +77<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +70</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +7</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo (Trump +1)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton +12<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +9</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +17</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +38</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +84</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +78<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +82</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +18</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times (Trump +4)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +18<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +10</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +25</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +20</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +83</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (Clinton +1)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +12<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +11</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +15</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +82<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +83</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +15</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average 2nd half of October</strong> (compared to 1st half)</u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">**: <span style="color: blue;">Clinton +6</span><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span><span style="color: blue;">(+2)</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">M: Trump +4 (-2) </span><br /><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">F: Clinton +13 (+2) </span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><br /><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">W: Trump +10 (+1)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +32 (+6)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +74 (+7)</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">D: Clinton +79 (+3)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +73 (+1)</span><br />I: Trump +3 (-4)</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 27</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Pew (Clinton +6)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +4<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +16</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +11</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +47</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +78</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 26</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton +3) </em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +10</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +14</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +75<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +75</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +13</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPP (Clinton +6)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +8</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +13</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +39</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +77</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +71<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +69</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +4</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times (Trump +1)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +12<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +10</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +21</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +18</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +81</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Suffolk (Clinton +9)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +15</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +4</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +41</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +67</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +85<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +72</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +1</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN (Clinton +5)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +3<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +13</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +14</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +85<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +84</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +4</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Centre College (Clinton +5)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +6<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +14</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +14</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 23</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (Trump +2)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +14<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +8</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +17</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +68<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +77</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +13</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo (Clinton +12)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton +3<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +20</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +4</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +38</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +79</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +84<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +75</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +8</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton +6)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton +1<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +9</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +4</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +40</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +61</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +76<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +72</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +4</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 19</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac (Clinton +7) </em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +2 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +15 </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +4</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +87<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +73</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +4</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Economist/YouGov (Clinton +4)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: even<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +8</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +12</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +13</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +81</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +76<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +78</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +5</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS (Clinton +4)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +83<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +62</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +1</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (Trump +1)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +15<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +10</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +16</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +28</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +54</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +72<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +76</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +15</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Survey USA (Clinton +10)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton +7<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +7</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +6</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +35</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +79</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +83<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +62</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: even</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen (even)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +68<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +68</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +9</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Bloomberg (Clinton +9)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton +2 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +17 </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +9</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +89<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +79</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +1</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times (even)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +11 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +10</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +19</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +22</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +83</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 18</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton +6) </em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +7 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +17 </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +10</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +84<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +75</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +7</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Red Oak Strategies (Clinton +3)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +0<br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +23</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +36</span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +76<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +62</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +3</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 17</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton +6)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton +6<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +6</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +8</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +38</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +84</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +75<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +72</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: even</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>George Washington U (Clinton +8)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +18</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +9</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton +33</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +83</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +82<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +74</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +2</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT (Clinton +9)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5 <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +18</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +9</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton +83</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +84<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +69</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +2</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth (Clinton +12)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton +1<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +17</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump +6</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +83<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +70</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton +6 </span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 16</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FPU/RKM (Clinton +5)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump +5<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton +16</span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton +78<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump +70</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump +9</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average 1st half October</strong> (compared to 2nd half Sep.)</u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> <span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">**: <span style="color: blue;">Clinton 43 - 39</span><span style="color: blue;"> +4</span><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span><span style="color: blue;"> (+3)</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 39 +6 (-4) </span><br /><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 36 +11 (--) </span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><br /><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 36 +9 (-4)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 53 - 27 +26 (-7)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 79 - 9 +70 (-3)</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">D: Clinton 84 - 6 +78 (+7)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 89 - 7 +72 (-1)</span><br />I: Trump 34 - 33 +1 (-7)</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 13</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 43 - 36%) </em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 43 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 32% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 80 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 35 - 35%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen (Trump 43 - 41%)</em><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 76 - 15%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 75 - 13%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 42 - 20%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 12</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Insight (Clinton 42 - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton 43 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 41 - 36%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 5% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 8%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 32 - 31</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 11</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 42 - 37%)</em></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton 43 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 42 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 44 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 56 - 23%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 86 - 3%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 34 - 29%</span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 10</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Trump 46 - 43%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 53 - 36% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 54 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 52 - 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 78 - 14%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 9</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 44 - 38%)<br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 41 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 46 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 56 - 23%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 84 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 36 - 35%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult 10/8 (Clinton 42 - 38%)</em></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton 43 - 40% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 41 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 43 - 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 24%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 83 - 8%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 35 - 30%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult 10/5-6 (Clinton 41 - 39%)</em></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 43 - 35% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 44 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 80 - 10%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 4%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 34 - 27%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 44 - 42%) </em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 46 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 38% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 50 - 38%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 84 - 4%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 35%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac (Clinton 44 - 41%)</em></span><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 49 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 53 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 51 - 38%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 89 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 87 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 46 - 32%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS (Clinton 42 - 36%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 72 - 9%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 28 - 17%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 43 - 40%)<br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 51 - 30%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 86 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 84 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 85 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 36 - 35%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT (Clinton 45 - 41%)</em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 49 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 80 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 86 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 84 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 35%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 42 - 36%)</em></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: even 41 - 41% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 43 - 32% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 41 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 50 - 27%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 76 - 8%</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 9%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 30 - 25%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Trump 47 - 42%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 53 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 41% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 56 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 31%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 82 - 12%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen (Clinton 43 - 40%)</em><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 9%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 78 - 11%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 38 - 32%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Red Oak Strategies (Clinton 36 - 31%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Clinton 37 - 34%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 46 - 21%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 56 - 14%</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 4%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 33 - 23%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN/ORC (Clinton 47 - 42%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 40% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 53 - 40% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 40%</span><br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 91 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 87 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 44 - 37%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average 2nd half September</strong> (compared to 1st half)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;"></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;"></span></span></span><span style="color: black;"> </span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">**: <span style="color: blue;">Clinton 42 - 41</span><span style="color: blue;"> +</span><span style="color: blue;">1 </span></span><span style="color: blue;"> (--)</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 37 +10 (--) </span><br /><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 37 +11 (+1) </span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><br /><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 34 +15 (--)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 56 - 23 +33 (--)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 80 - 7 +73 (+4)</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 8 +75 (-2)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 7 +74 (-1)</span><br />I: Trump 39 - 31 +8 (+1)</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 43 - 40%) </em></span><br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 49 - 32% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 53 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 51 - 30%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 41 - 29%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPP (Clinton 44 - 40%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 52 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 62 - 16%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 81 - 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 78 - 11%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 82 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 36 - 32%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 28</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 41 - 38%)</em></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: even 38 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 41 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 42 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 40 - 22%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 82 - 6%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 79 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 75 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 32 - 25%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Trump 47 - 43%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 55 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 55 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 57 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 74 - 18%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 26</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth (Clinton 46 - 42%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 39%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 91 - 4%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 85 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 33%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FPU/RKM/Boston Harold (Clinton 45 - 43%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 50 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 53 - 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 72 - 18%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 76 - 12%</span><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 84 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 47 - 28%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac (Clinton 44 - 41%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 40% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 42% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 50 - 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 90 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 86 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 42 - 35%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 25</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 44 - 41%)<br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 42% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 45 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 51 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 60 - 25%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 86 - 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 10%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 82 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 40 - 39%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Trump 39 - 38%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 36% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 40 - 35% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 44 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 54 - 20%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 75 - 7%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 35 - 23%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo (Clinton 46 - 44%) </em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 54 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 55 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 53 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 88 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 90 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 43 - 38%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 23</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>McClatchy/Marist (Clinton 45 - 39)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 32% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 55 - 32% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 60 - 14%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 93 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 89 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 86 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 34 - 32%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 22</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Trump 45 - 43%):</em></span><span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 50 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 41% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 56 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 54 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 86 - 5%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen (Trump 44 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 75 - 14%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 76 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 45 - 27%</span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>ARG (Clinton 47 - 44%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 55 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 55 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 50 - 39%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 87 - 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 88 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 83 - 9%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 46 - 39%</span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS (Trump 39 - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 16%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 40 - 38%)<br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 39 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 44 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 46 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 54 - 23%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 79 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 75 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 38 - 30%</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 19</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Red Oak Strategies (Trump 35 - 33%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 39 - 31%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 49 - 15%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 61 - 19%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">O: Trump 29 - 28%<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 79 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 73 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 33 - 30%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 18</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 42 - 40%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 43 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 44 - 38% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 45 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 50 - 31%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 83 - 8%</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 46 - 41%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 82 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 37 - 31%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average 1st half September</strong> (compared to 2nd half Aug)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;"></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: blue;">**: Clinton 42 - 41 +1 (-3)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">M: Trump 46 - 36 +10 (+2)</span><br /><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 37 +10 (-4)</span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><br /><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 34 +15 (+4)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 58 - 25 +33 (-1)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 79 - 10 +69 (-7)</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: blue; font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 6 +77 (+1)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 6 +75 (+4)</span><br />I: Trump 37 - 30 +7 (+2)</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 15</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 41 - 40%) </em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><br /></em><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 32% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 80 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 36 - 31%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT (42 - 42%)</em></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 50 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 52 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 51 - 40%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 89 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 82 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 34%</span></span></span><br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 14</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 42 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 42 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 38% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 31%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 71 - 20%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 83 - 11%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 83 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 37 - 34%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac (Clinton 41 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 46 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 46 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 88 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 82 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 38 - 29%</span></span></span><br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS (Clinton 39 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 78 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 76 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 31 - 22%</span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Trump 47 - 42%):<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 55 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 55 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 30%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 77 - 18%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Trump 48 - 40%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 11</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 38 - 36%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 42 - 40% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 41 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 44 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - %</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 73 - %</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton %<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump %</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 35 - 26%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo (Clinton 46 - 41%) </em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 52 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 50 - 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 64 - 20%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 93 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 90 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 86 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 39 - 37%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 8</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen (Clinton 43 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 63 - 19% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 78 - 9%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 75 - 11%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 37 - 36%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 44 - 42%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 43% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 45 - 40% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 63 - 27%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 82 - 11%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 10%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 85 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 43 - 37%</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">GWU/Battleground (Clinton 42 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 43 - 33% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 38% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 57 - 24%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 82 - 5%</span><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 78 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 36 - 24%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FPU/RKM/Boston Harold (Clinton 44 - 41%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 48 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 52 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 45 - 39%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 49 - 38%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 74 - 19%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 46 - 37%<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 89 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 85 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 45 - 30%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN/ORC (Trump 44 - 43%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 52 - 32% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 52 - 38% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 54 - 33%</span><br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 90 - 2%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 88 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 48 - 28%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 4</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 38 - 36%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 40 - 36% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 39 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 42 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 57 - 18%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 72 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 44 - 21%</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 78 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 27 - 25%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Trump 45 - 42%):<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 51 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 56 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 53 - 31%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 84 - 4%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: even 44 - 44%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 2</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (tie 39 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 29% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 32% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 36 - 27%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen (Trump 40 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 41 - 36% </span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 73 - 15%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 71 - 12%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 36 - 28%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average for 2nd half of August</strong> (compared to 1st half)</u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #0b5394;">**: Clinton 43 - 39 +4 (-2)</span><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;"> </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 37 +8 (--)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 34 +14 (-4)</span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 36 +11 (--)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 23 +32 (+3)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 83 - 7 +76 (-5)</span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 82 - 6 +76 (-6)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 78 - 7 +71 (-2)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000;">I: Trump 37 - 32 +5 (+4)</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">August 31</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 41 - 39%) </em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 46 - 33% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 46 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 38 - 26%</span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">August 30</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPP (Clinton 42 - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 41 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 46 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 65 - 16%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 80 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 40 - 24%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 74 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 76 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 37 - 32%</span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">August 29</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth (Clinton 46 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 36% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 29% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 44 - 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 78 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 37 - 32%</span></span></span></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">August 28</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 39 - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 42 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 40 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 43 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 51 - 20%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 76 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 50 - 23%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 78 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 30 - 27%</span></span><br />
</span><strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">August 25</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac (Clinton 45 - 38%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 42 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 54 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 88 - 4%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 34 - 33%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS (Clinton 39 - 36%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 74 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 75 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 34 - 20%</span></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 47 - 44%)<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span></em><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 48 - 43% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 40% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 53 - 38%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 53 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 88 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 46 - 30%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 86 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 90 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 47 - 40%</span></span></span><br />
</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 22</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ARG (Clinton 47 - 42%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 53 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 55 - 32% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 40%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 94 - 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 90 - 4%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 47 - 38%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 18</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Pew (Clinton 41 - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 33% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 30% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 45 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 50 - 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 85 - 2%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS (Clinton 41 - 36%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 82 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 72 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 37 - 20%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen (Clinton 41 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">
</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Clinton 40 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 43 - 39% </span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 77%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 69%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 38 - 29%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 17</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Clinton 44 - 43%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 50 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 52 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 58 - 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 80 - 14%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Trump 46 - 41%</span></span><br />
</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 47 - 41%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 46 - 42% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 52 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 40%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 54 - 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 79 - 13%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 59 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 83 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 45 - 40%</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 16</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Zogby (Clinton 38 - 36):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 41 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 42 - 32% </span><br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 51 - 18%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 81 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 32 - 26%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average for first half of August</strong> (compared to 2nd half July)</u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #0b5394;">**: Clinton 47 - 41 +6 (+5)</span><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;"> </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 39 +8 (-1)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 53 - 35 +18 (+6)</span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 38 +11 (-3)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 59 - 30 +29 (-4)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 86 - 5 +81 (+4)</span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 88 - 6 +82 (+4)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 8 +73 (-4)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000;">I: Trump 39 - 38 +1 (-3)</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 8</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth (Clinton 50 - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 42 - 36% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 55 - 27% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 43 - 38%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 92 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 32 - 30%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo (Clinton 50 - 42%) </em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 51 - 41% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 58 - 35% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 52 - 40%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 69 - 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 92 - 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 92 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 83 - 11%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 46 - 42%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (Clinton 46 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 43 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 53 - 35% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 44 - 39%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 9%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 82 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 38 - 36%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 4</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS (Clinton 42 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 45 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 44 - 39%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 9%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 76 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: tie 27 - 27%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 49 - 39%) </em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 40% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 57 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 39%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 87 - 4%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 5%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 78 - 12%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 41 - 33%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC (Trump 46 - 42%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 51 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 42% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 56 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 54 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 83 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Trump 54 - 35%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN/ORC (Clinton 51 - 42%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 50 - 44% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 57 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 53 - 39%</span><br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 94 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 84 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 48 - 41%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 46 - 43%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 48 - 40% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 51 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 53 - 31%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 82 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 59 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 86 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 88 - 4%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 42 - 40%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average for second half of July</strong> (compared to first half)</u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #0b5394;">**: Clinton 44 - 43% +1 (-1)</span><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;"> </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">M: Trump 48 - 39% +9 <span style="color: #990000;">(+2)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 37% +12 (-2)</span><br /><br /><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">W: Trump 50 - 36% +14 (+2)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 59 - 26% +33 <span style="color: #0b5394;">(+4)</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 83 - 6% +77 (+8)</span></span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 7% +78 (+5)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 84 - 7% +77 (+4)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000;">I: Trump 43 - 35%</span><span style="color: #990000;"> </span></span></span><span style="color: #990000;"> +8 <span style="color: #990000;">(+5)</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 31</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPP (Clinton 50 - 45%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 51 - 44% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 55 - 39% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 56 - 40%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 67 - 18%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 91 - 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 48 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 9%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 86 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 46 - 42%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 25</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN/ORC (Trump 48 - 45%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 52 - 40% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 44% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 57 - 36%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 88 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 90 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 50 - 37%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS (Trump 44 - 43%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 84 - 11%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 82 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 43 - 35%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ARG (Clinton 43 - 42%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 52 - 36% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 32% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 92 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 3%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 51 - 33%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 19</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 45 - 41%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 48 - 42% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 35% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 54 - 32%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 77 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 65 - 25%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 89 - 4%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 42 - 37%</span></span><br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 18</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth U (Clinton 43 - 40%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 37% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 35% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 88 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 40 - 31%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 41 - 39%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 43 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 42 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 45 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 24%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 75 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 53 - 27%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 8%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 38 - 27%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston Harold (Clinton 44 - 41%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 46 - 38% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 37% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 61 - 30%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 79 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Trump 35 - 30%<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 84 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 40 - 35%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average for first half July</strong> (compared to last half June)</u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">**: Clinton 43 - 41% +2 (-3)</span><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 38% +7 <span style="color: #990000;">(-2)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 34% +14 (-3)</span><br /><br /><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 36% +12 (+2)</span><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 26% +29 <span style="color: #0b5394;">(-7)</span></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 79 - 7% +72 (-7)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 8% +73 (-5)</span></span><br /><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 80 - 7% +73 (+1)</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000;">I: Trump 34 - 31%</span><span style="color: #990000;"> </span></span></span><span style="color: #990000;"> +3</span> <span style="color: #990000;"> (-)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;"></span></span><br />
<span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong>July 15</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times/USC Dornsife (Trump 43 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 36% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 41 - 34% </span><br /><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 51 - 30%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 77 - 3%</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong>July 14</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT (tied 40 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 7%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 40 - 28%</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 13</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>McClacthy/Marist (Clinton 42 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 33% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 33% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 52 - 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 81 - 6%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 45 - 43%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 6%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 81 - 2%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 32 - 30%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Pew (Clinton 51 - 42%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 49 - 43% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 59 - 35% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 51 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 66 - 24%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 91 - 7%</span><span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 91 - 5%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 85 - 8%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 41 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 43 - 36% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 46 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 60 - 23%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 72 - 10%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 51 - 24%<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 75 - 13%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 33 - 32%</span></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 42 - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 40 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 44 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 45 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 47 - 26%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 75 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 54 - 15%<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 77 - 11%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 34 - 32%</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><strong>Average for second half of June </strong>(compared to first half)</u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">**: Clinton 45 - 40% +5 (-)</span><span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 38% +9 <span style="color: #990000;">(+1)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 34% +17 (+1)</span><br /><br />
<span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 38% +10 (-2)</span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 59 - 23% +36 <span style="color: #0b5394;">(+5)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 85 - 6% +79 (+8)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 44 - 34% +10 (-)</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /><span style="color: #0b5394;">
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 7% +78 (+3)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;"><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 80 - 8% +72 (+3)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 36% </span></span> <span style="color: #990000;">+ 3 (-1)</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (Clinton 44 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 46 - 38%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 49 - 34% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 35%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 7%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 85 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 37 - 35%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPP (Clinton 48 - 40%)</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 52 - 39% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 55 - 38% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 55 - 37%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 82 - 13%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 91 - 5%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">O: Trump 56 - 38%<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 86 - 12%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 85 - 8%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 45 - 39%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist (Clinton 40 - 35%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 41 - 35% <br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 43 - 29% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 41 - 33%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 44 - 22%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 73 - 11%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 42 - 31%<br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 4%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 75 - 3%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 34 - 26%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 44 - 38%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 46 - 36%<br /><span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 32% </span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 34%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 91 - 1%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 83 - 6%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 10%</span><br /><span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 31%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac (Clinton 42 - 40%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 47 - 34% (W M: Trump 56 - 25%) </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 33% (W F: Clinton 42 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 34%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 50 - 33%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 91 - 1%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 89 - 3%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 84 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 36 - 34%</span><br />
</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 27</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 44 - 39%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 10%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 11%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 35 - 32%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 26</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo (Clinton 51 - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: tie 45 - 45%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 57 - 34%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 50 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 90 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 10%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 45 - 43%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/WSJ (Clinton 46 - 41%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 48 - 38%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 52 - 35%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 69 - 22%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 87 - 5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 85 - 8%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 9%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 40 - 30%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 42 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 44 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 43 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 47 - 36%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 48 - 27%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 80 - 7%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 55 - 24%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 80 - 10%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 80 - 9%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 39 - 30%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Economist/YouGov (Clinton 43 - Trump 39%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 43 - 38%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 36%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 48 - 34%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 60 - 20%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 84 - 9%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">O: Clinton 42 - 26%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 86 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 80 - 4%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 41 - 32%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ARG (Clinton 50 - 41%):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 53 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 60 - 30%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 89 - 5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 79 - 9%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 45 - 45%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 20</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth University (Clinton 47 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 50 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 57 - 30%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 38%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 87 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 84 - 8%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Clinton 42 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong><u>Average for first half of June:</u></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">**: Clinton 43 - 38% +5</span><br />
<span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 37% +8</span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">F: Clinton 47 - 31% +16 </span><br />
<span style="color: #783f04;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">W: Trump 46 - 34% +12</span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">H: Clinton 55 - 24% +31</span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">B: Clinton 79 - 8% +71</span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">A: Clinton 48 - 29% +17</span><br />
<span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;">D: Clinton 82 - 7% +75</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 8% +69</span><br />
<span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000;">I: Trump 37 - 33% +4</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 15</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NYT/CBS (Clinton 43% - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 45 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 48 - 29%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 43 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 77 - 4%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 73 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 37 - 35%</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 11</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult (Clinton 42% - 37%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 43 - 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 43 - 33%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 78 - 8%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 13%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 33 - 32%</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 10</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Guardian/SurveyUSA (Clinton 39 - 36%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 42 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 41 - 31%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 40 - 34%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 45 - 29%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 64 - 17%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">A: Clinton 48 - 29%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 81 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 77 - 4%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 34 - Clinton 27%</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 9</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN (Clinton 42% - 39%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 48 - 33%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 50 - 32%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 49 - 33%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 81 - 5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 79 - 8%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 76 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 35 - 30% (with Johnson: T 32 - J 23 - C 22%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP (Clinton 45 - 40%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">M: Trump 49 - 38%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">F: Clinton 51 - 32%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 84 - 8%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 74 - 12%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 41 - 35%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac (Clinton 45 - 41%)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">W: Trump 50 - 33%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">H: Clinton 65 - 18%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">B: Clinton 93 - 4%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">D: Clinton 90 - 4%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">R: Trump 86 - 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">I: Trump 40 - 37% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-695403588398889172016-05-10T07:40:00.000-04:002016-11-09T14:15:21.373-05:00Donald Trump v Hillary Clinton 2016 Timeline<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 8</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Election day...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media and Clinton beyond confident of victory.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Afternoon exit polls portray Clinton landslide.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Reports of Trump needing a miracle to stay competitive as polls close.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Between 8 and 9pm early vote counts in FL, OH, and NC show a Clinton victory eminent, but then...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">After 9pm Trump gains and takes the lead in FL, OH, NC, WI, MI...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media apoplectic shock...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">As PA count closes with Trump ahead, at 3am Clinton calls Trump to concede.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">President-elect Donald J. Trump...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">National Polls:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FOXN: Clinton 48-44</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo:</em> Clinton 47-43</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT:</em> Clinton 45-41</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Seltzer:</em> Clinton 44-41</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen:</em> Clinton 45-43</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP:</em> Trump 43-41</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LATimes/USC:</em> Trump 48-43</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump campaign stops: FL, NC, PA, NH, MI</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary campaign stops: PA, MI, PA (concert), NC (concert)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump campaign stops: IA, MN, MI, PA, VA.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary campaign stops: OH, NH</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FBI Director Comey letter states Clinton email investigation reduced to same status as July, non-active.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Pundits and pollster perplexed by Hillary & Bill Clinton, Obama, Trump, and Pence scheduled events in Michigan (traditionally solid Democrat) this close to election day.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 4</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media has successfully beat back the narrative that Hillary is under two FBI investigations.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Poll aggregator <em>Five Thirty Eight</em> gives Trump a 35% of winning (it was at 10% just last week).</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FBI sources: Clinton Foundation has been under investigation for over a year despite Justice Department efforts to quash it. Regarding Clinton email case, the five immunities granted are limited and devices previously reported destroyed as part of the immunity deals are currently being searched... </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 2</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Political pundit conventional wisdom: </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Although Trump surging, an electoral victory path improbable to impossible - despite Trump supporter enthusiasm and Hillary supporter anxiety. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>November 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo</em> tracking poll that showed Clinton +12 eight days ago now shows Trump +1.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton campaign has successfully altered the media's FBI investigatory narrative to focus on director Comey; their constant push to tie Trump to Russia has been less successful...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 31</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">News reports of a second FBI investigation, the Clinton Foundation. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The 650,000 State Department emails associated with Clinton on Huma Abedin and Anthony Weiner's laptop had been in FBI possession for weeks.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Internal bureau feuds and threats of agent mutiny resulted in the final divulgence. FBI battle with Justice Department over both investigations carries legal and political overtones... </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FBI Hillary email investigation: Democrats & media blame & question FBI Director Comey's procedural conduct while Trump-supporting Republicans blame Hillary... </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Daily tracking polls:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP:</em> Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo:</em> Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times:</em> Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Reports that "tens of thousands" of State Department emails were found on five devices not admitted to by Huma Abedin in previous testimony.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton campaign "declares war" on FBI Director Comey. Media cooperates by focusing on the detail that Comey did not follow Department of Justice procedure in notifying Congress about the matter.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 28</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">*FBI reopens investigation of Hillary Clinton based on newly discovered Huma Abedin emails found while investigating Anthony Weiner for sexting a minor...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media vaunted <em>ABC/WaPo</em> poll showing Clinton +12 just 4 days ago now shows Clinton +4.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Two most accurate polls from 2012:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD</em>: Clinton +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times</em>: Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 27</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Front page articles of NYT, WaPo, WSJ report $66 million in shakedown payments to the Clintons; source: WikiLeaks release of "Doug Band memo."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 26</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"Shock polls" show Trump up in OH and FL, tied in NV, within statistical margin of error in PA and NH, and a <em>FOXN</em> national poll down only 3. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 25</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Obamacare premiums set to soar +25% in 2017; </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">media narrative: if not for Trump this news would hurt Democrats.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Recent batch of WikiLeaks' Podesta Emails further reveals that President Obama knew about Clinton's illegal server earlier than admitted to... </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">With the exception of two pollsters (of note the most accurate in 2012) polls show a Hillary victory inevitable.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton has one event, a rally of 1,000 in New Hampshire. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump has six events in Florida including two rallies combining for 24,000+. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 23</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media celebrates ABC/WaPo poll showing Hillary up 12.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">WikiLeaks continues to release 1,000+ Podesta emails a day detailing Clinton corruption... media ignores.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 22</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump gives a "Gettysburg Address" policy speech on what he would do in first 100 days.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media focuses on Trump's 11th sexual harassment accuser, a porn star... </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump focuses on "rigged system", "drain the swamp" campaign themes, Clinton focuses on Trump's unfitness for office.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 20</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Post-debate media narrative: shock at Trump refusing committal to abide by election results. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Nielson Ratings show last debate third most watched ever at 71.6 million (#1 - first Trump vs Clinton, #2 - Reagan vs Carter). </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 19</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN</em> poll shows Clinton up 45 - 39%.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP</em>, most accurate poll from 2012 and over past 3 elections, shows Trump in lead at 41 - 40%.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Third and final debate in Las Vegas.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 18</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Heavily redacted FBI docs reveal "quid pro quo" between State Department and FBI regarding Hillary emails.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">WikiLeaks continue despite US Pressure on Ecuador to cut off Assange's internet access. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Undercover video released by Project Veritas shows DNC conspiring in voter fraud and violent disruption of Trump rallies; scant coverage on national media outlets.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary still off campaign trail.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Polls:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">National <em>CBS/NYT</em>, Clinton +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Florida <em>Quinnipiac</em>, Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Ohio <em>CNN</em>, Trump +4</span><span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 17</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">A cyber attack is launched against Julian Assange of WikiLeaks in retaliation for releasing damaging Clinton emails.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Washington Post</em>, one of her strongest allies, has declared Hillary the winner 22 days out from election day.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary again has zero public events scheduled.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 16</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media consensus that Hillary will win in landslide.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">National polls:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/WSJ</em>: Clinton +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo</em>: Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times</em>: Trump +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen</em>: Trump +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">(<em>LA Times</em> and <em>Rasmussen</em> are snarkily mocked as outliers...)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary remains out of public eye for fourth consecutive day as media proudly continues onslaught of negative Trump coverage.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>October 15</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">WikiLeaks continue, media (and pollster) blackout on the subject except to declare as fact that Russia is to blame. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media focuses on women accusing Trump of groping despite Google searches for WikiLeaks quadrupling searches for Trump harassment. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump raises $100 million in September, breaks GOP record for individual donors.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary again off the campaign trail.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media is all Trump all day, now aghast at Trump stressing that "the system is rigged."</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 14</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Press apoplectic about Trump anti-media rhetoric and appalled by rally goer chants of "tell the truth" directed at journalists.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Second consecutive day of Hillary without a public appearance, instead Michelle Obama, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, and Chelsea Clinton campaign for her.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 13</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Just as the latest batch of WikiLeaks Podesta emails start to gain media attention (CNN feeding debate questions to Hillary & anti-Catholic rhetoric) the New York Times (who has sworn to destroy Trump in front page editorials and has three exposed journalists coordinating with Clinton campaign) unveils story of two women accusing Trump of groping them decades ago.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 12</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">News media outlets pronounce the race over, Clinton landslide predicted. GOP vows to eradicate "Trumpism".</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 11</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">With GOP establishment support shifting toward Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump declares his independence, "...the shackles have been taken off..."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Third batch of WikiLeaks documents regarding John Podesta released, media mostly ignores to focus on Trump tweets.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 10</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Majority of political pundits either declare Trump the winner of last night's debate or at least admit he salvaged his damaged candidacy.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">A second round of WikiLeaks documents released...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media given orders to destroy Trump at all costs...</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 9</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">First poll taken entirely after Trump lewd sex talk audio shows an imperceptible fallout.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult</em>: Clinton 42 - Trump 38</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">2nd presidential debate (town hall format) at Washington University in St. Louis, MO. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">To the debate Trump invites 3 women allegedly assaulted by Bill Clinton and the victim of a child rapist defended by Hillary.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 8</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">GOP establishment in turmoil as they demand Trump step down, GOP base appears to stand by Trump.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 7</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Within an hour of each other, news media releases video of Trump bragging about touching a married woman's vagina, then WikiLeaks releases documents regarding Clinton's lucrative Wall Street speeches - the first batch of hacked Podesta emails.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Earlier in the day an hour apart, State Department released first judge-ordered batch of deleted Clinton Emails and US government accused Russian government of election interference. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN</em> poll: Clinton 44 - Trump 42%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 6 </span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">With virtually no national media attention, hacked emails from Clinton staff, DNC, and State Department continue to trickle out...</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 5</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Conventional wisdom declares Pence the debate winner, Trump campaign hopes to use as a momentum reset...</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 4</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Campaigning for Hillary Clinton today: President Obama, First Lady Michelle Obama, ex-President Bill Clinton, Vice President Joe Biden.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">VP debate between Senator Kaine and Governor Pence at Longwood University in Farmville, VA.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 3</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>National polls released today:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Morning Consult: Clinton 42 - 36%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Red Oak: Clinton 36 - 31%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CNN: Clinton 47 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CBS/NYT: Clinton 45 - 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Rasmussen: Clinton 43 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">YouGov: Clinton 43 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">UPI/CVoter: Trump 49 - 47%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">LA Times: Trump 47 - 42%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 2</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media narrative: acknowledging mission to destroy Trump verging on completion.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">October 1</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">NYT prints Trump's 1995 tax returns in which Trump declared a $916 million loss and paid no income tax. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 30</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Post debate poll shifts:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Morning Consult: C +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">UPI/CVoter: C +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Rasmussen: C +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">LA Times: T +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FOXN: C +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">PPP: T +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">IPSOS: 0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Gravis: 0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">USA Today editorial argues that Trump is unfit and must be stopped.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">United Nations news agency calls on Americans living abroad to "End Trump."</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 28</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">National media hammers Trump for insulting "beauty queen" Alicia Machado (despite her past), losing the debate and claiming he won. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 27</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Former Miss Universe Alicia Machado, mentioned by Clinton during debate to show Trump's ill-treatment of women, less than 12 hours afterward is featured in multiple articles and TV appearance regarding Trump's "fat-shaming."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">By midnight alternative media reveals (and national media ignores) that Machado was an accomplice to murder, threatened life of judge, associated with Los Negros cartel, and participated in pornography.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 26</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">First Clinton v Trump debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, NY. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Consensus press opinion declares Clinton the winner. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Record TV ratings approach 84 million. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 25</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Poll shifts toward Trump leading up to first debate:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>National</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">McClatchy +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Quinnipiac +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Rasmussen +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">NBC/WSJ +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">ABC/WaPo +6 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Morning Consult +3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Bloomberg +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Monmouth +3 </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>VA</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Quinnipiac +11</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Roanoke +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CBS/YouGov +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FL</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Suffolk +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Saint Leo +9</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FL Chamber -3</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CO</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Quinnipiac +8</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Gravis +5</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>GA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">JMC Analytics +13</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Quinnipiac +10</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Loras +14</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NV</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Monmouth +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>OH</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Suffolk +7</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PA</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Morning Call +6</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">News sources report Clinton campaign abandoning Ohio as lost.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 22</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Morning follows riots in downtown Charlotte, NC sparked by police shooting.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 21</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Clinton has aired 35,714 TV commercials in 11 states.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump has aired 7,457 TV commercials in 5 states.</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In August, Clinton spent $50 million; $645,000 more a day than Trump.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">For August, 68% of Clinton spending went to ads.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Separate from the Clinton campaign, pro-Clinton super PAC Priorities USA spent $20.6 million in August and the DNC spent $28 million on her behalf.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 20</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump has raised $100 million from donations under $200 since June 21.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">August campaign staffs:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 789 paid $3.3 million</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 140 paid $643 thousand</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 19</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">This summer, Clinton has outspent Trump on TV by $109 million in seven swing states.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In Florida Clinton is outspending Trump $52 million to $1 million.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 18</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CBS/YouGov poll of 13 battleground states: 42 - 42%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 17</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Explosive devices detonate in New Jersey and Manhattan.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 16</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump schedules media event at his new DC hotel to discuss "birther" issue. In doing so invited war heroes tout support for Trump as media outlets seethe at being manipulated. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 15</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton returns to campaign trail after recovering from "pneumonia" illness.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media (or Trump) resurrects Obama's "birther" conspiracy.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 14</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>National Polls:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Economist: Clinton 42 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Quinnipiac: Clinton 41 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Reuters: even 39 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">UPI: Trump 49 - 46%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">LA Times: Trump 47 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Ohio Polls:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CNN: Trump 46 - 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Bloomberg: Trump 44 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Florida:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CNN: Trump 47 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Nevada:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Monmouth: Trump 44 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 13</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">With Hillary Clinton incapacitated with an illness, President Obama campaigns for her in Philadelphia. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hacked DNC emails released by Guccifer 2.0: donor "pay for play list" for ambassadors, Colin Powell critical of Hillary corruption and Trump racism,...</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 11</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton faints being escorted from a 9/11 ceremony, her campaign blames the episode on pneumonia. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 9</strong></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">During a fundraiser Clinton calls half of Trump voters a "basket of deplorables."</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">September 8</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump campaign reports raising $90 million in August, has $97 million in cash on hand.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Both candidates separately take question during NBC's Commander In Chief Forum.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"Shock poll" </span><span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 45 - Clinton 43 - Johnson 7 - Stein 2%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In starting Labor Day event Clinton endures two minute coughing fit.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump attends service at Great Faith Ministries, an all black church in Detroit.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 2</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FBI releases notes of July 2 Clinton three hour interview.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-Clinton staff deleted emails after being subpoenaed </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-Clinton could not answer 41 questions for lack memory</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-Clinton used 18 mobile devices; none recovered, two destroyed with hammer</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>September 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton raised $143 million in August.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOX News poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 41 - Trump 39 - Johnson 9 - Stein 4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 31</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump travels to meet with Mexican President Nieto.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump gives "major" immigration speech in Phoenix. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton has not held a press conference in 269 days.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In that timespan Trump has held 16.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"Shock polls" </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Emerson: Trump down only 3% in PA and 5% in MI; </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Republican nominee has not won PA or MI since 1988.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 28</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">National media narrative: Trump "flip-flopped" on immigration stance.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 27</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Candidate Clinton receives her first national security briefing.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 25</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton gives "Alt-Right" conspiracy speech in Reno, Nevada. Afterward, Clinton thanks the "cooperative" press corps.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Nigel Farage, leader and architect of Brexit, campaigns with Trump at rally.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 23</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media begins to question if the Clinton Foundation should be shut down before election. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 22</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FBI reveals 14,900 Clinton emails previously considered deleted, federal judge orders State Department to review and release prior to election. (Scant media attention...)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Latest media "shock polls" (not fitting narrative),</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Daily tracking polls:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LA Times</em> Trump +2 (45 - 43%)</span><br />
<em>PPD</em> Trump +1 (43 - 42%)<br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"><em>UPI</em> tie (48 - 48%)</span><br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult</em> poll:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">2 way race, Clinton +6 (44 - 38%) </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">4 way race, Clinton +3 (39 - 36%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Moring Consult</em> press release headline calls race for Clinton:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"Trump Campaign Shakeup Is Likely Too Little, Too Late." </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 20</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump making a campaign effort to win over black voters.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 19</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Paid campaign staff:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 703</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 82</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump's first TV ad buy; FL, OH, PA, NC. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 18</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump, now using a teleprompter at his rallies, expresses regret for past statements that have caused "personal pain" to others. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Today's national polling of four way race:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen</em> - Clinton +2</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters</em> - Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPD</em> - Clinton +1</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Pew</em> - Clinton +4</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 17</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump receives his first classified intelligence briefings.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 16</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Confident of victory, with 84 days until election day, Clinton names presidential transition team while a Clinton super-PAC pulls advertising from PA, VA, and CO.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 15</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In policy speech, Trump calls for an "extreme vetting" ideological test for pending immigrants and refugees. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 14</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Wall Street Journal</em> editorial board demands that Trump exit the race.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 13</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Pundits criticize Trump for campaigning in Fairfield, Connecticut accusing him of knowing the race is lost and just having fun; Secret Service estimates rally crowd at 4,800.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 12</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Stock Markets hit record highs.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media aggressively pushes back against questions of Clinton's health problems calling them irresponsible conspiracy theories.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media furious that Trump has questioned the legitimacy of election process and warn public of his dangerous rhetoric.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 11</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Released emails reveal relationship between Secretary of State Clinton and Clinton Foundation donors.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">National media focus: Trump says Clinton/Obama are the founders of ISIS.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 10</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Bloomberg poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 44 - Trump 40 - Johnson 9 - Stein 4%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 40 - Trump 35 - Johnson 8 - Stein 2%</span><br />
</span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LATimes poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 44.9 - Trump 43.5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>UPI poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 48.5 - Trump 45%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 9</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">National political media focuses on Trump sentence at rally musing that Second Amendment people might be able to stop Clinton. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 8</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Father of the Jihadist who recently murdered 49 homosexuals in Orlando sits behind Clinton at rally in Kissimmee, FL.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">New York Times chief political columnist writes in support of journalist mission to destroy Trump.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo poll:</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +8 (50 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LATimes/USC poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +1 (45 - 44%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Television advertising costs thus far:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton: $52 million</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump: $0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Average of daily tracking polls (LATimes, UPI, PPD, Reuters, & Rasmussen):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton + 3%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 4</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Average of latest NBC/WSJ, CNN, FOXN, & CBS/NYT polls:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton + 9%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Unanimous national media narrative: Trump campaign has collapsed, rumors he will drop out of the race.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 3</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Daily tracking polls:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPDNews:</em> tie 44 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>UPI/CVoter:</em> Clinton 48 - 46%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LATimes/USC:</em> Trump 45 - 44% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Two Trump rallies in Florida tally 8,000 and 12,000 attendees.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 2</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton raises $90 million in July, has $58 million cash on hand.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump raises $82 million in July, has $74 million cash on hand.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>August 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +7 (46 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>LATimes/USC poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump +4 (46 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN/ORC poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +9 (51 - 42%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (46 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>UPI/CVoter poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +3 (49 - 46%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/IPSOS poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton +5 (40 - 35%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 31</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/YouGov poll of 11 battleground states:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton (43 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Outraged media outlets unanimously condemn Trump for criticizing a father of a soldier killed during Iraq war in 2004 who criticized the GOP nominee at the DNC convention.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Wall Street hedge fund donations to Clinton: $48,500,000</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Wall Street hedge fund donations to Trump: $19,000</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton campaign money spent on polls: $1.7 million</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump campaign money spent on polls: $0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 28</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary Clinton speech at DNC convention.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 27</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump holds press conference. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton has gone 236 days without a press conference. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">President Obama speech at DNC convention.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 26</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Former President Clinton speech at DNC convention.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 25</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Democrat Convention begins in Philadelphia.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS national poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump (44 - 43%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN/ORC national poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump (48 - 45%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Debbie Wasserman Schultz resigns as DNC chairwoman.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 23</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">WikiLeaks releases hacked DNC emails.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 22</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton selects former Virginia Senator and Governor Tim Kaine as VP running mate.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump's "dark" convention speech.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 20</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Senator Ted Cruz convention speech vociferously criticized for disloyalty to the GOP.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 18</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">First day of Republican convention in Cleveland.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 17</strong> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/YouGov poll of 11 battleground states:</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton (41 - 40%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth University poll of 10 battleground states:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton (46 - 39%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 16</strong></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Since June 1, Clinton has spent $195.7 million on her campaign.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 15</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump names Indiana Governor Mike Pence his VP running mate.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 14</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Tied 40 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 45 - 43%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 13</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Gravis Iowa:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 42 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/WSJ/Marist Iowa:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 42 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth Iowa:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 44 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac Pennsylvania:</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 43 - 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 45 - 36%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac Ohio:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">tied 41 - 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/WSJ/Marist Ohio:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">tied 39 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac Florida:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 42 - 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Monmouth Colorado:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 48 - 35%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOX Colorado:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 44 - 34%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>MULawPoll Wisconsin:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 45 - 41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOX Virginia:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 44 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 12</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC News national poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 47 - 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 11</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC News poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">56% of voters think FBI should have indicted Clinton.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 8</strong> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media reacts to last night's assassination of five Dallas cops at Black Lives Matter protest.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 7</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">House Oversight Committee questions FBI Director Comey about his handling of the Clinton email probe.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 6</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">For June,</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump raises $51 million, $26 million for his campaign,</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton raises $68 million, $40 million for her campaign. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 5</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FBI rebukes, but does not criminally charge Clinton with mishandling classified State Department emails. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 2</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FBI prosecutors interview Clinton for three and a half hours regarding her conduct as Secretary of State. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">*She was not under oath.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>July 1</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton campaign has $44 million cash on hand. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton is spending $500,000 a day on television ads,</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump $0.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In political advertising, Clinton outspent Trump 46 to 1; $42.7 million to $900,000. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 30</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>YouGov/Economist national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 40 - 35%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Rasmussen national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 43 - 38%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IDB/TIPP national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 44 - Trump 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 37 - Trump 36 - Johnson 9 - Stein 5%</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPP national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 48 - Trump 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 45 - Trump 41 - Johnson 5 - Stein 2%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 29</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 44 - 38%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Democrats supporting Clinton: 83%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Republicans supporting Trump: 74%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Independents: Trump 39 - Clinton 31%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 42 - 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">white men: Trump +31%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">white women: Clinton +3%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hispanics: Clinton +17%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 28</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton ad spending in battleground states for June: $25.8 million</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump ad spending in battleground states for June: $0</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 27</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Morning Consult national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 44 - Trump 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 39 - Trump 36 - Johnson 13%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 26</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em></em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 51 - Trump 39% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 47 - Trump 37 - Johnson 7 - Stein 3%</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/WSJ national:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 46 - Trump 41% </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 39 - Trump 38 - Johnson 10 - Stein 6%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 24</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Shocking world leaders and the establishment media, Britain votes to exit the European Union. The nationalist Brexit victory strikes a severe blow against globalism and mass Muslim migration into Europe. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 23</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump raises $11 million on two days of fundraising.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 22</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton's former IT specialist at the State Department Bryan Pagliano invokes his Fifth Amendment right to remain silent 126 times during a 90 minute federal FOIA lawsuit deposition. Video will be released next week.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 21</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FEC campaign filing, cash on hand / campaign war chest:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump: $ 1.3 million</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton: $42.0 million</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">----------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNN/ORC national poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 47 - Trump 42% (last CNN poll: Clinton 54 - 41%)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 42 - Trump 38 - Johnson 9 - Stein 7%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac, Ohio:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 40 - Trump 40%</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac, Pennsylvania:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 42 - Trump 41%</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac, Florida:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 47 - Trump 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 20</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump fires campaign manager Corey Lewandowski. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">----------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/SurveyMonkey national poll (internet):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 48 - Trump 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 42 - Trump 38 - Johnson 9 - Stein 5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>June 17</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Gravis Marketing national poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 50 - Trump 45 - other 5%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 51 - Trump 49%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CNBC/All-American Survey, national poll, (6/11-14):</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 40 - Trump 35 - undecided 25%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 16</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Media narrative: Trump campaign collapsing, Clinton will win in a landslide.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Reuters/Ipsos national poll:</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 41 - 32%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 15</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT national poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 43 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Marquette Law School poll, Wisconsin:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">RV: Clinton 42 - 35%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">LV: Clinton 46 - 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">2012 election: Obama 54 - 45%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">2008 election: Obama 56 - 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Republican Governor Walker has refused to endorse Trump.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 14</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">President Obama speech pushes gun control and belittles use of term "Radical Islam" as a "strategy."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">----------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Bloomberg/Selzer national poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 49 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">37%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 13</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In wake of Orlando terrorist shooting Democrats push for stricter gun control laws. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 12</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Islamic jihadist kills 49 at Orlando, FL gay nightclub.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 9</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 42 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Trump 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 39 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Trump 36 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Johnson 12%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 8</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>PPP Pennsylvania poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Tied at 44%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 7</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Republican Speaker of the House Paul Ryan calls Trump a racist for his comments about a "Mexican" federal judge.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 6</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">AP and CNN report that Clinton has clinched the Democrat nomination based on a survey of super delegates.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 5</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>IBD/TIPP poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 45 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Trump 40%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 39 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Trump 35 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Johnson 11%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 3</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Florida, Mason Dixon poll:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 45 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Trump 42 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">Johnson 6%</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">June 2</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">A mob of 300 Mexican nationalists harass, pelt, shove, and sucker punch Trump supporters leaving a rally in San Jose.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">May 27</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">State </span><span style="font-size: large;">Department </span><span style="font-size: large;">Inspector </span><span style="font-size: large;">General </span><span style="font-size: large;">reports t</span><span style="font-size: large;">hat</span><span style="font-size: large;"> Hillary violated federal rules by using her own private server for government email.</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">May 26</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">With a pledge from unbound delegates Trump reaches the 1,237 threshold to become official Republican nominee for president. </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">May 25</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<em><span style="font-size: large;">PPIC, </span><span style="font-size: large;">California:</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 49 -</span><span style="font-size: large;"> 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">(In 2012 election Obama beat Romney by 23%)</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">May 22</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>NBC/WSJ:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 46 -</span><span style="font-size: large;"> 43%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>ABC/WaPo:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 46 -</span><span style="font-size: large;"> 44%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>May 19</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>CBS/NYT:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 47 - </span><span style="font-size: large;">41%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Ipsos/Reuters:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Clinton 41 -</span><span style="font-size: large;"> 36%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>FOXN:</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump 45 -</span><span style="font-size: large;"> 42%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">May 10</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><em>Quinnipiac:</em> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FL: Clinton 43 - 42</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">OH: Trump 43 - 39</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">PA: Clinton 43 - 42</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">(Q Poll at this point in 2012:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">FL: Romney 44 - 43</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">OH: Obama 45 - 44</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">PA: Obama 47 - 39)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">May 5</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Republican Speaker of the House Ryan says he is not ready to support or endorse Trump's candidacy.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump responds to Speaker Ryan by saying he is not ready to support or endorse Ryan's agenda.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>May 3</strong> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Trump wins Indiana Republican primary to be declared the "presumptive" nominee by party chairman Reince Priebus.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Hillary Clinton loses Indian Democratic primary to Sanders.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">May 2</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: medium;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The #NeverTrump movement of the establishment GOP is pushing for a contested convention to stop a Trump nomination...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-49855690184212320012015-09-18T09:38:00.000-04:002016-05-14T15:03:09.535-04:00President Candidate Casino, Fox News Special Report All-Star PanelOn 1/23/2015, based on an idea from Stephen Hayes, the Fox News Special Report All-Star Panel introduced the Candidate Casino. <br />
Each week each panelist is given $100 in chips to wager on the presidential candidates...<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>May 3, 2016: <span style="color: #660000;">Trump is declared presumptive GOP nominee...</span></strong><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>4/15/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $215 Trump, $75 Cruz, $5 Kasich, $5 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $70 Trump, $25 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Williams: $75 Trump, $25 Cruz</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">York: $70 Trump, $25 Cruz, $5 Kasich</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $265 Clinton, $25 Sanders, $10 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $90 Clinton, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Williams: $85 Clinton, $15 Sanders</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">York: $90 Clinton, $10 Sanders</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>4/1/2016: [*expanded panel, final $ amounts x 3/4]</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: * $213.75 Trump, $63.75 Cruz, $22.50 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $70 Trump, $25 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $55 Trump, $30 Cruz, $15 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Attkisson: $100 Trump </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Catanese: $60 Trump, $30 Cruz, $10 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>3/18/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $195 Trump, $40 Cruz, $65 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $80 Trump, $10 Cruz, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Walter: $40 Trump, $30 Cruz, $30 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hurt: $75 Trump, $25 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>3/11/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #660000;">Republican: $220 Trump, $50 Cruz, $10 Kasich, $25 field</span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $80 Trump, $15 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $60 Trump, $25 Cruz, $15 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stoddard: $80 Trump, $10 Cruz, $10 Kasich, $5 field</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $210 Clinton, $25 Sanders, $15 Biden, $50 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $85 Clinton, $15 Biden</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Hayes: $65 Clinton, $10 Sanders, $25 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Stoddard: $60 Clinton, $15 Sanders, $25 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>3/4/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $230 Trump, $30 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $5 Kasich, $10 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $80 Trump, $10 Cruz, $5 Rubio, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stoddard: $80 Trump, $5 Cruz, $5 Rubio, $5 Kasich, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Riley: $70 Trump, $15 Cruz, $15 Rubio</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>2/26/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $205 Trump, $75 Rubio, $10 Cruz, $10 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $55 Trump, $30 Rubio, $10 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stoddard: $80 Trump, $15 Rubio, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hurt: $70 Trump, $30 Rubio</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>2/19/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $145 Trump, $70 Rubio, $65 Cruz, $10 Kasich, $10 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $35 Trump, $30 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Lane: $35 Trump, $30 Rubio, $25 Cruz, $10 Kasich</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hurt: $75 Trump, $15 Rubio, $10 Cruz</span> <br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>2/12/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $115 Trump, $95 Cruz, $65 Rubio, $15 Bush, $5 Kasich, $5 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stoddard: $40 Trump, $30 Cruz, $15 Rubio, $10 Bush, $5 Kasich</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Goldberg: $40 Trump, $30 Cruz, $20 Rubio, $5 Bush, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Riley: $35 Trump, $35 Cruz, $30 Rubio</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $195 Clinton, $55 Sanders, $30 Biden, $5 Bloomberg, $15 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Stoddard: $60 Clinton, $30 Biden, $10 Sanders </span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Goldberg: $55 Clinton, $30 Sanders, $15 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Riley: $80 Clinton, $15 Sanders, $5 Bloomberg</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>1/31/2016: [*expanded panel, final $ amounts x 3/4]</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: * $120 Trump, $86.25 Cruz, $82.25 Rubio, $3.75 Bush, $7.50 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $30 Trump, $30 Cruz, $30 Rubio, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hume: $40 Trump, $35 Cruz, $25 Rubio</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stoddard: $40 Trump, $35 Rubio, $25 Cruz</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hurt: $50 Trump, $25 Cruz, $20 Rubio, $5 Bush</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: * $157.50 Clinton, $71.25 Sanders, $60 Biden, $15 O'Malley</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Hayes: $60 Clinton, $30 Sanders, $30 Biden, $10 O'Malley</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Hume: $45 Clinton, $20 Sanders, $20 Biden, $5 O'Malley</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Stoddard: $75 Clinton, $20 Biden, $5 Sanders</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Hurt: $30 Clinton, $30 Sanders, $30 Biden, $10 O'Malley</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>1/22/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $110 Trump, $85 Cruz, $75 Rubio, $5 Christie, $25 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $40 Trump, $30 Cruz, $20 Rubio, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $30 Trump, $30 Cruz, $30 Rubio, $5 Christie, $5 field </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Powers: $40 Trump, $25 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $10 field</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $210 Clinton, $50 Sanders, $20 Biden, $20 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $80 Clinton, $20 Biden</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Hayes: $60 Clinton, $20 Sanders, $20 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Powers: $70 Clinton, $30 Sanders</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>1/15/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $95 Cruz, $85 Trump, $80 Rubio, $15 Christie, $25 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $35 Trump, $30 Cruz, $20 Rubio, $5 Christie, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $30 Cruz, $30 Rubio, $30 Trump, $5 Christie, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Walter: $35 Cruz, $30 Rubio, $20 Trump, $5 Cruz, $10 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>1/8/2016:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #660000;">Republican: $110 Cruz, $80 Trump, $60 Rubio, $20 Christie, $5 Bush, $25 field</span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $35 Cruz, $35 Trump, $15 Rubio, $5 Christie, $5 Bush, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Goldberg: $40 Cruz, $30 Trump, $20 Rubio, $10 Christie</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Walter: $35 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $15 Trump, $5 Christie, $20 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>12/18/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $105 Cruz, $95 Rubio, $60 Trump, $25 field, $15 Christie</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $40 Trump, $30 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $5 Christie</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $40 Cruz, $40 Rubio, $15 Trump, $5 Christie</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Walter: $35 Cruz, $30 Rubio, $5 Trump, $5 Christie, $25 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>12/11/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #660000;">Republican: $135 Trump, $70 Cruz, $60 Rubio, $15 Christie, $15 Carson, $5 field</span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $35 Trump, $30 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $5 Christie, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Easton: $50 Trump, $20 Cruz, $20 Rubio, $10 Christie</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Williams: $50 Trump, $20 Cruz, $15 Rubio, $15 Carson</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>11/20/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $100 Rubio, $90 Trump, $45 Cruz, $25 Bush, $20 Christie, $15 Carson, $5 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Trump, $15 Cruz, $5 Bush, $5 Christie, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Lane: $30 Trump, $30 Rubio, $20 Cruz, $10 Bush, $5 Christie, $5 Carson</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Easton: $30 Trump, $30 Rubio, $10 Cruz, $10 Bush, $10 Christie, $10 Carson</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>10/30/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $130 Rubio, $70 Cruz, $30 Trump, $30 Bush, $15 Christie, $15 Carson, $10 Kasich</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $55 Rubio, $25 Cruz, $10 Christie, $5 Carson, $5 Trump</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Goldberg: $45 Rubio, $45 Cruz, $5 Christie, $5 Trump</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Gearan: $30 Rubio, $30 Bush, $20 Trump, $10 Carson, $10 Kasich</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>10/23/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $105 Trump, $70 Rubio, $45 Fiorina, $30 Cruz, $20 Bush, $10 Carson, $10 Kasich, $10 field</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $25 Rubio, $25 Trump, $15 Cruz, $10 Bush, $10 Carson, $10 field, $5 Fiorina </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Carlson: $45 Trump, $30 Fiorina, $25 Rubio</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stoddard: $35 Trump, $20 Rubio, $15 Cruz, $10 Bush, $10 Fiorina, $10 Kasich</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $235 Clinton, $65 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $95 Clinton, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Carlson: $50, $50 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Stoddard: $90 Clinton, $10 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>10/2/2015:</strong><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $75 Rubio, $70 Carson, $65 Trump, $40 Fiorina, $35 Bush, $10 field, $5 Cruz</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $35 Rubio, $20 Bush, $15 Fiorina, $15 Trump, $10 field, $5 Cruz</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Catanese: $40 Rubio, $30 Carson, $10 Trump, $10 Fiorina, $10 Bush</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Attkisson: $40 Carson, $40 Trump, $15 Fiorina, $5 Bush</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $140 Biden, $130 Clinton, $30 Sanders</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $70 Clinton, $20 Biden, $10 Sanders</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Catanese: $60 Clinton, $20 Biden, $20 Sanders</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Attkisson: $100 Biden</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>9/17/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $75 Bush, $65 Rubio, $60 field, $55 Kasich, $15 Trump, $10 Christie, $10 Fiorina, $5 Cruz, $5 Walker</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Barnes: $30 Rubio, $25 Bush, $15 Kasich, $10 Trump, $5 Cruz, $5 Fiorina, $5 Christie, $5 Walker</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Kondracke: $40 Bush, $35 Kasich, $25 Rubio</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Birnbaum: $10 Bush, $10 Rubio, $5 Christie, $5 Kasich, $5 Trump, $5 Fiorina, $60 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>8/14/2015:</strong><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $80 Bush, $80 Rubio, $75 Walker, $25 Kasich, $15 Fiorina, $15 Cruz, $10 field</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $25 Rubio, $20 Bush, $20 Walker, $10 Cruz, $10 Fiorina, $10 Kasich, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Riley: $30 Bush, $30 Walker, $30 Rubio, $5 Kasich, $5 Fiorina</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Walter: $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $25 Rubio, $10 Kasich, $5 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $215 Clinton, $65 Biden, $10 Sanders, $5 Kerry, $5 field</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $50 Clinton, $40 Biden, $10 Sanders</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Riley: $80 Clinton, $15 Biden, $5 Kerry</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Walter: $85 Clinton, $10 Biden, $5 field</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>7/24/2015:</strong><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $90 Bush, $80 Rubio, $75 Walker, $20 Kasich, $20 field, $10 Cruz, $5 Trump</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $25 Bush, $25 Rubio, $25 Walker, $5 Cruz, $5 Trump, $5 Kasich, $10 field </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Fournier: $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $20 Rubio, $15 Kasich, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Riley: $35 Bush, $35 Rubio, $25 Walker, $5 Cruz</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $255 Clinton, $20 Biden, $15 field, $10 Kerry</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $95 Clinton, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Fournier: $80 Clinton, $10 Biden, $10 field </span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Riley: $80 Clinton, $10 Biden, $10 Kerry</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>7/10/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #660000;">Republican: $95 Walker, $85 Bush, $65 Rubio, $30 field, $15 Paul, $5 Kasich, $5 Cruz</span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $30 Rubio, $30 Walker, $30 Bush, $5 Kasich, $5 Cruz </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Easton: $25 Walker, $25 Bush, $20 Rubio, $30 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Catanese: $40 Walker, $30 Bush, $15 Paul, $15 Rubio</span><br />
<br />
<strong><span style="color: #073763;">Democrat: $235 Clinton, $45 Sanders, $15 Biden, $5 field</span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $95 Clinton, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Easton: $65 Clinton, $25 Sanders, $10 Biden</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Catanese: $75 Clinton, $20 Sanders, $5 Biden</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>5/8/2015:</strong><br />
<br />
<strong><span style="color: #660000;">Republican: $100 Rubio, $85 Bush, $60 Walker, $25 Cruz, $15 field, $10 Paul, $5 Huckabee</span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Bush, $20 Walker, $10 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $40 Rubio, $25 Walker, $20 Bush, $10 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Williams: $35 Bush, $20 Rubio, $15 Walker, $10 Cruz, $10 Paul, $5 Cruz, $5 Huckabee</span><br />
<br />
<strong><span style="color: #073763;">Democrat: $245 Clinton, $50 field, $5 Warren</span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $95 Clinton, $5 Warren</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Hayes: $50 Clinton, $50 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Williams: $100 Clinton</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>4/20/2015:</strong> <br />
<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $110 Walker, $95 Bush, $60 Rubio, $15 Christie, $5 Cruz, $5 Kasich, $5 field, $4 Jindal, $1 Trump</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $35 Rubio, $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $5 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Will: $35 Walker, $25 Bush, $15 Rubio, $15 Christie, $5 Kasich, $4 Jindal, $1 Trump</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Powers: $50 Walker, $40 Bush, $10 Rubio</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $236 Clinton, $49 S. Brown, $15 Warren</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $85 Clinton, $15 Warren</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Will: $51 Clinton, $49 S. Brown</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Powers: $100 Clinton</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>4/3/2015:</strong><br />
<strong></strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $100 Bush, $80 Walker, $60 Rubio, $25 field, $20 Cruz, $15 Paul</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $35 Rubio, $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $5 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Will: $35 Walker, $30 Bush, $10 Paul, $5 Cruz, $20 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Pace: $40 Bush, $25 Rubio, $20 Walker, $10 Cruz, $5 Paul</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>3/20/2015:</strong><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $100 Bush, $85 Rubio, $80 Walker, $10 Cruz, $10 Paul, $10 field, $5 Fiorina</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hayes: $35 Rubio, $30 Walker, $20 Bush, $10 Cruz, $5 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Williams: $50 Bush, $25 Walker, $10 Rubio, $10 Paul, $5 Fiorina</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;"><strong>Democrat: $225 Clinton, $50 field, $10 O'Malley, $10 Biden, $5 Warren</strong></span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Krauthammer: $95 Clinton, $5 Warren</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Hayes: $50 Clinton, $50 field</span><br />
<span style="color: #073763;">Williams: $80 Clinton, $10 O'Malley, $10 Biden</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>1/30/2015:</strong> <br />
<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Republican: $105 Bush, $80 Walker, $70 Rubio, $20 Paul, $10 Christie, $10 Cruz, $5 Carson</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $5 Christie</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Goldberg: $45 Walker, $25 Bush, $20 Rubio, $10 Cruz</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Williams: $50 Bush, $20 Paul, $10 Rubio, $10 Walker, $5 Carson, $5 Christie</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>1/23/2015:</strong><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-37627727177189728602015-08-24T13:11:00.002-04:002016-01-14T17:56:25.234-05:002015 List of Anti-Trump Conservative Republican Pundits Predicting and Hoping for Failure and Defeat of Trump SupportersCooke (National Review)<br />
Erickson<br />
Goldberg (National Review)<br />
Hayes<br />
Henninger<br />
Kristol<br />
Krauthammer<br />
Lowry (National Review)<br />
Luntz<br />
Sabato<br />
Stephens<br />
Will<br />
<br />
<br />
[[[ ...National Review, the venerable conservative publication, because of a number of comments made by its writers and editors about Donald Trump. (I should put in a disclaimer high in the story: I worked for National Review from 2001 to 2009 and know, like and respect many of the people involved in this matter.)<br />
To put it mildly, a lot of NR writers don't like Trump.<br />
For example, on June 16, when Trump announced his candidacy, NR roving correspondent Kevin D. Williamson analyzed the event in a piece headlined "Witless Ape Rides Escalator." Williamson called Trump "the most ridiculous buffoon with the worst taste since Caligula." Also: 'a reality-television grotesque with his plastic-surgery-disaster wife, grunting like a baboon about our country's 'brand' and his own vast wealth." And: "not just an ass, but an ass of exceptionally intense asininity." And, of course, a "witless ape."<br />
In August, NR writer Charles C.W. Cooke called Trump a "virus." "A plague is sweeping the land, gathering victims of all shapes and sizes and turning them into fools," Cooke wrote. "Its name — for now — is Trumpism." Cooke has also called Trump "a preposterous little trust-fund wuss" and "a thin-skinned performance artist."<br />
In July, NR's "The Week" feature, written jointly by its staff, said of Trump's candidacy: "'Cometh the hour, cometh the reality-television star,'" or, as Stephen Sondheim put it, "'Send in the clowns.'"<br />
Also in July, NR senior editor Jonah Goldberg called Trump "a low-rent carnival barker." In April, Goldberg hit Trump for hypocrisy in a Twitter exchange over attitudes toward women and added: "I think his hypocrisy is merely the Rose Window of the larger cathedral of Trumpian asininity here." In January, Goldberg said on Fox News that Trump "has a long record of clownishly pretending he'll run for president," and, a moment later, called Trump "a bane of humanity." (Goldberg later said — convincingly for those who follow him — that the "bane of humanity" part was "a bit tongue-in-cheek."<br />
Finally, in perhaps the most notorious hostile analysis of the presidential race so far, National Review editor Rich Lowry said on Fox News in September that rival candidate Carly Fiorina "cut [Trump's] balls off with the precision of a surgeon" in the second Republican debate. Later, Lowry got into a heated Twitter exchange with Trump, saying, "I thought the Carly cut your balls off line might bother you, but you know it's true …" and "A deal for you, Donald: if you apologize to Carly for your boorish insult, I might stop noting how she cut your b**** off."<br />
<br />
-Byron York, <a href="http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/does-february-gop-debate-have-a-national-review-problem/article/2575599">Washington Examiner, 11/3/15</a>]]]<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">George Will:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.foxnews.com/transcript/2015/04/20/latest-bets-in-candidate-casino/">(4/20/15)</a><br />
... and $1 on Donald Trump in the hope that he will be tempted to run, be predictably shellacked, and we will be spared ever more this quadrennial charade of his.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Jonah Goldberg:</span></strong> <br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/417242/donald-trump-statesman-jonah-goldberg">(4/21/15)</a><br />
Last week, up in New Hampshire, Steve was on a panel and referred to Donald Trump as a “clown.” In response, the famously tough businessman who boasts he can take on Putin, the Chinese Politburo, and the mullahs got very upset. And as any first-rate presidential aspirant would, started relentlessly tweeting like a 14-year-old girl about it... <br />
Here’s me in 2011: Like the scorpion in Aesop’s fables who must sting the frog because that’s simply what scorpions do, the world renowned, self-promoting billionaire-clown must tout himself with passion and narcissistic self-regard. It was only a matter of time, for instance, before he came out with his own fragrance: Donald Trump Cologne by Donald Trump Eau De Toilettes. (You can find it on Amazon.com. One customer review is from a woman who discovered the scent as it wafted up from the stock boy at Toys R Us.) <br />
But that’s not the smell that bothers me. <strong>It’s the stench of desperation coming up from those rallying around a Trump presidential bid.</strong> Still, that was four years ago and my most recent comment about Trump was four months ago. A bit tongue-in-cheek, I called him the “bane of humanity” and chastised the media, including some of my colleagues at Fox News, for taking him so seriously... <br />
I guess Trump’s Olympian self-regard can lead him to never forget a slight, harbor grudges against critics for a very long time, and drive him to engage in childish name-calling late into the night, which are obviously some of the attributes we all look for in a presidential candidate. <br />
A huge ego and a penchant for spite is totally the kind of guy we should entrust the nuclear football to. Still, I take this all very seriously... <br />
Again, if Trump is a tenth as brilliant as he says he is, there’s a really clever scheme hiding amidst all of this juvenile whining, like a shiny pony obscured by piles of manure. The thing is, I’m too dumb to see it. All I see is a guy who’s been preening for attention with bogus talk about running for president for years who’s deeply offended that nobody believes him or cares anymore. Anyway, you can read all of his tweets here. It’s not exactly like reading Jefferson’s diary. If I didn’t find it all so hilarious, I’d think it was just a little sad.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Charles Krauthammer:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/charles-krauthammer-donald-trump-xenophobia">(6/17/15)</a><br />
Fox News contributor Charles Krauthammer during an appearance on the Fox News show "Special Report with Bret Baier” said Trump’s announcement showed “great showmanship” but little else.<br />
<div class="story-body">
"Look, this is a campaign that’s run on know-nothing xenophobia,” Krauthammer said. “It will damage the party,”<br />
During his Fox appearance, Krauthammer used the opportunity of Trump's announcement speech earlier in the day to hammer the Donald.<br />
“It was stream of consciousness,” Krauthammer said. “I think his single most important statement was ‘I am very rich.’ That’s the basis for the campaign.”<br />
Krauthammer criticized Trump for his outlook on Mexico.<br />
“But you know, look, you say, can you take him seriously? Can you really take seriously a candidate who says ‘Mexico is not our friend? It’s sending us immigrants who are criminals, drug dealers, and rapists. Although’ — and this is my favorite part — he says quote ‘Some I assume are good people.’”<br />
Host Doug McKelway, filling in for Baier, commented on Trump’s ego and asked whether they saw contradictions in Trump’s speech.<br />
“The contradictions were flying around that room every second,” Krauthammer responded.<br />
Krauthammer did concede Trump had one redeeming characteristic: “He is very rich.”</div>
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Jonah Goldberg:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/420851/trump-gop-president-mexicans">(7/8/15)</a> <br />
Poor Donald Trump. <br />
It wasn’t supposed to be like this. For years, wherever The Donald went, he met people who told him he should run for president. His retinue of sycophants surely saw little to gain from explaining that “birthers,” celebrity worshippers, and devotees of The Apprentice are not a statistically meaningful sample of the electorate. <br />
Nor did it dawn on him that some people say “you should run for president” the way you tell your long-winded uncle “you should write a book.” History is full of failed men who mistook flattery for insight. <br />
In the past, Trump always pulled back from the brink. Why risk his beloved TV show? Why endure the embarrassment of revealing he’s not as rich as he pretends to be? Better to play a Cincinnatus who won’t relinquish his plow — or in this case, his line of cologne. Flirt but don’t commit was the rule. <br />
But something changed. One too many Twitter followers said, “Do it!” One too many valets whispered, “America needs you” — probably just before asking for a raise. And Trump took the leap — though he hasn’t provided the required financial disclosures yet, which inclines me to think that either he will suddenly find an excuse to retreat or he has a team of accountants trying to figure out how he can simultaneously save face and avoid perjury.<br />
In his announcement speech — the brevity and discipline of which were impressive only by the standards of Fidel Castro or Joe Biden — Trump shouted his certainty that Mexico is sending rapists and other criminals to America, but he could only “assume” (sotto voce) that “some” of those Mexicans are good people. <br />
Many of my colleagues on the right have taken pains to logic-chop Trump’s remarks. And it is true that some number of rapists and drug dealers are illegally crossing the border. Others have defended Trump by noting that what people like about this Lonesome Rhodes in a $10,000 suit is his fearlessness, bluntly tackling issues that other politicians fear to touch. That is a fine point in an indictment of the professional political class, but it is not a defense of Trump.<br />
His goal was to wave the rhetorical bloody shirt. It worked only too well, damaging a party he expresses contempt for daily. <br />
Indeed, Trump’s commitment to the GOP has often been situational. Sure, he has put his money where his mouth is, but he’s as promiscuous with his mouth as he is with the Trump brand. He’s given money to Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer, John Kerry, Andrew Cuomo, Eliot Spitzer, and the Clinton Foundation. <br />
Asked to explain why, he said, “You’re gonna need things from everybody.” (One does wonder what Trump hoped to get from the Clinton Foundation.)<br />
This attitude helps explain why Trump is such a fan of eminent domain. The man seeking the Tea Party’s support loves to use the government to seize private land he can’t — or doesn’t want to — buy fairly. <br />
<div>
Given the fetid swamp of sanctioned corruption that passes for commerce in New York, it’s no wonder he sees nothing wrong with greasing the skids by funding liberal politicians. But one might expect a person who claims to be a conservative to at least pay some rhetorical tribute to virtue while admitting his vice. Alas, it is axiomatic that the shameless are incapable of exhibiting shame.The great irony is that the man who made his fortune playing the game of influence-peddling and celebrity-mongering forgot that the other players get a turn. Trump has lost his TV show. Macy’s will no longer carry his menswear. New York mayor Bill de Blasio, who governs like a banana-republic demagogue, has declared that he is reviewing Trump’s contracts with the city. </div>
<div>
Meanwhile, too many of Trump’s GOP primary competitors, afraid of angering his fans, stand mute or mumbling. Republicans are fielding the best candidates in a generation, but Trump is poised to make them chumps by association. He has no chance of becoming president, but he has the huge potential to deny his alleged party a White House victory in 2016. And when that happens, he will of course stay a celebrity, but he will have traded his fame for infamy, even among those now cheering him on.</div>
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Stephen Hayes:</span></strong><br />
<a href="https://twitter.com/stephenfhayes/status/622437919224016896">(7/18/15)</a><br />
Trump is a complete and utter disgrace. An embarrassment to humanity.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Stephen Hayes:</strong></span><br />
<a href="http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/trump-gop-candidacy-blows_993170.html">(7/18/15)</a><br />
Donald Trump confirmed two things during a stop in this central Iowa town Saturday: He has no class and he may well run as an independent when he does not win the Republican nomination.<br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
There had been considerable public evidence of both long before his appearance here today at the Family Leader Summit but Trump, who is leading several national polls of the Republican primary, erased any doubt with comments he made about Senator John McCain and a prospective independent bid.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Trump was answering questions from Republican pollster Frank Luntz on stage when he declared that John McCain, who spent six years as a POW in Vietnam, was not a war hero. Trump went on to express his preference for soldiers who weren’t captured, suggesting a belief that prisoners of war have some say in their captivity. Luntz had asked Trump about his reaction to McCain’s comment that Trump had stirred up the “crazies” with his candidacy. When Trump attacked McCain, Luntz asked if Trump was comfortable with that kind of criticism of a war hero.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
“He’s not a war hero,” said Trump. “He was a war hero because he was captured. I like people who weren’t captured.” The comments clearly shocked the crowd at the summit, some of whom reacted with boos and shouts of condemnation.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
McCain was shot down flying combat missions in Vietnam on October 26, 1967. He was taken captivity with a broken right leg and fractures in both arms. He was beaten and tortured repeatedly, in part because his father commanded the U.S. Navy in the Pacific.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
At a testy press conference after his performance, and as the real-time scorn for his comments dominated Twitter, Trump doubled-down. He pretended that his criticism came because McCain “has not done enough for veterans in this country…I see the veterans. I’m with the veterans all the time. Some of these people wait four or five days just to see a doctor.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Of course, if Trump had even passing knowledge of the current controversy over care for U.S. veterans, he would understand that some veterans wait literally months before seeing a doctor – not just four or five days. <strong>But fact-checking Donald Trump is like picking up after a dog with diarrhea; there’s just not much point.</strong></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
I asked Trump if he was blaming John McCain for his capture, as his comments implied. “I am saying John McCain has not done a good job,” Trump responded, dodging the question.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
When I repeated the question, Trump said: “I am not blaming John McCain for his capture. If he gets captured, he gets captured.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
“Why would you say you like people who don’t get captured?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Trump: “The people that don’t get captured I’m not supposed to like? I like the people who don’t get captured and I respect the people who do get captured.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Why would you say that in the context of John McCain: “Excuse me, excuse me. I like the people that don’t get – you have many people that didn’t get captured. I respect them greatly. You’ve got people that got captured. I respect them greatly also. Why – I’m not supposed to respect the people that don’t get captured?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Are you suggesting that John McCain did something to lead to his capture?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Trump: “Of course not.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Why would you say what you said?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
At that point, Trump turned and answered a question about China.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Later, I asked Trump if he would apologize to McCain. “No, not at all.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
And after that, I asked Trump if he had ever read any accounts of McCain’s time in captivity before he suggested McCain is not a war hero.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
“It’s irrelevant.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
For those who find it relevant, McCain wrote about his experience in 1973...</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Mark Salter, McCain’s former chief of staff who co-wrote several of McCain’s book on his service and the service of others, posted on his Facebook page shortly after Trump’s comments. “Is this a great country or what. Even morons can get rich here.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Several Republican candidates denounced Trump in campaign appearances or on Twitter... </div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
RNC spokesman Sean Spicer, in a statement, said: “There is no place in our party or our country for comments that disparage those who have served honorably."</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Idiotic statements are nothing new to Trump, who called George W. Bush "evil," who has long advanced birther conspiracies about Barack Obama, and who used his announcement speech to suggest that Mexican illegal immigrants are “rapists.” </div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
Later in his appearance here, Trump was asked directly by an audience member whether he would rule out running as a third party candidate for president. “No, no,” Trump said. “I won’t go on record as saying that.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
It’s a comment that should surprise nobody, since Trump first flirted with politics as a potential candidate for the Reform Party’s nomination in 1999. Despite his announcement, <strong>Trump is not a candidate so much as a carnival barker on an extended ego ride.</strong> And if he runs as a third party candidate, he could well deliver the White House to Hillary Clinton – a past recipient of Trump praise and campaign contributions.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Stephen Hayes:</span></strong></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<a href="http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/07/18/fox-news-pundit-stephen-hayes-badgers-donald-trump-over-mccain-comments/">(7/18/15)</a></div>
During his speech Trump was asked about Senator McCain's comment calling Trump supporters crazy, with Trump in return saying McCain insulted him.After a series of other reporters asked Trump questions about his feud with McCain, Hayes asked Trump: “You said John McCain—you said you like people who didn’t get captured…”“No, no I do like people who get captured and I like people who don’t get captured—“ Trump started to respond before Hayes cut him off.<br />
“Are you blaming McCain for his capture?” Hayes interrupted.<br />
“I am saying that John McCain has not done a good job—“ Trump began to answer again before Hayes cut him off again.<br />
“No that’s not what you said,” Hayes interrupted. “That’s not my question. Are you blaming John McCain for his capture?”<br />
“I’m not blaming John McCain—“ Trump began to answer before Hayes cut him off again.<br />
“Why would you say—“<br />
“Excuse me,” Trump continued his answer. “If he gets captured, he gets captured. They’re brave men because they were in the field.”<br />
Hayes, still unsatisfied, cut Trump off again.<br />
“You said you like people who don’t get captured—it’s a simple question,” Hayes said.<br />
“I do like people—what? The people who don’t get captured, I’m not supposed to like?” Trump said. “I like people that don’t get captured and I respect the people who do get captured.”<br />
Hayes interrupted yet again.<br />
“Why would you say that in the context of John McCain?” Hayes asked, speaking over Trump.<br />
“Excuse me, excuse me,” Trump started answering again. “I like the people that don’t get captured. You have many people that didn’t get captured. They’re great. You have people that did get captured. I respect them greatly also. What, I’m not supposed to respect the people that didn’t get captured?”<br />
Hayes, still unsatisfied, interrupted again.<br />
“Are you suggesting that John McCain did something to lead to his capture?” Hayes asked.<br />
“Of course not,” Trump replied before Hayes cut him off another time.<br />
“Why would you say what you said?” Hayes asked again.<br />
“Go back to being a pundit,” Trump replied.<br />
This isn’t the first time Hayes and Trump had a hot exchange. In a previous appearance in April, Hayes called Trump a “conservative of convenience” and a “clown.”<br />
<br />
<br />
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Bill Kristol:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2015/07/20/bill_kristol_donald_trump_jumped_the_shark_hes_dead_to_me.html">(7/20/15)</a><br />
MARTHA RADDATZ, ABC NEWS : And, Bill Kristol, I think it was just yesterday you did a brief interview with ABC News, calling him older, wiser, richer Donald Trump would be better than Hillary.<br />
Still think that?<br />
BILL KRISTOL, "THE WEEKLY STANDARD": I think he's still older and richer than Hillary Clinton.<br />
Though if she gives a few more speeches maybe she'll catch up. But, no, I don't think that anymore actually. I think it's one thing, he was a controversial character who said some useful things, I think, and brought some people into the Republican tent. But he jumped the shark yesterday. <strong>He's dead to me.</strong><br />
He said to me -- no, seriously --<br />
RADDATZ: -- to you --<br />
KRISTOL: -- yes, seriously, no. I mean, he insulted every veteran, every -- certainly every veteran who's a POW, which is -- with these insane statements about how it's your fault that you're captured or shot down. And with total lack of respect for not just John McCain -- that I think other people made this point, Jim Webb, made this point -- for other people's military service and sacrifice.<br />
<strong>So I'm finished with Donald Trump.</strong> And I don’t think it's going to -- he'll -- and I don't think -- I don't think he'll stay up in the polls, incidentally. Republican primary voters are pro-respect the military. And he showed disrespect for the military.<br />
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<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Larry Sabato:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/Larry-Sabato-donald-trump-gop/2015/07/21/id/658218/">(7/21/15)</a> <br />
Political analyst Larry Sabato said Tuesday he has one word for a potential Donald Trump presidency: "disaster."<br />
"He would not really be able to govern because of his bombastic style," said Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, on CNN's "Newsroom with Carol Costello" program. "He's a billionaire. He's used to calling the shots."<br />
The problem with that, Sabato said, is that the president of the United States "must work with members of Congress, must work with governors."<br />
But, he told Costello, it's not possible to know exactly what kind of president Trump would made based on the positions he's taken so far, "because hasn't really taken that many."<br />
"He stressed that he's opposed to illegal immigration," Sabato said. "He's pro veterans. He's against ISIS. Well, what president wouldn't be against ISIS and for veterans?"<br />
When it comes to a president, said Sabato, "you have to look at style. You have to look at personality. Because those things really matter in the most personal office of all, the presidency."<br />
But Sabato said he doesn't agree with a conclusion reached by The Des Moines Register, which featured an editorial asking for Trump to drop out of the race.<br />
In the piece, the newspaper contended that "being electable isn't the same as being qualified, and Trump as proven himself not only unfit to hold office, but unfit to stand on the same stage as his opponents."<br />
"I think they're wrong there about him being electable," Sabato said. "And if the Des Moines register attacks a Republican, it generally helps that Republican. They're a liberal and Democratic newspaper. Or at least they're seen that way by conservative Republicans in Iowa."<br />
Sabato reminded Costello that during Michele Bachmann's presidential campaign, she was leading at one point in the polls in 2011, up against GOP candidates that included Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich and John McCain. <br />
"This is a message sending season," Sabato said. "It's the Trump summer. When people get close to voting, they'll get serious, because both of our major parties want to win. If Trump were nominated, it would be a landslide in the Democratic direction. Trump is probably the best and only chance to bring back Congress."<br />
Meanwhile, Sabato said that Trump will most likely be in the Fox News debate on Aug. 6, and in the CNN debate in September, but expects him to start dropping after that.<br />
"The first real votes are cast Feb. 1 in the Iowa caucuses," he said. "Feb. 1. It's [now] July. Think about how many days — no, how many hours, how many minutes there are for Donald Trump to say more outrageous things between now and then."<br />
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<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Daniel Henninger:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-in-river-city-1438210876">(7/29/15)</a><br />
Trump in River City<br />
Donald Trump is the Prof. Harold Hill of the presidential election.<br />
In “The Music Man,” Meredith Willson’s great musical, super salesman Harold Hill talks the townspeople of River City, Iowa, into buying trombones, bassoons and drums to form a boys’ band. Then, after the people of River City have committed belief and money to him, he’ll skip town. <br />
<!--
--> Donald Trump<!--
--> is America’s Music Man, and the United States is his River City. Unlike the original, the Trump version isn’t going to have a happy ending. <br />
Like Professor Harold Hill, Donald Trump must know it’s all a fabulous scam. How else to explain that on June 4—just before his presidential announcement—the Donald came to Mason City, Iowa, Meredith Willson’s hometown and the model for River City. And where did Donald Trump address Mason City’s locals? In Music Man Square. <br />
Here’s the Washington Post reporting on the Trump visit to the border at Laredo, Texas: “During a whirlwind visit . . . Trump blazed around in a presidential-style motorcade that included seven SUVs and even more police cars. Local officers blocked off roads, including Interstate 35, for Trump’s entourage.”<br />
From “The Music Man”: “I don’t know how he does it, but he lives like a king, and he dallies and he gathers, and he plucks and he shines and when the man dances . . . the Piper pays him.”<br />
Like Harold Hill, Donald Trump believes he can say anything and get away with it. <br />
He said Mexico has an inferior culture, and later claimed that he’d win the Hispanic vote. <br />
What he said about John McCain should have barred him from public life, but the Donald’s enthusiasts said it was no big deal.<br />
On the “Hannity” show Monday night he attacked <!--
--> Scott Walker<!--
--> —<em>for not raising taxes</em>. “I looked into Wisconsin,” Mr. Trump said. “Their roads are a disaster, they don’t want to spend any money on roads because he doesn’t want to raise taxes.” He accused the Wisconsin governor of being “divisive, because everyone there is fighting with each other.”<br />
So the Donald would have raised taxes on the people of Wisconsin, and he thinks the Republican governor who defeated the public unions and survived a recall election is “divisive.” No matter. The people of River City are desperate to believe, and so the man who wrote “The Art of the Deal” is leading in the national polls.<br />
Is anything going on here other than clinical egomania? <br />
Yes, and it’s no laughing matter. <br />
The American anxieties Donald Trump has tapped into are real and rational. It is not the Mexican border. It’s what everyone in politics, including <!--
--> Hillary Clinton,<!--
--> knows has been the No. 1 concern of the American people for years: the U.S.’s underachieving economy. <br />
The stark reality of the nation’s growth numbers could not be more clear. The U.S.’s average postwar growth rate is 3.3%, and has often been higher. Across the entire 61/2 years of the <!--
--> Obama<!--
--> presidency it has been about 2%, and often lower. The result is a populace that is becoming resentful, surly and anxious for a way out. <br />
Fewer than 30% think the country is on the right track, according to the Real Clear Politics polling average. A highly cited Wall Street Journal/NBC poll last year found that 76% of adults doubt their children will have a better life than they do. The Great Recession ended in June 2009, six years ago; in May, a Fox News poll found that 60% of registered voters think we are still in a recession.<br />
The labor-force participation rate, 62.6% last month, is at its lowest level in 38 years. In human terms, 432,000 people dropped out of the workforce in June, and nearly two million are called “marginally attached to the labor force” by the government. Why shouldn’t people think we’re still in a recession? <br />
After his 2009 economic stimulus of $831 billion produced so little, Barack Obama off-loaded responsibility for the economy to the Federal Reserve, which has repeatedly overstated its growth projections. For much of the private economy, the Obama presidency has been almost seven years of “Survivor.”<br />
Some conservatives believe the “Celebrity Apprentice” ringmaster has revived an inchoate “radical middle,” upset over “what the country has become.” If so, that’s just one more symptom of the core problem. During America’s dynamic, upward-moving economies of the 1950s, ’60s, ’80s or ’90s, no one whined about what the country had become. They banked it and led happy lives.<br />
Other Trumpified conservatives argue that <!--
--> Ronald Reagan<!--
-->’s economic solutions to Jimmy Carter’s malaise are now irrelevant, which opens the door to Mr. Trump’s shapeless populism. <br />
Here is what Reagan’s tax and regulatory policies produced from 1982-89: an economy that grew by a third and a standard of living, as measured by real disposable income, that grew by 20%. Sounds relevant to me. <br />
Donald Trump’s one idea to reverse America’s Obama-driven descent into a chronically flaccid economic existence is that he would “force” Mexico to erect a fence. While Hillary Clinton this week proposed building a half-billion solar panels. The good people of River City deserve better.<br />
<br />
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Stephen Hayes:</strong></span><br />
<a href="https://twitter.com/stephenfhayes/status/629489037879975937">(8/6/15)</a><br />
Trump was a clown-show.<br />
<br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Erik Erickson:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.redstate.com/2015/08/07/i-have-disinvited-donald-trump-to-the-redstate-gathering/">(8/7/2015)</a><br />
I have tried to give a great deal of latitude to Donald Trump in his run for the Presidency.<br />
He is not a professional politician and is known for being a blunt talker. He connects with so much of the anger in the Republican base and is not afraid to be outspoken on a lot of issues. But there are even lines blunt talkers and unprofessional politicians should not cross.<br />
Decency is one of those lines.<br />
As much as I do personally like Donald Trump, his comment about Megyn Kelly on CNN is a bridge too far for me.<br />
In a CNN interview, Mr. Trump said of Megyn Kelly, “You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes. Blood coming out of her wherever.”<br />
It was not the “blood coming out of her eyes” part that was the problem.<br />
I think there is no way to otherwise interpret Mr. Trump’s comment. In an attempted clarification, Mr. Trump’s team tells me he meant “whatever”, not “where ever.”<br />
The other day, we sent out the agenda for the RedState Gathering. The file had been saved with the “final” tag and the Washington sent it out. But it still had Governor Deal on the agenda and it did not have Donald Trump on it. Obviously, it wasn’t the final.<br />
I called Mr. Trump’s campaign manager and apologized and told him I felt bad for Mr. Trump because he has gotten so much sh*t from so many people and the party itself wasn’t treating the guy at the front of the pack as legitimate.<br />
I think that is true. And I’ve been very sympathetic to Donald Trump because so many of the people who have led the party astray refuse to even treat him as a legitimate candidate.<br />
But I also think that while Mr. Trump resonates with a lot of people with his bluntness, including me to a degree, there are just real lines of decency a person running for President should not cross. <br />
<strong>His comment was inappropriate. It is unfortunate to have to disinvite him. But I just don’t want someone on stage who gets a hostile question from a lady and his first inclination is to imply it was hormonal. It just was wrong.</strong><br />
<strong>I have invited Megyn Kelly to attend in Donald Trump’s place tomorrow night.</strong><br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Frank Luntz:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/news/gop-debate-2015-donald-trump-destroyed-chances-candidacy-frank-luntz/">(8/7/15)</a><br />
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump may have outscored his fellow candidates in talk-time during Thursday night's GOP primary debate, but Republican strategist and CBS News contributor <strong>Frank Luntz said he saw the "destruction of a candidacy."</strong><br />
"Trump was the number one person walking into that debate. Almost all of his supporters (of the focus group) abandoned him because of what he said," Luntz said Friday on "CBS This Morning."<br />
Trump's stand-out remarks included his response to Fox News host and debate moderator Megyn Kelly about comments he's made in reference to women as "fat pigs, dogs, slobs and disgusting animals" and his insistence to not necessarily support another Republican if he doesn't become the GOP's nominee.<br />
"When you're talking about a Republican presidential nomination, when these people want to defeat Hillary Clinton, that's not the language, that's not the strategy, that's just not what they want to hear," Luntz said.<br />
Luntz gathered a group of Ohioans to watch the debate and used dials to register whether they liked or disliked what they were hearing. <br />
"Make no mistakes, his popularity may even go up slightly, but the negativity around him -- because in the end you still have to be liked by the majority of Republicans to get the nomination," Luntz said.<br />
The group of 13 men and 10 women was split between moderate and conservative Republicans and as expected, Trump made an impression. <br />
"Remember this audience is a Republican audience and they are reacting to Republican language, Republican rhetoric, from Republican candidates, so you take a shot at Rosie O'Donnell, they like it, and they hate political correctness," Luntz said.<br />
After the debate, Trump sent out several tweets, bashing Kelly and Luntz himself.<br />
"I've been called a lot of things in my life but I've never been called a clown and those focus groups are accurate," Luntz said.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Rich Lowry:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/422357/donald-trump-gop-debates-whiner?target=author&tid=900170">(8/9/15)</a><br />
By Trump’s own account, he’s the baddest, smartest thing going, except if you ask him a challenging question, in which case he kicks and screams and demands to know how anyone could treat him so unfairly...<br />
Trump handled the ensuing flap with his typical aplomb and class, which is to say he flailed about wildly and hurled witless insults... <br />
If Trump is aware of the fact that there is such a thing as a witty put-down, he is certainly not capable of summoning one. If he didn’t want to be wrong-footed on the biggest stage of the campaign so far, he could have thought about what questions he might have been asked and about possible answers. This is what candidates have done before debates since time immemorial. Trump was satisfied with Plan B: to wing it and, when it didn’t go to his liking, whine like a spoiled child who didn’t get a pony for his birthday.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Stephen Hayes:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/donald-trump-just-everyday-politician_1008639.html#">(8/10/15)</a><br />
Trump isn’t a departure from politics-as-usual; <strong>he's a mutant,</strong> exaggerated version of it.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">George Will:</span></strong><br />
<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-counterfeit-republican/2015/08/12/c28c2968-4052-11e5-bfe3-ff1d8549bfd2_story.html">(8/12/15)</a> <br />
Donald Trump is a counterfeit Republican:<br />
In every town large enough to have two traffic lights there is a bar at the back of which sits the local Donald Trump, nursing his fifth beer and innumerable delusions.<br />
Because the actual Donald Trump is wealthy, he can turn himself into an unprecedentedly and incorrigibly vulgar presidential candidate. It is his right to use his riches as he pleases. His squalid performance and its coarsening of civic life are costs of freedom that an open society must be prepared to pay.<br />
When, however, Trump decided that his next acquisition would be not another casino but the Republican presidential nomination, he tactically and quickly underwent many conversions of convenience (concerning abortion, health care, funding Democrats, etc.).<br />
His makeover demonstrates that he is a counterfeit Republican and no conservative.<br />
He is an affront to anyone devoted to the project William F. Buckley began six decades ago with the founding in 1955 of National Review — making conservatism intellectually respectable and politically palatable. Buckley's legacy is being betrayed by invertebrate conservatives now saying that although Trump "goes too far," he has "tapped into something," and therefore ....<br />
Therefore what? This stance — if a semi-grovel can be dignified as a stance — is a recipe for deserved disaster. Remember, Henry Wallace and Strom Thurmond "tapped into" things.<br />
In 1948, Wallace, FDR's former vice president, ran as a third-party candidate opposing Harry Truman's re-election. His campaign became a vehicle for, among others, communists and fellow travelers opposed to Truman's anti-Soviet foreign policy. Truman persevered, leaders of organized labor cleansed their movement of Soviet sympathizers, and Truman was re-elected.<br />
He won also in spite of South Carolina's Democratic Gov. Thurmond siphoning off Democratic votes (and 39 electoral votes) as a Dixiecrat protesting civil rights commitments in the Democratic Party's platform. Truman won because he kept his party and himself from seeming incoherent and boneless.<br />
Conservatives who flinch from forthrightly marginalizing Trump mistakenly fear alienating a substantial Republican cohort. But the assumption that today's Trumpites are Republicans is unsubstantiated and implausible.<br />
Many are no doubt lightly attached to the political process, preferring entertainment to affiliation. They relish in their candidate's vituperation and share his aversion to facts. From what GOP faction might Trumpites come? The establishment? Social conservatives? Unlikely.<br />
They certainly are not tea partyers, those earnest, issue-oriented, book-club organizing activists who are passionate about policy. Trump's aversion to reality was displayed during the Cleveland debate when Chris Wallace asked him for "evidence" to support his claim that Mexico's government is sending rapists and drug dealers to America. Trump, as usual, offered apoplexy as an argument.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Rich Lowry:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/422519/phenomenal-incoherence-donald-trump-rich-lowry?target=author&tid=900170">(8/14/15)</a><br />
...<br />
The loudmouth mogul may be very good at saying words, but coherence and consistency sometimes elude him. Especially when he gets beyond his comfort zone of extolling his own phenomenal awesomeness and calling America’s leaders stupid and the leaders of China and Mexico — the new axis of evil — smart and cunning. After that, it gets foggy...<br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Frank Luntz:</strong></span><br />
<a href="http://www.politico.com/story/2015/08/fox-luntz-blasted-trump-donald-koch-seminar-121466.html">(8/18/15)</a><br />
Donald Trump’s feud with GOP pollster Frank Luntz escalated Monday – with Trump calling on Fox News to fire Luntz from overseeing its post-debate focus groups, and Luntz launching a profanity-laden tirade to describe the real estate showman turned renegade presidential candidate.<o:p></o:p><br />
In an interview with POLITICO, Luntz said Trump — and Democratic presidential insurgent Bernie Sanders — are “delivering a big ‘f—- you’ to the elites in America.<br />
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“And that resonates on both sides,” Luntz said. “But ‘f—- you’ doesn’t solve anything. ‘F—- you’ doesn’t make life any better. ‘F—- you’ makes you feel good, but it doesn’t get you where you need to go. ‘F—- you’ doesn’t make America strong. ‘F—- you’ doesn’t solve anything.”<o:p></o:p></div>
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Trump responded by accusing Luntz of harboring a long-held vendetta because Trump refused to do business with Luntz’s polling firm.<o:p></o:p><br />
“I caught him cold,” Trump told POLITICO. “And frankly, if I was [Fox News President] Roger Ailes, I’d fire that guy so fast for what he did that his head would spin.”<o:p></o:p><br />
Monday’s war of words, another chapter in a series of Trump vs. Luntz moments, was touched off when POLITICO asked Luntz about private comments that seem to call into question his objectivity as the man who facilitates the focus groups that appear on Fox News.<o:p></o:p><br />
Luntz has insisted in an interview with Business Insider he has nothing against Trump and is only interested in accurately assessing the race.<o:p></o:p><br />
But sources told POLITICO that, in the days before the Aug. 6 Fox News presidential debate where a Luntz-run focus group panned Trump’s performance, <strong>the pollster told a closed-door gathering of major conservative donors in Southern California that Trump was dangerous to Republicans</strong> and was “turning what we believe into a joke.”<br />
<!--interrupt-->People present at the gathering, which was organized by the political network helmed by billionaire industrialists Charles and David Koch, said Luntz argued that Trump is not a true conservative, but is “addicted” to the limelight and is likely to become increasingly enticed by the prospect of launching a third party presidential bid the longer he stays in the race.<o:p></o:p><br />
Asked Monday about his private comments in Southern California, Luntz declined to directly address what he said at the donor confab, though he did not back away from the substance of his critique.<o:p></o:p><br />
Luntz said people often “hear half of the comments or they hear what they want to hear and they get it wrong,” but he also called out Trump for stoking voters’ anger, without giving proper solutions.<o:p></o:p><br />
“There’s something happening out there that is profound, but you gotta be careful; when you tap into it you better have a way to direct it. Trump has tapped into it. Bernie Sanders has tapped into it and they’re doing well, but you’re tapping into fire — that’s how hot the anger is,” Luntz said. “We are in a dangerous political environment that requires a higher standard for the candidates running. It requires them not just to stoke the anger, it’s already there. It requires them to provide the balm of solutions.”<o:p></o:p><br />
That sentiment echoes Luntz’s presentation at the Koch donor conference. During a discussion called “Winning Messages,” he showed video clips of instances in which he said Trump had successfully connected with voters by tapping into their frustrations, according to multiple sources familiar with the meeting.<o:p></o:p><br />
Three days after the session, Fox News hosted the first GOP presidential debate, followed immediately by a focus group conducted by Luntz, the members of which roundly criticized Trump’s performance as “angry,” repulsive and “bombastic.”<o:p></o:p><br />
Trump responded by branding the focus group a “dumb panel” and calling Luntz “a low-class slob” and “a clown” and suggesting his polling is shaped by his failure to win polling work from Trump.<o:p></o:p><br />
“[Luntz is] a clown. He’s got absolutely no talent whatsoever. He came to my office looking for money. He wanted to represent me in a corporate capacity which I had no interest in whatsover. The last thing I need is focus groups from Frank Luntz who can’t get himself arrested,” Trump said. “When I had no interest in hiring him, he went on to do some negative focus groups on television and frankly, he shouldn’t be working for Fox because he’s a total conflict of interest.”<o:p></o:p><br />
Fox News did not return requests for comment.<br />
<!--interrupt-->Luntz has denied the allegation, telling Business Insider “You’ve got to understand that I don’t care who wins and loses — I only care that I’m accurate.” Luntz also said that he did meet with Trump, but that it was Trump who approached him first at an event in New Hampshire.<o:p></o:p><br />
And Luntz specifically defended the objectivity of his focus groups on Monday, pointing to his résumé.<o:p></o:p><br />
“You’ll have to ask CBS, NBC, ABC, PBS, MSNBC, Fox and the BBC — all of them have televised my focus groups. Or President Obama or Vice President Biden — they’ve actually spoken to my focus groups,” he told POLITICO. “Or the dozens of Fortune 500 CEOs who have paid for them. Or POLITICO’s own reporters who have attended them and written about the results for your readers. In each case, they may not always like or agree with what they hear, but they know they need to hear it,” Luntz said.<o:p></o:p><br />
Luntz did say Trump is dangerous to the Republican Party, because of the possibility he’d run as a third party candidate.<o:p></o:p><br />
“Trump draws from a lot more Republicans than he does Democrats. And he draws from a group that is not partisan. It leans Republican but it’s not partisan and these are not guaranteed GOP voters if he’s angry and they are angry. So the GOP has to take his candidacy seriously. But even more importantly, they have to take his voters seriously and I don’t think they are doing that as well as they could be,” Luntz said.<o:p></o:p><br />
When asked if Trump needed to be a more serious candidate, Luntz said to win an election, no, but to be a statesman, yes.<o:p></o:p><br />
“This is not a game. It’s not a joke. And all these candidates have to take what they say seriously,” Luntz said.<o:p></o:p><br />
Luntz’s tangles with Trump have helped shape the billionaire real estate developer’s presidential campaign, starting with a run-in at the Family Leadership Summit in Iowa last month.<o:p></o:p><br />
In an on-stage interview conducted by Luntz at the event, Trump lit into another of his foils, Arizona Sen. John McCain, for whom Trump said he had little affection “because I don’t like losers.”<o:p></o:p><br />
Luntz interjected “But he’s a war hero!” to which Trump replied “He’s not a war hero … He’s a war hero because he was captured. I like people that weren’t captured, OK? I hate to tell you. He’s a war hero because he was captured, OK? And I believe — perhaps he’s a war hero. But right now, he’s said some very bad things about a lot of people.”<o:p></o:p><br />
The comment, which shocked the political and media worlds, drew nearly universal condemnation from Republicans and seemed to threaten Trump’s surprising rise. But it barely dented his poll numbers.<br />
<!--interrupt-->The McCain comments — combined with other intemperate remarks — have soured top conservative donors and officials on Trump, and there was little love for him at the Koch conference where Luntz panned him.<o:p></o:p><br />
During the “Winning Messages” session, Luntz asked how many donors supported Trump’s campaign, and when no hands were raised, Luntz suggested he was not at all surprised, according to a donor who was present.<o:p></o:p><br />
In a subsequent session later that day, Luntz conducted an informal applause poll of the donors, which revealed no support among the group for Trump or rival candidates Chris Christie, George Pataki or Lindsey Graham. The Koch network has refused Trump access to its vaunted data services and its events, and he taunted the candidates who made the trip to the donor conference, suggesting they were “puppets.”<o:p></o:p><br />
But one conference attendee suggested that Luntz’s focus on Trump was not shared by any of the candidates, donors or operatives in attendance.<o:p></o:p><br />
“Any thought that there was a bunch of restless attention about Trump is not accurate,” the attendee said. “That was just Frank’s opinion. It was only a reflection of him.”<br />
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<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Charles Krauthammer:</strong></span><br />
<a href="http://www.bostonherald.com/news_opinion/opinion/op_ed/2015/08/krauthammer_trump_leads_gop_contest_astray">(8/21/15)</a><br />
<i>“This was not a subject that was on anybody’s mind until I brought it up at my announcement.”</i><strong> </strong><br />
-Donald Trump, on immigration, Republican debate, Aug. 6<br />
WASHINGTON — Not on anyone’s mind? For years, immigration has been the subject of near-constant, often bitter argument within the GOP. But it is true that Trump has brought the debate to a new place — first, with his announcement speech, about whether Mexican migrants are really rapists, and now with the somewhat more nuanced Trump plan.<br />
Much of it — visa tracking, E-Verify, withholding funds from sanctuary cities — predates Trump. Even building the Great Wall is not particularly new. (I, for one, have been advocating that in this space since 2006.) Dominating the discussion, however, are his two policy innovations: (a) abolition of birthright citizenship and (b) mass deportation.<br />
<b>Birthright citizenship.</b><br />
If you are born in the United States, you are an American citizen. So says the 14th Amendment. Barring some esoteric and radically new jurisprudence, abolition would require amending the Constitution. Which would take years and great political effort. And make the GOP anathema to Hispanic-Americans for a generation.<br />
And for what? Birthright citizenship is a symptom, not a cause. If you regain control of the border, the number of birthright babies fades to insignificance. The time and energy it would take to amend the Constitution are far more usefully deployed securing the border.<br />
Moreover, the real issue is not the birthright babies themselves, but the chain migration that follows. It turns one baby into an imported village.<br />
Chain migration, however, is not a constitutional right. It’s a result of statutes and regulations. These can be changed. That should be the focus.<br />
<b>Mass deportation.</b><br />
Last Sunday, Trump told NBC’s Chuck Todd that all illegal immigrants must leave the country. Although once they’ve been kicked out, we will let “the good ones” back in.<br />
On its own terms, this is crackpot. Wouldn’t you save a lot just on Mayflower moving costs if you chose the “good ones” <i>first</i> — before sending SWAT teams to turf families out of their homes, loading them on buses and dumping them on the other side of the Rio Grande?<br />
Less frivolously, it is estimated by the conservative American Action Forum that mass deportation would take about 20 years and cost about $500 billion for all the police, judges, lawyers and enforcement agents — and bus drivers! — needed to expel 11 million people.<br />
This would all be merely ridiculous if it weren’t morally obscene. Forcibly evict 11 million people from their homes? It can’t happen. It shouldn’t happen. And, of course, it won’t ever happen. But because it’s the view of the Republican front-runner, every other candidate is now required to react. So instead of debating border security, guest-worker programs and sanctuary cities — where Republicans are on firm moral and political ground — they are forced into a debate about a repulsive fantasy.<br />
Which, for the Republican Party, is also political poison. Mitt Romney lost the Hispanic vote by 44 points and he was advocating only self-deportation. Now the party is discussing forced deportation.<br />
It is not just Hispanics who will be alienated. Romney lost the Asian vote, too. By 47 points. And many non-minorities will be offended by the idea of rounding up 11 million people, the vast majority of whom are law-abiding members of their communities.<br />
Donald Trump has every right to advance his ideas. I strongly oppose the idea of ostracizing anyone from the GOP or the conservative movement.<br />
But that is not to say that he should be exempt from normal scrutiny or from consideration of the effect of his candidacy on conservatism’s future. If you are a conservative alarmed at the country’s direction and committed to retaking the White House, you should be concerned about what Trump’s ascendancy is doing to the chances of that happening.<br />
The Democrats’ presumptive candidate is flailing badly. Republicans have an unusually talented field with a good chance of winning back the presidency. Do they really want to be dragged into the swamps — right now, on immigration — that will make that prospect electorally impossible?<br />
Yes, I understand. The anger, the frustration, etc., etc., that Trump is channeling. But how are these alleviated by yelling “I’m mad as hell” — and proceeding to elect Hillary Clinton?<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Charles C. W. Cooke</strong></span><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/423063/donald-trump-alabama-rally">(8/25/12)</a><br />
Donald Trump Sounds Like a Drug-Addled Rock Star<br />
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Before his bombastic concert-in-the-park performance in Mobile, Donald Trump had come across chiefly as an amusing amateur whose total lack of basic political knowledge and essential reasoning ability had rendered him unwilling to do interviews that he could not phone in from the confines of his office. In Alabama, he broke out, transforming himself in the process into something else altogether. One part Alan Ginsberg, one part Jim Morrison, and one part Roderick Spode, Trump strode onto the Southern stage as might a troubled rock star. This, his insolent upper lip told the camera, was show time. </div>
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Attempting manfully to keep up with the spectacle, C-SPAN warned viewers bloodlessly that its closed-captioning system sometimes made mistakes and was therefore not to be trusted. One had to wonder how anybody could have known either way. Words, you see, are for losers. For the overrated. For the establishment. Real candidates leer and emote and strut back and forth.<br />
At times resembling a man who hoped to discover whether methamphetamine or LSD served as the best accompaniment to a mostly whisky diet, Trump stood throughout his pageant in a cocksure fighting pose, breaking his stance only to turn around and bathe in the adulation. When he spoke, he did so as might a half-awake stranger at an underground poetry slam. His thoughts were meandering, irrational, and wholly self-contradictory; his grasp of reality left much to be desired; his aim was to offer up a firework-laden piece of self-serving performance art, aimed squarely at the unserious and the easily led. “I know how Billy Graham felt,” Trump preached before he launched into his quasi-hallucinogenic diatribe. Superficially, perhaps he does. But Graham, recall, was preaching about an external God.<br />
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Topics came and went like shooting stars. In the course of just under an hour, Trump took an irony-free shot at the stupid, complaining in mock-sorrow that “we have dummies, we have dummies, we have dummies!”; he explained earnestly why he would no longer be eating Oreos; he grew randomly angry with cyclists, and with a retired thoroughbred racehorse called “Secretariat.” He proposed a 35 percent tariff on goods from Mexico, before incongruously knocking China for its unfair import duties; argued that the presidential election should be held earlier so that he could win it; and supposed that constitutional amendments can be ignored at will. If the mood fell flat, he took to listing countries that the audience was expected to dislike, and to badgering the crowd about the brilliance of his book, which he compared to the Bible. Goo Goo G’joob, Mr. Kite.</div>
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His sentences, such as they were, invariably ended up in places that bore no relation whatsoever to their beginnings. His commitment to his sentiments, many of which appeared spontaneously, seemed to be driven in real-time by the crowd’s undulating, fickle, near-braying responses. In place of facts, he offered up falsehoods and wild generalizations, fading any details that he attempted to recall into vague “somethings” and “just abouts.” If, per Mark Twain, those who dislike the weather in New England need only “wait a few minutes” until it changes, so those who found themselves dissatisfied with Trump’s political positions needed only to exhibit a few moments’ patience before their preferences were indulged. In the early 1970s, a psychedelic David Bowie took to writing his lyrics by tearing up poetry, throwing the separated lines up in the air, and reassembling them at random after they had landed. If Trump is even possessed of a speechwriter, his address in Alabama left one wondering whether he had improved at all upon Bowie’s technique.Throughout, Trump made considerable hay of his not being a politician, to the point of boorish demagoguery. Given the scale of the dissatisfaction with Washington, D.C., one can understand why. One cannot, however, comprehend why his audience should not know better than to accept the ruse. In a cynical attempt to tap into latent unrest, Trump has set himself up not merely as another option, but as a veritable messiah who will bring salvation by sheer force of will, and who does therefore not have time to waste discussing details. As Alabama confirmed, it is not merely the case that Donald Trump is no politician; he’s not engaged in politics at all. In style, Trump’s shtick is akin to Barack Obama’s, pre-2009 — but, in the place of faux-moderation and ersatz Greek columns, he is offering mass public resentment and a kickass laser show.</div>
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All of which is to say that Donald Trump has matured in precisely the wrong direction, having moved from bumbling dilettante to Dunning-Kruger poster-boy in a single leap. Politics in a free republic consists of modesty, of compromise, and of dull perseverance. It is, by its very nature, the precise opposite of rock and roll. Self-described “conservatives” have historically prided themselves on their aversion to our gaudy celebrity culture and their disgust at the conflation of reality TV and the quotidian workings of the government. They should not abandon this virtuous instinct just because a rich and famous entertainer has donned an oversized hat and pandered to their prejudices for a summer. Not all stars that fall on Alabama should be given access to the nation’s nuclear arsenal. Let us leave Donald Trump to his trip.<br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Rich Lowry:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/08/the-field-that-failed-121785#.Vd8ECdNVhBc">(8/26/15)</a><br />
The rise of Donald Trump is, in part, a function of a vacuum. <br />
He is thriving in a Republican field that is large, talented and, so far, underwhelming. There’s 17 candidates and nothing on. Except Donald Trump. <br />
<iframe frameborder="0" height="0" id="google_ads_iframe_/6326/politico-magazine/ideas_3__hidden__" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" name="google_ads_iframe_/6326/politico-magazine/ideas_3__hidden__" scrolling="no" src="javascript:"<html><body style='background:transparent'></body></html>"" style="border-image: none; border: 0px currentColor; display: none; vertical-align: bottom; visibility: hidden;" width="0"></iframe> Now, this has much to do with the media, and with Trump’s unique qualities as a showman. He has the advantage of not caring, about anything apparently — the facts, his reputation, or, ultimately, winning the presidency. In consequence, he is a free man. <br />
The Jorge Ramos incident was Trump in microcosm. He did what no other Republican politician could get away with (having a security guy manhandle a Latino reporter) and displayed a cavalier disregard for reality by denying he was having Ramos removed, even as he had him removed. But the episode was mesmerizing, and Trump — in his madcap way — was commanding in how he handled it. <br />
If any other candidate had done that or something similar, it would have been a signature event of his campaign, but for Trump it was just another day on the trail, to be eclipsed by some other memorable event tomorrow. <br />
Trump has at least half a dozen such indelible moments — his bizarre announcement, the John McCain diss, the Lindsey Graham cellphone, the Megyn Kelly fight (x2), the Mobile rally — when the rest of the field has almost none. No speech, no policy proposal, no argument, nothing from the other candidates has come close to capturing the imagination of voters, giving Trump the space to loom all the larger. <br />
The weakness starts at the top, or what was supposed to be the top. In the normal course of things, the establishment front-runner provides coherence to the field. Hence, the expectation that the field would have Jeb Bush and a not-Bush, or maybe two. For the moment, this assumption has collapsed, as the current shape of the field is Trump and everyone else. <br />
This is quite the comedown for Bush. His “shock and awe” has turned into getting sand kicked on him at the beach by a loudmouth and bully. It’s not just that Bush is trailing Trump badly in the polls; he has acceded to the terms of the debate being set by the mogul. It wasn’t long ago that Bush swore off talking about Trump, as basically beneath him. Now, he is sniping with him daily. <br />
Before he got in the race, Bush spoke of only wanting to do it if he could run joyfully. Little did he know that he would be joyously grappling with an ill-informed blowhard who takes it as his daily obligation to insult Bush and trample on the pieties he holds dear. <br />
In the argument with Trump over mass deportation, clearly Bush is right. But the split screen with Trump doesn’t necessarily do him any favors. Trump is such a forceful communicator that he comes off as some sort of throwback alpha male, whereas Bush is such an earnest wonk he looks and sounds like a sensitive dad from a contemporary sitcom. It’s like watching a WWE wrestler get a stern talking to from Ned Flanders. <br />
Bush is not a natural performer to begin with (he struggles with set speeches), and he believes his contribution to the race is to be the nonthreatening Republican, which is often indistinguishable from the uninteresting Republican. So while Bush has methodically built the superstructure of an impressive campaign — with fundraising, organization and policy proposals — he has so far barely warmed up an ember among voters. <br />
Scott Walker, in contrast, had a surge early in the campaign. It dissipated over time when his limited preparation on national issues didn’t match his outsized early press exposure. A so-so debate performance and the rise of Trump have continued his long fade to middle of the pack in the latest early state polling (tied for fourth in New Hampshire and tied for seventh in South Carolina). <br />
Walker’s ability to appeal to both the establishment and activist wings of the party had looked like a strength, but now it seems a precarious balancing act, made all the more difficult by a panicky reaction to Trump. <br />
No sooner had Walker pronounced himself “aggressively normal” in the debate than he seemed to opt for just “aggressive” in an attempt to play to the passions tapped by Trump. Who could have predicted that the Midwestern candidate who tells stories about buying shirts for $1 at Kohl’s would have to play populist catch-up with the New York billionaire who travels by eponymous helicopter? <br />
Walker had already changed his mind about immigration, shifting from support for a “comprehensive” approach to strong opposition to amnesty. Trump has pushed him further, and Walker has gotten tangled up on the issue of birthright citizenship. <br />
At the Iowa State Fair, he seemed at one point to say that he was opposed to it. Then, he told John Harwood of CNBC he wouldn’t take a position on it. Finally, on “This Week with George Stephanopoulos,” he danced around a question on the 14th Amendment before saying that anything that goes beyond simply enforcing our immigration laws is a red herring. <br />
Earlier this week, Walker blasted President Barack Obama for hosting Chinese President Xi Jinping for a state visit, even though as governor he had been friendly to China and obligingly wore a Chinese-American flag pin in an appearance on Chinese state TV. <br />
It’s one thing to play to the mood of voters; it’s another to give the appearance of not quite knowing who you are, which is much more deadly than an August dip in the polls. <br />
As for Marco Rubio, for whom expectations have been so high, he has been the least reactive to Trump. His campaign is still betting on the long game. It believes his natural talent will tell over time, but he doesn’t have a natural geographic or ideological base, and his 21st-century economic agenda — although thoughtful — is not likely to stoke enthusiasm among primary voters. <br />
Ted Cruz may be benefiting most from the Trump surge in his strategic positioning. He has a cogent theory of the case, which is that if he is nice to Trump — and the other outsider candidates — he eventually can inherent his supporters. This makes intuitive sense, although Cruz — exceedingly careful in crafting his words and in calculating his interest — is hardly a natural anti-politician. <br />
It is still August, of course. The rules of gravity say Trump will come back down to earth. The media interest that is so intense now could burn out. His lack of seriousness should be a drag over time, and he will still have to weather more debates and presumably — should he stay strong — a barrage of negative ads. <br />
Even if he fades, though, someone else will have to fill the screen. To this point, No one else has been big or vivid enough to do it. </div>
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">George Will:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/423129/donald-trump-republican-party-minority">(8/26/15)</a><br />
Every sulfurous belch from the molten interior of the volcanic Trump phenomenon injures the chances of a Republican presidency. After Donald Trump finishes plastering a snarling face on conservatism, any Republican nominee will face a dauntingly steep climb to reach even the paltry numbers that doomed Mitt Romney. <br />
It is perhaps quixotic to try to distract Trump’s supporters with facts, which their leader, who is no stickler for dignity, considers beneath him. Still, consider these: <br />
The white percentage of the electorate has been shrinking for decades and will be about two points smaller in 2016 than in 2012. In 2008, Barack Obama became the first president elected while losing the white vote by double digits. In 2012, Hispanics, the nation’s largest minority, were for the first time a double-digit (10 percent) portion of the electorate. White voters were nearly 90 percent of Romney’s vote. In 1988, George H.W. Bush won 59 percent of the white vote, which translated into 426 electoral votes. Twenty-four years later, Romney won 59 percent of the white vote and just 206 electoral votes. He lost the nonwhite vote by 63 points, receiving just 17 percent of it. If the Republicans’ 2016 nominee does not do better than Romney did among non-white voters, he will need 65 percent of the white vote, which was last achieved by Ronald Reagan when carrying 49 states in 1984. Romney did even slightly worse among Asian Americans — the fastest-growing minority — than among Hispanics. Evidently minorities generally detected Republican ambivalence, even animus about them. This was before Trump began receiving rapturous receptions because he obliterates inhibitions about venting hostility.<br />
Trump is indifferent to those conservative tenets (e.g., frugality: He welcomed Obama’s stimulus) to which he is not hostile (e.g., property rights: He adored the Supreme Court’s Kelo decision vastly expanding government’s power of eminent domain). So, Trump’s appeal must derive primarily from his views about immigration. Including legal immigration, concerning which he favors a “pause” of unspecified duration. <br />
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Some supporters simply find Trump entertainingly naughty. Others, however, have remarkable cognitive dissonance. They properly execrate Obama’s executive highhandedness that expresses progressivism’s traditional disdain for the separation of powers that often makes government action difficult. But these same Trumpkins simultaneously despise GOP congressional leaders because they do not somehow jettison the separation of powers and work conservatism’s unimpeded will from Capitol Hill.</div>
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For conservatives, this is the dispiriting irony: The administrative state’s intrusiveness (e.g., its regulatory burdens), irrationalities (e.g., the tax code’s toll on economic growth), incompetence (Amtrak, ethanol, etc.) and illegality (we see you, IRS) may benefit the principal architect of this state, the Democratic party. This is because the other party’s talented critics of the administrative state are being drowned out by Trump’s recent discovery that Americans understandably disgusted by government can be beguiled by a summons to Caesarism. </div>
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Trump, who uses the first-person singular pronoun even more than the previous world-record holder (Obama), promises that constitutional arrangements need be no impediment to the leader’s savvy, “management” brilliance, and iron will. Trump supporters consider the presidency today an entry-level job because he is available to turn government into a triumph of the leader’s will.</div>
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This is hardly the first time we have heard America singing lyrics like those of Trump’s curdled populism. Alabama Democrat George Wallace four times ran for president with salvos against Washington’s “briefcase totin’ bureaucrats who can’t even park their bicycles straight.” What is new is Trump promising, in the name of strength, to put America into a defensive crouch against “cunning” Mexicans and others.</div>
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Republicans are the party of growth or they are superfluous. The other party relishes allocating scarcities — full employment for the administrative state. </div>
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Trump assumes a zero-sum society, where one person’s job is another’s loss. Hence his rage against other nations’ “stealing” jobs — “our” jobs.In 2011, when Trump was a voluble “birther” — you remember: Obama supposedly was not born in America, hence he is an illegitimate president — an interviewer asked if he had people “searching in Hawaii” for facts. “Absolutely,” Trump said. “They can’t believe what they’re finding.” Trump reticence is rare, but he has never shared those findings. He now says, in effect: Oh, never mind. If in November 2016, the fragments of an ever smaller and more homogenous GOP might be picked up with tweezers, Trump, having taken his act elsewhere, will look back over his shoulder at the wreckage he wrought and say: Oh, never mind.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Bret Stephens:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-donald-and-the-demagogues-1441064072">(8/31/15)</a><br />
The Donald and the Demagogues<br />
<strong>If by now you don’t find <!--
--> Donald Trump<!--
--> appalling, you’re appalling.</strong><br />
If you have reached physical maturity and still chuckle at Mr. Trump’s pubescent jokes about <!--
--> Rosie O’Donnell<!--
--> or Heidi Klum, you will never reach mental maturity. If you watched Mr. Trump mock fellow candidate <!--
--> Lindsey Graham<!--
-->’s low poll numbers and didn’t cringe at the lack of class, you are incapable of class. If you think we need to build new airports in Queens the way they build them in Qatar, you should be sent to join the millions of forced laborers who do construction in the Persian Gulf. It would serve you right.<br />
Since Mr. Trump joined the GOP presidential field and leaped to the top of the polls, several views have been offered to explain his popularity. He conveys a can-do image. He is the bluntest of the candidates in addressing public fears of cultural and economic dislocation. He toes no line, serves no PAC, abides no ideology, is beholden to no man. He addresses the broad disgust of everyday Americans with their failed political establishment.<br />
<strong>And so forth and so on—a parade of semi-sophisticated theories that act as bathroom deodorizer to mask the stench of this candidacy. Mr. Trump is a loudmouth vulgarian appealing to quieter vulgarians. These vulgarians comprise a significant percentage of the GOP base. The leader isn’t the problem. The people are. It takes the demos to make the demagogue.</strong><br />
There will be other opportunities to write about the radical affinities and moralizing conceits of Democrats and liberals. For now let’s speak plainly about what the Trump ascendancy says about the potential future of the Republican Party and the conservative movement.<br />
It says that we may soon have a conservative movement in which the American creed of “give us your tired, your poor” could yield to the Trumpian creed that America must not become a “dumping ground” to poor immigrants from Latin America, as if these millions of hardworking and God-fearing people are a specimen of garbage.<br />
It says that a party that carries on about the importance of <em>e pluribus unum</em> and rails against the identity politics of assorted minorities is increasingly tempted to indulge the paranoid (and losing) identity politics of a dwindling white majority.<br />
It says that a sizable constituency in a party that is supposed to favor a plain reading of the Constitution objects to a plain reading of the 14th Amendment: “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the state wherein they reside.”<br />
It says that a movement that is supposed to believe in defending old-fashioned values and traditions against the assorted degradations of the postmodern left might allow itself to be led by a reality-TV star whose meretricious tastes in trophies, architectural and otherwise, mainly remind me of the aesthetics of <!--
--> Bob Guccione.<!--
--><br />
It says that a party that is supposed to believe in the incomparable awesomeness of America thinks we are losing the economic hunger games to the brilliant political leadership of . . . Mexico. It says that a movement that is supposed to believe in economic freedom doesn’t believe in the essence of economic freedom: to wit, the free movement of goods, services, capital and labor.<br />
It says that many of the same people who have bellyached nonstop for the past seven years about the cult-of-personality president currently in the Oval Office are seriously willing to consider another cult-of-personality figure on the off-chance he’s peddling the cure America needs. Focus group testing by pollster <!--
--> Frank Luntz<!--
--> suggests that Mr. Trump’s fans could care less about his flip-flopping political views but responded almost rapturously to his apparently magnetic persona.<br />
When people become indifferent to the ideas of their would-be leaders, those leaders become prone to dangerous ideas. Democracies that trade policy substance for personal charisma tend not to last as democracies. They become Bolivarian republics. Donald Trump may be America’s <!--
--> Hugo Chávez,<!--
--> minus the political consistency.<br />
Because the Republican Party has not lost its mind—at least not yet—<strong>I doubt that Mr. Trump will be its presidential nominee.</strong> A single bad poll could break him. The summer before an election-year summer tends to be a political clown-time. Voters, like diners in a fancy restaurant, may entertain the idea of ordering the pigeon, but they’ll probably wind up with the chicken.<br />
Still, Mr. Trump’s political star is rising in a period when fringe politics, both on the right and the left, are making a comeback in the West. Marine Le Pen in France. <!--
--> Beppe Grillo<!--
--> in Italy. <!--
--> Jeremy Corbyn<!--
--> in Great Britain. <!--
--> Bernie Sanders<!--
--> in the Democratic Party. Every now and then some of these characters get into office. Look at <!--
--> Viktor Orbán<!--
--> in Hungary, or <!--
--> Alexis Tsipras<!--
--> in Greece.<br />
Republicans like to think of America as an exceptional nation. And it is, not least in its distaste for demagogues. Donald Trump’s candidacy puts the strength of that distaste to the test.<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Charles C. W. Cooke:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/423589/donald-trump-hugh-hewitt-interview-transcript-parody">(9/4/15)</a><br />
National Review obtained this exclusive fake transcript. <br />
HH: Joined now by Donald Trump. Donald Trump, welcome back to the Hugh Hewitt Show, it’s always a pleasure to talk to you. <br />
DT: Thank you, Hugh. HH: Tell us a little about yourself. Where were you born? <br />
DT: Okay, fine. [pause] <br />
HH: All right. I’m on with Donald Trump. So, where were you born? <br />
DT: Can you give me a little . . .<br />
HH: I’m asking in which place you were born. It’s not a gotcha question, Donald Trump. You know I don’t do those here. <br />
<div>
DT: Well, that is a gotcha question, though. I mean, you know, when you’re asking me about where I was born, this this, that’s not, that is not, I was really small at the time. I wasn’t a politician then. All you need to know about this is that I’ll be so good at births and deaths and all that stuff that your head will spin. I’ll get the best genealogists for everybody, and the gynecologists for the women, who love me by the way and want to vote for me. I think what is really important is to pick out, and this is something I’m so good at, to pick out who is the best; not to, you know, talk about things like where people were born. </div>
<div>
HH: Except for . . . </div>
<div>
DT: . . . except for Barack Obama who was probably born in Kenya, and Ted Cruz who isn’t actually an American. Yes.</div>
<div>
HH: All right, good. Let’s talk about politics. Do you own a gun? </div>
<div>
DT: You know, I’d rather not say. I’m quite an introvert. </div>
<div>
HH: Introvert? </div>
<div>
DT: I was on a stage the other day in front of 20,000 people, 30,000 people — big stage, great crowd, all shouting my name, loved it, media hated it obviously but afterwards they came up and said it was the best rally they’d ever seen, and even the other candidates called me and praised me for my attacks on them — and I was saying to them, these 40,000 people, how I don’t need to tell anybody anything about myself because I’m an introvert. They loved it, couldn’t get enough. Very smart people, all 50,000 of them. None of them politicians. I was saying that they can find out about me in my book, The Art of the Deal, the best book other than the Bible. Excellent book. Publisher wants another one. Offered me a huge amount of money. Huge. They’re all voting for me, the publishers. They’re for Trump in Manhattan. </div>
<div>
HH: All right. A lot of Second Amendment defenders care about this question: What do you understand by the term “assault weapon”? </div>
<div>
DT: Well, yeah, I think that you know, the word assault weapon, and a lot of people, there’s been a lot of controversy, but I wouldn’t give you exact, I am in favor. I know some people at the NRA and the assault-weapons companies. I’m for assaults. All of them. You name an assault, I want it. Define it and I’ll help. Come to me with an offer.</div>
<div>
HH: How about specifics: Should the AR-15 be legal? </div>
<div>
DT: Of course. And the AR-16 and AR-17 too. By the way, the other candidates never say that. Professional politicians never talk about those guns. Look, I can’t tell you what guns I have. As I’ve been telling the massive crowds around the country, I’m too private to share my thoughts. But if I did have a rifle, and I do, it would be the most luxurious rifle you’ve ever seen. It would have a big propeller on it, and a torch that shone “Trump” into the sky. And it would look exactly like a wall. Have you asked Jeb Bush if he’s in favor of AR-16s, too? I bet he’s not. He’s a nice guy. He’s a nice guy. Should I say this? Yes. He’s a nice guy. But he’s not going to make America great again if he can’t even talk about AR-16s. </div>
<div>
HH: All right. A religious question now. What do you think of Kim Davis, the Kentucky clerk who is refusing to grant marriage licenses to gay couples? </div>
<div>
DT: Well, I’m big into religion. Huge. Huge. I’m into God and Christianity and the flying people and the wafers. All that stuff. Big into the Testaments too. But I mean, the Supreme Court has ruled. Ken David is wrong. </div>
<div>
HH: Kim Davis. </div>
<div>
DT: Right. I mean, he has to follow the law and do his job, or let someone else do it. </div>
<div>
HH: She. </div>
<div>
DT: No more gotcha questions please, Hugh. But really, I want to know why people want licenses from Ken in the first place. I had my people look into it, and his licenses are not classy at all. Nobody knows how easy it would be to make a great license. So easy. When I’m president, the licenses will be fantastic. The best. You want a license? You got it. Just come see me. I’ll build you the best license you’ve ever seen: It’ll be gay and powerful, and we’ll make it very good looking. It would be as good as a marriage contract has got to be. I know a lot about this area, obviously. </div>
<div>
HH: All right. Who would you want in your cabinet if you became president? </div>
<div>
DT: That’s difficult to say. All the candidates want to be in a Trump administration. They tell me, secretly. All the other cabinet sort of people do as well: John Bolton, George Will, Hulk Hogan. They come to my office and they beg: “I want to serve Trump,” they say. But look, I don’t know now. I can’t answer, because in a year they’ll all be dead. I’ll tell you honestly, I think by the time I get to the White House, they’ll all be gone. They’ll be all gone. I knew you were going to ask me things like this, and there’s no reason for it. We have 18 point — er, a lot of debt. Too much debt. I’m against debt. </div>
<div>
HH: Let’s move on to foreign policy. Which European country do you consider to be America’s foremost ally on the world stage? </div>
<div>
DT: I think Europe is definitely an important country for America. But Hugh, Europe isn’t causing us problems by the way. Our big problem is China. China is just destroying us. China keeps devaluing their currency. China is devastating for us. China has sucked money and jobs out of the United States. Let me tell you, I was at an ATM yesterday trying to take out a lot of money. I can’t tell you how much, but a lot of money. More money than you have. And my account was empty. And in its place on the screen it just said “China,” and there was a Mexican laughing. I have other accounts. I’m fine. Hugely rich, actually. But that’s who these people are. I’m going to stand up to it. I won’t have any Chinese people on The Apprentice.</div>
<div>
HH: All right. But, and I hope you understand that I’m asking these questions to see what you know, Europe isn’t a country. It’s a continent and, within it, there is a political and economic union. Is there a particular country you see as crucial to American policy? </div>
<div>
DT: No, you know what? I didn’t know that about Europe. But on my first day in office, or before then, right at the day after the election, I’ll know more about it than you will ever know. That I can tell you. </div>
<div>
HH: You can’t name a single country in Europe?</div>
<div>
DT: When it’s appropriate. I will know more about it than you know, and believe me, it won’t take me long. I will get my Brain Quest cards and my pencils, and I’ll be reading them while taking the oath. </div>
<div>
HH: Thank you, Donald Trump. Always a pleasure. Congratulations on your success so far. DT: Truly you are a third-rate lightweight loser. Dumb as a rock.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>Jonah Goldberg:</strong></span><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/423607/donald-trump-conservative-movement-jonah-goldberg">(9/5/15)</a><br />
Well, if this is the conservative movement now, I guess you’re going to have to count me out. No, I’m not making some mad dash to the center. <br />
No, I’m not hoping to be the first alternate to Steve Schmidt on Morning Joe, nor am I vying to become my generation’s Kevin Phillips. I will never be a HillaryCon. And I have no plan to earn “strange new respect” from the Georgetown cocktail-party set I’m always hearing about but never meeting. But even if I have no desire to “grow” in my beliefs, I have no intention to shrink, either.<br />
The late Bill Rusher, longtime publisher of National Review, often counseled young writers to remember, “Politicians will always disappoint you.” As I’ve often said around here, this isn’t because politicians are evil. It’s because politicians are politicians. Their interests too often lie in votes, not in principles. That’s why the conservative movement has always recognized that victory lies not simply in electing conservative politicians, but in shaping a conservative electorate that lines up the incentives so that politicians define their self-interest in a conservative way. <br />
<div>
But if it’s true that politicians can disappoint, I think one has to say that the people can, too. </div>
<div>
And when I say “the people” I don’t mean “those people.” I mean my people. I mean many of you, Dear Readers. Normally, when conservatives talk about how the public can be wrong, we mean that public. You know the one. The “low-information voters” Rush Limbaugh is always talking about. The folks we laughed at when Jay Leno interviewed them on the street. But we don’t just mean the unwashed and the ill-informed. We sometimes mean Jews, blacks, college kids, Lena Dunham fans, and countless other partisan slices of the electorate who reflexively vote on strict party lines for emotional or irrational reasons. We laugh at liberals who let know-nothing celebrities do their thinking for them. </div>
<div>
Well, many of the same people we laughed at are now laughing at us because we are going ga-ga over our own celebrity.</div>
<div>
Yes, I know that there are plenty of decent and honorable people who support Trump. For instance, my friend John Nolte over at Breitbart is one. He constantly celebrates Trump because Trump has all the right enemies and defies the conventional rules governing politics and media...</div>
<div>
But this is not an argument for Trump as a serious presidential candidate. It is really no argument at all. It is catharsis masquerading as principle, venting and resentment pretending to be some kind of higher argument. Every principle used to defend Trump is subjective, graded on a curve. Trump is like a cat trained to piss in a human toilet. It’s amazing! It’s remarkable! Yes, yes, it is: for a cat. But we don’t judge humans by the same standard.</div>
<div>
I’ve written many times how the phrase “power corrupts” has been misunderstood. Lord Acton’s original point wasn’t that power corrupts those who wield power, it was that it corrupts those who admire it. In a letter to a historian friend who was too forgiving of the Reformation-era popes, Acton wrote: </div>
<div>
"I cannot accept your canon that we are to judge Pope and King unlike other men, with a favourable presumption that they did no wrong. If there is any presumption it is the other way, against the holders of power, increasing as the power increases. Historic responsibility has to make up for the want of legal responsibility. Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Great men are almost always bad men, even when they exercise influence and not authority, still more when you superadd the tendency or the certainty of corruption by authority. There is no worse heresy than that the office sanctifies the holder of it."</div>
<div>
Popularity — which in democracy is a very important kind of power — works the same way. We routinely forgive the rich and famous for sins we would condemn our neighbors for. Trump’s popularity apparently trumps all standards we would apply not just to our neighbors, but to our leaders. A small example of what I am talking about can be found in Ted Cruz’s vow not to criticize other Republicans — if by “Republicans” you mean “Donald Trump.” I have a lot of respect for Cruz, but this doesn’t pass the laugh test. The Texan has been lambasting the entire Republican party for his entire time in office. Some of his critiques are valid, of course. But he has shown not an iota of reluctance to criticize fellow Republicans when it’s in his interest. Cruz isn’t criticizing Donald Trump because, as a smart politician, he wants to woo Trump’s followers when/if Trump eventually falters. Similarly, I’m constantly hearing from Trump fans that it’s “disrespectful” for me to criticize the Republican front-runner — as if these fans would refrain from criticizing Jeb or Rubio or Kasich if they were in the lead.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>George Will:</strong></span><br />
<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/trump-is-a-malleable-mess/2015/09/09/05873b94-5652-11e5-8bb1-b488d231bba2_story.html">(9/9/15)</a><br />
Trump is Malleable Mess.<br />
<em>“I remember, when I was a child, being taken to the celebrated Barnum’s Circus, which contained an exhibition of freaks and monstrosities, but the exhibit on the program which I most desired to see was the one described as ‘The Boneless Wonder.’ My parents judged that that spectacle would be too revolting and demoralizing for my youthful eyes, and I have waited fifty years to see The Boneless Wonder sitting on the Treasury Bench.”</em> <br />
<div id="U960308732556cp">
— Winston Churchill in the House of Commons, referring to British Prime Minister Ramsay MacDonald, 1931</div>
<div id="U960308732556m0C">
Donald Trump, whose promises are probably as malleable as his principles, promises to support the Republican nominee. Some of his rivals for the nomination, disoriented by their fear and envy of him, are making the GOP seem like the party of boneless wonders. </div>
Some, who loudly lament how illegal immigrants damage the rule of law, have found a heroine in Kentucky. A county clerk, whose devotion to her faith is not stronger than her desire to keep her paycheck, chose jail rather than resignation when confronted with having to comply with the U.S. Supreme Court and the Constitution regarding same-sex marriage. <br />
Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Bobby Jindal and Scott Walker think her religious freedom is being trampled. So does Ted Cruz, who surely knows better. He clerked for Chief Justice William Rehnquist and must remember the 1892 case in which a Massachusetts policeman claimed that rules restricting political activity by police violated his constitutional rights. Rejecting this claim, Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. of the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court wrote that the officer “may have a constitutional right to talk politics, but he has no constitutional right to be a policeman.” <br />
Trump, the tone-setter of today’s GOP, recently chastised Jeb Bush for answering in Spanish a question that was asked in Spanish. Trump said Bush “should really set the example by speaking English while in the United States.” Trump presumably deplores the fact that a leading Illinois Republican politician in the late 1850s bought one of the region’s many German-language newspapers, and even briefly took German lessons. Abraham Lincoln did so, says Harold Holzer in “Lincoln and the Power of the Press,” in order to “boost his appeal to the most important voting bloc in his region.” Somehow, Americans of German extraction — the largest group of Americans — seem to have assimilated even though Lincoln set a sinister “example.” <br />
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In an extended recent riff on how great and loved he is (“Kanye West . . . loves Trump. He goes around saying ‘Trump is my all-time hero.’ He says it to everybody.”) and on subordinate matters, Trump cited, as evidence that “our country is being killed on trade,” this: “They have in Japan the biggest ships you’ve ever seen pouring cars into Los Angeles, pouring them in. I’ve never seen anything like it. We send them beef, and they don’t even want it. It’s going to end, and they’re going to like us.”<br />
Well. Leaving aside Japan’s strange willingness to purchase unwanted beef, most Japanese vehicles that pour into the United States do so from plants in the United States. The vehicles are assembled by Americans using mostly American parts. <br />
So, after Iowa’s evangelicals have plumbed Trump’s theological depths (“When we go in church and I drink the little wine, which is about the only wine I drink, and I eat the little cracker — I guess that’s a form of asking forgiveness”), South Carolinians can evaluate his America-can’t-compete, trade-is-killing-us campaign. There, his woe-is-us narrative will collide with cheerful realities that Republican Gov. Nikki Haley recently described in a Washington speech: <br />
<div id="U960308732556UiH">
Flat-screen TVs are made in Winnsboro, bicycles are made in Manning (the New Jersey company moved its manufacturing there from China), and five foreign-owned tire companies (Michelin, Bridgestone, Continental, Giti Tire and Trelleborg) manufacture in the state. So do Mercedes and, starting in 2018, Volvo. South Carolina has what Germany does not have — the world’s largest BMW plant, from which vehicles pour at a rate of one every minute. </div>
Recently Trump told MSNBC that, after his speech the day before, “The CNN reporter said it was the single greatest political speech she’s ever heard.” Asked which reporter, he said: “I don’t know her name. But she was wearing a beautiful red dress.” National Review’s Jim Geraghty reports that CNN says neither of its correspondents at the Trump event wore red.<br />
Novelist Mary McCarthy said of playwright Lillian Hellman, “Every word she writes is a lie, including ‘and’ and ‘the.’” If that was so, Trump is not even an original.<br />
<i>Disclosure: The columnist’s wife, Mari Will, works for Scott Walker.</i> <br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Cooke:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/article/424577/donald-trump-pathetic-wuss?utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral">(9/24/15)</a><br />
<br />
Donald Trump is a Yuuuuuuuge Wuss<br />
<br />
...Why does Trump behave this way? Because he’s a preposterous little trust-fund wuss, that’s why. As was illustrated once again last night, the man is not really a “fighter” or an “alpha male” or an iron-cored “enemy of political correctness.” He’s a thin-skinned performance artist whose peculiar shtick falls to pieces the moment someone useful elects to return a punch.<br />
...It is one thing for a rebellious 3-year old to soil himself at the sign of trouble, and then to shout “Daddyyyyyyyyyyaaa” at the radiator; it is quite another for the prospective leader of the free world to do so. If Trump wishes to police the country’s sharper purveyors of political animadversion — and to carp impotently about “injustice” and “unfairness” — he really shouldn’t be seeking the White House. He should be using his considerable inherited wealth to better fund the anti-Mean Words department at Oberlin. Make America Pathetic Again? Let’s not go there.<br />
</div>
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Daniel Henninger:</span></strong><br />
<a href="http://www.wsj.com/article_email/trump-odd-man-out-1443656653-lMyQjAxMTE1NTA3MTIwMzEyWj">(9/30/15)</a><br />
The oddest moment in the second GOP debate was when the first thing <!--
--> Donald Trump<!--
--> did was to launch an assault on Sen. <!--
--> Rand Paul,<!--
--> who was standing about three miles away at the end of the podiums: “Well, first of all, Rand Paul shouldn’t even be on this stage. He’s number 11, he’s got 1% in the polls, and how he got up here, there’s far too many people anyway.” Ummm, what was that all about?<br />
Since that Sept. 16 debate, as measured by the RealClearPolitics polling average, Mr. Trump has lost about a quarter of his support, down to 23% from 30% on the eve of the debate. In this week’s Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, he is at 21%.<br />
It’s not going to get better. The Trump numbers are going to drift sideways, or fall. <br />
A few weeks ago, Mr. Trump tweeted that getting his business out of Atlantic City before the casinos collapsed was “great timing.” The moment has come for the timing master to recognize it’s Atlantic City all over again. For his phenomenal presidential campaign, it’s time to go.<br />
In politics, there’s that famous thing known as Big Mo—momentum. Donald Trump had Big Mo like no one’s ever seen. It’s gone. The odds are he’ll soon be in second or third place, behind someone he insulted as a loser, as the heartless, mocking media will note. He’s not going to enjoy not being on top. <br />
Politics is about winning at the margin. It is about securing a base of voter support and then finding ways to attract additional voters at the margin. In the highly partisan presidential elections since 2000, the Republican and Democratic nominees both have had a base vote rotating in the mid-40s. Then the candidates have to add marginal votes toward the 50% threshold. (In 2000, with third-party candidate <!--
--> Ralph Nader<!--
--> getting 3%, <!--
--> George W. Bush<!--
--> and <!--
--> Al Gore<!--
--> both finished with about 48%, hanging chads and a generation of political bitterness.)<br />
The Trump candidacy is pure base, and Mr. Trump has not built out from that base, which topped out at about 30%. It’s become obvious that this third of angry conservative voters is volatile. Mr. Trump’s famous support base has eroded, dispersing to the other outsider candidates, <!--
--> Ben Carson<!--
--> and <!--
--> Carly Fiorina.<!--
--> <br />
More important, it is now clear that Mr. Trump is personally incapable of doing what is necessary to expand beyond his early burst of support. The tax plan he released this week, admirable as a broad outline, is supposed to show he’s getting serious. That’s the problem. His core base didn’t want <em>that </em>kind of serious. <br />
Even at the level of performance art, what’s happening now is the slow-motion disintegration of “Trump.” His candidacy is detouring into weird and confusing fights, such as the “boycott” of Fox News. News reports on the Trump candidacy increasingly note remarks from admirers who essentially say: I really like that he tells it like it is, but I’m not sure he’s a good fit for the presidency. <br />
The pace of volatility in contemporary politics is unprecedented, as a 74-year-old Vermont socialist is revealing to the preordained candidacy of <!--
--> Hillary Clinton.<!--
--> That the improbable Mr. Trump could rise and then flatline in so little time is startling but not surprising. What Mr. Trump ought to recognize is that his place in the 2015 moment—his political legacy—is secure, unless he lets it evaporate. <br />
Donald Trump was the first person to tap into the zeitgeist of disgust coursing through politics everywhere. The fed-up voters of Guatemala have just made a TV comedian with no political experience the top finisher in their first-round presidential vote. In Spain, a referendum last Sunday revealed many in Catalonia would jump off the political cliff to separate from Madrid, their version of despised Washington. <br />
In the 1996 presidential campaign, the Republican nominee, Sen. <!--
--> Bob Dole,<!--
--> coined a political phrase for the ages: “Where’s the outrage?” That’s the question a lot of Republican voters were asking themselves about their declared presidential candidates earlier this year: Where’s the outrage? With Donald Trump’s June 16 presidential announcement, they finally got it. <br />
Mr. Trump’s singular personality is simply at odds with the political skills necessary to carry that mood any further than his mere arrival accomplished. His support is moving to candidates who are variations on the Trump theme. What people saw and heard in Carly Fiorina was your basic straight-razor woman. Her rage looks to be about one degree below boiling. Ben Carson radiates an intelligent everyman’s bemusement at a gridlocked system.<br />
When the primaries arrive early next year, the Trump vote will subdivide further among the other Republican tortoises. If he stays in, Donald Trump becomes another presidential also-ran. With ostentation suitable to his stature, Mr. Trump should retire to a skybox, and enjoy what he has wrought. <br />
<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Bill Kristol:</span></strong><br />
<a href="https://twitter.com/ByronYork/status/657147022609358848">(10/22/2015)</a><br />
"He's not going to be the nominee. He's not going to be the nominee."<br />
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skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-8423791381496803422015-03-17T10:10:00.003-04:002016-01-29T12:22:11.486-05:00Iconoclasm, Redskins, School Board, Lancaster, NY<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Iconoclast: a person who attacks cherished beliefs or institutions; a destroyer of images.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Censorship: the practice of officially examining content and suppressing parts therein.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Offend: cause to feel annoyed, or resentful.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Offended: annoyed as a result of a perceived insult.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Being offended is a choice.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">There is no guaranteed right that protects a citizen from being offended.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">There are plenty of valuable traditions that certain citizens find offensive, and we should maintain them.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">In 1948, the uninspiring name Lancaster Maroons was officially changed to the valiant Lancaster Redskins. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">On March 16, 2015, operating under the guidance</span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> of outside "politically correct" iconoclasts at the University of Buffalo, Lancaster, NY school board members voted to eliminate the Redskins mascot name.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">By arbitrarily declaring Redskins a "racial slur," supporters of the change can now accuse their opponents of racism. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Labeling people who disagree with them as "racist" is a misguided attempt at moral equivalency. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Redskins is a name of honor for the early warriors of this land. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">These Indians, proud members of the Iroquois Confederacy, did not have red skin. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">They did coat themselves with fierce red war paint and clay before battle; hence the name.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">No school names their athletic teams out of slander or disrespect. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">The thought reform police organized a Two-Minute Hate Cultural Revolution to implement their iconoclasm by distorting the etymological lexicon of the proud word Redskins. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">The Lancaster school board at the behest of district Superintendent Michael Vallely, voted to strike the name in a glaring violation of due process. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Due process is the bedrock of American law as it deals with representative legislatures. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Do we really want the State University of New York at Buffalo dictating from central control what is best for our local community without the residents having their say?</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Fortitude, character, and knowledge will defeat these elitist iconoclasts. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Our most effective recourse resides at the ballot box...</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Lancaster Town Supervisor Dino Fudoli supports the Redskins name and favors a referendum on the issue.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Two anti-Redskins members, Buchert and Nowak, will be up for re-election on <strong>May 19, 2015</strong>. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Pro-Redskins Lancaster school board candidates: </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><strong>Brenda Christopher</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><strong>Kelly Hughes Depczynski</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.lancasterschools.org/domain/1031">Lancaster, NY school board members and when their term expires:</a></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Kenneth Graber, </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">President</span><br />
<div>
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Term Expires: June 30, 2016</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial";">"Do you really have to ask? Because of what happened at the last meeting... It is because of the near riot conditions that happened two meetings ago."</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"></span></span> </div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Patrick Uhteg, </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Vice President<br /><span style="font-family: "arial";">Term Expires: June 30, 2017</span></span></span><br />
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<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>“I’m trying to represent a different perspective because yours is informed and based upon history and personal experience and mine is not."</em></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>Wendy Buchert</strong></span></span></span></span></div>
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<strong><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Term Expires: June 30, 2015</span></span></span></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Bill Gallagher</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Term Expires: June 30, 2016</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Marie MacKay</span></span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Term Expires: June 30, 2017</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>Kimberly Nowak</strong></span></span></span></span></div>
<div>
<strong><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Term Expires: June 30, 2015</span></span></span></span></span></strong><br />
<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>“You’ve given me [an example of] a young man who doesn’t want to come to our school...</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>It’s a bit overwhelming to understand what it [Redskins] means to you when it clearly hasn’t had that impact on the rest of us.”</em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Michael Sage</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Term Expires: June 30, 2017</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>“There’s children who are native who may not be seen as native because of the images we use. As we educate, and the stigma of using the <strong>‘r-word’</strong> is [just] as bad in all people’s eyes, people will change. There’s an opportunity cost to continue down the road of using the <strong>‘r-word.</strong>’”</em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";"> </span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial";">
</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">There is no such thing as a consequence free environment...</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">----------Timeline----------</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Summer of 2014, Lancaster school board president Kenneth Graber contacted Alvin Parker, Seneca activist, to contribute to the Redskins debate.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">UB's undue influence is represented by the five guests invited by Superintendent Vallely to the <a href="http://www.lancasterbee.com/news/2015-01-29/Front_Page/Native_American_perspective_propels_mascot_discuss.html">1/21/2015</a> Lancaster Board of Education "work session." </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Board President Kenneth Graber noted that he and Vallely did not ask questions during the session because they had spoken with the guests prior to the meeting.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Donald Grinde Jr., Professor of transnational studies: </span><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>“Well, I’d like you to call me a Redskin. [No?] I’ve talked to the owner [of <span class="pt_location_term pt_term">Washington</span>, D.C.’s NFL team] and asked him to do that, and he refused, actually.”</em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Board member Uhteg's response: </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><span style="color: #666666;">“You think the fact that they won’t is telling and speaks to what’s inside them rather than what is popular opinion or their developed opinion. I think that’s very interesting, and when you asked me to call you that, I wouldn’t call you that. Why do you think that is the case? <strong>Do you think there’s something inside me that’s saying this is wrong?”</strong></span></em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Hillary Weaver, </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">co-director of the Immigrant and Refugee Research Institute: </span><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>“I would say it’s more than an offensive term. I would say it’s a racist term. This is racist, this is wrong and as an educational leader, I think this is an opportunity to stand up and say no.”</em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">John Kane, First Voices Indigenous Radio Network: </span><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>“I suspect that there are students here that are thinking, <strong>how is the ‘r-word’ different than the ‘n-word’? It isn’t.</strong> When you boil it down to something like skin, that’s where both words come from.”</em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><strong></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">John Kane is a <a href="https://law.resource.org/pub/us/case/reporter/F2/978/978.F2d.786.91-1081.91-1135.91-1077.568.704.html">convicted</a> arsonist who spent <a href="http://openjurist.org/978/f2d/786/united-states-v-markiewicz">two years</a> in jail.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Vallely and Graber knew this before they invited him...</span><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial";"></span></em><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Alvin Parker, Six Nations committee chairman: </span><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>“Supporting oppressive rituals and practices because they are traditional and popular is <strong>no more appropriate than supporting slavery,</strong> sexual harassment and discriminatory hiring practices. Stereotyping assaults the principles of justice.”</em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Board member MacKay's response: <em><span style="color: #666666;">"We need to as a community, as a board, as a school district be educated so we can make the right decision."</span></em></span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Al </span><span style="color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Jamieson, <span style="color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">heads Nekanęhsakt, an organization of Indigenous allies and Neto</span>, an </span>organization of Indigenous artists.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">[[Jamieson has been actively fighting the city of Buffalo to change the name<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> of Squaw Island (Squ*w as she types it - the "s" word) and on 2/20/2015 Mayor Brown announced that indeed, "Squ*w" Island's name will be changed to Ga'nigö:i:yoh (ga-knee-GO-ee-yoh). </span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">This is who UB/Vallely brought to pressure the Lancaster board of education.]]</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">January 2015, published in the <a href="http://www.lancasterbee.com/news/2015-01-08/Front_Page/Board_member_changes_cause_Town_Board_division.html">Lancaster Bee</a>:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Kenneth Graber of the Lancaster School Board will soon occupy a seat on the Lancaster Industrial Development Agency.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Town Supervisor Dino Fudoli was seeking to remove the appointment of Graber.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Fudoli argued that Graber’s educational background did not make him well-equipped to serve on the IDA.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">“I see it as rather disturbing that we are putting in people who are underqualified or not qualified,” said Fudoli, who also serves on the IDA.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">February 26, 2015:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="color: #666666;">"Because blood would pour from the scalps of the slaughtered Native men, women and children, and drench their faces and now lifeless bodies, thus turning their skin red, early United States citizens began embracing the term “redskin” for all Indigenous peoples across Turtle Island. The term implied that, eventually, all living Native peoples would be nothing but a “redskin” – a lifeless, blood covered, piece of bounty. </span><br />
<span style="color: #666666;">This all too common piece of <a href="http://www.tworowtimes.com/news/regional/we-are-people-not-your-playthings-debate-over-lancaster-redskins-mascot-heats-up/">hate speech</a> now “inspires pride” in alumni and current students of Lancaster High School, whose slogan, “Once a Redskin, Always a Redskin”, </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #666666;">says it all."</span> </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">-Jody Lynn Maracle, PhD graduate student of the University at Buffalo's Transnational Studies Department, acts as a facilitator for Nekanehsakt: Friends of Ekwehewe, and is a contributor to Two Row Times. Jody believes Columbus Day is a celebration of racist genocide.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">March 3, 2015, Vallely/UB/BOE work session...</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">March 9, 2015, BOE public meeting...</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">March 11, 2015, Jody Lynn Maracle, PhD Student at the UB, facilitator for Nekanehsakt:</span><br />
<span style="color: #666666;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">"In his response to Christopher’s questions regarding the uneven table numbers, Dr. Vallely, the Lancaster Superintendent of schools, quickly rattled off statistics of the evening’s registrants included the fact that only 28% of registrants were “pro-mascot” while 58% were “anti-mascot,” the rest being undecided. While 100% of those marked “undecided” or “anti-mascot” appeared at last week’s working group, up to 30% of those in support of the mascot did not </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">attend resulting in lopsided numbers at the working group tables."</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">[Many Redskins supporters were not permitted access to the event.] </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.tworowtimes.com/news/mascot-debate-continues-at-lancaster-school/">Jody Maracle</a>: <strong>Lancaster is the last outpost of outdated racism... "save the tradition" paints Lancaster residents as dangerously fanatical.</strong></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">April 1, 2015 <a href="http://www.buffalonews.com/opinion/another-voice/another-voice-redskins-debate-misses-the-larger-point-of-white-privilege-20150401">The Buffalo News</a>: </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Beth Kwiatek, adjunct instructor for the Women’s Studies program at the University at Buffalo, where she taught a course titled <strong>“Radical Whiteness: Invitation to Responsibility.”</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Not a single article in The Buffalo News addressed the real story behind the “Redskins” debacle. While several were insightful – oppressors seeing themselves as victims,</span> the need for educational forums, voter and economic backlash, insensitive and out-of-touch suburbanites – not one article wrote about the power that comes with being <strong>white</strong> (1).<br />
Instead of teaching our students “the other side of the story” or “the right thing to do,” let’s teach our kids the real story – the story of <strong>whiteness </strong>(2). To be white and have <strong>white privilege</strong> (3) is to stand up in a room full of people, look directly into the eyes of brown-skinned people and tell them what is and what is not racism. <strong>White people</strong> (4) can ignore history. <strong>White people</strong> (5) can ignore experts. <strong>White people</strong> (6) can ignore their neighbors.<br />
Using cultural sensitivity training as a means to address racism is misguided and does not work. Just ask Al Parker, the Tonawanda Seneca Nation representative who addressed mascot supporters and stated, “It is not an honor.” Or News columnist Rod Watson; he repeatedly gets criticized when he writes anything about race. The problem with multiculturalism and pluralism is that they present all cultures as equal. <strong>Whiteness</strong> (7) is then seen as ethnicity.<br />
This is a distortion. <strong>Whiteness</strong> (8) is not a culture or an ethnicity. People who are <strong>white</strong> (9)do not identify as <strong>white </strong>(10), unless they are in front of someone who is not <strong>white </strong>(11). It exists only in the presence of <strong>non-whiteness </strong>(12). <strong>Whiteness</strong> (13) is a relationship. And it is a relationship of power.<br />
Multiculturalism has taught the students of Lancaster (and Fox News) to believe that when they are asked to stop using racist language, they can argue, “What about our culture or our history?”<br />
The power of privilege allows the supporters of “Redskins” to argue that the word can be a racial slur, but in this moment it is not. In other words, to be <strong>white</strong> (14) is to assert that ugly, insulting and racist slurs can be separated from their intention, history or definition.<br />
Everyone agrees that racism exists, but no one admits to being the offender. Well, what is racism but that practice of <strong>white power and privilege </strong>(15)? To be <strong>white</strong> (16) is to believe that you have the right to speak, be heard and be counted at all times. To be <strong>white</strong> (17) is to believe that you can hide behind your ethnicity, gender or poverty to dismiss the voice of <strong>non-whites </strong>(18), disparage political correctness and even distort reality with claims of reverse racism.<br />
It is time to educate our youth and community about how we all use, take advantage of, benefit and even encourage and promote the mantle of <strong>white power and privilege </strong>(19).</span> </div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">April 4, 2015, published in <a href="http://www.metrowny.com/d-lancaster.php">The Lancaster Sun</a>:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> "...the committee has decided to honor the entire Lancaster Board of Education for the courage and wisdom it displayed in determining that <strong><em>the current mascot was harmful to the Native</em></strong></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><em> American population. At a time in our society when few organizations actually stand up for what is right,</em></strong> the Lancaster Board of Education stood out in its resolve.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">What the Lancaster Board of Education has done under your leadership and that of your outstanding superintendent, Michael Vallely, is to <strong><em>reinforce the dignity of all humans </em></strong></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><em>regardless of their backgrounds..</em></strong>."</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">-Robert W. Christmann, WNYSE executive director in a letter to Board President Kenneth Graber</span></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">On April 30 at Salvatore's Italian Garden the Western New York Educational Service Council WNYESC</span> will present the entire Lancaster School Board with a 2015 Award of Excellence.</span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><br /></span><span style="font-family: "arial";"><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">WNYESC is part of and located at the University of Buffalo's Graduate School of Education. </span><br />
</span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">WNYESC is a chartered institution under the Regents of the State of New York.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Lancaster School District Policy #7552 is now being cited as reason for Redskins retaliation...</span><br />
<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>Students are expected to behave, and to treat all students, teachers, school staff and others, with honesty, tolerance, respect, courtesy and dignity as per the LCSD Policy #7552 — Bullying in the Schools. Students should respect their peers, teachers, and school staff. Individual behavior should not interfere with the rights of others. Students are expected to use language that is appropriate in demonstrating respect for self and others. Profanity, vulgar language including, but not limited to, racial comments, and/or obscene gestures toward others will not be tolerated. Appropriate disciplinary action will be taken.</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-family: "arial";">What disciplinary action will be taken if a student wears a Washington Redskins shirt under #7552?</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Would a student organized field trip to the December 20 Buffalo Bills game be violation of #7552?</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";">Is a school celebration of Columbus Day a violation of #7552?</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial";">May 11 Meet the Candidates forum.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Questioner:<br /> I have resided in Lancaster for 47 years and know what it is to pay taxes. <b>The Superintendent of our schools brought in John Kane, a convicted felon.</b> He was surprised as were the board members were with certified copies of his conviction and how much time he did in jail. Are you running for the board right now strong enough to stand up and say that it is not appropriate to bring in a convicted criminal to our schools?</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>Mrs. Buchert:<br /> Yes, we (BOE) did receive that information.</b> A felon as an activist…what he did 25 years ago is not relevant now. No child was involved (in the felony) and there’s no reason for him not to come to the school. He did not have any involvement with the children here. It was an adult forum and to bring up something that happened 25 years, he did the crime and he did the time. <a href="http://www.speakupwny.com/forums/showthread.php?853434-Did-Vallely-and-Graber-knowingly-invite-a-convicted-arsonist-to-a-BOE-meeting/page3">It was in the past and is irrelevant today. </a><br /><br /> Mrs. Nowak:<br /> Am I strong enough? That is n interesting question because after what I have been through since March I can take on anything. Dr. Vallely does not intimidate me in any way. If I have to tell him hands down what I think, I don’t have an issue with that. I stood up to 18,000 households; he’s just one of them.</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial";">May 19, 2015: Nowak and Buchert defeated...<span style="font-family: "times new roman";"> </span></span></div>
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skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-43397957796562993082014-11-14T10:08:00.000-05:002014-11-14T10:08:03.639-05:00Polling Errors of 2014 Elections, Senate and Governor Races<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-39738127886010727102014-09-17T10:03:00.000-04:002016-01-29T12:37:21.673-05:00PUSH Buffalo, NY real estate, People United for Sustainable Housing<span style="font-size: small;">-----------</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: small;"><a href="http://www.buffalonews.com/city-region/push-buffalo-leader-on-earth-mission-to-paris-20151203">12/3/2015</a></span><br />
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PUSH Buffalo leader on Earth mission to Paris<br />
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Maxine Murphy had never been overseas.<br />
But on Friday, the board chairwoman of PUSH Buffalo has gone to Paris on a mission.<br />
“We have a moral and spiritual obligation to take care of the Earth,” Murphy said Thursday.<br />
Murphy will be the voice of low-income communities from Buffalo at the United Nations Conference on Climate Change, which began Monday and runs until next Friday in Paris.<br />
Murphy’s bags were packed Thursday in anticipation of her flight to France, where she is joining a special delegation of others from the organizations National Peoples Action, the Climate Justice Alliance and Grassroots Global Justice.<br />
In Paris, they will advocate for disadvantaged and minority communities to make sure they have access to things such as solar energy, new jobs in the green sector and protection from inclement weather, and understand the importance of their environment.<br />
“What we’re going to be talking about is, ‘What can we do – the grass-roots people – to affect change?’ ” Murphy said. “I am going to come back and tell the neighborhood that’s affected by it.<br />
The conference has attracted delegates from 195 countries, including many national leaders, and they’re coming up with ways to arrest global warming caused by releases of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. President Obama addressed more than 100 world leaders there Monday.<br />
PUSH members bade Murphy bon voyage from its buildings on Massachusetts Avenue.<br />
“I can’t think of anyone better to represent Buffalo and our neighborhood at this pivotal time for our planet,” said Aaron Bartley, executive director of PUSH Buffalo. “Maxine has demonstrated a unique passion and steadfast dedication to issues of racial, economic and environmental justice.”<br />
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<em><span style="font-size: large;">"We are the ones who need to be at the table when these decisions are made affection our children."</span></em><br />
- Jennifer Mecozzi-Rivera, organizing director of PUSH Buffalo, on PUSH's opposition to charter schools, 10/15/2014<br />
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6/5/2014:<br />
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People United for Sustainable Housing, PUSH Buffalo, has announced that their Buffalo Neighborhood Stabilization Company, in conjunction with Syracuse based Housing Visions, will develop 46 rental units aimed at Buffalo's West Side immigrant and refugee community at a cost of $11 million to be completed by August 2015.<br />
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Funding the project is the City of Buffalo, KeyBank, New York State Homes and Community Renewal, and New York State Environmental Facilities Corp.<br />
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The project will renovate seven existing structures and build nine new structures.<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>The cost per unit is $239,130.</strong> </span><span style="font-size: small;">($11,000,000 / 46)</span><br />
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PUSH has 27 employees.<br />
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">-Based on a Buffalo News article by Mark Sommer on 6/3/2014</span><br />
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12/24/2012:<br />
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<a href="http://www.buffalonews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20121223/CITYANDREGION/121229662/1109">The Buffalo News 12/24/2012</a> front page above the fold print edition:<br />
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<a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2012/09/push-buffalo-tax-money-jill-terreri.html">One of Buffalo’s most well-known housing organizations</a> is preparing for its most ambitious project yet, with a goal of providing a warm, affordable place to live for dozens of lower-income West Side residents.<br />
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But as PUSH Buffalo beautifies a targeted 25-block area by <strong>buying up problem properties and making them attractive again</strong>, property values are on the rise, which makes pricing longtime residents out of the neighborhood a real risk.<br />
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“We’ve built these great houses, almost makes it look like we’re stepping on our own toes,” said <strong>Jen Mecozzi, PUSH’s director of community organizing</strong>. “Building affordable housing that people can live in and be safe and feel warm and not have to pay crazy bills – now we might be the reason other people can’t do that.”<br />
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<a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2010/10/progressive-real-estate-in-buffalo-new.html">PUSH’s mission is in its name</a> – People United for Sustainable Housing – and the group is committed to helping people who already live on the West Side get into housing that is energy-efficient and affordable, <a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2012/04/push-buffalo-tryvon-tragedy-racism.html">while empowering people to create the neighborhoods they want</a>, organizers said.<br />
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Ultimately, PUSH wants to make sure that people who have been living in the neighborhood can stay there, and the organization is building as affordably and sustainably as it can, said <strong>Jenifer Kaminsky, housing director of PUSH’s <span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://pushbuffalo.org/bnsc">Buffalo Neighborhood Stabilization Company.</a></span></strong><br />
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The Buffalo Niagara Association of Realtors last year reported that home values on the West Side had risen dramatically in the last decade.<br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">“There’s nothing wrong with people making money off of real estate transactions,</span></strong> but our first concern is just regular working people in the neighborhood,” said <strong>Lonnie Barlow, a PUSH member and community resident.</strong><br />
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<span style="font-size: x-large;">As part of its <strong>$12.4 million Massachusetts Avenue Community Homes project</strong>, a much larger undertaking than anything it has done so far, PUSH is planning to build nine new structures and rehabilitate seven others. <strong>The project’s 46 new units will be</strong> <strong>rented to people who earn between 40 and 60 percent of the area’s median income, which is about $65,300. </strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><strong><span style="color: #990000;"></span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="color: #990000;">[Median Price of <em>Home Sales</em> is $65,300. Median hosehold income in 2010 was $27,869. </span><a href="http://www.city-data.com/zips/14213.html"><span style="color: #990000;">Thus,</span></a><span style="color: #990000;"> people who earn between 40 and 60 percent of the area's median income make between $11,476 and 16,721.]</span> </span><br />
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The sites are within the organization’s <strong>“Green Development Zone,”</strong> a 25-block area centered on Massachusetts Avenue and bounded by Niagara Street, West Delavan Avenue, Richmond Avenue and Vermont Street.<br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">The one-, two- and three-bedroom units will rent from about $385 to $525,</span></strong> similar to the rents of PUSH’s 18 existing units. The new project includes one four-bedroom unit, and several units will be built to accommodate people with physical disabilities, including hearing and vision impairment.<br />
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PUSH has been buying up properties, such as 257 Massachusetts Ave., an imposing three-story structure with blond masonry, bay windows covered with boards, and concrete steps, which it <strong><span style="font-size: x-large;">purchased for $6,200 last year.</span></strong> In other cases, PUSH has reached development agreements with lot owners, such as the city.<br />
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The 26 parcels – some adjacent lots will be the site of a single new structure – were selected with community input. The neighborhood was canvassed, and residents were asked which properties they would like to see improved.<br />
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Part of the reason the scale of the project is so large is to accommodate as many people as possible, Mecozzi said, noting the growing interest in the neighborhood, which is causing property values to rise.<br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: x-large;">The project will be funded partly by the state’s Homes and Community Renewal agency, partly from bank loans, and PUSH is hoping to get some money from the city. PUSH will apply for state funding in January and hopes to get started on the work in the fall. Before all of the grant applications can be made, the project’s approvals from the city must be in place.</span></strong><br />
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PUSH also purchased the long-shuttered Club Utica at the so-called “five points” intersection of Brayton, Rhode Island and West Utica streets.<br />
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Resident surveys showed a strong desire for retail businesses at the former country-western bar, so PUSH is planning a fresh-food market, stocked by the <a href="http://mass-ave.org/">Massachusetts Avenue Project</a>, which promotes urban farming, and a storefront for a new or expanding business. The rear of the first floor will be a community meeting space and property management offices, and the second floor will house apartments.<br />
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Demand for the apartment units is high, Kaminsky said. In the first month that PUSH started to market 11 new units this fall, more than 100 applications came in, and people continue to inquire at PUSH headquarters on Grant Street.</div>
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The changes in the last five years in the Grant-Lafayette area – located in PUSH’s Green Zone – have been evident, from the rise in property values to the addition of businesses to those that have been there for decades.<br />
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In addition to PUSH, Heart of the City Neighborhoods, Jericho Road Ministries, and Westside Ministries are some of the active organizations in the area.<br />
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Delores Powell, who lives on Massachusetts Avenue in a new home revealed on “Extreme Home Makeover” in 2009, credited her block’s transformation to PUSH’s slow and steady progress, but also to the reality show experience, which also improved properties around her own.<br />
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“There was a lot of violence, and all of that has changed,” Powell said, noting that the corner of Massachusetts and Normal avenues was particularly dangerous.<br />
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The city demolished problem properties around her in 2009, which drove away drug users and other criminals, Powell said.<br />
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PUSH encouraged people to take pride in their neighborhood and also gave them a voice, she said.<br />
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The neighborhood remains a work in progress. PUSH’s surveys found that residents desire more health care providers, and Mecozzi said differences between classes – the neighborhood is a destination for many immigrant communities – has prevented certain groups from patronizing certain stores.<br />
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“Our goal is to get people to stay in the same lane and hang out together,” she said.<br />
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At a Planning Board meeting in November, three of PUSH’s neighbors spoke in favor of the project, though real estate broker David Weitzel said that, while he liked what PUSH is doing, there needs to be more opportunities for homeownership.<br />
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The concern that the neighborhood’s success is drawing new interest and causing property values to rise is a good problem to have, but one that must be addressed, said Henry Louis Taylor Jr., director of the Center for Urban Studies and a School of Architecture and Planning professor at the University at Buffalo. “We’ve been waiting for a long time for this problem to reach the shores of Buffalo,” Taylor said.<br />
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As a way to keep neighborhoods affordable, Taylor suggested establishing land banks, which PUSH has done to address rising property values, or levying property taxes based on income.<br />
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“The challenge of PUSH is to create a community that will not push people out,” he said. <br />
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9/8/2012<br />
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Based on Buffalo News article by Jill Terreri <br />
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PUSH Buffalo <a href="http://pushbuffalo.org/">(People United for Sustainable Housing)</a> received $1.7 million to rehabilitate three properties assessed at a combined value of $90,000.<br />
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The three houses have a total of eleven apartments which will be rented for between $375-500 per month.<br />
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The three properties are located at <a href="http://www.erie.gov/ecrpts/webprop.asp">397, 398 and 460 Massachusetts Ave.</a> and are worth $15,000, $20,000 and $55,000 respectively.<br />
The houses are owned by Massachusetts Avenue Housing.<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">The $1,700,000 was funded by:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">State Division of Homes and Community Renewal</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">City of Buffalo</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Federal Home Loan Bank</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: x-large;">$567,000 per house</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">$155,000 per apartment</span><br />
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UPDATE:<br />
<a href="http://buffalonews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20121204/CITYANDREGION/121209603/1010">Montanez,</a> 35, moved with her sons, Rakhim, 18, and Zaindre, 15, a couple of weeks ago into an affordable-rate apartment on the West Side recently rehabilitated by PUSH Buffalo. With only a love seat and TV set in the virtually empty home as the holidays approach, the family has a desperate need for the basics. Rakhim usually stays with an aunt, because there he can sleep on a box spring. Her two daughters, Jakayla, 11, and Ky’asia, 9, live with their father and stay with her on the weekends. Montanez must make do with $800 a month in Social Security Disability, plus $400 a month in food stamps that resumed this week, now that she has a permanent address. She also works at Goodwill, but the piecework pays her less than minimum wage, she said. Nor do the boys’ fathers help – one is incarcerated, while the other is not involved with the family, Montanez said.<br />
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4/21/2012<br />
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<a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2010/10/progressive-real-estate-in-buffalo-new.html">PUSH Buffalo receives public money and tax-free profits...</a><br />
Concerned citizens want to see the accounting of where that <a href="http://www.pushbuffalo.org/">PUSH</a> money goes.<br />
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10/22/2010<br />
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PUSH Buffalo and HomeFront are trumpeting the <a href="http://www.buffalonews.com/city/article227660.ece">"green restoration"</a> of a house on Buffalo's west side. <a href="http://www.erie.gov/ecrpts/webprop.asp">The house is owned</a> by PUSH (People United for Sustainable Housing) and has an assessed value of $40,000. <a href="http://www.pushbuffalo.org/">PUSH</a> and <a href="http://www.homefrontbflo.org/property/">HomeFront</a> have secured $163,000 from the New York State Homes and Community Renewal's <a href="http://www.dhcr.state.ny.us/Programs/UrbanInitiatives/">Urban Initiative Program</a> to replace the roof, remove asbestos, replace insulation, and landscape the property...<br />
<span style="font-size: 130%;">Again: PUSH is receiving $163,000 of tax payer money to fix up a $40,000 house that they own and </span><a href="http://www.erie.gov/ecrpts/webprop.asp"><span style="font-size: 130%;">pay zero taxes on...</span></a><span style="font-size: 130%;"><br /></span><span style="font-size: 180%;">Once again: $163,000 of NYS tax revenue is being spent on a $40,000 house that PUSH owns tax free...</span><br />
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<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-47362626965411686592013-11-23T17:39:00.000-05:002019-04-26T16:42:35.068-04:00RiverBend, Buffalo, New York, Cuomo, SolarCity, Tesla, Timeline<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #b45f06; font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: large;">[Chronological updates are below; </span></span><span style="color: #b45f06; font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;">latest update: 4/26/2019]</span></span></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: medium;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">7/2012</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Treasury inspector general issues subpoenas to SolarCity asking them to justify use of federal funds received under Obama's stimulus bill; if they over-charged for solar energy installation completed under the program.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Justice Department Civil Division joins the Treasury Department probe.</span><br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">4/2/2013</span></strong><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Louis Ciminelli donates $15,000 to Governor Cuomo</span><br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">10/25/2013</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">A group of Buffalo business executives that include Louis Ciminelli under the name of 43 x 79 donates $25,000 to Governor Cuomo.</span><br />
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<strong><span style="font-size: large;">11/19/2013</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Governor Cuomo boards private jet from NYC to Buffalo for fundraiser at Hyatt Regency.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Louis Ciminelli hosts Cuomo "high-roller" donors at Bacchus Restaurant.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>11/21/2013</strong> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Governor Cuomo announces $1.7 billion RiverBend project.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Governor Cuomo commits $225 million for Fremont, CA companies Soraa and Silevo to locate in Buffalo, NY.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The proposed solar panel facility would be an anchor to the yet to be developed RiverBend clean-energy hub in South Buffalo.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Soraa and Silevo commit $750 M each for the Buffalo project and pledge to hire 850 employees.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Soraa:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">founded 2008</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">makes LED lights</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">250 employees</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">financing raised: $100 M</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Silevo:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">founded 2007</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">makes solar panels</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">200 employees</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">financing raised: $72 M</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">has yet to turn a profit</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Sorra and Silevo have a combined workforce of 450 employees and have raised $172 M in financing over five years.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Remarkably, we are told that these two companies will raise $1.5 Billion to finance a Buffalo project that will create 850 jobs.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">When Buffalo News reporter Jerry Zremski asked the Governor about the plausibility of such a project he was admonished and dismissed for being "cynical."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">12/2013</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Silevo generated a net loss of approximately $18.8 million for its fiscal year ended December 28, 2013.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">12/9-10/2013</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">LPCiminelli, McGuire, and Uniland submit bids for RiverBend project.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">1/6/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Ciminelli donates $25,000 to Governor Cuomo campaign.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">1/9/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Ann Louise Ciminelli contributes $4,200 to Governor Cuomo campaign.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">1/13/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Cuomo campaign refunds $4,200 to Ciminelli.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">1/28/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Uniland is informed it is out of the running for the RiverBend construction contract. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Of the bidding firms, Uniland executives including owner Carl Montante had given the least contributions of all the bidders to the Governor Cuomo campaign; $34,000. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">1/28/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">New York State awards LPCiminelli with the $900 million RiverBend construction contract.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Louis Ciminelli had given Cuomo $121,500, the largest he has given any other political candidate by far.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">4/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #783f04;"><strong>SolarCity sells bonds worth $70.2 million.</strong></span> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">For the <strong><span style="color: #783f04;">Second Quarter 2014</span></strong> SolarCity posted:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Net Profit Margin: -144.23%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Operating Margin: -121.12%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Return on Assets: -11.69%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Return on Equity: -31.48%</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Workforce: 4,312</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">At the end of the second quarter, the company had $577.1 million in cash, $238.6 million in long-term debt, $230 million in convertible senior debts, and $49.8 million in solar asset-backed notes. Going forward, the company has to repay debt worth $1 million this year and $100 million by next year.</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">5/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">New York State purchases 88 acres of land from the Buffalo Urban Development Corp. for $2.5 million.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">5/29/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Louis Ciminelli's LLC Highland Park Village donates $25,000 to Governor Cuomo.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">6/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity Corp of San Mateo, CA acquires Silevo for $200 M in stock with the potential for another $150 M in additional payments if certain performance targets are met.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's chairman is Elon Tusk, founder and CEO of Tesla Motors. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;"><strong>SolarCity's CEO Lyndon Rive is Elon Musk’s cousin (Musk also serves as the company’s chairman).</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Chris Beitel, Silevo's executive vice president, claims that instead of the 475 jobs promised, there will now be "well over 1,000 jobs" created at a factory that will now be five times as big as originally planned.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The California-based solar panel provider collects for itself tax subsidies intended for its consumers, who are left vulnerable to sudden spikes in their electricity bills.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity is one of many solar firms that relies almost entirely on government handouts and credits to generate profit--exploiting loopholes to pocket federal tax breaks intended for homeowners who install solar panels. Though not technically illegal, companies that employ business models of this nature engage in the worst type of cronyism, simultaneously pocketing taxpayer money while leaving their customers with needlessly high energy bills.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The Solar Investment Tax Credit (ITC), a longstanding federal program that was expanded in 2008, allows homeowners who install solar panels to write off 30 percent of the costs, in an effort to encourage Americans to go green. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Most solar panel customers purchase a panel and receive the tax credit without fanfare, but </span><a href="http://www.hawaiireporter.com/solar-city-tax-subsidies-for-them-big-bills-for-hawaii/123"><span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity offers 20-year leases on its panels instead of selling them.</span></a><span style="font-size: large;"> Because the company retains ownership of the panels even after they are fixed on customers’ roofs, it can take advantage of a loophole in the ITC and deny the customer of his tax credit. <strong><span style="color: #783f04;">SolarCity pockets the 30 percent tax break every time it installs a panel, and has milked the federal government out of $411 million--on top of more than $10 million in funds from the stimulus, and untold state-level subsidies.</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">This loophole has paid off for SolarCity, but its customers have gotten the raw end of the deal. Deprived of the tax credit available to customers of most other solar companies, these clients are also locked into 20-year leases, regardless of how well their solar panels work. And as is so often the case with “clean” energy, the panels don’t always work as intended--<strong><span style="color: #783f04;">some California customers have seen a nearly 50 percent spike in their utility bills,</span></strong> contrary to SolarCity’s promises of major savings.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Yet however frustrated customers may be, paying higher rates for inefficient energy and not seeing a nickel in tax breaks, there’s nothing they can do about it until their 20-year lease expires. And SolarCity has no reason to alter what is a very lucrative status quo--collecting hundreds of millions from the federal government is hardly new to SolarCity’s leadership. The company’s founder, Elon Musk, is also CEO of Tesla Motors, an electric car company that has been almost entirely dependent on government loans, handouts, and tax breaks. Tesla used a $465 million federal loan--considerably more than it raised from private investors or from its IPO--to get off the ground. It also took a $10 million grant from the state of California and relies on tax credits to sell its cars and occasionally turn meager profits.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #783f04;"><strong>SolarCity has been criticized for inflating installation costs in order to receive larger tax subsidies.</strong></span> If a panel installation costs $6 per watt they record $9 per watt which means they get an extra 90 cents per what in credits; 50% more than they are entitled to. </span><br />
<a href="http://www.wallstreetsectorselector.com/investment-articles/analyst-desk/2014/06/scrutiny-solarcity/"><span style="font-size: large;">Many investors are predicting an inevitable backlash.</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's 2013 sales were $164 M resulting in a loss of $1.69 per stock share (SCTY).</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Estimates for SolarCity's 2014 EPS is -$3.92.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Earning for Q1 2014 compared with Q1 of 2013 is down 78.26%.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">7/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">SolarCity raises $201.5 million by offering $160 million in senior debt and $41.5 million in junior notes.</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">EYP Architecture & Engineering, the biggest architecture firm in Albany, has been designated by Cuomo to design the RiverBend project - no details of the bidding process or price was given.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity executives are seeking additional state aid to because of their expanded factory plans.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's panel systems typically require hefty federal tax subsidies - a 30% tax subsidy that expires at the end of 2016 - to be financially viable.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">New projects at the site must comply with state requirements that at least 20% of the contractors be minority or women owned businesses, that minorities and women must comprise at least 25% and 5% of the construction workforce.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The state will purchase and own equipment that the companies will use, local colleges and universities will have access to the facilities, equipment and partnerships.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04;"><span style="font-size: large;">After SolarCity acquired Silevo this year in June, development of the solar factory became less likely. </span><a href="http://www.bidnessetc.com/26160-solarcity-surges-on-500-million-secondary-offering/"><span style="font-size: large;">However,</span></a><span style="font-size: large;"> the state of New York increased its investment in the project by three times to $750 million as SolarCity came on board and promised to create more jobs than the 425 permanent jobs Silevo had initially promised.</span></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">8/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Department of Labor initiates a probe to determine if SCTY violated labor laws and regulations.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">9/2014</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">SolarCity reveales plans to raise $500 million through its fourth debt offering, in less than 12 months. The convertible bonds will mature in 2019, and the company is discussing interest rates with initial buyers, who will have an option to acquire additional notes worth $75 million.</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">According to Governor Andrew Cuomo:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Solar City's planned factory would be the largest solar panel factory in the Western Hemisphere and could be open by early 2016 (15 months).</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">New York state is now planning to spend $750 million on the project; $350 million to build the plant and $400 million in funding for equipment.</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">The state will own the building and the equipment and SolarCity will lease the factory for $1 a year.</span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;"></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">SolarCity plans to invest $5 billion over the next 10 years ($500 million a year) and to employ 3,000 people at the factory.</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">96 acres purchased by the state across from RiverBend will be part of Start-Up New York program that allows new business within the state's university system to operate tax free for ten years.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's success depends on hopes of solar energy system prices falling to the point where government sunsidies are no longer needed to by profitable.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The state is holding discussions with Soraa about potential new sites for their proposed Buffalo facility.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04;"><span style="font-size: large;">“SolarCity is getting into a business it has never been before,” said Angelo Zino, an analyst with Capital IQ. </span><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/solarcity-scores-its-own-gigafactory-in-upstate-new-york-2014-09-24"><span style="font-size: large;">Historically,</span></a><span style="font-size: large;"> it had outsourced panels from Chinese makers, and it entering the solar-panel making business brings fresh execution risk and capital needs, Zino said.</span></span></strong><span style="font-size: large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"This is by far the sweetest such deal that we are aware of and is effectively a massive transfer of taxpayer money to a private entity...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Our expectation is that almost several Chinese solar companies will be on par, or ahead of SolarCity, in terms of costs and efficiency, by the time SolarCity reaches volume production at the new facility.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The Riverbend agreement, on the other hand, is a sweetheart deal. The Company is able to build a state of the art solar manufacturing facility on the backs of New York state taxpayers with very little of its own investment...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">We marvel that Elon Musk was able to engineer a $750M transfer of money from the state of New York taxpayers to SolarCity shareholders. As SolarCity shareholders do not get the benefit of depreciating the facility, we expect the economic value of this deal to SolarCity shareholders at about $500M. This deal effectively increases the valuation of SolarCity by about $6 per share bringing the intrinsic value of this Company to a mid-teen level.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Our Sentiment: Avoid"</span><br />
<a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/2522045-solarcity-gets-a-sweetheart-deal"><span style="font-size: large;">-Seeking Alpha</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Racial quotas for the project:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">20% of contractors must be women or minorities</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">25% of construction workers must be minorities</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">5% of construction workers must be women</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">New York State purchases 96 additional acres from the City of Buffalo at $2.8 million for a grand total of 184 acres bought at $5.3 million.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The state used Fort Schuyler Management Corp., a subsidiary of the State University of NY, to facilitate the purchase.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">2/2015</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity CEO Rive and CFO Buss press statement: "We are now within roughly two years of having integrated manufacturing capacity."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Russ: Equipment will start be installed in first quarter of next year; full factory capacity first quarter of 2017.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Federal tax credits for residential systems drop from 30 to 10% by end of 2016.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's current cost of production per watt is $2.86; company goal is $2.50.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">To reduce costs, Solar City is utilizing a factory in Hangzhou, China.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity also recently inked a lease deal for bankrupt Solyndra's 200,000 square foot facility in Fremont, CA.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's stock has fallen 27% since mid-September.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Industry experts acknowledge that SolarCity's transition from installer to manufacturer might prove problematic. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<a href="http://origin-beta.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-21/solarcity-plunges-after-chanos-discloses-short-position"><span style="font-size: large;">8/21/2015</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity Corp., the biggest U.S. rooftop solar developer, sank the most in 21 months after hedge fund manager Jim Chanos said he’s short the stock.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity slumped 13 percent to $40.99 at the close of trading in New York, the steepest decline since November 2013...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Chanos, founder of Kynikos Associates LP, called SolarCity a “subprime” finance company, and suggested that SolarCity customers will be unhappy with their existing leases when they see solar panel prices decline further. Chanos had about $2.5 billion in assets at the end of February, according to a regulatory filing...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">Short interest, which shows how many shares investors have borrowed to sell later if the price declines, has doubled since June to more than 30 percent of free shares outstanding, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">---------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-24/elon-musk-buys-5-million-of-solarcity-shares-after-plunge"><span style="font-size: large;">8/24/2015</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Elon Musk, the billionaire chairman of SolarCity Corp. and the company’s biggest shareholder, increased his stake after the top U.S. installer of rooftop power plants fell to a 22-month low.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Musk bought 123,510 shares at a price of $40.4855 each, according to a regulatory filing Monday after the close of regular U.S. trading, boosting his holdings by about 0.6 percent.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Musk expanded his position after hedge fund manager Jim Chanos said Friday that he’s short on the company, triggering a rout that drove the shares down 13 percent...</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Chanos called San Mateo, California-based SolarCity a “subprime” finance company on CNBC Friday. The company’s Chief Executive Officer Lyndon Rive responded by saying the average credit score of a SolarCity customer is 750, far above the 640 score considered to be more risky.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Traders who expect a stock price to drop can short a company by borrowing shares to sell, aiming to buy them back later at a lower price.</span><br />
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=6207794206379395459#editor/target=post;postID=4736262696541168659;onPublishedMenu=posts;onClosedMenu=posts;postNum=14;src=link"><span style="font-size: large;">9/28/2015</span></a><br />
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<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">No-bid contracts at SolarCity focus of Federal probe.</span></strong><br />
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<strong><span style="color: #783f04; font-size: large;">When state bureaucrats set out to build the biggest solar-panel factory in the Western Hemisphere, they did not hunt for construction companies willing to bid lower than all of the others for a piece of the action in South Buffalo.</span></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Rather than seek competitive bids for early phases of the work, the bureaucrats let their developer hand-pick subcontractors that were known quantities. They would haggle over price later – after the subs had a foot in the door.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The arrangement is not unusual for private-sector undertakings, in part because it hurries construction. But it’s rare for government-sponsored projects. And it may be one reason <strong><span style="color: #783f04;">the U.S. attorney in Manhattan issued subpoenas in an effort to learn more about the SolarCity factory</span></strong> and other big publicly fed construction jobs.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">As he follows the scent of corruption in state government, <strong><span style="color: #783f04;">U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara</span></strong> is examining the bidding practices applied in Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo’s “Buffalo Billion” revitalization program, including its largest undertaking, the SolarCity factory rising along a bend in the Buffalo River.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><span style="color: #783f04;">Subpoenas have gone out seeking information from, among others, LPCiminelli of Buffalo, which was hired to build the modern factory</span></strong> and has taken on other large public projects, such as the $1.3 billion renovation of the Buffalo Public Schools. An attorney for LPCiminelli says the federal inquiry, which also includes the school makeovers, does not target LPCiminelli or its principals.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">When SolarCity, of San Mateo, Calif., picked South Buffalo for its state-provided factory in June 2014, its executives expected a quick start. They wanted 1.2 million square feet available in less than two years, and they wanted full production by early 2017...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #783f04;"><strong>LPCiminelli was selected from a handful of general contractors deemed capable of building such a facility and was allowed a 4.5 percent design and construction management fee, at least on the first $57.3 million in work</strong>,</span> according to documents that were posted without redactions just days ago by the Fort Schuyler Management Corp. of Utica – an extension of the State University of New York.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><strong><span style="color: #783f04;">The Ciminellis who serve as company principals donate to myriad political causes and have given $100,000 to Cuomo’s political funds just since 2010,</span></strong> when the downstate politician ran his first successful race for governor. While more than political generosity goes into the selection of a developer for a project as important as the SolarCity factory, six-figure donations draw notice from political figures who can make things happen. The Ciminellis’ $100,000 contribution to Cuomo’s campaign is now dwarfed by the almost <strong><span style="color: #783f04;">$2.6 million fee the company stands to make just on the first phase of work.</span></strong> The total cost of construction is expected to top $400 million.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Ciminelli and Fort Schuyler agreed that to shave time, they would select key subcontractors not through slow-moving competitive bids but through a process known as <strong><span style="color: #783f04;">“best-value sourcing.”</span></strong> Best value allowed Ciminelli to select companies it trusted and to establish a basic price with them. Then, through the design phase and even as construction commenced, Ciminelli, the architects and the best-value subcontractors would find ways to reduce the subcontractors’ prices by 10 percent. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">One local contractor, asked about best value, said that <strong><span style="color: #783f04;">companies knowing a 10 percent reduction is expected down the road will likely inflate their price by 10 percent at the outset. But vendors also had to agree to open their books on the project to LPCiminelli and auditors from KPMG.</span></strong> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">“Any time we can get involved earlier in the process, we like it,” said Robert Beck, the president of John W. Danforth Co., a Buffalo contractor picked to install pipes to deliver the plant’s gas, chemicals and processed water. “It gives us an active role to take ownership in the job. It gives us accountability.”</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Best-value sourcing also allowed the freedom to favor local subcontractors, giving the Buffalo-area economy a greater benefit from the hundreds of millions of dollars pouring into the project...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">“If we didn’t do it this way, we would have lost a full winter of construction,” said Thomas O’Brien, a vice president at SUNY Polytechnic Institute, one of the key players in the SolarCity project....</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">At the same time, best value and the fact that the state university system is overseeing the RiverBend project hides certain details from prying eyes. For one thing, there are no formal bids for spurned contractors to challenge. And the Fort Schuyler Management Corp., which signed the agreements with LPCiminelli, is a private, not-for-profit corporation affiliated with the SUNY Polytechnic Institute, which, of course, falls under SUNY – which is not just another state agency.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In the face of some critical media reports, Fort Schuyler issued public statements seeking to reassure the public that Buffalo’s “innovation projects” receive adequate oversight – the same oversight “as any other New York government agency.” That includes a “public and transparent review” by the appropriate state agencies, the statement said, mentioning the State Division of the Budget, Empire State Development, SUNY, the state Comptroller’s Office and the Attorney General’s Office.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">But the only agency that would review the dollars and cents beforehand and is not controlled by the governor does not review SUNY construction contracts, said Jennifer Freeman, the state comptroller’s director of communications. Nor can the Comptroller’s Office review contracts with one of SUNY’s private, not-for-profit corporations, such as Fort Schuyler.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">While the comptroller’s auditors can go in later to examine a SUNY entity’s financial management or some other aspect of the way they handle public money, “we do not review and approve SUNY construction contracts,” Freeman said.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">“They don’t follow the same exact process that state agencies do.”</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">10/30/2015</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Soraa announces plans to build its plant, originally planned for Buffalo's RiverBend, outside of Syracuse in DeWitt, NY.</span><br />
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<a href="http://www.investigativepost.org/2015/10/30/solarcity-mayday-mayday/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=ipost"><span style="font-size: large;">10/30/2015</span></a><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity posted a net loss of $234 million in the third quarter. That’s the biggest quarterly loss in the history of the company and brings the year-to-date losses to a staggering $537 million.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">That puts SolarCity on track to lose more than $700 million for 2015, compared with net losses of $375 million in 2014, $152 million in 2013 and $92 million in 2012.</span><br />
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<a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/solarcity-stock-falls-in-after-hours-session-2015-10"><span style="font-size: large;">10/30/2015</span></a><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Following their earnings report, SCTY stock shares fell over 24%, falling into the $28 range.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">That’s down from a peak of $84.96 in February 2014.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">10/2015</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">October SEC filings indicate SolarCity's RiverBend factory force would dip to 500. But SolarCity would honor it's original 1,460 promise by hiring an additional 960 employees within the city of Buffalo.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
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<a href="http://www.cfact.org/2016/01/04/solarcity-and-the-silver-spoon/"><span style="font-size: large;">1/4/2016</span></a><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity and the Silver Spoon</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Solar - another scam that enriches the already rich and robs the poor</span><br />
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<a href="http://www.buffalonews.com/business/real-estate/officials-point-fingers-as-state-vows-to-disburse-solarcity-funds-early-next-week-20160226"><span style="font-size: large;">2/27/2016</span></a><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">...200 workers laid off earlier in the day because the state had fallen months behind in payments.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">...workers were issued pink slips because their employers could no longer afford to pay them.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">[S]tate officials still seemed at a loss to explain how the government had failed in the first place to pay more than $82.5 million in contractor invoices on a Buffalo Billion project. The shortfall since October left the state at least three months behind in its debts...</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Cuomo and his staff had remained largely silent and invisible Friday, even as the major billing problem led to plumbers, steamfitters, carpenters and other unionized workers being laid off, at least temporarily.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Sources said earlier in the day that contractors had issued pink slips to workers represented by at least two local labor unions, as the firms could no longer afford to cover their payrolls and suppliers, after struggling with salaries since October. More than 104 members of the United Association of Plumbers & Steamfitters Local 22 and more than 70 members of the Northeast Regional Council of Carpenters Local 276 faced layoffs, though more were at risk earlier.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">According to a construction industry source close to the project, Ciminelli and the contractors are now spending about $40 million a month, as the pace of work has picked up considerably. But the state hasn’t made payments for November or December, and a third $40 million payment for January is due in a couple of weeks. </span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Under the governor’s concept, the State University of New York Polytechnic Institute, run by Alain Kalayeros, will actually own the facility and equipment that SolarCity will lease, and is overseeing the project for the state through its Fort Schuyler Management Corp. Empire State Development funnels the Buffalo Billion money to SUNY Poly and then to Fort Schuyler, which in turn forward it to LPCiminelli and then to the contractors. That leaves plenty of room for confusion and missteps.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">4/12/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity borrows $150 million from Credit Suisse.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity finances $188 million from Bank of America by selling government tax breaks that SolarCity cannot use because they have zero profits.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity prepares to sell $40 million of Renewable Energy Certificates to other utilities who need to meet the renewable energy standards set by industry regulators.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">4/15/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity CEO Lyndon Rive: SolarCity does not offer their rooftop solar systems in Western New York because electricity prices in the region are too low.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/2/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Governor Cuomo: "[The Buffalo Billion] is running at the same speed. The Buffalo Billion is doing great work."</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/3/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Federal investigators led by US Attorney Preet Bharara looking into Governor Cuomo's "Buffalo Billion" have requested information from SolarCity. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity vice president of communications: "It's premature at this point to speculate on any impact the investigation might have on the project timeline."</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News </span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/4/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity is using "cash equity" to raise operation funds by selling the profits and tax benefits it expects to make twenty years from now.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Analysts believe SolarCity will need to raise $1.2 billion in financing this year.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity executive vice president of global capital markets: "Cash equity enables SolarCity to monetize a high percentage of cash flows to maximize upfront financing proceeds. This transaction is an exciting addition and diversification of our long-term financing options of solar assets.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/6/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's earning report posted a net loss of $281 million for 2016. That's 21% of its value.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/10/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity scales back growth forecast. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SCTY shares fell 20% in after-hours trading yesterday.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Company executives blamed declining sales on consumer uncertainty of government incentives, rebates, and tax credits.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CEO Lyndon Rive: "We had a bunch of head winds that hit us - all at the same time."</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/11/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Six brokerage firms have cut their price target for SCTY. CreditSuisse has slashed their estimate from a $62 target to $38.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity has raised $1.1 billion of the $2.8 billion in financing for this year. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CFO Tanguy Serra: "Financing, for us, is really like working capital." </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Financing costs have risen as investors become wary.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">CEO Lyndon Rive: "We have reduced volume and we have focused on cost optimization for the year."</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2016/05/12/where-solarcity-should-turn-its-focus-in-2016.html">5/12/2016</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">There's no question that something is fundamentally wrong<span class="ae-compliance-indent ae-blurb-noaudio ae-new-window" style="display: none;"> Opens a New Window. </span> at SolarCity Corp. Management can't seem to predict how many installations it will do in a given quarter, it's starting to lose the regulatory battle with utilities, and sales costs seem to be out of control.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">For all of SolarCity's problems, it could adapt to today's solar industry and maintain a solid market position, and even make money. But it would require a big shift in management's thinking, something I'm not sure they're ready to do.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">One of my complaints about SolarCity's business model has been its very optimistic assumptions about the future<span class="ae-compliance-indent ae-blurb-noaudio ae-new-window" style="display: none;"> Opens a New Window. </span>. It signs up to 20 year contracts with customers and then assumes that customers will want to renew those contracts for another 10 years, despite the fact that equipment will be old and outdated by then. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">There's also the annual escalation in contracts, which goes against the constantly falling cost of solar energy. That could make defaults more common than SolarCity assumes 10 or 15 years into each contract.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">But that could be solved by simply selling solar systems to customers when they're built. No more financing mumbo jumbo, no more grandiose assumptions, here's what we sold and here's how much money we made.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">The introduction of a new solar loan recently was a step in that direction, and could reduce the company's reliance on leases going forward. And I think it would really unlock value for the company.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity has always touted itself as the lowest cost installer in the solar industry, which is hard to refute because the only companies that advertise their cost data are public companies Vivint Solarand Sunrun. If that's true, it should have an advantage over the competition in solar cash and loan sales. The only complication is that we don't know the cost structure of hundreds of small, local installers that are in the business as well, which dominate the cash and loan business today.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">One way to get an idea of how SolarCity may fare in solar sales is looking at EnergySage's recent Solar Marketplace Intel Report<span class="ae-compliance-indent ae-blurb-noaudio ae-new-window" style="display: none;"> Opens a New Window. </span> for the end of 2015. </span><span style="font-size: large;">The company is like a Priceline for solar, meaning customers can ask for multiple bids from different companies and choose the best one. If you look at the national data, the cost per watt for an average solar system is $3.69. Bids vary wildly from $2.00 per watt to $6.50 per watt, but on average the $3.69 figure is a good ballpark.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Now, compare that to SolarCity's general cost structure of $2.70 per watt before some dislocations in the first quarter. If SolarCity sold all of its solar systems for $3.69 per watt and its costs were $2.70 per watt, it could generate about $1 per watt in profit without any of the back end risk currently associated with leases.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Compare that to the $3.12 per watt in project financing SolarCity got in the first quarter, equating to about $0.42 per watt in margin, and sales are potentially a much better deal for the company -- plus it would get cash up front. Loans could be less risk AND higher guaranteed profit.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Part of the challenge is fundamentally changing what SolarCity is as a business. The company has been about financing and selling energy on a per kWh basis since it was founded, and selling loans could fundamentally change that.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">But with the market questioning the assumptions that go into SolarCity's finance model and the margins that will be generated long-term, it's a move that could be good for the company. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">If SolarCity is indeed the low-cost installer in solar, I think loans will be its future. And that could be great for investors.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">-Travis Hoium</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/13/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Following three SEC filings hinting at less factory hirings at RiverBend, SolarCity maintained their commitment to hire 1,460 employees in the city of Buffalo.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-Channel 2 News WGRZ</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/14/2016</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity has acknowledged it has received a subpoena from the US Attorney's office in Manhattan regarding the investigation into Governor Cuomo's "Buffalo Billion."</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">5/15/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In response to less factory workers at RiverBend but a commitment to more workers state wide from 3,540 to 5,000:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"SolarCity is contractually obligated to employ more New Yorkers than every before," said David Doyle, spokesman for SUNY Polytechnic Institute, functioning as driving force for RiverBend.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Regarding the 500 RiverBend jobs, Kady Cooper SolarCity spokeswoman:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"We'll augment those manufacturing jobs with head count in sales, project development, and other functions. It's better for the region as it allows us to create a wide range of jobs that will be appropriate for a broader range of potential applicants....</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">We'll still have 900-plus in the City of Buffalo. These will be very, very technical hires at a higher level and at a higher pay.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">We could have people working in Buffalo on cross-functional teams with offices across the country."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Byrd doubts SolarCity can install the 1,000 to 1,100 megawatts of solar generating capacity this year. He thinks 950 is more accurate. He does not think SolarCity will turn a profit before 2018.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity cost per watt is $3.18 with a goal of $2.25 per watt.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">In the first quarter, SolarCity spent $0.97 per watt to sign up customers, a 73% increase because of lack of sales. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"I don't want to forecast for 2017, but once the business starts generating cash, the goal would be to go back into growth mode again." - SolarCity CEO Lyndon Rive</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">5/16/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Buffalo Mayor Byron Brown:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"I don't see any interruption in the Buffalo Billion projects at all."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-Channel 2 news WGRZ</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">5/17/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">NYS Legislature refused to approve $485 million in SolarCity Buffalo funding. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The NYS Public Authority Control Board vote has therefore been postponed. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Officials at the overseeing SUNY Polytechnic Institute refused to comment.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Anonymous sources told The Buffalo News that red flags were raised in the Legislature due to vague language. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity is by far the biggest portion of the governor's Buffalo Billion, now under federal investigation.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">5/18/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">A meeting by the Public Authorities Control Board to approve $485 million in state tax payer cash has been delayed.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"That's just a scheduling issue." - Governor Cuomo</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">5/24/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The site work for RiverBend is running $50 million higher ($209 million) than the $159 million estimated two years ago, this according to the SUNY Polytechnic Institute that administers the project.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">-The Buffalo News</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">5/25/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The Public Authorities Control Board approves $485 million in state tax payer cash for the SolarCity project at Buffalo's RiverBend site.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">5/26/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity business model: fronting the cost of home solar installation (between $20,000 and $30,000) and leasing it to the homeowner for 20 years.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Last quarter the company lost $215 million dollars.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">- David Robinson, The Buffalo News</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">6/14/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">State officials release $33 million in overdue contractor payments to avert construction layoffs at RiverBend site.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">6/22/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Tesla floats purchase of SolarCity... "Tremendous synergies..."</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">From 6/22 to</span><span style="font-size: large;"> 6/24 TSLA stock falls from $219.61 to $193.15. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">8/1/2016</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity becomes wholly owned subsidiary of Tesla.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Deal is valued at $2.6 billion.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">SCTY falls 7% on the news.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">3/3/2017</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity has shed 20% of its workforce (approx. 3,000 employees) over the last year while posting $820 million in losses.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">3/8/2017</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">Panasonic (under the umbrella of Tesla) has taken over the responsibilities of production at SolarCity's RiverBend facility.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">4/17/2017</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity's Bond Prepayments Are The First Rotten Fruits Of A <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/article/4062796-solarcitys-bond-prepayments-first-rotten-fruits-misbegotten-merger">Misbegotten Merger</a>.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">5/3/2017</span><br />
<div>
<br /></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-size: large;">SolarCity plant remains on track despite slowdown in company's business, <a href="http://buffalonews.com/2017/05/03/solarcity-plant-remains-track-says-tesla/?utm_campaign=puma&utm_medium=social&utm_source=Twitter#link_time=1493852458">Tesla says.</a></span></div>
<div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">7/12/2017</span><br />
<div>
<br /></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page above the fold: <i>THE PROMISE AND HOPE OF JOBS AT RIVERBEND</i></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">"... Tuesday at a Panasonic information session ... where a roomful of men and women hoped for an answer to one question:</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">Will Panasonic actually start widespread hiring at the Tesla Inc. solar panel factory, at RiverBend in South Buffalo?</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">The answer is yes, company officials said.</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">By the end of August, they said, Panasonic hopes to have about 120 new workers on the floor at RiverBend."</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">8/4/2017</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page below the fold: <i>Tesla tile production to begin in December</i></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">"Tesla Inc. plans to begin production in Buffalo by the end of this year of the solar roofing tiles that the company hopes will become a signature product for its renewable energy business."</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<div>
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<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">11/13/2017</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span></div>
<span style="font-size: medium;"></span><br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: medium;">
</span>
<br />
<div style="text-align: left;">
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page below the fold: <i>Tesla's delays turn on caution light here</i> written by David Robinson</span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: medium;">
</span>
<br />
<div style="text-align: left;">
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: medium;">
</span>
<br />
<div style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 25px; margin: 0px 0px 23px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://buffalonews.com/2017/11/13/david-robinson-teslas-model-3-delays-are-cautionary-tale-for-buffalo/">Tesla's hiccups and delays with its Model 3</a> </span><span style="font-size: large;">... </span><span style="font-size: large;">ambitious deadlines that CEO Elon Musk is notorious for setting – and missing – and there's a good chance that the loose timetables that Tesla has spelled out for its 1.2 million-square-foot Buffalo plant may prove optimistic. Tesla wants to start production of its solar roof by the end of the year and reach full production by 2019.</span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"></span></b></span></div>
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<span style="font-size: large;">
</span>
<br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<span style="font-size: large;">
</span>
<br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<span style="font-size: large;">
</span>
<br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">12/19/2017</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page below the fold: <i>Tesla's troubles send out big ripples throughout domestic solar market</i> by David Robinson</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">"The U.S. residential solar market has a Tesla problem... [Tesla] has sharply curtailed the solar energy business it acquired through its purchase of SolarCity a year ago..."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">2/10/2018</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page below the fold: <i>Tesla has long road to reach potential of Buffalo plant</i> by David Robinson.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">"Tesla's solar energy business is slowing, and with the company focused on its all-important Model 3 electric vehicle, it's not expecting a quick turnaround...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">To stem SolarCity's losses, Tesla has..."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">5/3/2018</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News section page C1 blurb: <i>TESLA SAYS SOLAR BUSINESS SHOULD PICK UP SOON</i></span></div>
<span style="font-size: large;">
</span>
<br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><i><br /></i></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span>
</div>
<br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">5/4/2018<br />
<br />
The Buffalo News article by David Robinson excerpt:<br />
<br />
"Tesla is planning to use a highly automated process in Buffalo to make its solar roof...<br />
...That focus on automation is a big reason why Tesla has said long ago that only 500 of the promised 1,460 jobs that it promised to create in Buffalo will be manufacturing positions.<br />
<br />
------------<br />
------------<br />
</span><br />
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">6/27/2018</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page below the fold headline:</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><i>Tesla's shrinking solar energy business raises concerns for factory at RiverBend</i></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><i></i><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: large;">8/1/2018</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page above the fold article:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">"Official completion of RiverBend factory [April 16] starts the clock on employment promises"</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"[Tesla] must pay penalties of as much as $41.2 million for every year that it falls short."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"The original agreement between the state and SolarCity called for 1,460 jobs at the factory and another 1,440 jobs at supplies and service providers located in the Buffalo Niagara region for a total of 2,900 local jobs. But subsequent revisions to the deal eliminated the requirement to bring in the 1,440..."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span><span style="font-size: large;">10/18/2018</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page below the fold article:</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;"><b>Tesla delays pushing solar roof production until next year</b></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">"Tesla blamed the complexity of the solar roof... for the delay."</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span>
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">1/31/2019</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">The Buffalo News, City & Region Section C page 1 above the fold:</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><b>Amid slow pace of solar roof installations, Tesla again delays ramp up of production</b></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><b></b><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">… after failing to meet its previous timetable to ramp up solar roof production by end of 2018.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">Tesla has blamed the previous delays on the complexity of the solar roof...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">Tesla, which expects to save about $400 million this year in cost-cutting measures that include a 7 percent workforce reduction...</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">------------</span></div>
<span style="font-size: large;">
</span><span style="font-size: large;"></span></div>
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"></span><span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: medium;"></span><br />
<div style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #26282a; font-stretch: 100%; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">2/2/2019 </span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: medium;">
</span>
<div style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #26282a; font-stretch: 100%; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">
<span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br /></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: medium;">
<div style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #26282a; font-stretch: 100%; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page above the fold:</span></div>
<div style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #26282a; font-stretch: 100%; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
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</span>
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><b>Tesla solar on life support as Musk tries to sell cars </b></span></div>
<span style="background-color: transparent; color: #26282a; display: inline; float: none; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; word-wrap: break-word;">
</span>
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">Tesla already is facing a huge uphill climb to meet its employment goal - or face a $41.2 million penalty from the state... eliminated upwards of 50 local jobs. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">...the solar roof - which costs more than twice as much as conventional roof - still isn’t ready for widespread commercial use, more than two years after the company unveiled the innovative product during a splashy event held in a Hollywood set. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">2/13/2019</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">The Buffalo News bylines:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><i>Despite sour jobs numbers, 'there's a path forward'</i></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><i></i><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><i>'Goal should be … employment, not the penalties' against Tesla</i></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><i></i><br /></span>
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">3/2/2019</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">The Buffalo News headline above the fold:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><b>Musk's move to close stores won't help struggling Buffalo solar panel factory</b></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">4/13/2019</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">The Buffalo News business section headline:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><b>With year to double workforce, Tesla faces tall task</b></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">Tesla doesn't expect decline in solar business to stop soon</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">4/26/2019</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">The Buffalo News front page headline:</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><b>Shrinking fast, Tesla's solar business takes an ugly turn</b></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><b></b><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">Tesla's solar business on pace to have worst year since 2012</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: medium;"></span>skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-79581276145572252342013-10-01T08:58:00.001-04:002013-10-01T08:58:49.931-04:00Gallup approval pre, post 1995 government shutdown, President, Congress, Clinton, Gingrich<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0PEhp9YU7AuQb7tkeVNPPfAZUwTGwU9ppfqOerT58Yzdg5BrKA4rIzgunve84Gfy35wJDjqWRVTrk_DoA1Ed55foRbtOwuipCJYCX3S9Bpz9kx5OpPnD2xMl_A1FRoxocXXVg2qBpOG9C/s1600/Gallup+1995+government+shutdown.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0PEhp9YU7AuQb7tkeVNPPfAZUwTGwU9ppfqOerT58Yzdg5BrKA4rIzgunve84Gfy35wJDjqWRVTrk_DoA1Ed55foRbtOwuipCJYCX3S9Bpz9kx5OpPnD2xMl_A1FRoxocXXVg2qBpOG9C/s1600/Gallup+1995+government+shutdown.png" /></a></div>
<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-47480239323010189132013-08-16T19:42:00.001-04:002014-06-24T09:07:40.365-04:00Index of NSA Snowden Surveillance terms<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>AGILITY</strong> - database of foreign intelligence selectors (non CT)<br />
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>AIRGAP</strong> - Priority missions tool used to determine SIGINT gaps</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
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<div class="tk_title">
<strong>AQUADOR</strong> - Merchant ship tracking tool</div>
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</div>
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<div class="tk_title">
<strong>BANYAN</strong> - NSA tactical geospatial correlation database</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<br />
<strong>BLARNEY</strong> - subset of Upstream<br />
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>CASPORT</strong> - main NSA corporate / access identification tool used to control product dissemination</div>
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>CONVEYANCE</strong> - one of two (other FALLOUT) final layers of filtering to reduce the intake of information about Americans<br /><br /><strong>DICE</strong> - DEA database consisting largely of phone log and Internet data gathered legally by the DEA through subpoenas, arrests and search warrants nationwide. DICE includes about 1 billion records, and they are kept for about a year and then purged.<span class="gia-popupTerm gia-active-term" data-term_id="DNI"></span></span><br />
<span class="gia-popupTerm gia-active-term" data-term_id="DNI" style="color: black;"></span><br />
<strong>DISHFIRE</strong> - a data communication collection system...<br />
<br />
<strong>DNI</strong> - Digital Network Intelligence; a system developing intelligence from computer networks <br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong><span class="gia-popupTerm gia-active-term" data-term_id="DNI">DNI</span> Presenter</strong> - An <span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="NSA"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>NSA</span> tool used to read the content of stored emails, also enables an analyst using XKeyscore to read the content of Facebook chats or private messages.</span><br />
<br />
<strong>Executive Order 12333</strong> - allegedly permits collection of data to get around the limitations imposed by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act and FAA 702<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>FAA702</strong> - FISA Amendments Act Section 702 (FISA Section 702); surveillance of foreign suspects; contains two types of data collection: Upstream and PRISM</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>FAIRVIEW</strong> - subset of Upstream...</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>FALLOUT</strong> - one of two (other CONVEYANCE) final layers of filtering to reduce the intake of information about Americans </span><br />
<br />
<strong>FIVE EYES</strong> - Foreign country partner interfaces <br />
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>HOMEBASE</strong> - a tactical tasking tool for digital network identification</div>
<br />
<strong>HUMINT</strong> - human intelligence, spying<br />
<br />
<strong>J2 Cryptologic Intelligence Unit</strong> - collects intelligence on worldwide cryptologic efforts<br />
<span style="color: black;"><br />
</span><br />
<div class="tk_title">
<span style="color: black;"><strong>MAINWAY</strong> - subset of SCISSORS; call records</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>MARINA</strong> - NSA data bank; subset of SCISSORS; Internet records; user activity meta-data with front end full take feeds and back-end selected feeds.</span></div>
<span style="color: black;">
</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>NUCLEON</strong> - subset of SCISSORS; voice data types </span><br />
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>OCTAVE/CONTRAOCTIVE</strong> - Collection mission tasking tool -- where "selectors" live</div>
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>OTRS -- Office of Target Reconnaissance and Survey</strong> - provides rapid technological solutions for tactical SIGINT problems </div>
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>Parallel Construction</strong> - Use of normal investigative techniques to recreate the information provided by Special Operations Division (SOD): Subpoena domestic telephone tolls, Field interviews/defendant debriefs, Request foreign tolls or subscriber info via the Attaché office/MLAT; Recreates the investigative trail, stating in affidavits or in court, for example, that an investigation began with a traffic infraction rather than an SOD tip.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>PINWALE</strong> - NSA data bank; subset of SCISSORS; video; content selected from dictionary tasked items</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>PRINTAURA</strong> - automates traffic flow</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>PRISM</strong> - subset of FAA702; data collection directly from the servers of US Internet service providers </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>PRISM Collection Manager, S35333</strong> - title for the redacted name on Snowden's PRISM powerpoint presentation </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>SCISSORS</strong> - sort data types for analysis in: NUCLEON, PINWALE, MAINWAY, MARINA, and TrafficThief</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<strong>selector</strong> - known email address <br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>Sessions</strong> - </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>SIGAD</strong> - a specific numeric signals activity/address designator given to each data processing tool, collection platform, mission and source for raw intelligence; each SIGAD is basically a collection site, physical or virtual; examples: NSA listening post at Osan in Korea has the SIGAD USA-31. Clark Air Force Base is USA-57. PRISM is US-984XN</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><span style="color: black;"></span><strong> </strong><br />
<strong>SIGINT - </strong>collecting signal intelligence or communications<br />
<strong></strong><br />
<strong>Signals Intelligence Management Directive 421</strong> - raw SIGINT data, includes, but is not limited to, unevaluated and/or unminimized transcripts, gists, facsimiles, telex, voice, and some forms of computer-generated data, such as call event records and other Digital Network Intelligence (DNI) metadata as well as DNI message text<br />
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>SNORT</strong> - Repository of computer network attack techniques/coding</div>
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>SOD</strong> - Special Operations Division - The unit of the DEA that distributes surveillance information. Two dozen partner agencies comprise the unit, including the FBI, CIA, NSA, Internal Revenue Service and the Department of Homeland Security.</span><br />
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T</strong> - Technical Directorate</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T1</strong> - Mission Capabilities</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T2</strong> - Business Capabilities</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T3</strong> - Enterprise IT Services</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T5: CARILLION</strong> - High performance computing center</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T132 -- The "scissors" team</strong> - division that physically separates traffic by type once it's been ingested</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T3221</strong> - Transport Field Services</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T332</strong> - Global Enterprise Command Center</div>
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T334</strong> - National Signals Processing<br />
Center</div>
<div class="tk_title">
</div>
<div class="tk_title">
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>T335</strong> - Deployable Communications Operations</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>TrafficThief </strong>- subset of SCISSORS; meta-data from a subset of task-strong sectors</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>Upstream</strong> - subset of FAA702; collection of communications on fiber cables and infrastructure as data flows past (FAIRVIE, BLARNEY, [redacted], [redacted]) </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>US-984XN</strong> - Otherwise known as PRISM</span><br />
<br />
<strong>VOXGLO</strong> - major cyber and enterprising computing project <br />
<br />
<div class="tk_title">
<strong>WIRESHARK</strong> - Repository of malicious network signatures</div>
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong>XKS - XKeyscore</strong> - NSA data bank; Unique data beyond user activity from front end full take feeds.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Allows analysts to search the <span class="gia-popupTerm gia-active-term" data-term_id="metadata"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>metadata</span> as well as the content of emails and other Internet activity, such as browser history, even when there is no known email account associated with the individual being targeted. Analysts can also search by name, telephone number, IP address, keywords, the language in which the Internet activity was conducted or the type of browser used. "Searches within bodies of emails, webpages and documents", including the "To, From, CC, BCC lines" and the 'Contact Us' pages on websites". To search for emails, an analyst using XKS enters the individual's email address into a simple online search form, along with the "justification" for the search and the time period for which the emails are sought. Beyond emails, the XKeyscore system allows analysts to monitor a virtually unlimited array of other Internet activities, including those within social media. The XKeyscore program also allows an analyst to learn the IP addresses of every person who visits any website the analyst specifies. The XKeyscore system is continuously collecting so much Internet data that it can be stored only for short periods of time. Content remains on the system for only three to five days, while <span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="metadata"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>metadata</span> is stored for 30 days. One document explains: "At some sites, the amount of data we receive per day (20+ terabytes) can only be stored for as little as 24 hours."</span><br />
<span style="color: #7f6000;"><span style="color: black;">To solve this problem, the <span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="NSA"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>NSA</span> has created a multi-tiered system that allows analysts to store "interesting" content in other databases, such as one named PINWHALEwhich can store material for up to five years. It is the databases of XKeyscore, one document shows, that now contain the greatest amount of communications data collected by the <span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="NSA"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>NSA</span>.</span></span>skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-8895675989827612422013-05-18T09:21:00.000-04:002014-06-24T09:07:01.510-04:00Surveillance, DOJ, FBI, NSA, FISA, FISC, PRISM, FAA702, XKS, SOD, DICE, Timeline, "Turn-key Tyranny"<span style="color: black;">10/25/1978</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act takes effect.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">10/26/2001</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">USA Patriot Act amends Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2007</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Dropmire is "implanted on the Cryptofax at the EU embassy, DC" - a commercially available encrypted fax machine used at the mission. The machine is used to send cables back to foreign affairs ministries in European capitals.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2007</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NSA report: The quantity of communications accessible through programs such as XKeyscore is staggeringly large, estimating that there were 850bn "call events" collected and stored in the NSA databases, and close to 150bn Internet records. Each day, the document says, 1-2bn records were added.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">8/5/2007</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Protect America Act signed into law.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">9/11/2007</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for Microsoft servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">1/2008</span><br />
<span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="NSA"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span><span style="color: black;">NSA</span></span><span style="color: black;"> documents assert that 300 terrorists have been captured using intelligence from XKeyscore.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/12/2008</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for Yahoo servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/9/2008</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">FISA Amendment Act.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/31/2008</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Federal judges authorize 386 wiretaps for the year 2008.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">1/14/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for Google servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Analysts enter a phone number into agency computers and “put one digit wrong,” mining a large volume of information about Americans with no connection to terror. The matter is reported to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court. The Justice Department represents NSA before this secret court. The judges are "really upset about this" and require that all the data be destroyed. Attorney General Eric Holder pledges to the judges that the intelligence agencies would take correct the problem as condition of renewing the NSA’s surveillance program. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">4/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">The Justice Department publicly confirms to the New York Times that Holder has taken “comprehensive steps” to correct a problem in NSA collection after it “detected issues that raised concerns.” But department officials decline to discuss details about what was described at the time as the “over-collection” of information.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/3/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for Facebook servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/29/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Documents signed by Attorney General Eric Holder and submitted to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court shows that US communications can still be collected, retained and used. They detail procedures the NSA is required to follow and circumstances in which data collected on US persons must be destroyed, and reveals how US call records are used to help remove US citizens and residents from data collection.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">However, alongside those provisions, the Fisa court-approved policies allow the NSA to:</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">-Keep data that could potentially contain details of US persons for up to five years.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">-Retain and make use of "inadvertently acquired" domestic communications if they contain usable intelligence, information on criminal activity, threat of harm to people or property, are encrypted, or are believed to contain any information relevant to cybersecurity.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">-Preserve "foreign intelligence information" contained within attorney-client communications.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">-Access the content of communications gathered from "U.S. based machine[s]" or phone numbers in order to establish if targets are located in the US, for the purposes of ceasing further surveillance.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/3/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Google CEO Schmidt in CNBC interview: If you have something that you don't want anyone to know, maybe you shouldn't be doing it in the first place. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">But if you really need that kind of privacy, the reality is that search engines, including Google, do retain this information for some time. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">We're all subject, in the US, to the Patriot Act, and it is possible that that information could be made available to the authorities. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/7/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for PalTalk servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/31/2009</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Federal judges authorize 663 wiretaps for the year 2009.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2010</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Annual report to Congress, the Justice Department reports 21 applications in 2009 for business records to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) under Section 215 – all of which were granted, though nine were modified by the court. (The reports do not explain how or why the orders were modified.) </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2010</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">A top secret 2010 guide describing the training received by <span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="NSA"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>NSA</span> analysts for general XKeyscore surveillance under the <span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="FISA"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>Fisa</span> Amendments Act of 2008, explains that analysts can begin surveillance on anyone by clicking a few simple pull-down menus designed to provide both legal and targeting justifications. Once options on the pull-down menus are selected, their target is marked for electronic surveillance and the analyst is able to review the content of their communications.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">9/2010</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Dropmire document lists embassy and mission targets. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">In addition to Dropmire other spying methods, from bugs implanted in electronic communications gear to taps into cables to the collection of transmissions with specialized antennae, are used. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">List of 38 targets: traditional ideological adversaries, sensitive Middle Eastern countries, EU missions, the French, Italian and Greek embassies, Japan, Mexico, South Korea, India and Turkey.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Operation against French mission to UN is codenamed "Blackfoot", its embassy in DC "Wabash". </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Operation against Italian embassy in DC is known to <span class="gia-popupTerm" data-term_id="NSA"><span class="gia-popupAnchor"></span>NSA</span> as both "Bruneau" and "Hemlock".</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Operation against Greek UN mission is known as "Powell", against its embassy is "Klondyke".</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">9/24/2010</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for YouTube servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/31/2010</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Federal judges authorize 1,207 wiretaps for the year 2010.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2/6/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NSA's PRISM data collection begins for Skype servers under program code name Project Chess.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">FBI Director Mueller during Senate Judiciary Oversight Committee hearing testifying about intelligence failures that contributed to 2009 Fort Hood massacre: <em>“We put in place technological improvements relating to the capabilities of a database to pull together past emails and future ones as they come in so that it does not require an individualized search.”</em> </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/31/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for AOL servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Annual report to Congress, the Justice Department reports the number of requests to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) under Section 215 jumps from 21 in 2009 to 205 in 2010 (all again granted, with 176 modified.)</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">FBI Director Mueller, written responses to Congress: “Beginning in late 2009, certain electronic communications service providers no longer honored NSLs to obtain” records because their lawyers cited “ambiguity” in the law. As a result the FBI switched over to demanding the same data under Section 215. “This change accounts for a significant increase in the volume of business records requests,” Mueller writes.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
4/22/2011<br />
Obama administration files court order to amend DNI/AG 702(g) to allow surveillance of domestic targets...<br />
<br />
5/2/2011<br />
Obama administration files court letter disclosing for the first time that NSA's "upstream collection" of Internet communications include acquisition of entire transactions.<br />
<br />
5/5/2011<br />
Obama administration files motion seeking to extend the 30-day periods in which the Court must complete review of certifications.<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;">5/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Congress reauthorizes the FISA provision of the Patriot Act,
with the Senate voting 72-23 in favor, and the House approving the measure by a
250-153 count.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">5/26/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PATRIOT Sunsets Extension Act signed into law.</span><br />
<br />
7/14/2011<br />
Obama administration files motion seeking additional 60-day extension of periods in which the Court must complete reviews of DNI/AG 702(g) Certifications. Court grants motion.<br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">8/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Parents of Navy SEAL killed on 8/7/2011 who publicly criticized President Obama complain to Verizon about hearing clicking sounds during phone conversations and receiving text messages of 001 and 002. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Verizon explains that third parties are accessing their calls from inside US and Afghanistan.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
9/14/2011<br />
FISA Court grants Obama administration further extension of deadlines for completeion of reviews of certifications.<br />
<br />
...late/2011<br />
The [surveillance] Court authorizes the NSA to conduct warrantless searches of individual Americans’ communications using an authority intended to target only foreigners.<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;">10/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Obama White House launches the Insider Threat Program to combat government leaks.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">10/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Mosques are now off-limits to FBI agents. No more surveillance or undercover string operations without high-level approval from a special oversight body at the Justice Department dubbed the Sensitive Operations Review Committee.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">10/3/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">A classified FISA 86-page court opinion is issued stating that the Justice Department engaged in surveillance activity that the court had found improper or unconstitutional.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">11/30/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) solicits Deloitte Consulting to gather, store, and share US consumers credit card data.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/31/2011</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Federal judges authorize 792 wiretaps for the year 2011.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">In 2012, there were at least 41 billion total records collected and stored in XKeyscore for a single 30-day period.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2/14/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) solicits Argus Information &amp; Advisory Services LLC to gather, store, and share US consumers credit card data.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/15/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) awards $2.9 M contract to Argus Information &amp; Advisory Services LLC to gather, store, and share US consumers credit card data.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">4/30/12 </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Department of Homeland Security issues a statement: <em>“No indication of any specific, credible threats or plots against the US tied to the one-year anniversary of Bin Laden’s death.”</em> </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
5/2012<br />
Internal NSA audit reports 2,776 violations of surveillance laws between 4/2011 and 3/2012.<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;">5/29/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) awards $4,951,333 contract to Deloitte Consulting to gather, store, and share US consumers credit card data.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/1/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Defense Department strategy memo on the Insider Threat Program: <em>Leaking is tantamount to aiding the enemies of the United States.</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">A U.S. intelligence official acknowledges in a letter to Democratic Sen. Ron Wyden of Oregon that “on at least one occasion” the national security court found that “some collection” by the intelligence community “was unreasonable under the Fourth Amendment” to the U.S. Constitution. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Director Mueller learns of FBI investigation into Patraeus - Broadwell affair.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/3/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">CFPB document entitled “INDEFINITE-DELIVERY INDEFINITY-QUANTITY (IDIQ) STATEMENT OF WORK,” issued by CFPB Contracting Officer Xiaoling Ang states objective: <em>“The CFPB seeks to acquire and maintain a nationally representative panel of credit information on consumers for use in a wide range of policy research projects… The panel shall be a random sample of consumer credit files obtains from a national database of credit files.”</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/30/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) solicits Experian to track daily consumer habits of select individuals without their awareness or consent.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">9/24/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) signs an “indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity” contract with Experian worth up to $8,426,650 to track daily consumer habits of select individuals without their awareness or consent.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">10/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM data collection begins for Apple servers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">FISA Amendment Act of 2008 renewed.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Section 702 of the FISA Amendments Act (FAA) is renewed for five years and is the authority under which the NSA is allowed to collect
large-scale data, including foreign communications and also communications
between the US and other countries, provided the target is overseas.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">A slide entitled "plug-ins" in a NSA document describes the various fields of information that can be searched by XKeyscore. It includes "every email address seen in a session by both username and domain", "every phone number seen in a session (eg address book entries or signature block)" and user activity – "the webmail and chat activity to include username, buddylist, machine specific cookies etc".</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">12/31/2012</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">For the year 2012, federal judges authorized 1,354 wiretaps, an increase of 71% from 2011. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">1,328 of the wiretaps were for portable devices.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">1/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Edward Snowden requests that
filmmaker Laura Poitras get an encryption key for Skype so that they could have a secure
channel over which to communicate. Poitras is a member of the Board of the Freedom of the Press Foundation which helps fund WikiLeaks. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
1/9/2013<br />
Top secret memo: NSA’s acquisitions directorate sends millions of records every day from Yahoo and Google internal networks to data warehouses at the agency’s Fort Meade headquarters. In the preceding 30 days, the report said, field collectors had processed and sent back 181,280,466 new records — ranging from “metadata,” which would indicate who sent or received e-mails and when, to content such as text, audio and video.<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;">2/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Edward Snowden requests that UK Guardian journalist Glenn Greenwald get an encryption key for Skype so that they could have a secure channel over which to communicate providing him with a step-by-step video on how to set up encrypted
communications. Greenwald is a member of the Board of the Freedom of the Press Foundation </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2/4/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Representative Maxine Waters: <em>"The President has put in place an organization with the kind of database that no one has ever seen before in life. That's going to be very, very powerful. That database will have information about everything on every individual on ways that it's never been done before and whoever runs for President on the Democratic ticket has to deal with that. They're going to go down with that database and the concerns of those people because they can't get around it. And he's [President Obama] been very smart. It's very powerful what he's leaving in place."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">2/12/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">President Obama signs executive order Improving Critical Infrastructure Cybersecurity, establishing a two-year timeline during which the federal government will determine what constitutes critical “physical or virtual” infrastructure, and establish security standards to keep those assets safe.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Development of the standards — called “Cybersecurity Framework” — will be led by director of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST).</span><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">“The Cybersecurity Framework shall include a set of standards, methodologies, procedures, and processes that align policy, business, and technological approaches to address cyber risks.”</span></em><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NSA's data mining tool used to map information, called Boundless Informant, collects almost 3 billion pieces of intelligence from US computer networks over a 30-day period ending in March 2013.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Edward Snowden applies for job with Booz Allen Hamilton at NSA facility in Hawaii.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/11/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">DNI Clapper receives all questions that he will be asked under oath at tomorrow's Senate hearing.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">3/12/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Director of National Intelligence Clapper and other intelligence officials testify about threats to US. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Senator Wyden: <em>"Does the NSA collect any kind of data at all on millions or hundreds of millions of Americans?"</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Clapper: <em>"No, sir."</em> </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Wyden: <em>"It does not?"</em> </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Clapper: <em>"Not wittingly. There are cases where they could, inadvertently, perhaps..."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">4/5/2013:</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">There are 117,675 active surveillance targets in PRISM's counterterrorism database. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">4/18/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Cyber Intelligence Sharing and Protection Act (CISPA) passes the House. </span><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">Directs the federal government to conduct cybersecurity activities to provide shared situational awareness enabling integrated operational actions to protect, prevent, mitigate, respond to, and recover from cyber incidents.</span></em><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">Directs the President, with respect to information shared by a cybersecurity provider... to designate:</span></em><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">(1) an entity within Department of Homeland Security (DHS) as the civilian federal entity to receive cyber threat information under prescribed procedures and subject to specified exceptions, and</span></em><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">(2) an entity within the Department of Justice (DOJ) as the civilian federal entity to receive information related to cybersecurity crimes.</span></em><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">4/25/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">The secret Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISA) grants renewal of court order to the FBI forcing Verizon to provide phone record data of all customers on a daily basis for three months.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">4/30/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Letter from Assistant Attorney General Peter Kadzik to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid reports that the government submitted to the court 1,789 applications requesting authority to carry out electronic snooping in 2012.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">4/30/2013 </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Annual report to Congress, DOJ reports filing 212 requests to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) under Section 215 in 2012.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">FBI's number of national security letters (NSLs) issued by the bureau in 2012 was 15,229.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">5/5/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">POTUS commencement address at OSU: <em>"Unfortunately, you've grown up hearing voices that incessantly warn of government as nothing more than some separate, sinister entity that's at the root of all our problems. Some of these same voices also do their best to gum up the works. They'll warn that tyranny always lurking just around the corner. You should reject these voices."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">5/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Edward Snowden makes final preparations at NSA office in Hawaii, he copies the last set of documents he intends to disclose.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">5/16/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Obama defends criminal investigation into leaks: <em>Leaks related to national security can put people at risk. So I make no apologies.</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">5/20/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Edward Snowden notifies his Booz Allen supervisor that he needs a two week leave of absence for epilepsy treatment then boards a flight from Hawaii to Hong Kong.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">5/23/2013 </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">President Barack Obama on Thursday asked Holder to review Justice’s guidelines on leak investigations and news organizations.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">5/24/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Edward Snowden emails Washington Post using code name Verax. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/5/2013 </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Attorney General Eric Holder misses deadline set by Republican Congress to explain questionable testimony he gave on reporter surveillance, as lawmakers threaten to subpoena Holder if necessary. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/6/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">IRS solicitation for surveillance equipment:</span><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">The Internal Revenue Service intends to award a Purchase Order to an undisclosed
Corporation. The following descriptions are vague due to the use and nature of
the items...<br />The following equipment will be purchased:<br />(QTY 4) Plant
Concealment Color 700 Lines Color IP Camera Concealment with Single Channel
Network Server, supports dual video stream, Poe, software included, case
included, router included<br />(QTY 4) Covert Coffee tray with Camera
concealment<br />(QTY 4) Remote surveillance system, Built-in DVD Burner and 2
Internal HDDs, cameras<br />(QTY 2) Concealed clock radio<br />(QTY 4) Color
IP Camera Concealment with single channel network server...</span></em><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/6/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">DOJ announces it will investigate the NSA/Verizon leak that ended up in the <em>UK Guardian.</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/6/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><em>Washington Post</em> and <em>UK Guardian</em> break PRISM story after receiving 41-slide PowerPoint presentation from leaker.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/6/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Report: Analysts at the National Security Agency can now secretly access real-time user data provided by as many as 50 American companies, ranging from credit rating agencies to Internet service providers, two government officials familiar with the arrangements said.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Google, Facebook, Dropbox, Yahoo, Microsoft, Paltalk, AOL and Apple deny participation in NSA PRISM surveillance program</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Google CEO Page: <em>"First, we have not joined any program that would give the U.S. government—or any other government—<strong>direct access</strong> <strong>to our servers.</strong> Indeed, the U.S. government does not have direct access or a “back door” to the information stored in our data centers. <strong>We had not heard of a program called PRISM </strong>until yesterday."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Zuckerberg: <em>"Facebook is not and has never been part of any program to give the US or any other government <strong>direct access to our servers.</strong> We have never received a blanket request or court order from any government agency asking for information or metadata in bulk, like the one Verizon reportedly received. And if we did, we would fight it aggressively. <strong>We hadn't even heard of PRISM</strong> before yesterday."</em></span><br />
<strong><em><span style="color: black;"></span></em></strong><br />
<span style="color: black;">Apple spokesman: <em>“<strong>We have never heard of
PRISM.</strong> We do not provide any government agency with <strong>direct access to our
servers</strong>, and any government agency requesting customer data must get a court
order.”</em></span><br />
<em><span style="color: black;"></span></em><br />
<span style="color: black;">Paltalk statement: <em>“<strong>We have not heard of PRISM. </strong>Paltalk exercises extreme care to protect and secure users’ data, only responding to court orders as required to by law. Paltalk does not provide any government agency with <strong>direct access to its servers.”</strong></em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/7/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">President Obama falsely claims that "every member of Congress has been briefed on this program [PRISM]."</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/7/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">US Assistant District Attorney cancels meeting with lawyer of Dem operative Curtis Morrison, admitted bugger of Senator McConnell's campaign office.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/8/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><em>UK Guardian</em> publishes new slide from leaked PowerPoint presentation: </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">PRISM is distinct from four other Upstream programs (FAIRVIEW, BLARNEY, two others redacted) that involve the "Collection of communications on fiber cables and infrastructure as data flows past." PRISM is the "<strong>Collection directly from the servers</strong> of these US Service Providers: Microsoft, Yahoo, Google, Facebook, PalTalk, AOL, Skype, YouTube, Apple."</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/8/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Administration opens criminal investigation into security breach leaking of classified documents related to the tracking of Americans' phone calls and emails, "a criminal report has been filed.”<br />
FBI and DOJ will focus on British and US newspapers including The Guardian. <br />
It remains unclear whether the secretive National Security Agency is involved in the filing.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/9/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Director of National Intelligence James Clapper tells NBC News that the
phone-records program has helped foil two terrorism plots in 2009: a New York
subway bombing scheme and a plot against a Danish news publisher.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/9/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><em>UK Guardian</em> 15 minute video from Hong Kong luxury hotel room identifies PRISM leaker Edward Snowden, a 29-year-old employee of defense contractor Booz Allen Hamilton. Snowden has worked at the National Security Agency for last four years as an employee of Booze Allen Hamilton. Snowden warns against 'Turn-key Tyranny.'</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/9/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Report: Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) has declined just 11 of the more than 33,900 surveillance requests made by the government in 33 years.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/9/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Class action lawsuit filed in Washington DC against DOJ and NSA by Freedom Watch over Verizon data collection.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/10/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Report: 1.3 million people have top-secret US security clearance - 800,000 government officials and 500,000 non-government private contractors.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/10/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Former senior NSA official claims that only 30 or 40 people have access to FISA Court orders.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/10/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Booz Allen Hamilton fires Edward Snowden.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/11/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">House of Representatives receives a classified briefing by the NSA and FBI on PRISM.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/11/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">11:49am</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">IRS cancels order for the spying equipment solicited on 6/6/2013. <br />
</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/11/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">ACLU files lawsuit against Obama Administration over PRISM..</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/11/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">White House: <em>Celebrating the Opening of a New High Performance Computing Center.</em></span><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">OSTP’s Associate Director for National Security and International Affairs Dr.
Patricia Falcone provided keynote remarks yesterday at a ribbon-cutting ceremony
celebrating the opening of the US Army Research Laboratory’s (ARL) new
supercomputing center at Aberdeen Proving Ground in northern Maryland.
</span></em><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">
The new ARL Supercomputing Center—containing two new IBM iDataPlex computers
with the capacity to perform 50,000 trillion floating point operations per
second, or 50 petaflops—will provide state-of-the art high performance computing
capabilities as well as extraordinary capacities in advanced high-speed
networking and data analysis, providing unprecedented benefits to the Army, the
Department of Defense, and the Nation as a whole.</span></em><br />
<em><span style="color: black;"></span></em><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/12/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Former DOJ prosecutor Larry Klayman files a class action lawsuit against the 9 US companies that participated in PRISM.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/12/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Parents of Navy SEAL killed on 8/7/2011 who are outspoken critics of President Obama join Freedom Watch lawsuit citing Verizon's 2011 admission that their phone was being tapped.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/12/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Report: <span itemprop="headline">Surveillance Program Excludes Mosques, Missed Boston Bombers</span></span><br />
<span itemprop="headline" style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span itemprop="headline" style="color: black;">6/12/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">ABC News Rick Klein: McConnell's confessed bugger still not charged; DOJ not talking.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/12/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NSA director, General Keith Alexander testifies that maintaining a database of Americans' phone records was critical to thwarting "dozens" of plots.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/13/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Senators Udall and Wyden say they want proof that surveillance programs have disrupted plots against US.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/14/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Bloomberg News: Thousands of technology, finance and manufacturing companies are working closely
with U.S. national security agencies, providing sensitive information and in
return receiving benefits that include access to classified intelligence, four
people familiar with the process said.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/14/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NSA admits listening to U.S. phone calls without warrants, disclosing in secret Capitol Hill briefing that thousands of analysts can listen to domestic phone calls. That authorization appears to extend to e-mail and text messages too.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/14/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: small;">Facebook statement: </span></span><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: small;"><em>Between 9,000 and 10,000 requests from all government entities, from local to federal, in the last six months of 2012. </em></span><span style="font-size: small;"><em>The orders involved the accounts of between 18,000 and 19,000 Facebook users on a broad range of surveillance topics, from missing children to terrorism.</em> </span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black; font-size: small;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black; font-size: small;">6/14/2013</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="color: black;">Microsoft statement: <em>Between 6,000 and 7,000 government orders, affecting between 31,000 and 32,000 accounts were requested in last six months of 2012.</em></span></span></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/15/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">A government paper is unclassified by intelligence agencies and Obama
administration: </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Surveillance data collection is legal, controlled and
does not intrude on privacy.
</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Collection of "metadata" is raw information
that does not identify individual telephone subscribers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Of phone records collected in 2012,
authorities looked at records of fewer than 300 phone
numbers.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/17/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Apple Statement: <em>"From December 1, 2012 to May 31, 2013, Apple received between 4,000 and 5,000 requests from US law enforcement for customer data."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/17/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Yahoo statement: <em>From 12/1/2012 to 5/31/2013 "we received between 12,000 and 13,000 requests, inclusive of criminal, Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), and other requests</em>."</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/17/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Journalist Michael Hastings contacts WikiLeaks lawyer Jennifer Robinson saying that the FBI is investigating him. He is working on the NSA surveillance story.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Hastings emails associates: <em>The feds are interviewing my 'close friends and associates.' Perhaps if the authorities arrive at BuzzFeed HQ, may be wise to immediately request legal counsel before any conversations or interviews about our news-gathering practices or related journalism issues.</em></span><br />
<em><span style="color: black;">Also: I'm onto a big story, and need to go off the radar for a bit.</span></em><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/18/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NSA Director Gen. Alexander testifies before House Select Intelligence Committee that government’s sweeping surveillance programs have disrupted more than 50 terrorist plots in US and abroad.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/18/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">The FBI is investigating whether the highly protected and segregated computer systems that store the secret court warrants authorizing electronic surveillance inside the United States have been breached.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/18/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">33 year old Journalist Michael Hastings dies in a fiery one car automobile accident.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Hastings was covering Edward Snowden's leak of the NSA's classified domestic monitoring program.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/19/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">FBI Director admits domestic use of drones during Senate Judiciary Committee oversight hearing.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Sen. Chuck Grassley: “<i>Does the FBI use drones for surveillance on US soil</i>?” </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Director Mueller: “<i>Yes</i>, <i>very seldom</i>.” </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/19/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Law enforcement sources tell CBS News' Bob Orr that the FBI has used small model airplane-sized drones on 10 or 12 occasions for very localized surveillance.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/21/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">US charges Snowden with espionage. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">The complaint, which initially was sealed, is filed in the Eastern District of Virginia</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/21/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">President Obama meets with privacy watchdog panel will behind the closed doors of the White House Situation Room.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">It’s the president’s first sit-down with the little-known Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board, created nearly a decade ago but dormant for the entirety of the Obama presidency.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/21/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">DNI Clapper letter to Senate Intelligence Committee apologizes for lying during Senate testimony about US surveillance. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/22/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">US requests Hong Kong to extradite
Snowden.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/23/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Hong Kong rejects US extradition request because it did not "fully comply with the legal requirements under Hong Kong law."</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/23/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Snowden leaves Hong Kong... Whereabouts and destination unknown. He is travelling with Sarah Harrison.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Sarah Harrison is a UK citizen, journalist, and legal researcher who is currently working with the WikiLeaks Legal Defense team led by former Spanish Judge Baltasar Garzon.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/23/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NBC's David Gregory and Chuck Todd raise the issue of UK Guardian's journalist Glenn Greenwald criminally aiding and abetting Snowden.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/24/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Russia ignores US demand to expel Snowden.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/25/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Russia's foreign minister bluntly rejects U.S. demands to extradite NSA leaker Snowden, saying that Snowden hasn't crossed the Russian border.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Putin: Snowden is in Moscow airport transit zone, he has not crossed the border and Russia will not extradite him.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Report: Snowden has given encoded files containing an archive of the secrets he lifted from his old employer to several people. If anything happens to Snowden, the files will be unlocked.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/27/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Army spokesman: US Army is blocking all access to The Guardian newspaper's reports about the NSA's sweeping collection of data about Americans' email and phone communications</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/27/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Records obtained pursuant to a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA): <span style="line-height: 19px;">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) reveals that the agency has spent millions of dollars for the warrantless collection and analysis of Americans’ financial transactions. The documents also reveal that CFPB contractors may be required to share the information with “</span>additional government entities<span style="line-height: 19px;">.”</span></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/28/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Pentagon spokesman Lt. Col. Damien Pickart: Department of Defense is blocking online access to news reports about classified NSA documents made public by Snowden. The blackout affects all of the department's computers and is part of a department-wide directive.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/29/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Four new PRISM slides published showing: </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">NSA analyst "tasks" PRISM for information about a new surveillance target. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Request to add a new target is passed to supervisor.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Supervisor reviews the "selectors," or search terms. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Supervisor must endorse analyst's "reasonable belief," defined as 51 percent confidence, that target is a foreign national who is overseas at the time of collection.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Data is acquired, processed and analyzed by specialized systems that handle voice, text, video and "digital network information" that includes the locations and unique device signatures of targets.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">6/30/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">German Justice Minister responds to a report by Der Spiegel, which claims that the NSA eavesdropped on EU offices in Washington, New York and Brussels. The magazine cites 2010 classified documents from Edward Snowden that outlines how the US had placed devices in the two
EU embassies and gained access to their internal computer networks. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/1/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Offices of Dallas law firm Schulman & Mathias representing a high-profile State Department whistleblower Aurelia Fedenisn, a former investigator at State Department’s Office of the Inspector General are broken into. Burglars stole three computers and broke into the firm’s file cabinets. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">In recent weeks, Fedenisn raised a slew of explosive allegations against the department and its contractors ranging from illicit drug use, soliciting sexual favors from minors and prostitutes and sexual harassment.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">7/9/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Report: As part of the Insider Threat Program, an unprecedented government-wide crackdown aimed at rooting out future leakers and other security violators, President Obama has ordered federal employees to report suspicious actions of their colleagues based on behavioral profiling techniques that are not scientifically proven to work, according to experts and government documents. </span><br />
<span style="color: black;">The techniques, an initiative under which millions of federal bureaucrats and contractors must watch out for “high-risk persons or behaviors” among co-workers, are a key pillar of the Insider Threat Program. Those who fail to report them could face penalties, including criminal charges.</span><br />
<br />
9/23/2013<br />
AP: President Barack Obama selected a panel of advisers he described 8/9/13 as independent experts to scrutinize the NSA's surveillance programs to be sure they weren't violating civil liberties and to restore Americans' trust.<br />
But with just weeks remaining before its first deadline to report back to the White House, the review panel has effectively been operating as an arm of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, which oversees the NSA and all other U.S. spy efforts.<br />
Even the panel's official name suggests it's run by Clapper's office: "Director of National Intelligence Review Group on Intelligence and Communications Technologies."<br />
Four of the five review panel members previously worked for Democratic administrations: Peter Swire, Michael Morell, Richard Clarke, and Cass Sunstein. A fifth panel member, Geoffrey Stone of the University of Chicago, leads a university committee looking to build Obama's presidential library in Chicago and was an informal adviser to Obama's 2008 presidential campaign.<br />
Stone wrote in a July op-ed that the NSA surveillance program that collects the phone records of every American every day is constitutional.<br />
<br />
10/14/2013<br />
Washington Post: The National Security Agency is harvesting hundreds of millions of contact lists from personal e-mail and instant messaging accounts around the world, many of them belonging to Americans...<br />
<br />
10/30/2013<br />
Google spokeswoman: <em>“We’re troubled by allegations of the government intercepting traffic between our data centers, and we are not aware of this activity. However, we have long been concerned about the possibility of this kind of snooping, which is why we continue to extend encryption across more and more Google services and links.”</em><br />
<br />
<div style="color: black; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font: 10pt/normal sans-serif; height: 1px; overflow: hidden; text-align: left; text-transform: none; width: 1px;">
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
7/29/2013<br />
In 2007, police arrested a MA man who appeared to be selling crack cocaine, seized and opened his cellphone to find a number that led to the man’s home, where police found drugs and guns.<br />
On appeal he argued that accessing the information on his cellphone without a warrant violated his Fourth Amendment rights. Earlier this year, the First Circuit Court of Appeals accepted the man’s argument, ruling that the police should have gotten a warrant before accessing the man’s phone.<br />
Obama Administration files a petition filed asking the Supreme Court to hear the case, arguing that the First Circuit’s ruling conflicts with other rulings supporting the police's broad discretion to search possessions on an arrested suspect, including notebooks, calendars and pagers. The government contends that a cellphone is no different than any other object a suspect might be carrying.<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;">7/31/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Director of National Intelligence James R. Clapper declassifies three documents that showed there have been “a number of technical compliance problems” with the government’s phone-snooping program, as the Obama administration fights to preserve what it says is a critical tool in the war on terror. The documents lay out the administration’s legal backing of the National Security Agency snooping program, and give some broad details of the operation. One of the documents is a secret court order authorizing the NSA program.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">8/5/2013</span><br />
<span style="color: black;">Reuters report: A secretive Special Operations Division of the US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) funnels information from intelligence intercepts, overseas NSA intercepts, domestic wiretaps, informants and a massive database of telephone records to authorities nationwide to help them launch criminal investigations of Americans. The DEA phone database is distinct from a NSA database disclosed by former NSA contractor Edward Snowden.</span><br />
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
8/8/2013<br />
Lavabit, a secure email service, is shutting down do to US government pressure and is forbidden by law to say why.<br />
<em>I have been forced to make a difficult decision: to become complicit in crimes against the American people or walk away from nearly ten years of hard work by shutting down Lavabit. After significant soul searching, I have decided to suspend operations. I wish that I could legally share with you the events that led to my decision. I cannot. I feel you deserve to know what’s going on--the first amendment is supposed to guarantee me the freedom to speak out in situations like this. Unfortunately, Congress has passed laws that say otherwise. As things currently stand, I cannot share my experiences over the last six weeks, even though I have twice made the appropriate requests.</em><br />
<em>What’s going to happen now? We’ve already started preparing the paperwork needed to continue to fight for the Constitution in the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals. A favorable decision would allow me resurrect Lavabit as an American company.</em><br />
<em>This experience has taught me one very important lesson: without congressional action or a strong judicial precedent, I would _strongly_ recommend against anyone trusting their private data to a company with physical ties to the United States.</em><br />
<br />
8/9/2013<br />
Silent Circle, a secure email service, is shutting down do to US government pressure and is forbidden by law to say why. <br />
<em>We designed our phone, video, and text services (Silent Phone and Silent Text) to be completely end-to-end secure with all cryptography done on the clients and our exposure to your data to be nil...</em><br />
<em>We see the writing the wall, and we have decided that it is best for us to shut down Silent Mail now. We have not received subpoenas, warrants, security letters, or anything else by any government, and this is why we are acting now.</em> <br />
<br />
8/20/2013<br />
Pamela Jones is shutting down her legal web site Groklaw: <em>"There is now no shield from forced exposure,"</em> from government scrutiny.<br />
<br />
8/21/2013<br />
Director of National Intelligence James Clapper authorized the release three secret U.S. court opinions showing how the National Security Agency scooped up as many as 56,000 emails and other communications with no connection to terrorism annually over three years starting in 2011.<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;"> </span></div>
<span style="color: black;"></span><br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="color: black;"><a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2013/08/index-of-nsa-surveillance-terms.html">Index of NSA surveillance terms</a></span><br />
<span style="color: #7f6000;"><br />
</span><br />
<span style="color: #7f6000;"></span><br />
<span class="gia-popupTerm gia-active-term" data-term_id="DNI" style="color: #7f6000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #7f6000;"></span><br />
<br />
<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-9630946227676262152013-04-21T12:38:00.000-04:002013-04-22T08:23:33.869-04:00Deep Throat did not exist, Watergate, All the President's Men, Woodward, Bernstein, Redford[<em>All the President's Men</em>] is a terrific book. The story is gripping and the characters are memorable. It reads like a novel and translated seamlessly into a screenplay. What gave it the legs to become an iconic bestseller and an Oscar-winning movie was the slight of hand it got away with from the outset. In the book [the authors] wrote about themselves, Woodward and Bernstein are not the after-the-fact voyeurs they were in reality; they are the main characters. In <em>All the Presidents Men</em> the Watergate conspiracy is not unraveled by authorities, it is uncovered by a pair of plucky reporters who would not quit. The literary trick they employed to achieve that shift was as simple as it was brilliant: in the narrative they treat every new discovery as if they were the ones who first uncovered it. It simply was not true. They did not uncover crimes, they followed the investigation that had already uncovered the crimes...<br />
In the world according to A<em>ll the Presidents Men</em>, the government never was going to tell the tale. The prosecution was going to be stopped with the low-level burglars themselves, and the big shots were going to get away with it because everybody was in on the conspiracy, including the head of the FBI. Only to the plucking grit of the two cub reporters was the evil scheme uncovered, the top dogs forced to resign, and the wheels of justice handed back to the honest lower echelons. <br />
It was a great story, but had one big problem: the prosecution had not stopped. The storyline could only hold water if the book were published before the next round of revelations, indictments, and trials, including the biggest one of all: Nixon's impeachment trial. And that is just what Woodward and Bernstein did, writing it in 1973 in rushing the book out in February 1974, six months before the whole story came out and Nixon resigned. It was a brilliant move -- not only did they get their story out before it was eclipsed by the impeachment trial, but its publication helped to drive the president from office before the trial could even start. <br />
Even with that masterstroke, the book might still have fallen flat as the others that came out at the same time. According to David Obst, the literary agent who helped write the proposal in Woodward's apartment, the original concept was an insider's account of reportage in the style Theodore H. White's <em>The Making of the President</em> books. There was no "Deep Throat" in the proposal. But before the draft was finished, Robert Redford bought the screen rights for $350,000 and invited Woodward to dinner, where he introduced him to William Goldman, who was to write the screenplay. Goldman and Redford suggested a few changes. "Deep Throat" appeared and so did the dramatic story line.<br />
What sets Woodward and Bernstein's story apart from, say their boss Barry Sussman's much more accurate and insightful <em>The Great Cover-up</em> (publish the same year) is the fiction like drama that appeared in later drafts as <em>All the Presidents Men</em> took shape. Late-night meetings in parking garages, warnings that everyone's life is in danger, clandestine encounters in out-of-the-way bars. Those are screenplay elements. They seem fabricated. So does "Deep Throat."<br />
There is now convincing evidence that "Deep Throat" was indeed a fabrication. Bob Woodward has provided it himself.<br />
In April 2003, Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein sold their Watergate papers to the University of Texas for five million dollars. To be included were all their notes of personal interviews, with the proviso that notes of confidential sources would be withheld from public view until the earlier of (a) the death of that person or (b) "such time as Woodward and Bernstein determine it appropriate." In 2003, the identity of "Deep Throat" was still a closely guarded secret, so Woodward kept his notes of those conversations out of the original set of documents deposited at the Harry Ransom Center in Austin, Texas. <br />
When Mark Felt was identified as "Deep Throat" by his own family in May 2005, the University of Texas announced that Woodward would deposit his Mark Felt interview notes later that fall. When I visited the Ransom Center a year later, in May 2006, to research the "Woodstein" archive (as it is called there), I was disappointed to learn that Woodward still had not deposited any of his Mark Felt papers. The archivists had no explanation for the delay. Instead, they steered me what was already there, and I took away copies of some interview notes and documents. <br />
In January 2007, Woodward finally deposited his "Deep Throat" papers, now identified by him as notes of his conversations with Mark Felt. There were only 10 pages – eight typed and two handwritten – of interviews dated October 9, 1972; January 24, 1973; March 5, 1973; March 24, 1973; and an on-the-record interview in July 1973. The October 9 and March 5 meetings were marked "meeting with X" and the January 24 notes began with "interview with my friend." The March 24 interview was completely unattributed... <br />
The first thing that struck me was that some of the information passed to Woodward in these meetings could not have come from Mark Felt. On October 9, 1972, "X" told Woodward that immediately after the burglary, John Mitchell, the chairman of CREEP, conducted his own investigation. <br />
Here is how this interview appears in the book, as an exact quote from "Deep Throat" during one of their clandestine garage meetings: <br />
<em>"Mitchell conducted his own -- he called it an investigation -- for about 10 days after June 17. And he was going crazy. He found all sorts of new things which astounded even him. At some point, Howard Hunt, of all the ironies, was assigned to help Mitchell get some important information. Like lightning, he was pulled off and fired and told to pack up his desk and leave town forever. By no less than John Ehrlichman."</em> <br />
The authors left out one crucial statement that "X" told Woodward [from his interview notes]: <em>"We had guys assigned to him to help." </em> Why would they leave out such a critical bit of information? Most likely to shield Woodward's source, since it identified "Deep Throat" as being part of a group of insiders "<em>assigned to help</em>." <br />
But the dropped quote also reveals who "X" could not be. If "X" were Mark Felt, then this could only mean the FBI. But there certainly were no FBI agents assigned to an internal CREEP investigation of its own employees immediately after the break-in, the results of which were precisely what Mitchell and CREEP wanted to keep away from the FBI. If there had been FBI agents "assigned to help" who "found all sorts of new things," not only would the Watergate case have been broken during the first 10 days, but the FBI's files would be filled with FD-302s of the resultant interviews. There are none. <br />
The conclusion is inescapable: "X" could not have been Mark Felt. It was someone from outside the FBI, someone close enough to CREEP to be asked to "help."<br />
Wanting to be sure of that conclusion, I turned to the next set of notes. On March 5, 1973, "X" said this to Woodward about the Kissinger wiretaps that had just been revealed by <em>Time</em> magazine:<br />
<em>Mardian headed an "out of channels" vigilante squad of wiretappers that ... tap phones of reporters ... for several weeks after Times refused to stop Pentagon papers publication. authorization by Mitchell and FBI only found out about it indirectly. said this was very closely held knowledge and Gray could deny it under oath because his knowledge was "out of channels."</em><br />
Whoever "X" was, he was wrong here. On March 5, 1973, [Pat Gray] knew about these wiretaps, as he attested to under oath at his confirmation hearings that very week... there was nothing "out of channels" about the Kissenger taps, nor did the FBI find out about them indirectly. The wiretaps had been set up and run by the FBI with Hoover's full knowledge and John Mitchell's written authorization, back when he was still the Attorney General. And according to FBI documents and Mark Felt's own autobiography, Felt not only knew all about the Kissinger wiretaps, he was assigned to lead the inquiry into their whereabouts when Hoover learned that Bill Sullivan had removed the transcripts from the Bureau and given them to Bob Mardian at the Justice Department.<br />
This March 5 meeting with "Deep Throat" also appears in <em>All the Presidents Men</em>, but not on March 5. The authors decided to move it back to February 26, to days before [Gray's] confirmation hearings were to begin, thereby making it appear in the book that "Deep Throat" was passing his own information to Woodward, rather than merely discussing what that week's <em>Time</em> had just reported, as Woodward's notes now demonstrate. And "X" was not wrong just on the Kissinger wiretaps. In the book this is also the meeting where "Deep Throat" indicated that [Gray] had blackmailed Nixon in order to get nominated as permanent director, footnoted when Steve Sachs pointed out to Woodward how preposterous this was. Whoever he was, "X" had fed multiple falsehoods to Bob Woodward. <br />
I then turned to the next item in the "Deep Throat" files, an interview dated March 24 without any attribution listed – not "X," not "my friend." I immediately saw a discrepancy with what "X" had said on March 5 about the Kissinger wiretaps:<br />
<em>"does not know about the term "out of channels," but says that the tappers included some present and former FBI agents. (my source insists absolutely that all were former agents.)"</em><br />
Clearly these two March interviews were not with the same person. "X" had used the phrase "out of channels" twice on March 5, and Woodward had then asked the other person about it three weeks later. When he got a negative answer to that question and a different version of who the wiretappers were, Woodward then noted to himself, "my source insists absolutely that all were former agents," which is just what "X" had claimed on March 5. As Woodward's own notes demonstrate, these were unquestionably two different people, yet both interviews were included by Woodward in his "Deep Throat" notes and attributed to Mark Felt. Was it just a mistake?<br />
As I looked more carefully at the March 24 interview, I realized I had already seen it. In fact, I already had a copy of it. It matched a document I had obtained back in May 2006, one Woodward's files of interviews with people he said were not "Deep Throat." This interview had caught my eye because the unnamed interviewee told Woodward that [Gray] had learned of the Kissinger wiretaps from Mark Felt. This person was wrong about [Gray's] knowledge of the taps, but some of the other details in the interview or at least partly accurate.<br />
I emailed Stephan Mielke, the manuscripts archivist in charge of the Woodstein archive, and pointed out the overlap. Mielke went to the folder in which I had found the previously deposited notes and emailed me back with some new information. In the same folder, just behind the carbon that I had, was a second typed carbon that started:<br />
<em>"from very high Justice Dept. official who is Dean critic 'one of John's more visible attributes is that he is ass-kisser...'"</em><br />
Mielke then pointed out that alongside it was a note in Woodward's handwrittig that stated:<br />
<em>"Santarelli – Assoc. deputy Atty Gen – 'One of John's more visible. ass-kising...'"</em><br />
Mielke told me that when he first catalogued Woodward's notes, he thought that these two typed carbons and the handwritten note were from the same interview, but he could not be certain of it. He also pointed out that the March 24 interview was the only set of "Deep Throat" notes deposited by Woodward that did not correlate to any of the "Deep Throat" meetings described in <em>All the Presidents Men.</em> (Earlier we had both noted that though there are 17 contacts between Woodward and "Deep Throat" described in the book, Woodward has so far deposited notes for only four of them.)<br />
I knew that Donald Santarelli, the official mentioned in Mielke's email, had been in the Justice Department with Gray, and that he was still practicing law in Washington, but I had never spoken with him. I called him on January 23, 2007, and told him that I was finishing this book for my father [Pat Gray] and wanted to talk to him...<br />
When I asked him about Felt being "Deep Throat," he was adamant. "'Deep Throat' is still a composite," he said. "It as not just Mark Felt." <br />
I then sent Santarelli on email and attached the notes from Woodward's interview of March 24, 1973.<br />
<em>"... Attached ... is page of notes by Woodward of his conversation with you on 3/24/1973... I know it is three decades, but is there any chance you can recollect for me why you thought that Felt had passed the information to my father? You were not the only one who thought at the time that it was true, I am trying to find out why so many people believe that, other than that it seemed intuitively likely."</em><br />
On February 5, 10 days after I sent him the Woodward notes, Santarelli called me back. "...I remember having it with Woodward, but the details are slow to come back."<br />
"But this was a conversation that you had with Woodward?" I asked.<br />
"Oh, yes," he said. "This definitely was me. Bob would call me regularly and would ask me stuff like this." Santarelli went on to say that he dealt more with Bill Sullivan than he did with Mark Felt, and that he had learned about the Kissinger taps indirectly. "I just picked it up," he said. "I was never briefed on them."<br />
Now that Santarelli had confirmed to me that the March 24 interview was with him, I emailed him again, pointing out that in the recent release of the "Deep Throat" notes, Woodward had included this March 24 interview...<br />
I then got in touch with Bob Woodward. After an exchange of cordial emails, he called me on March 8, 2007. We talked for an hour and a half, and he told me at the outset that all of it was on the record.<br />
Though I didn't disclose to him that I had been in touch with Santarelli, I did ask him point-blank about the March 24 interview. He had a copy in front of him and he read it again. "Yes," he said, "I see the internal inconsistencies with the March 5 conversation, but both are definitely Mark Felt."<br />
"Could it have been Don Santarelli?" I asked.<br />
"Absolutely not," Woodward replied. "He was gone by then, wasn't he?"<br />
I told Woodward that at the time of the interview, Santarelli had recently left the Justice Department to run the Law Enforcement Assistance Administration. "That's what I thought," he replied. He then reiterated that all the notes he had just deposited at the University of Texas were definitely of conversations he had with Mark Felt, including both the March 5 and March 24 meetings.<br />
That can't be true. Not only are the two interviews plainly with two different people, but the March 24 meeting was with Donald Santarelli, by Santarelli's own admission. The March 5 interview certainly was not with Mark Felt, because it was with "X," the source whose information about the CREEP internal investigation proved he could not have been in the FBI, and whose information about the Kissinger wiretaps was so at odds with what Mark Felt actually knew. The conclusion was so inescapable I decided to give Woodward one more chance to explain it. On April 18, I emailed him:<br />
<em>"... In your notes of the 10/9 meeting, X says: Mitchell conducted his invest for 10 days and "was going crazy – we had guys assigned to him to help" ... </em><br />
<em>My question is this: By saying "we" Felt can only mean the FBI. Did he really say this? ( I ask you this question in my 3/3 email but I don't think we discussed it when you called.)"</em><br />
Woodward answered the next day. "He did say that," he wrote, "and at the time I wondered about it also." He went on to explain that he thought Felt could have meant "former FBI agents because there was one who I think was named King who acted as bodyguard from Martha Mitchell. Did the AG have bodyguards then who are FBI agents?" Woodward then said he wished he knew more. So did I. For one thing, John Mitchell wasn't even the attorney general then and he certainly had no FBI bodyguards as had of CREEP. More important, nothing in Woodward's explanation had altered the apparent truth, that "X" could not have been Mark Felt, as Woodward continued to maintain.<br />
So who was "X"? At at this point it no longer mattered to me. What did matter was that "Deep Throat" was not the single individual Woodward always claimed him to be... "Deep Throat" was instead the composite fiction that knowledgeable people always insisted he had to be. "X," whoever he was, was just part of the fable.<br />
Why is it so important that "Deep Throat" was a fictional character and not an actual person?...<br />
Like several recently disputed memoirs, the book itself needs to be reclassified. <em>All the Presidents Men</em> is today accepted as a factual recitation – and often <em>the</em> factual recitation – of how Nixon and his "men" were driven from office. Until Woodward and Bernstein sold their notes to the University of Texas there was no way to test the books claim of historical accuracy. Those verifiable documents have provided the previously unavailable key. "Deep Throat" was a fiction. So, therefore, is <em>All the President's Men</em>...<br />
Mark Felt used every reporter he could get his hands on; Bob Woodward was just one of them. In their reporting for the <em>Washington Post</em>, Carl Bernstein and Bob Woodward used every source they could get their hands on; Mark Felt was just one of them. But in their creation of their after-the-fact myth, <em>All the President's Men,</em> Woodward and Bernstein bent the truth to fit the dramatic needs of a movie. They invented a hero named "Deep Throat." <br />
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<span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="font-size: small;">- Excerpt from <u>In Nixon's Web</u> by Ed Gray</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: x-large;"><strong> </strong></span>skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-48245591251450773842013-03-25T17:23:00.001-04:002013-03-25T17:23:34.858-04:00History of Federal Minimum Wage, 1938-2009, US Department of Labor<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibaXb_yoMbmaIosnDGjfZFmJhTrpLrial_4sJ4R8bc5pgEXBtcB7mvll96tIw2AoWMGbaXUPV5tIXu2d2DfwT1uYpfn5BLD0nxTC0tzjR51-ny-QRud-H_PfrOPzmnpbG6L6v_yCgvS7KL/s1600/history+of+federal+minimum+wage+1938+-+2009.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibaXb_yoMbmaIosnDGjfZFmJhTrpLrial_4sJ4R8bc5pgEXBtcB7mvll96tIw2AoWMGbaXUPV5tIXu2d2DfwT1uYpfn5BLD0nxTC0tzjR51-ny-QRud-H_PfrOPzmnpbG6L6v_yCgvS7KL/s1600/history+of+federal+minimum+wage+1938+-+2009.PNG" /></a></div>
<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-38491935028751528222013-03-18T15:16:00.000-04:002013-03-18T18:29:10.066-04:00Whittaker Chambers, minds of the Popular Front The overwhelming might of the opposition came from people who had never been Communists and never would be. They were people who believed a number of things. Foremost among them was the belief that peace could be preserved, World War III could be averted only by conciliating the Soviet Union. For this no price was too high to pay, including the price of willful historical self-delusion... They were much too intelligent really to believe that Russia was a democracy or most of the other upside-down things they said in defense of it. Hence like most people who have substituted the habit of delusion for reality, they became hysterical whenever the root of their delusion was touched, and reacted with a violence that completely belied the openness of mind which they prescribed for others. Let me call their peculiar condition which, sometimes had unconsciously deep, and sometimes very conscious, political motives that it would perhaps be unmannerly to pry into here – the Popular Front mind.<br />
Nor can it be repeated too often that most of those who suffered from it were not Communists. Yet Communists, at a critical spin of history, had few more effective allies. The Popular Front mind dominated American life, at least from 1938 to 1948, and it is still grossly premature to count it out. Particularly, it dominated all avenues of communication between intellectuals and the nation. It told the nation what it should believe; it made up the nation's mind for it. The Popular Fronters had made themselves the "experts." They controlled the narrows of news and opinion. And though, to a practiced ear, they never ceased to speak as the scribes, the nation heard in their fatal errors the voice of those having authority. For the nation, too, wanted peace above all things, and it simply could not grasp or believe that a conspiracy on the scale of communism was possible or that it had already made so deep a penetration into their lives...<br />
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-Whittaker Chambers 1951, page 499 of <u>Witness</u><br />
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<iframe frameborder="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" scrolling="no" src="http://rcm.amazon.com/e/cm?t=perceptionasr-20&o=1&p=8&l=as1&asins=0895267896&nou=1&ref=tf_til&fc1=000000&IS2=1&lt1=_blank&m=amazon&lc1=D37E0F&bc1=000000&bg1=FFFFFF&f=ifr" style="height: 240px; width: 120px;"></iframe>
skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-18374601221754598962013-02-12T11:42:00.000-05:002013-10-19T08:20:13.249-04:00Why did US debt increase during 1998 - 2001 budget surplus? Why did debt remain exactly the same during 2013 summer deficits?<span style="font-size: large;">A Trillion Dollar [$959 Billion] Budget Contradiction?</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Between 1998 and 2001 the US had a budget surplus of $558 billion ($69, 125, 236 & 128 billion respectively).</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Between 1998 and 2001 the US federal debt increased by $401 billion ($109, 128, 23 & 141 billion respectively).</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">1998 surplus of $69 B increased debt $109 B</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">1999 surplus of $125 B increased debt $128 B</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">2000 surplus of $236 B increased debt $23 B</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">2001 surplus of $128 B increased debt $141 B</span><br />
<a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2011/06/us-federal-government-revenue-spending.html">-published US Treasury figures</a><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">**CBO: Deficit increases $146 Billion in August 2013</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Treasury: Debt increases $0 in August 2013</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">**US Federal Government Ran $98 Billion Deficit in July 2013 -- But Debt Stayed Exactly $16,699,396,000,000 - just $25,000,000 below the legal limit allowed by the debt ceiling.</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">**From May 17 to October 16, 2013 (150 days) the US debt has remained at $16,699,396,000,000</span> <br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><strong>**On October 17, 2013, <em>the day after the debt ceiling is raised,</em> the debt jumps $328 Billion to $17.075 Trillion.</strong></span><br />
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**"Why is the debt clock stuck while deficits are increasing?"<br />
<br />
<em>"Because, outside the 3 1/2 months there was no debt ceiling, we’ve been at said
debt ceiling since mid-December. The Treasury has been able to get away with
deficit spending by “underfunding” the federal employees’ retirement funds (that
is, instead of first buying Treasury securities with the excess money and then
spending it, it has just been spending it and keeping an off-the-books record of
what has to be replaced) and drawing down the cash on hand."</em> <br />
-Hot Air commenter Steve Eggleston<br />
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Among the “extraordinary measures” Treasury Sec. Lew said he could take to create this “headroom” under the debt limit were: <br />
1) not investing new money from the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund (CSRDF) in U.S. Treasury securities, which he said would create $6.4 billion in “headroom” per month<br />
2) not reinvesting $58 billion in Treasury Securities held by the CSRDF that would be maturing and not reinvesting $16 billion in interest owed to the fund, which would create $74 billion in headroom<br />
3) suspending the routine daily reinvestment of $160 billion in special Treasury securities held by the Federal Employees’ Retirement System Thrift Savings Plan, which would create another $160 billion in headroom<br />
4) suspending the routine daily reinvestment of Treasury securities held by the government’s own Exchange Stabilization Fund, which would create another $23 billion in headroom<br />
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What missing variable accounts for the disparity?<br />
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<em>"The national debt increase during a given year is not the same as the "total budget" deficit commonly reported, due to a variety of accounting complexities involved. These differences can make it more challenging to determine how much the government actually spends relative to tax revenues. <strong>The increase in the national debt during a given year is a helpful measure to determine this amount."</strong></em><br />
<em>-Wikipedia</em>skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-26960781153482626422013-02-08T10:28:00.000-05:002013-02-08T10:41:50.890-05:00Jack Streat, LEGO, Assault Weapons, Semi-automatic Guns<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="420" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/HTlwORrp_WA" width="560"></iframe><br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-30799566871224515402013-02-02T11:31:00.000-05:002013-02-02T17:44:23.952-05:00Clips vs. Magazines, NYS SAFE ActThe <a href="http://www.governor.ny.gov/assets/documents/GPB_1_GUNS_BILL_LBD_12007_03_3.pdf">NYS SAFE Act</a> reduced the maximum allowed capacity of gun magazines from ten rounds of ammunition to seven rounds. <br />
What about clips?<br />
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<a href="http://www.minutemanreview.com/2008/09/clip-vs-magazine-lesson-in-firearm.html">Clips vs. Magazines:</a><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6vtd9B2c447QTnxwiaVAYHgkBwuxd8v2BpRMCy15G-OjGJsQ3Dh0wDebAAU-d5my9c0O91mpklySq4NYC1o90yStu0X4iNRvxdzxzv6QSXYLEqKU405gVvEJz9a_ZsSIyT00DbzU8MWjq/s1600/Magazine+-+vs+-+Clip.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6vtd9B2c447QTnxwiaVAYHgkBwuxd8v2BpRMCy15G-OjGJsQ3Dh0wDebAAU-d5my9c0O91mpklySq4NYC1o90yStu0X4iNRvxdzxzv6QSXYLEqKU405gVvEJz9a_ZsSIyT00DbzU8MWjq/s1600/Magazine+-+vs+-+Clip.jpg" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">From left to right: AR15 magazine, .223/5.56 stripper clip, Glock 22 magazine, SKS stripper clip, Ruger 10/22 "banana" magazine, M1 Garand en bloc clip.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;"></span><br />
A magazine is what is used to feed the weapon itself, whereas a clip is used to feed the magazine. Clips make loading of magazines much easier and faster, and in some cases, a clip is required in order for the magazine to work (e.g. M1 Garand).<br />
Some magazines are removable (like in the case of all of the magazines pictured above), and depending on the design of the gun, it can have a fixed magazine. Most SKS's, bolt actions, shotguns, and Garands have fixed magazines.<br />
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<span style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="http://historybycalendar.com/">HistoryByCalendar</a></span><br />
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<object height="1" id="plugin0" style="position: absolute; z-index: 1000;" type="application/x-dgnria" width="1"><param name="tabId" value="{E1F10C23-6DBA-46A5-8537-E114996DF189}" /></object>skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-44768727713822768612013-01-18T09:36:00.000-05:002013-01-18T16:23:50.345-05:00Sigmund Freud defends/explains Perceptual Consciousness [PerceptionAsReality]<strong>The perceptual conscious system is directed onto the external world, it mediates perceptions of it, and in it is generated, while it is functioning, the phenomenon of consciousness. It is the sense organ of the whole apparatus, receptive, moreover, not only of excitations from without but also of such as proceed from the interior of the mind</strong>. One can hardly go wrong in regarding the ego as that part of the id which has been modified by its proximity to the external world and the influence that the latter has had on it, and which serves the purpose of receiving stimuli in protecting the organism from them, like the cortical layer with which a particle of living substance surrounds itself. <br />
This relation to the external world is decisive for the ego. The ego has taken over the task of representing the external world for the id, and so of saving it; for the id, largely striving to gratify its instincts and complete disregard of the superior strength of outside forces, cannot otherwise escape annihilation. <br />
<strong>In the fulfillment of this function, the ego has to observe the external world and preserve a true picture of it in the memory traces left by its perceptions, and, by means of the reality test, it has to eliminate any element in this picture of the external world which is a contribution from internal sources of excitation.</strong> <br />
On behalf of the id, the ego controls the path of access to motility, but it interpolates between desire and action the procrastinating factor of thought, during which it makes use of the residue of experience stored up in memory. In this way it dethrones the pleasure principle, which exerts undisputed sway over the process and adds and substitutes for it <strong>the reality principle, which promises greater security and greater success.</strong><br />
The relation to time, to, which is so hard to describe, is communicated to the ego by the perceptual system; indeed it can hardly be doubted that the mode in which the system works is the source of the idea of time. <strong>What, however, especially marks the ego out and contradistinction to the id, is a tendency to synthesize its contents, to bring together and unify its mental processes which is entirely absent from the id.</strong> <br />
When we come to deal presently with the instincts and mental life, I hope we shall succeed in tracing this fundamental characteristic of the ego to its source. <strong>It is this alone that produces the high degree of organization which the ego needs for its highest achievements. The ego advances from the function of perceiving instincts to that of controlling them, but the latter is only achieved through the mental representative of the instinct becoming subordinate to a larger organization, and finding its place in a coherent unity. In popular language, we may say that the ego stands for reason and circumspection, while the id stands for untamed passions.</strong><br />
...<br />
You may, however, raise the question why these people, whether they write books or make conversation, should behave so badly, and you are inclined to the view that the cause does not lie entirely with the people themselves... [W]hat you meet with in literature and conversation in the shape of prejudice is the aftereffect of an earlier judgment, the judgment, namely, which the representatives of official science have passed upon the young science... <br />
I have already complained about it once before in a historical survey of the subject, and I shall not do so again – perhaps even that was once too often; but indeed there was no logical blunder, no offense against decency and good taste which the scientific opponents did not permit themselves in those days. What was a situation such as actually occurred in the Middle Ages, in which <strong>a wrongdoer, or even a mere political opponent, was put in the pillory and exposed to the ill-treatment of the mob. And perhaps you do not fully realize how high up in our society the mob spirit extends, and to what lengths people will go on a field that they are a part of a crowd and superior to personal responsibility.</strong> <br />
At the beginning of those times I stood more or less alone, and very soon polemics would do no good, and that complaints and appeals to worthier minds were senseless, since there were no courts before which one could plead one's cause. That being so, I took another path; I made use of applied psycho-analysis for the first time by explaining the behavior of the crowd as an expression of the same resistance which I had to struggle against in my individual patients. <br />
Kept off all polemics and influence my followers gradually gathered to do the same. This mode of behavior was satisfactory. The ban under which analysis was placed in those days has since been lifted; but, just as a belief which has been given up lingers on as a superstition, just as a theory which science has abandon is preserved as a popular belief, so to today does the original excommunication from scientific circles survives in the mocking contempt of the writers and conversationalists. You will therefore no longer be surprised at their behavior. <br />
You must not, however, expect the good news that the struggle is at an end... [T]here is no question of that; the battle still going on, but in a more respectable way. There is another new factor, and that is that in the scientific world a kind of buffer state has been formed between analysis and its opponents, consisting of people who allow that there is something in analysis (and even believe in it, subject to the most diverting reservations), but who, on the other hand, reject other parts of it as they are eager to let everyone. What determines their choice is not easy to guess . It seems to be a matter of personal sympathies . <br />
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-Excerpts from <u>New Introductory Lectures on Psycho-Analysis</u> by Sigmund Freud 1933<br />
pages 105-107, 188-189<br />
<object height="1" id="plugin0" style="position: absolute; z-index: 1000;" type="application/x-dgnria" width="1"><param name="tabId" value="{878E6232-7531-4A62-AE87-311020F46E32}" /></object>skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-24883328504504345052012-11-10T09:30:00.003-05:002016-01-29T12:41:16.903-05:00Benghazi Timeline9/28/2007<br />
Sufian bin Qumu, former member of Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG), Taliban in Pakistan, al Qaida and North African Extremist Network, is released from Guantanamo to Libya.<br />
<br />
2/15/2011<br />
Faraj al Chalabi, (also spelled Shibli) an al Qaeda terrorist linked to the 1994 terrorist murder of two German tourists is released from Libya’s Abu-Salim Prison.<br />
<br />
2/17/2011<br />
Start of the revolution against Libyan strongman Muammar Gadhafi.<br />
<br />
3/2011<br />
Ambassador Stevens communicating directly with al-Qaeda linked Libyan rebels through Abdelhakim Belhadj, head of Libyan Islamic Fighting Group.<br />
<br />
10/20/2011<br />
Muammar Gadhafi killed by rebels after ruling Libya for 42 years.<br />
<br />
11/2011<br />
Secretary of State Clinton announces that the US will commit $40 million to help Libya secure and recover its weapons stockpiles.<br />
<br />
12/2011 <br />
Terror plot detected and thwarted in Benghazi, Libya. <br />
A US emergency plan warns of other Islamic terrorists still operating in area.<br />
<br />
12/27/2011<br />
State Department Under Secretary Patrick Kennedy signs off on an internal memo from Jeffrey Feltman, Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs (NEA), that green-lights the US Benghazi Consulate.<br />
<br />
2/2012 <br />
Diplomatic regional security officer (RSO), top security officer in Libya, Eric Nordstrom tells State Department officials he will not support
occupying diplomatic compound in Benghazi until security upgrades
completed. <br />
Unidentified government official waives security standard requirements for Benghazi compound.<br />
<br />
03/2012 <br />
US Embassy Tripoli lead security officer, RSO Eric Nordstrom, again requests additional security.<br />
<br />
04/06/12 <br />
IED thrown over wall of US Consulate in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
04/10/12 <br />
Explosive device thrown at convoy carrying UN envoy Ian Martin.<br />
<br />
04/11/12 <br />
Gun and RPG battle between two groups 2.5 miles from US <br />
Consulate in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
04/12/12 <br />
Secretary Clinton signs State Department cable acknowledging [then] Amb. Cretz's request for additional security.<br />
<br />
4/23/12<br />
Senior State Department official proclaims an end to the war on terror.<br />
<br />
04/27/12 <br />
Two South African contractors kidnapped and released unharmed.<br />
<br />
05/01/12 <br />
Deputy Commander of US Embassy Tripoli’s Local Guard Force is carjacked, beaten, and detained by armed youth.<br />
<br />
05/01/12 <br />
British Embassy in Tripoli attacked by violent mob and set on fire. <br />
Other NATO embassies also attacked.<br />
<br />
05/03/12 <br />
State Department declines request from US Embassy for DC-3 plane transportation between Tripoli and Benghazi.<br />
<br />
05/22/12 <br />
Assailants launch two rocket-propelled grenades, RPGs, at International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)’s building in Benghazi, one mile from US Consulate. <br />
The violent Islamist extremist group Brigades of Captive Omar Abdul Rahman claims responsibility.<br />
<br />
06/06/12 <br />
IED explodes hole in wall surrounding US Consulate in Benghazi. <br />
Group claims attack is in retaliation for the assassination of Abu-Yahya al-Libi, the second highest ranking leader of al-Qa’ida. <br />
<br />
06/10/12 <br />
RPG hits convoy carrying British Ambassador Aquith. Col. Wood - military Site Security Team (SST) commander in Benghazi helps with emergency response.<br />
<br />
06/11/12 <br />
British close consulate and pull out of Benghazi.<br />
<br />
06/2?/12 <br />
Red Cross building in Benghazi attacked for second time.<br />
<br />
06/2?/12 <br />
Red Cross evacuates Benghazi. <br />
US only international flag still flying in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
7/??/12 <br />
RSO Nordstrom again requests additional security.<br />
<br />
7/02/12 <br />
"Sam Bacile" (Nakoula Basseley Nakoula) posts English-language promotional trailer for <i>Innocence of Muslims</i> on YouTube.<br />
<br />
7/09/12 <br />
Amb. Stevens sends cable requesting help from military SST and State Dept. MSD (Mobile Security Deployment team) through mid-September.<br />
<br />
7/??/12 <br />
FBI Director Mueller learns of investigation into Petraeus/Broadwell affair.<br />
<br />
07/??/12 <br />
CIA Director Petraeus and biographer Paula Broadwell end their affair.<br />
<br />
7/30/12<br />
CIA Benghazi Annex NSA listening post picks up chatter in Persian between a pair of operators from Quds Force.<br />
The NSA translator brings an English transcript of their conversation to the chief of base. <br />
The chief of base tasks several agents in his employ who worked for the Zintan militia, which run the Benghazi airport, with tracking the seven Iranians scheduled to arrive that day from Tripoli.<br />
The Iranians are operating undercover as part of a Red Crescent medical team — a doctor, male nurses, medics and administrator.<br />
The CIA chief of base doesn't know whether their plan is to kidnap the ambassador, kill him, hire locals to drive car bombs through the perimeter wall, or what.<br />
Over the next hour or so, the chief’s deputy receives a steady stream of reports over the tactical radio from the Zintan militia on the progress of the hit team. The plane has landed at Benina International Airport.<br />
They pack into a convoy of Red Crescent vehicles (each painted white, with a large, bright red Islamic crescent painted on the doors and the roof — the Muslim version of the Red Cross).<br />
They are en route to the Tibesti Hotel. <br />
The chief has a second team waiting in separate vehicles outside to track them once they leave the airport. <br />
After the hotel, the Iranians go for an Iftar dinner with the local Red Crescent guys. It is a protocol event. Because they were in the middle of Ramadan, the Muslim month of daytime fasting, they don't sit down to dinner until late.<br />
Then at 1 in the morning, the deputy chief jumps up from where he has been dozing off. His guys are going nuts.<br />
“What’s going on? What are they saying?” he asks.<br />
The deputy translates the excited shrieks from the trackers. It seems the Red Crescent team had been headed back to the Tibesti Hotel when they are ambushed by a half dozen Toyota pickups with .50-caliber machine guns mounted on the beds.<br />
The militia guys force the Iranians to get out, cuff them, then bundled them into a pair of Jeep Cherokees and speed off.<br />
CIA guys decide it is more prudent not to follow them.<br />
For the next 24 hours or so, the chief’s network of agents in Benghazi are unable to find out where the Iranians have been taken or who is holding them.<br />
Then, according to Dylan Davies, the former British Special Operations grunt who manages the unarmed security detail at the US diplomatic compound, a local fixer learned they are being held in a former Libyan army camp outside of town on the Tripoli road.<br />
“They are getting fed; they have their own beds even. They are fine,” he tells Davies.<br />
The fixer claims it is a Shia-Sunni thing. “There are some who think those Iranian Shias are not welcome here,” he says. “But they are perfectly okay.”<br />
Davies learns a few days later that the CIA chief of base has tasked his former Special Forces security team with launching a hostage rescue, perhaps with the goal of interrogating the Iranians in the privacy of their armored Mercedes G wagons.<br />
At the last minute, Davies’ fixer tells him the Iranians have already been set free and put on a plane for Tripoli, en route to Tehran. “Mate, cancel the cavalry,” he tells the chief diplomatic security officer at the compound. “They left yesterday on a flight to Tehran.”<br />
When the Americans expressed surprise at how he got this information, he said that his fixer’s cousin works at the airport. “He saw all seven of ’em fly out of here.”<br />
<br />
8/01/12 <br />
Bombing of the Benghazi military intelligence offices.<br />
<br />
08/??/12 <br />
US military forces guarding the Benghazi Consulate ordered out of Libya. <br />
<br />
08/02/12 <br />
Ambassador Stevens sends cable to DC requesting <em>"protective detail bodyguard positions"</em> -- saying added guards <em>"will fill the vacuum of security personnel currently at post... who will be leaving with the next month and will not be replaced."</em> He calls <em>"the security condition in Libya... unpredictable, volatile and violent."</em><br />
<br />
8/06/12<br />
Armed assailants carjack vehicle with diplomatic plates operated by US personnel.<br />
<br />
8/??/12 <br />
Attorney General Holder learns of FBI investigation into Petraeus/Broadwell affair.<br />
<b></b><br />
8/ ??/12 <br />
State Dept. removes last of three 6-man State Dept. security teams and a 16-man military SST team from Libya.<br />
<br />
8/08/12<br />
Cable from Amb. Stevens to DC: <em>"a series of violent incidents has dominated the political landscape"</em> calls them <em>"targeted and discriminate attacks."</em><br />
<br />
8/10/12 <br />
Army General Hadiya al-Feitouri was assassinated in Benghazi. <br />
<br />
8/15/12 <br />
Amb. Stevens and his security team meet to discuss that 10 al Qaeda groups have been identified roaming around Benghazi; a memo is drafted for State and Defense Departments.<br />
<br />
8/16/12 <br />
Amb. Stevens and his security team send memo describing Benghazi dangers to State Department and Secretary Clinton - warn that a coordinated al Qaeda attack could sack the consulate.<br />
<br />
8/20/12 <br />
Car belonging to an Egyptian diplomat is blown up near his home in Benghazi. <br />
<br />
8/26/12<br />
Ambassador Stevens attends a ceremony marking the opening of consular services at the American embassy in Tripoli, meaning the functioning U.S. consulate was working out of Tripoli. The new U.S. consul in Libya, Jenny Cordell, is stationed at the embassy in Tripoli. A search of the State Department website finds no consulate listed in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
8/27/12 <br />
State Dept. issues travel warning for Libya citing threat of assassination and car bombings in Benghazi and Tripoli.<br />
<br />
8/2?/12 <br />
???Multi-national prisoners removed from Benghazi CIA annex???<br />
<br />
9/2012<br />
Stevens and Belhadj, the newly appointed head of the Tripoli Military Council, coordinate a 400-ton shipment of SA-7 surface-to-air anti-aircraft missiles (MANPADS) and rocket propelled grenades (RPGs) from Benghazi to Syrian rebels.<br />
<br />
09/06/2012<br />
Stevens writes in his Diary: <em>"Security vacuum. Militias are power on the ground. Dicey conditions, including car bombs, attacks on consulate, British embassy, and our own people. Islamist 'hit list' in Benghazi. Me targeted on a prominent [al Qaeda] website (no more off-compound jogging)." </em><br />
<br />
09/09/12 <br />
State Dept. receives "credible" info that US missions may be attacked on 9/11.<br />
<br />
09/10/12 <br />
C-110 force in Croatia; deployment time to reach Benghazi: 4-6 hours.<br />
<br />
***09/10/12 <br />
White House issues statement :<br />
<em>Earlier today the President heard from key national security principals on
our preparedness and security posture on the eve of the eleventh anniversary of
September 11th. Over the past month, Assistant to the President for Homeland
Security and Counterterrorism John Brennan has convened numerous meetings to
review security measures in place. <strong>During the briefing today, the President and
the Principals discussed specific measures we are taking in the Homeland to
prevent 9/11 related attacks as well as the steps taken to protect U.S. persons
and facilities abroad, as well as force protection.</strong> The President reiterated
that Departments and agencies must do everything possible to protect the
American people, both at home and abroad.</em><br />
<br />
09/10/12 <br />
State Dept. Information Officer Sean Smith email: suspicious Libyan security personnel taking pictures inside consulate.<br />
<br />
09/11/12 <br />
US rapid reaction force of Marines in Spain, two Navy destroyers off Libyan coast, and US fighter jets on nearby Mediterranean island of Crete.<br />
<br />
Egyptians protest outside US Embassy in Cairo. <em>“Obama, Obama, we are all Osama!”</em><br />
US Embassy Cairo statement sympathizes with protesters and condemns a 14 minute anti-Mohammad YouTube video.<br />
<br />
Protesters storm US Cairo Embassy.<br />
<br />
09/11/12 <br />
9:43 AM (3:43 AM ET)<br />
Stevens sends cables to DC including a Benghazi weekly report of multiple security incidents.<br />
<br />
Stevens' last diary entry:<em> "Never ending security threats..."</em><br />
<br />
12 PM (6 AM ET)<br />
Sean Smith, the IT professional with Stevens, posts online: <em>“Assuming we don’t die tonight. We saw one of our ‘police’ that guard the compound taking pictures.”</em><br />
<br />
(8:45 AM ET)<br />
POTUS observes 9/11 moment of silence on WH South Lawn.<br />
<br />
(9:10 AM ET)<br />
POTUS departs WH for Pentagon.<br />
<br />
(9:30 AM ET)<br />
POTUS at Pentagon 9/11 Memorial.<br />
<br />
5:30 PM Libyan time (11:30 AM ET)<br />
POTUS returns to White House.<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">7:30 PM (1:30 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stevens meets with Turkish Amb. Ali Kemal Aydin at US consulate.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(1:55 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">POTUS arrives at Bethesda, MD.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(2:15 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">POTUS visits Walter Reed Medical Center.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">8:30 PM (2:30 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Amb. Aydin leaves compound; Stevens retires to his room in Building C. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Five diplomatic security agents (DS) on site - three based in Benghazi, two traveling with Stevens. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">9:40 PM (3:40 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Gunfire and explosions. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Diplomatic Security Agent in Tactical Operations Center (TOC) sees dozens of armed people over security camera flowing through pedestrian gate at compound's main entrance. Agent activates Danger Notification System - alerts Quick Reaction Security Team stationed nearby at CIA annex, 17th of February Brigade (one of several militias serving as a de facto security presence in Benghazi), Tripoli Embassy, and Diplomatic Security Command Center in Washington DC.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">State Dept. Diplomatic Security following events in real time.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">State Dept. official Charleen Lamb in Washington DC follows events in real time. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10 PM (4 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">DS agents at compound gather tactical gear from Building B. One stays in Building C with Amb. Stevens and Information Officer Smith. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Attackers set fire to 17th of February Brigade barracks on site.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">DS agent Scott Strickland moves Stevens and Smith to "safe haven" in Building C. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Agents in Building B and TOC come under attack.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">There are seven Americans separated in three different locations.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Attackers get into Building C, light interior on fire, then exterior. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Stevens, Smith and Agent Strickland move to bathroom and lay on floor.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">US military sends unarmed drone over to provide real-time intelligence to CIA team in Benghazi. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10 PM (4 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Secretary of State Hillary Clinton notified of attack.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Approx. 10 PM (4 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Greg Hicks, US diplomat under Stevens and Deputy head of Embassy in Tripoli, calls his RSO Martinec in Washington and his Defense Attaché.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hicks connected on phone to Libya's Armed Forces Ministry of Defense and Chief of Staff. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hicks notifies Joint Staff and AFRICOM. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">SOCAFRICA leader, Lieutenant Colonel Gibson, connects with SOCAFRICA in Stuttgart, Germany. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">RAO is connected back in Washington. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Safe haven building engulfed in flames - Stevens, Smith and Agent Strickland decide to leave safe haven after being overcome by smoke.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Strickland escapes out a window. Stevens and Smith do not follow. Strickland returns several times but can't find them in the smoke.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Strickland goes up to roof and radios other agents.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Three agents return to Building C via armored vehicle. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">They find Smith's body, but not Stevens.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10:05 PM (4:05 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">State Department Operations Center issues alerts to White House Situation Room, Office of Director of National Intelligence, and FBI: <em>"US Diplomatic Mission in Benghazi Under Attack"</em> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10:25 PM </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">A six-member CIA team arrives from their annex with 40 to 60 members of 17th of February Brigade. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">CIA team removes Smith's body.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10:30 PM (4:30 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">At White House waiting for scheduled meeting with POTUS, Defense Secretary Leon Panetta and his top military adviser learn of attack. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(4:40 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">POTUS leaves Bethesda, MD en route to WH.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(4:49 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Email from [redacted] to Nuland and others [some names redacted], subject: <em>"Libya update from Beth Jones. Beth Jones just spoke with DCM Tripoli [name redacted] ...Ambassador Stevens is in safe haven for extraction."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(4:50 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">POTUS arrives on WH South Lawn.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10:54 PM (4:54 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Alert from State Dept. Operations Center: <em>"A response team is on site attempting to locate COM personnel."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hicks calls Embassy’s defense attaché, Lt. Col. Keith Phillips, to ask about viability of sending F-16 jets for fly-overs.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Philips in contact with
Pentagon's Africa Command in Stuttgart and the Joint Chiefs of Staff
in DC.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>11 PM (5 PM ET) </strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Defense Sec. Panetta, Chairman of Joint Chiefs Martin Dempsey and White House National Security Advisor Tom Donilon personally notify President Obama of attack while at White House. They discuss matter in person for 15 minutes.</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>(After informing POTUS of ongoing attack, Panetta and Dempsey do not hear from POTUS for rest of the day. Panetta and Dempsey do not hear from Clinton at all during the attack.)</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">***<strong>(Obama is off the grid from 5:15 PM to 10 PM. Vietor is in the Situation Room but not POTUS)</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>White House visitor log shows that three people arrive for "Debate Prep"</strong><strong>:</strong> Michael Donilon (brother of Thomas Donilon), David Ginsberg (VP sales and marketing at Intel), and Ron Klain (according to <u>Double Down: Game Change 2012</u> Obama's "lead debate coach.")</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">17th of February Brigade says they can no longer hold compound perimeter and evacuate.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">DS agents make final search for Stevens and leave with CIA team in armored vehicle heading for CIA annex, taking fire along the way - at times shots fired from two feet away.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hicks repeats request for
Pentagon to scramble F-16's over Benghazi in show of force. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Lt. Col Phillips notifies Hicks nearest jets based in Italy, would take two to three hours to "get on-site"— but no
air-refueling aircraft available to make the trip.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">11:11 PM (5:11 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">First drone arrives overhead. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">American officials in Tripoli ask permission to deploy US Special Operations troops to Benghazi aboard a Libyan military aircraft.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(5:55 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Email from [redacted] to Nuland and others [some names redacted]: <em>"[Redacted]'s team reports that the extremist group Al Sharia has taken credit for the attack in Benghazi. He heard reports that the February 17 Brigade is currently engaged in a running battle with Al Sharia; he asks the officer of the President and PM to pursue Ansar al Sharia. On working to locate Ambassador Stevens..."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>(Approx. 6 PM ET)</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>President Obama calls Israel PM Netanyahu to discuss public statements implying that Obama refused Netanyahu's request for them to meet at the UN Conference later in the month. The call lasts almost one hour.</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">12 AM (6 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Agents arrive at CIA annex.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Annex receives gunfire and RPG rounds.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Security team returns fire. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Sec. Panetta issues several orders: Two Fleet Antiterrorism Security Team (FAST) platoons stationed in Rota, Spain to prepare for deployment - one to Benghazi and other to Tripoli Embassy; special operations team in Europe ordered to move to Sigonella, Sicily - less than one hour's flight from Benghazi; special operations unit based in US put on alert to prepare for deploy to Sigonella. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">12:07 AM (6:07 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Alert from State Dept. Operations Center: US Embassy in Tripoli reports Islamic military group <em>"Ansar al-Sharia [al Qaeda-linked terrorist group operating in Libya] Claims Responsibility for Benghazi Attack ... on Facebook and Twitter and has called for an attack on Embassy Tripoli."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Deputy coordinator for Operations in CIA's Counter Terrorism Bureau Mark Thompson requests that interagency group Foreign Emergency Support Team (FEST) be activated.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Thompson notified that top State Department officials have determined that sending FEST team not <em>“in the menu of options.”</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">12:30 AM (6:30 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">A six-man security team, including two Defense Dept. personnel, leave Embassy Tripoli en route to Benghazi.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">12:30 AM </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Diplomats in Tripoli learn of new threat by Islamists—to attack the embassy
complex in Tripoli. The 55 diplomatic personnel in two
facilities began to prepare for evacuation.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(6:58 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Email from Jones to Nuland and others [names redacted]: <em>"[redacted] is working with the COS to make sure he is aware of reports that another mob has gathered in Benghazi headed for the [redacted]..."</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">1 AM </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Looters discover Stevens breathing and take him to hospital.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">1:15 AM (7:15 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">First team from Tripoli arrive in Benghazi.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">7:19 PM ET</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">From: Bash, Jeremy CIV SD [REDACTED]<br /> Sent: Tuesday, September 11, 2012 7:19 PM<br /> To: Sullivan, Jacob J; Sherman, Wendy R; Nides, Thomas R<br /> Cc: Miller, James HON OSD POLICY; Wienefeld, James A ADM JSC VCJCS; Kelly, John LtGen SD; martin, dempsey [REDACTED]<br /> Subject: Libya<br />
State colleagues:<br />
I just tried you on the phone but you were all in with S [apparent reference to then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton].<br />
After consulting with General Dempsey, General Ham and the Joint Staff, <strong>we have identified the forces that could move to Benghazi. They are spinning up as we speak. They include a</strong> [REDACTED].<br />
Assuming Principals agree to deploy these elements, we will ask State to procure the approval from host nation. Please advise how you wish to convey that approval to us [REDACTED].<br />
Jeremy</span><span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">1:30 AM (7:30 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">US security team from Embassy Tripoli in Benghazi learn that Stevens is missing. They try to arrange for transportation with goal of locating Stevens.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">1:45 AM (7:45 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Amb. Stevens dies at hospital.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Attack on CIA Annex Compound continues.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>(8PM ET)</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>White House press release: </strong><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><em><strong>"President Obama spoke with Prime Minister Netanyahu for an hour tonight</strong> as a part of their ongoing consultations. The two leaders discussed the threat posed by Iran's nuclear program, and our close cooperation on Iran and other security issues. </em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><em><strong>... Contrary to reports in the press, there was never a request for Prime Minister Netanyahu to meet with President Obama in Washington, nor was a request for a meeting ever denied."</strong></em></span></span><span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">2 AM (8 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Clinton and her top advisers call Hicks for update. <em>"She asked me
what was going on and I briefed her on developments,"</em> Hicks says most of the call was about search for Stevens.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Embassy received several calls from Mr. Stevens's phone in which a caller says: <em>
"We know where the ambassador is. Please, you can come get him."</em></span><a href="http://www.blogger.com/null" name="U901499729282DXC"></a><span style="color: #660000;">
</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Americans fear the calls are a hoax designed to lure
the Americans into a trap.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">A familiar local known to Americans as "Babakar" sends word to US embassy that Stevens has died. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Babakar sends some of his associates to recover Stevens' body at the hospital. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">When hospital officials ask what name should be entered on death certificate, US officials relay the message to use "John Doe." </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">3 AM (9 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Hicks receives phone call from Libyan President informing him of the death of Amb. Stevens. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Greg Hicks becomes Chief of Mission. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">US security team from Tripoli approaches annex - fears ambush.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>(9:11 PM ET)</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>White House email to YouTube with subject line: <em>"Update on Response to actions - Libya"</em> warns the company of "ramifications" for posting an anti-Islamic video.</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">9:11 PM ET</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">From: [REDACTED]</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Sent: September 11, 2012 9:11 PM</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">To: DSCC_Managment_Team; DSCC_Watch Team</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Subject: (S//NF) [REDACTED] Libya</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Per Ambassador Mull [Stephen Mull, then Executive Secretary of the State Department] after SVTS [Secure Video Teleconference System] conference:</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">DOD is looking at various resources.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">[REDACTED INFORMATION]</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">S [then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton] expected to make statements one of which may confirm KIA, notification of next of kin is pending confirmation. DCM The Hague was to call OPS when completed.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>White House is reaching out to U-Tube to advise ramifications of posting of the Pastor Jon video.</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">4 AM (10 PM ET)</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Annex Compound hit by another wave of attacks</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(10 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Obama calls Clinton.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><strong>Journalist and author Edward Klein:</strong> </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><em>“Hillary was stunned when she heard the president talk about the Benghazi attack,” one of her top legal advisers said in an interview. “Obama wanted her to say that the attack had been a spontaneous demonstration triggered by an obscure video on the Internet that demeaned the Prophet Mohammed.”</em></span><br />
<em><span style="color: #660000;">This adviser continued: “Hillary told Obama, ‘Mr. President, that story isn’t credible. Among other things, it ignores the fact that the attack occurred on 9/11.’ But the president was adamant. He said, ‘Hillary, I need you to put out a State Department release as soon as possible.’”</span></em><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><em>After her conversation with the president, Hillary called Bill Clinton, who was at his penthouse apartment in the William J. Clinton Presidential Library in Little Rock, and told him what Obama wanted her to do.</em><br />
<em>“I’m sick about it,” she said, according to the legal adviser, who was filled in on the conversation.</em><br />
<em>“That story won’t hold up,” Bill said. “I know,” Hillary said. “I told the president that.” “It’s an impossible story,” Bill said. “I can’t believe the president is claiming it wasn’t terrorism. Then again, maybe I can. It looks like Obama isn’t going to allow anyone to say that terrorism has occurred on his watch.”</em><br />
<em>Hillary’s legal adviser provided further detail: “During their phone call, Bill started playing with various doomsday scenarios, up to and including the idea that Hillary consider resigning as secretary of state over the issue. But both he and Hillary quickly agreed that resigning wasn’t a realistic option.</em><br />
<em>If <span style="color: #660000;">her resignation hurt Obama’s chances of winning re-election, her fellow Democrats would never forgive her. Hillary was already thinking of running for president in 2016, and her political future, as well as Obama’s, hung in the balance.”</span></em></span><span style="color: #660000;"><em>Obama had put Hillary in a corner, and she and Bill didn’t see a way out. And so, shortly after 10 o’clock on the night of September 11, she released an official statement that blamed the Benghazi attack on an “inflammatory (video) posted on the Internet.”</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"><em>The Benghazi Deception was in full swing.</em></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">SOCAFRICA commander Lt. Col. Gibson and his team on their way to board a C-130 from Tripoli for Benghazi prior to attack on a second U.S. compound <em>"when [Col. Gibson] got a phone call from SOCAFRICA which said, 'you can't go now, you don't have the authority to go now.'"</em> They are ordered not to board the flight.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">***4:07 AM (10:07 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Secretary Clinton issues written statement acknowledging death of one State Dept. officer linking the attack to <strong><em>"inflammatory material posted on the Internet."</em></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">5:00 AM (11:00 PM) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">A second US Predator drone arrives to relieve the first. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">5:15 AM (11:15 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Second attack in full swing.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">US Regional Security Office in Tripoli gets phone call from Arabic-speaking source saying a Westerner has been found in Benghazi and is at hospital. Transfer to airport is arranged. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Additional security team finds transportation from Benghazi airport under escort of Libyan Shield, another local militia, to CIA annex after learning that Stevens is almost certainly dead. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Just after security team arrival, annex takes mortar fire, sustaining three direct hits. Precision of the attacks indicates a level of sophistication and coordination. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Former US Navy SEALs Tyrone Woods and Glen Doherty are killed in mortar assault, which lasts 11 minutes; a DS agent and annex security member are severely wounded.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">After mortar attack, about 30 Americans evacuate CIA annex and head to airport with the assistance of the Libyan security convoy.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Babakar's associates transport Stevens' body to the airport where it was turned over to Americans.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Ambassador Stevens is confirmed dead as Americans see his body at airport </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">09/12/12 </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">(12:01 AM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">POTUS has yet to make a single phone contact with anyone involved in responding to the Benghazi attack.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">7:40 AM (1:40 AM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Unable to fit on one plane, the first wave of Americans - consisting of US diplomats and civilians - departs Benghazi and heads to Tripoli, leaving behind security staff and bodies.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10:00 AM (4 AM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">The second flight leaves Benghazi for Tripoli with US security members and bodies.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">POTUS told of Stevens' death. </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">State Department tells all diplomatic posts around the world to review their security posture and to take all necessary steps to enhance it.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">7 PM (1 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">Americans are transported out of Tripoli on a C-17 military aircraft, heading for Ramstein, Germany.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">8 PM (2 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">US special forces team arrives in Sigonella, Sicily, becoming the first military unit in the region.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">9 PM (3 PM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">A FAST platoon arrives in Tripoli.</span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;"></span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">10:19 PM (4:19 AM ET) </span><br />
<span style="color: #660000;">The C-17 carrying Stevens' body and the other Americans arrives in Ramstein.</span><br />
<br />
09/12/12 <br />
Secretary Clinton and Obama publicly condemn the YouTube video and the attacks.<br />
<br />
9:51 AM ET<br />
Email from Jones to Nuland and others [names redacted]: <em> "Good news: [redacted] just called to report that our wounded in the hospital in Tripoli are doing much better..."</em><br />
<br />
10:35 AM ET <br />
POTUS delivers Rose Garden statement.<br />
<br />
12:46 PM<br />
***Email sent by [name redacted] to Nuland and others [names redacted]: <strong><em>"[referring to Libyan ambassador] I said we appreciate the Libyan desire to conduct an investigation, but I vehemently stressed the importance of allowing our wounded to recover in peace without the slightest disturbance... I told him that the group that conducted the attacks - Ansar Al Sharia - is affiliated with Islamic extremists."</em> </strong><br />
<br />
2:05 PM ET <br />
POTUS departs the White House, destination Las Vegas.<br />
<br />
David Rhodes, President of CBS News and brother of Ben Rhodes who is deputy national security adviser for strategic communication for POTUS, speaks at San Antonia Chamber of Commerce as a last minute replacement for scheduled speaker Scott Pelley:<br />
<em>"Our government thinks that, you know, there's a really good chance this was not just a spontaneous mob reaction to what some thought was an offensive film but actually a coordinated effort timed to the 9/11 anniversary."</em><br />
<br />
6:50 PM ET <br />
POTUS lands in Las Vegas for political rally/fundraiser.<br />
<br />
Acting assistant secretary for Near Eastern Affairs Beth Jones emails high level officials: <em>"The group that conducted the attacks, Ansar al-Sharia, is affiliated with Islamic terrorists."</em><br />
<br />
60 Minutes interview of Obama by Steve Kroft. CBS News, run by David Rhodes, edits out segment that indicates Obama knew that Benghazi was a premeditated attack not a reaction to the video. <br />
<br />
09/13/12 <br />
US intelligence informing White House that Benghazi attack carried out by Al Qaeda's Ansar al-Sharia and AQIM.<br />
<br />
09/13/12 <br />
Press Secretary Jay Carney condemns the YouTube video and the violence.<br />
<br />
09/13/12 <br />
FBI interviews the survivors of the attack.<br />
<br />
09/13/12 <br />
Nakoula Basseley Nakoula is linked to the <em>Innocence of Muslims </em>movie and the persona 'Sam Bacile' by Associated Press and US federal authorities.<br />
<br />
09/14/12 <br />
<br />
[Early morning hours]<br />
Defense Department's Africom sends a targeting memo to State Department including the names of 11 suspects, four connected to AQIM and seven connected Ansar al-Sharia.<br />
<br />
11:15 AM <br />
CIA's Office of Terrorism Analysis submits Version 1 of Benghazi Talking Points. <em>“We do know that Islamic extremists with ties to al Qaeda participated in the attack.”</em><br />
<br />
Secretary of Defense Panetta briefs Senate Armed Services Committee with Version 1 of Benghazi Talking Points, declares Benghazi a coordinated terrorist attack.<br />
<br />
CIA Director Petraeus briefs House Intelligent Committees on Benghazi, contradicts Libyan CIA station chief and Version 1 of Benghazi Talking Points by directly linking attack to the YouTube video.<br />
<br />
WH Spokesman Jay Carney denies Administration had <em>“actionable intelligence indicating that an attack on the US mission in Benghazi was planned or imminent.”</em><br />
Carney continues:<em> "We also need to understand that this is a fairly volatile situation and it is in response not to United States policy, not to obviously the administration, not to the American people. It is in response to a video, a film that we have judged to be reprehensible and disgusting. That in no way justifies any violent reaction to it, but this is not a case of protests directed at the United States writ large or at U.S. policy. This is in response to a video that is offensive to Muslims."</em><br />
<br />
The bodies of slain Americans return to Andrews Air Force Base. <br />
***<strong>Obama and Clinton blame the YouTube video in their prepared statements before the flag draped coffins.</strong><br />
<br />
4:20 <br />
Stephen W. Preston, the CIA general counsel sends an email to other agency officials advising them not to disclose information that could jeopardize the FBI's own investigation.<br />
<br />
4:42<br />
Nuland...<br />
<br />
5:10 <br />
Tommy Vietor top spokesman at the National Security Council<br />
<br />
Email from Jake Sullivan, deputy chief of staff to Hillary Clinton, reports to State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland that he’s spoken with Obama’s top spokesman at the National Security Council, Tommy Vietor. <em>“I spoke with Tommy. We’ll work through this in the morning and get comments back.”</em><br />
In a separate email, he writes: <em>“Talked to Tommy. We can make edits.”</em><br />
<br />
***5:42 PM, 9/14/2012<br />
Email sent by Deputy Spokesman at U.S. Mission to the United Nations Payton Knopf to Susan Rice:<br />
<em><strong>"Responding to a question about whether it was an organized terror attack, Toria said that she couldn’t speak to the identity of the perpetrators but that it was clearly a complex attack."</strong></em><br />
<br />
6:20 <br />
Tommy Vietor, the National Security Council spokesman emails to remind officials that Denis McDonough, the then deputy national security adviser and now White House chief of staff wants all talking points edited and coordinated within the State Department.<br />
<br />
6:41 <br />
Shawn Turner, spokesman for the director of national intelligence offers up the suggestion that on September 10th, the CIA 'notified' the American embassy in Cairo, not 'warned it' about social media chatter calling for jihadists to break into the embassy. Morell removed this.<br />
<br />
6:48<br />
Brennan...<br />
<br />
6:52 <br />
Brennan finishes and passes along his Talking Points edits.<br />
<br />
after 6:52 <br />
Version 1 of Benghazi Talking Points are first distributed to State Department officials in the inter agency vetting process.<br />
<br />
7:16 <br />
Victoria Nuland, State Department spokeswoman email says that all talking points should match what the Obama administration was telling reporters.<br />
<br />
7:39 PM <br />
Senior State Department official, spokesman Victoria Nuland, raises “serious concerns” about Version 1 of Benghazi Talking Points: <em>“The Agency has produced numerous pieces on the threat of extremists linked to al-Qa’ida in Benghazi and eastern Libya. These noted that, since April, there have been at least five other attacks against foreign interests in Benghazi by unidentified assailants, including the June attack against the British Ambassador’s convoy. We cannot rule out the individuals has previously surveilled the U.S. facilities, also contributing to the efficacy of the attacks. [Version 1 of the Talking Points] could be abused by members [of Congress] to beat up the State Department for not paying attention to warnings, so why would we want to feed that either? Concerned …”</em><br />
<br />
In response to State Dept. concerns, CIA officials cut all references to Ansar al Sharia.<br />
<br />
7:51 <br />
The FBI makes minor changes to the talking point draft.<br />
<br />
8:09 PM<br />
<strong>Ben Rhodes email</strong> to Carney, Earnest, Pfieffer, Palmieri Pelton, Ledbetter, and Pluoffe, subject: <em>"RE: PREP CALL with Susan, Saturday at 4:00 pm ET."</em><br />
<strong>“Goal: To underscore that these protests are rooted in and Internet video, and not a broader failure or policy.”</strong><br />
<br />
9:15 <br />
Email from official in CIA’s Office of Public Affairs to others at agency: <em>“The State Department had major reservations with much or most of the document. We revised the document with their concerns in mind.”</em><br />
<br />
9:24 PM <br />
Nuland's follow-up email states that the problems with the Talking Points remain and that her superiors—she did not say which ones—were unhappy. <br />
<br />
9:25 PM <br />
Jake Sullivan, deputy chief of staff and director of policy planning at the State Department, email to Victoria Nuland to inform her of conversations he’s had with Tommy Vietor, spokesman for the National Security Council at the White House. <em>“I spoke with Tommy. We’ll work through this in the morning and get comments back.”</em><br />
<br />
9:32 PM <br />
Sullivan email to Nuland: <em>“Talked to Tommy. We can make edits.”</em><br />
<br />
9:34 PM <br />
In response to Nuland's email, Ben Rhodes, a top adviser to President Obama on national security and foreign policy, re-assures the group that the issues would be resolved in a meeting of top administration officials the following morning at the White House: <em>"We must make sure that the talking points reflect all agency equities, including those of the State Department, and we don’t want to undermine the FBI investigation. We thus will work through the talking points tomorrow morning at the Deputies Committee meeting.”</em><br />
<br />
9:43 PM <br />
OCA to CIA email: <em>”FBI says AQ (not AQIM) was involved and they are pursuing that theory. So we are not ahead of law enforcement now. So are cleared to go to Congress?”</em><br />
<br />
9:52 <br />
A CIA spokesman emails other agency staff members a note intended for David Petraeus that warns him that the White House cleared the talking points too quickly and that the State Department had 'major concerns'.<br />
<br />
09/15/12 <br />
<br />
9:45 <br />
Deputies Committee convenes with James Clapper Director for National Intelligence (DNI) . Some participants in person, others join via a Secure Video Teleconference System (SVTS).<br />
Version 2 of Benghazi Talking Points: 'Jihadists,' 'al Qaeda' and mention of previous attacks in Benghazi are omitted from Version 1.<br />
<br />
Mike Morell, deputy director of the CIA, agrees to work with Jake Sullivan and Rhodes to edit the talking points. Sullivan was deputy chief of staff to Sec. of State Clinton and the State Dept.’s director of policy planning. Denis McDonough, top national security adviser to Obama deferred on Rhodes’s behalf to Sullivan.<br />
<br />
Morell hand written edits of Talking Points from meeting: Morell scratches out mentions of al-Qaida, the experience of fighters in Libya, Islamic extremists and a warning to the Cairo embassy on the eve of the attacks of calls for a demonstration and break-in by jihadists.<br />
<br />
<div class="p3">
The proceedings of the meeting are summarized in an email to Rice shortly after the meeting ended. The subject line reads: “SVTS on Movie/Protests/violence.” </div>
<div class="p3">
According to the email, several officials in meeting shared Nuland's concerns, who did not attend, that CIA’s talking points might lead to criticism that State Dept. ignored CIA’s warning about an attack. </div>
<div class="p3">
The email reports that Sullivan will work with a small group of individuals from intelligence community to finalize the talking points on Saturday before sending them on to the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, which had originated the request for talking points.</div>
<div class="p3">
</div>
<div class="p3">
Sender of the email to Rice (name redacted) speaks with Sullivan after meeting, reminding him that Rice would be doing the Sunday morning shows and needs to receive the final talking points. Sullivan committed to making sure Rice was updated before the Sunday shows. The sender tells Sullivan the name of the staffer (redacted in the email) who would be running Rice’s prep session and encouraged the team to keep Rice in the loop.</div>
<div class="p3">
</div>
In Germany, FBI finishes interviewing survivors of the attack and most of those on site during the attack.<br />
<br />
11:25 <br />
Benjamin Rhodes changes the United States 'consulate' to 'diplomatic post'.<br />
<br />
11:26 AM <br />
Version 3 of Benghazi Talking Points is established by DNI.<br />
<br />
Version 3 Benghazi Talking Points provided for UN Amb. Rice for the Sunday news talk shows she is scheduled for. <br />
<br />
12:51 PM <br />
CIA Director Petraeus is emailed most recent version of talking points.<br />
<br />
1:23 PM --- Email sent to Rice by a member of her staff whose name was blacked out. The email said Morell indicated he would work with Sullivan and Ben Rhodes, the White House deputy national security adviser, to revise the talking points<br />
<br />
2:27 PM <br />
Patraeus email to Morell: <em>“No mention of the cable to Cairo, either?</em> ...<em>Frankly, I’d just as soon not use this... NSS's call, to be sure; however, this is certainly not what Vice Chairman (Dutch) Ruppersberger was hoping to get for unclas use. Regardless, thanks for the great work."</em><br />
Ruppersberger is the top Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee.<br />
<br />
2:44 PM <br />
The (redacted) author of email to Rice follows up directly with Sullivan, asking for a copy of the talking points to help with Rice’s preparation for TV. Sullivan promises to provide them.<br />
<br />
2:44 PM <br />
Petraeus email to Chip Walter, head of the CIA’s legislative affairs office, expressing frustration at new talking points, noting that they had been stripped of much of the content his agency had provided - policymakers had even taken out the line about the CIA’s warning on Cairo. <br />
<br />
Email from an official with CIA’s Office of Terrorism Analysis, the office that drafted the original version of the talking points, signed off on the final version but seemed to understand that the new version wouldn’t please those who had requested it. <em>“They are fine with me. But, pretty sure HPSCI [the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence] won’t like them. :-)”</em><br />
<br />
3 PM <br />
The final draft is approved and Susan Rice uses it to inform her appearances on Sunday morning news shows.<br />
<br />
09/15/12 <br />
Federal authorities take You Tube video maker Nakoula in for an interview about possible probation violations related to the film's distribution on the Internet.<br />
<br />
09/16/12 <br />
UN Ambassador Susan Rice appears on five Sunday talk shows and says Benghazi attacks were spontaneous and provoked by the YouTube video, exclusively. <br />
<br />
<em>"But based on the best information we have to date, what our assessment is as of the present is in fact what began spontaneously in Benghazi as a reaction to what had transpired some hours earlier in Cairo where, of course, as you know, there was a violent protest outside of our embassy–sparked by this hateful video."</em><br />
<br />
<em>"This is a spontaneous reaction to a video, and it’s not dissimilar but, perhaps, on a slightly larger scale than what we have seen in the past with The Satanic Verses with the cartoons of the Prophet Muhammad."</em><br />
<br />
09/16/12 <br />
Libyan President Mohammed Magarief says, <em>“no doubt that this [attack] was preplanned, predetermined.”</em><br />
<br />
09/17/12 <br />
State Dept. spokeswoman Victoria Nuland refuses to call Benghazi attack an act of terror.<br />
<br />
09/18/12 <br />
WH Spokesman Jay Carney: <em>"No evidence of [Benghazi] being a pre-planned attack."</em><br />
<br />
09/18/12 <br />
Obama asked about Benghazi on <em>Late Night</em> with David Letterman, blames the YouTube video filmmaker. <em>"Here's what happened. ... You had a video that was released by somebody who lives here, sort of a shadowy character who -- who made an extremely offensive video directed at -- at Mohammed and Islam."</em><br />
<br />
09/19/12 <br />
CNN finds Ambassador Stevens’ diary at Benghazi consulate compound, which indicates concern about security threats in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
09/19/12 <br />
Director of National Counter-terrorism Center Matthew Olsen tells Congress attack in Benghazi was “terrorism.”<br />
<br />
09/20/12 <br />
Carney backs up Olsen, says it was <em>“self-evident that what happened in Benghazi was a terrorist attack.”</em><br />
<br />
09/20/12 <br />
POTUS interview with Univision:<em> "What we’ve seen over the last week, week and a half, is something that actually we’ve seen in the past, where there is an offensive video or cartoon directed at the prophet Muhammad. And this is obviously something that then is used as an excuse by some to carry out inexcusable violent acts directed at Westerners or Americans... What we do know is that the natural protests that arose because of the outrage over the video were used as an excuse by extremists to see if they can also directly harm U.S. interests."</em><br />
<br />
09/21/12 <br />
Secretary of State Clinton declares, “What happened in Benghazi was a terrorist attack.”<br />
<br />
9/25/12 <br />
On <em>The View</em> when asked if Benghazi was a terrorist attack, Obama says, “we don’t have all of the information yet so we are still gathering.”<br />
<br />
9/25/12 <br />
President Obama addresses UN assembly, repeatedly refers to the YouTube video.<br />
<br />
9/26/12 <br />
Libya’s President Magarief on Today show: “It was a preplanned act of terrorism directed against American citizens.”<br />
<br />
09/27/12 <br />
<em>Innocence of Muslims</em> "filmmaker" Mark Basseley Youseff (aka Nakoula Basseley Nakoula) is arrested in Los Angeles for violating terms of his probation, including making false statements regarding his role in the film and his use of the alias "Sam Bacile." <br />
Nakoula is denied bail.<br />
<br />
9/27/12<br />
A Fox News report -- titled "US officials knew Libya attack was terrorism within 24 hours, sources confirm" -- is circulated at most senior levels of administration -- McDonough, Brennan; Morell; and Rhodes, among others. [comments are redacted, citing "personal privacy information."]<br />
<br />
9/28/12 <br />
ODNI and Director Clapper, issues statement backing Administration’s changed story about Benghazi attack being act of terror: <em>“In the immediate aftermath, there was information that led us to assess that the attack began spontaneously following protests earlier that day at our embassy in Cairo. We provided that initial assessment to Executive Branch officials and members of Congress, who used that information to discuss the attack publicly and provide updates as they became available... As we learned more about the attack, we revised our initial assessment to reflect new information indicating that it was a deliberate and organized attack carried out by extremists. It remains unclear if any group or person exercised overall command and control of the attack, and if extremist group leaders directed their members to participate. However, we do assess that some of those involved were linked to groups affiliated with, or sympathetic to al Qaeda.”</em><br />
<br />
9/28/12 <br />
Jill Kelley has breakfast at the White House after being appointed an honorary consul director to South Korea.<br />
<br />
10/02/12 <br />
Carney declines to comment on reported requests from diplomats in Benghazi for additional security, citing the State Department’s internal investigation.<br />
<br />
10/04/12 <br />
FBI team arrives in Benghazi to investigate attack. They leave after 12 hours.<br />
<br />
10/??/12 <br />
Tunisian Ali Ani al-Harzi is arrested in Turkey for his suspected role in the Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
10/??/12 <br />
Tunisian and member of the Islamic Jihad, Jamal Abu Ahmad is arrested in Egypt for his suspected role in the Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
10/09/12 <br />
State Dept. releases its own account of Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
10/10/12 <br />
House Oversight Committee hearing investigating Benghazi attack convenes.<br />
<br />
10/10/12 <br />
Director of National Intelligence Clapper testifies that he did not alter UN Amb. Rices talking points.<br />
<br />
10/11/12 <br />
During VP debate Biden firmly declares that "we" were never informed about Benghazi security concerns before attack.<br />
<br />
10/16/12 <br />
Obama pledges to "hunt down" the Benghazi attackers during presidential debate. Says he called the Benghazi assault a terrorist attack on 9/12/12. CNN debate moderator Candy Crawley breaks pro forma to side with Obama on this matter. Michelle Obama shuns debate rules by clapping loudly at Crowley's debate assistance. <br />
<br />
10/18/12 <br />
President Obama asked about Benghazi on <em>The Daily Show</em> with Jon Stewart.<br />
<br />
10/19/12<br />
CBS News releases a quote of the previously edited out portion of an interview recorded on 9/12/12 that indicates Obama knew Benghazi was a premeditated attack.<br />
<br />
10/??/12 <br />
CIA Director Petraeus secretly visits Libya to personally investigate Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
10/24/12 <br />
Jill Kelley visits the White House for a second time.<br />
<br />
10/24/12<br />
Sharyl Attkisson of CBS News posts online the clip edited out of the 60 Minutes interview with Obama on 9/12/12 in which he indicates he knew Benghazi was a premeditated attack.<br />
<br />
10/25/12 <br />
Sec. of Def. Panetta, press briefing: <em>"The basic principle is that you don't deploy forces into harm's way without knowing what's going on... [The attack was over before] we had the opportunity to really know what was happening."</em><br />
<br />
10/26/12 <br />
Journalists from Foreign Policy find classified documents at complex that were overlooked by FBI's recent 12 hour search of the area.<br />
<br />
<strong>10/26/12 </strong><br />
<strong>Paula Broadwell publicly claims CIA Benghazi complex held Libyan jihadists as prisoners.</strong><br />
<br />
10/2?/12 <br />
FBI agent Humphries contacts Rep. Reichert to complain that FBI not being aggressive enough in an investigation about a national security breach.<br />
<br />
10/27/12 <br />
Rep. Reichert informs House Majority Leader Eric Cantor about Patraeus - Broadwell FBI investigation. Cantor contacts FBI.<br />
<br />
10/31/12 <br />
Senator Lindsey Graham writes letter to Tunisian Ambassador requesting FBI be given access to prisoner being held in Tunisia with knowledge of Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
11/01/12 <br />
Tunisian Prime Minister grants FBI access to prisoner with ties to Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
11/02/12 <br />
FBI arrives in Tunisia to interview Benghazi suspect.<br />
<br />
11/02/12 <br />
FBI completes investigation of Petraeus - Broadwell emails/affair.<br />
<br />
11/0?/12 <br />
CIA Director Petraeus and Director of National Intelligence Clapper clash over official CIA timeline to be released.<br />
<br />
*/*/12<br />
Petraeus finds out about FBI's investigation of his affair with Broadwell.<br />
<br />
11/06/12 <br />
Director of National Intelligence Clapper learns of Petraeus - Broadwell affair.<br />
<br />
11/07/12 <br />
You Tube maker of <em>Innocence of Muslims</em> Mark Basseley Youseff (aka Nakoula Basseley Nakoula) sentenced to one year in prison and four years of supervised release.<br />
<br />
11/08/12 <br />
Obama notified of Petraeus affair FBI investigation.<br />
<br />
11/09/12 <br />
White House asks Petraeus to resign as CIA Director.<br />
<br />
11/12/12 <br />
FBI searches Broadwell home.<br />
<br />
11/14/12 <br />
Obama press conference: <br />
-POTUS the one who sent Rice onto the five Sunday talk shows to explain Benghazi on 9/16/12. <br />
-No classified material exposed in Petraeus - Broadwell affair.<br />
-<em>"...what happened in Benghazi. We have provided every bit of information that we have, and we will continue to provide information..."</em><br />
<br />
11/15/12 <br />
House and Senate Intelligence Committee hearings on Benghazi attack.<br />
Four top intelligence officers appear before the Senate committee: DNI Clapper, head of Nat. Counterterrorism Center Matt Olsen, under Sec. of State for management Pat Kennedy, and head of CIA Mike Morell. Each of them emphatically states that they did not change the talking points.<br />
<br />
11/16/12 <br />
Petraeus testifies that CIA knew Benghazi was a planned terrorist attack from day one and that the CIA did not change Rice's talking points.<br />
<br />
Morell implicates FBI in talking point changes/removals... <br />
<br />
11/??/12 <br />
FBI issues a global appeal asking anyone with information about Benghazi attackers to send information via e-mail, text message or Facebook.<br />
<br />
11/27/12 <br />
Jay Carney: <em>“There are no unanswered questions about Ambassador Rice’s appearance on Sunday shows and the talking points that she used for those appearances that were provided by the intelligence community.”</em><br />
<br />
11/27/12 <br />
Rice and CIA Director Mike Morell meet with Sens. McCain, Graham and Ayotte. Morell: FBI were the ones that altered Rice's public talking points.<br />
Later in the day, CIA "corrects" Morell by saying CIA not FBI made the changes.<br />
<br />
***11/28/12 <br />
Jay Carney: <em>“Those talking points originated from the intelligence community. They reflect the IC’s best assessments of what they thought had happened... <strong>The White House and the State Department have made clear that the single adjustment that was made to those talking points by either of those two institutions were changing the word ‘consulate’ to ‘diplomatic facility’ because ‘consulate’ was inaccurate.”</strong></em><br />
<br />
12/2012<br />
Cheryl Attkisson of CBS News has her computer breached while
investigating White House Benghazi scandal. (Attkisson says she noticed unusual
activity in her CBS-issued laptop and her home computer, such as dormant
computers spontaneously “waking up” at odd hours. The unusual activity, which
also included disruptions on her home phone line, predate the December 2012
breach that CBS confirmed.)<br />
12/04/12 --- Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for African Affairs Amanda Dory testifies before<br />
Senate Foreign Relations African subcommittee that Al-Qaeda in the Maghreb (AQIM) involved in Benghazi attack. <br />
<br />
12/15/12 <br />
Hillary Clinton suffers a concussion after fainting due to a stomach virus, but is not hospitalized.<br />
<br />
12/16/12 <br />
Hillary Clinton announces that she will not testify before Congressional hearings next week because of her recent ailment.<br />
<br />
12/17/12 <br />
State Department's Accountability Review Board (ARB) report on its investigation of Benghazi is released.<br />
<br />
12/18/12 <br />
Paula Broadwell is cleared of any charges in her cyber-stalking email probe.<br />
<br />
12/18/12 <br />
Raymond Maxwell, deputy assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern Affairs is placed on forced “administrative leave" with pay. No reason is given.<br />
<br />
12/19/12 <br />
Eric Boswell, assistant secretary of state for diplomatic security, and Charlene Lamb, deputy assistant secretary responsible for embassy security resign in wake of ARB report.<br />
<br />
12/20/12 <br />
Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing on Benghazi<br />
<br />
12/26/12 <br />
Republican senators will reportedly refuse to confirm Sen. John Kerry, as Secretary of State until Hillary Clinton testifies about Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
12/26/12 <br />
Report: Highest-ranking official forced to “resign" after ARB report, Assistant Secretary of State Eric Boswell, has not “resigned” from government service, as officials stated last week - he is changing job titles. <br />
Three other officials reported as fired are now on administrative leave and are expected back at former positions. <br />
All four remain on the State Department payroll. <br />
<br />
12/27/12 <br />
Krauthammer to press: <em>“Is there anything that they’ve told us about this affair – a serious affair, four dead Americans, a sacked embassy, and the first assassination of an ambassador in 30 years – that has turned out to be so? As of now, nothing.”</em><br />
<br />
12/28/2012 (a Saturday)<br />
WH releases visitor log for 9/11/2012 that shows three visitors for "Debate Prep". <br />
<br />
12/30/12 <br />
Obama when asked if there has been progress in bringing the Benghazi attackers to justice: <em>"We have some very good leads."</em><br />
<br />
12/30/12 <br />
Hillary Clinton has not been seen in public since beginning of December.<br />
<br />
1/2013<br />
CIA operatives involved in Benghazi begin being subjected to frequent, even monthly polygraph examinations. The goal of the questioning, according to sources, is to find out if anyone is talking to the media or Congress.<br />
<br />
01/02/13 <br />
Ahmed Boukhtala, main suspect in the Benghazi attack as well as a suspect in assassination of Libyan rebel commander Major General Abdelfattah Younis, continues to live freely in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
01/08/13 <br />
Ali Harzi, suspect in Benghazi attack, is freed by Tunisian officials due to lack of evidence.<br />
<br />
01/17/13 <br />
FBI director Mueller arrives in Tripoli.<br />
<br />
01/21/13 <br />
A senior Algerian official: Egyptian militants that sieged an Algerian gas complex last week also took part in attack on US in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
01/22/13 <br />
CBS News reporter Sharyl Attkisson responds to Obama Administration statement that it will not answer further questions on Benghazi:<br />
<em>-"Who made the decision not to convene the Counter-terrorism Security Group (CSG) the night of the Benghazi attacks?"</em><br />
<em>-“We understand that convening the CSG a protocol under Presidential directive (“NSPD-46”). Is that true? If not, please explain…”</em><br />
<em>-“Who is the highest-ranking official who was aware of pre-911 security requests from US personnel in Libya?”</em><br />
<em>-“Who is/are the official(s) responsible for removing reference to al-Qaeda from the original CIA notes?”</em><br />
<em>-“Was the President aware of Gen. Petraeus’ potential problems prior to Thurs., Nov. 8, 2012?”</em><br />
<br />
01/23/13 <br />
Clinton testifies on Benghazi attacks before Senate Foreign Relations Committee and House Foreign Affairs Committee.<br />
Clinton:<br />
-acknowledges ‘spreading jihadist threat’<br />
-<strong><em>‘What difference, at this point, does it make?!’</em></strong><br />
-No one has been fired in aftermath of Benghazi attack<br />
-State Dept. <em>‘was not involved’</em> in creation of administration talking points<br />
-denies seeing the August 15/16 memo warning of the eminent attack<br />
-there was no real time video of the attack<br />
-makes the case for democracy ‘bolstering’ as a defense against AQIM<br />
-denies knowledge of any weapons being shipped from Libya to Syria through Turkey<br />
<br />
***02/07/2013 <br />
Former Secretary of Defense Panetta and Joint Chief of Staff General Dempsey testify on Benghazi before Senate Armed Services Committee. <br />
-They acknowledge receiving 281 concurrent threat reports about the danger in Benghazi (Clinton denied seeing many of these reports).<br />
<strong>-They testify that after the 5PM White House meeting telling POTUS that an attack on the consulate had begun, POTUS never followed-up on any details until well after the 8 hour attack had ended...</strong><br />
<br />
02/14/2013 <br />
White House confirms that POTUS did not make any phone calls to any principals involved (Defense, State, Libyan officials) in Benghazi attack for the 7 hours it lasted following him being informed of the crisis.<br />
<br />
02/15/2013 Susan Rice goes on Comedy Central's <em>The Daily Show</em> to be interviewed by Jon Stewart.<br />
<br />
***02/19/2013 <br />
Jay Carney: <em>“Like every president before him, he has a national security adviser and deputy national security adviser. He was in regular communication with his national security team directly, through them, and <strong>spoke with the secretary of state at approximately 10 p.m. He called her to get an update on the situation.”</strong></em><br />
<br />
02/21/2013 <br />
Egypt still denying US access to the only publicly known Benghazi attack suspect in custody. Abu Ahmed, aka Mohammed Jamal, is suspected of running Islamist training camps in Eastern Libya where militants who took part in the Benghazi attack were trained. <br />
<br />
03/2013<br />
Faraj al Chalabi, (also spelled Shibli) an al Qaeda terrorist linked to the 1994 terrorist murder of two German tourists, is detained by the Tripoli government for his role in planning the Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
03/05/2013 <br />
Secretary of State Kerry says that he has met with one of the 33 Benghazi survivors.<br />
<br />
03/12/2013 <br />
Congressional staffers from House Armed Services, Foreign Affairs, Intelligence, Judiciary and Government Oversight committees meet for a closed door "status report" on their investigations into the Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
03/13/2013<br />
Marine Corps Col. George Bristol relinquishes command of Joint Special Operations Task Force-Trans Sahara, which is at the center of the military’s fight against extremist groups operating across the Sahel. Air Force Col. Kenneth G. Sipperly assumes command of the task force during a ceremony at Africa Command headquarters in Stuttgart.<br />
<br />
03/14/2013<br />
Al Qaeda-linked website, Abdallah Dhu-al-Bajadin, states that Stevens was given a lethal injection after the original plan to kidnap him went bad.<br />
<br />
03/15/2013 <br />
State Department spokeswoman Nuland acknowledges that three diplomatic security agents, as well as a State Department contractor, were among the Americans injured during the attack in Benghazi before she shuts down questions on the matter.<br />
<br />
03/15/2013 <br />
Senator Graham says that he has had contact with some of the 33 Benghazi survivors and that they have been ordered to keep quiet.<br />
<br />
03/18/2013 <br />
Spokesman Carney claims the White House is not preventing access to Benghazi survivors. Carney says he does not know if POTUS has visited with any of the survivors.<br />
<br />
03/28/2013 <br />
Inspector General office notifies State Department of its "special review" seeking to determine
whether the Accountability Review Board, or ARB — led by former UN Ambassador
Thomas Pickering and former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Mike
Mullen — failed to interview key witnesses who had asked to provide their
accounts of Benghazi attacks to the panel.<br />
<br />
04/11/2013 <br />
Director of National Intelligence James Clapper tells House Intelligence Committee that Pentagon-run aerial drones were conducting surveillance above Libya prior to assault on US Consulate. First time a US intelligence official has publicly acknowledged drone operations in Libya prior to the terrorist strike. <br />
<br />
04/17/2013 <br />
Four whistle-blowers, career officials at State Department and CIA, are privately speaking to House Oversight and Government Reform Committee investigators regarding Benghazi attacks. In response, Oversight Committee sends letters to three federal agencies involved: CIA, Defense Department and State Department.<br />
<br />
04/18/2013 <br />
Secretary of State Kerry testifies before Senate Foreign Relations Committee.<br />
<br />
04/23/2013 <br />
Republican House committees on Armed Services, Foreign Affairs, Intelligence, Judiciary, and Oversight and Government Reform release Interim Progress Report on Benghazi Terror Attack Investigation. Report concludes: Clinton approved reductions in security levels prior to Sept. 11, 2012 attack, contradicting Clinton’s testimony before House Foreign Affairs Committee on Jan. 23; White House and senior State Department officials altered accurate intelligence community drafted talking points to protect the department after attack. <br />
<br />
04/29/2013 <br />
State Department refusing security clearances to attorneys representing Benghazi whistle-blower witnesses. One lawyer, Victoria Toensing, a former Justice Department official, accuses unnamed Obama administration officials of threatening her client.<br />
<br />
04/30/2013 <br />
POTUS at White House Presser: <br />
<em>"I’m not familiar with this notion that anybody has been blocked from testifying.
So, what I’ll do is I will find out what exactly you are referring to. What I’ve
been very clear about from the start is that our job with respect to Benghazi
has been to find out exactly what happened, to make sure the U.S. embassies, not
just in the Middle East but around the world, are safe and secure, and to bring
those who carried it out to justice. But I’ll find out what exactly it is that
you’re referring to."</em><br />
<br />
05/01/2013 <br />
FBI posts photos of three individuals who were on the scene during the Sept. 11, 2012 attacks on the US mission in Benghazi.<br />
<br />
05/01/2013 <br />
WH Press Sec. Carney: <em>"<strong>Benghazi happened a long time ago.</strong> We are unaware of any agency blocking an employee who would like to appear before Congress to provide information related to Benghazi."</em><br />
<br />
05/01/2013 <br />
<span itemprop="articleBody">Senators Graham, Ayotte, and McCain send letter to President Obama requesting that the names of Benghazi survivors be released.</span><br />
<br />
05/02/2013 <br />
The State Department’s Office of Inspector General investigation into whether the Accountability Review Board (ARB) failed to interview key witnesses becomes public.<br />
<br />
05/03/2013 <br />
Several sources, including one senior US law enforcement official, tell CNN that several Yemeni men belonging to al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) took part in the Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
05/03/2013 <br />
FBI releases video seeking information regarding three men who were at the U.S. Special Mission in Benghazi on September 11, 2012.<br />
<br />
05/04/2013 <br />
Identities of Benghazi whistle-blowers released. Appearing before House Oversight and Government Reform Committee will be three career State Department officials: <br />
Gregory Hicks, deputy chief of mission at US Embassy in Libya at time of Benghazi attacks; <br />
Mark Thompson, former Marine and now deputy coordinator for Operations in agency’s Counter terrorism Bureau; <br />
Eric Nordstrom, diplomatic security officer who was regional security officer (RSO) in Libya, top security officer in the country in months leading up to attacks.<br />
<br />
05/07/13 <br />
Report of a fourth Benghazi whistle-blower being denied clearance to testify.<br />
<br />
05/07/13 <br />
The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies awards Susan Rice the 2013 Louis E. Martin Great American Award.<br />
<br />
05/08/13 <br />
House Oversight Committee hearing with the three Benghazi whistle-blower witnesses - Hicks, Thompson and Nordstrom. Survivors are named with tales of heroism. <br />
<br />
05/08/13 <br />
CBS News executives warn Sharyl Attkisson that her reporting on Benghazi is wading dangerously close to advocacy. <br />
CBS News president David Rhodes is brother of Ben Rhodes, a top adviser to POTUS on national security and foreign policy who helped edit the Benghazi Talking Points.<br />
<br />
05/08/13 <br />
In Beverly Hills Hillary Clinton is awarded the Pacific Council on International Policy's Warren Christopher Public Service Award.<br />
<br />
05/09/13 <br />
House Speaker Boehner calls on White House to release all emails that relate to Benghazi attacks.<br />
<br />
05/10/13 <br />
ABC News reports that the Benghazi Talking Points went through 12 revisions.<br />
White House officials meet privately with 14 news organisations on "deep background."<br />
Carney hit with Benghazi questions from major news networks during his postponned presser.<br />
<br />
State Dept's Philippe Reines tells CBS News that Clinton Depty Chief of Staff Jake Sullivan not in Benghazi talking points meeting of 9/15: <em>"The White House will tell you he (Sullivan) didn't attend...Not sure where that is coming from but it's bogus..."</em><br />
White House contradicts the State Dept and says Sullivan was in attendance: <em>"The CIA circulated revised talking points...after the Deputies Committee meeting, which Jake attended."</em><br />
Reines explains to CBS News that he "hadn't checked" with Sullivan before mistakely saying that Sullivan didn't attend.<br />
<br />
05/13/13 <br />
Obama presser when asked about Benghazi: <em>"The whole issue of talking points, frankly, throughout this process, has been a sideshow... <strong>There's no there there... </strong>Who executes some sort of cover-up or effort to tamp things down for three days? The whole thing defies logic... These so-called talking points... We dishonor when we, you know, we turn things like this into a political circus."</em> <br />
<br />
05/13/13 <br />
State Department press briefing, spokesperson Jen Psaki when asked to substantiate her claims that CIA stripped talking points before State Dept.: <em>"You'll have to take my word for it."</em><br />
<br />
05/14/13 <br />
146 House Republicans are defying Speaker Boehner and five committee chairmen by endorsing Rep. Wolf's resolution to set up a special panel to investigate Benghazi.<br />
Sen. McCain wants GOP-led House to schedule a vote in hopes to pressure on Senate to act.<br />
<br />
05/14/13 <br />
White House leaks a single Ben Rhodes email (then-Deputy National Security Adviser and brother of CBS News president) to Jake Tapper CNN that apparently contradicts J. Karl ABC News report on Talking Points revisions. Tapper responds by asking WH to release entire email chain. <br />
<br />
05/15/13 <br />
AM --- Former Obama advisor David Axelrod: WH should release Benghazi emails.<br />
<br />
AG Holder says he will not appoint a Special Prosecutor to investigate Benghazi.<br />
<br />
5:15 PM --- White House releases 94 pages of emails on Benghazi, previous claims contradicted; 67 hour gap; zero mention of You Tube video.<br />
<br />
6:15 PM --- POTUS public statement on IRS scandal.<br />
<br />
Sources: Susan Rice informed she will replace Tom Donilon as National Security Advisor when he decides to step down.<br />
<br />
05/16/13 <br />
POTUS from the Rose Garden...<br />
<br />
05/17/13 --- Federal Law Enforcement Officers Association (FLEOA), 26,000 strong, representing DSS officers wounded during Benghazi attack, sends letter to Rep. Wolf, architect of bill to establish a select committee, supporting his bill.<br />
<br />
05/17/13 <br />
CBS News Sharyl Attkisson report: White House officials admit mistakes: <em>"Incompetence rather than malice or cover up... We're portrayed by Republicans as either being lying or idiots. It's actually closer to us being idiots... I wish we'd sent FEST. They were told they were not deploying by Patrick Kennedy's front office... In hindsight... I probably would've pushed the button."</em><br />
<br />
05/17/13 <br />
Rep. Issa issues subpoena to Thomas Pickering to appear at a deposition next week. Pickering co-chaired the Benghazi Accountability Review Board.<br />
<br />
05/20/13 <br />
Former deputy assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern Affairs Raymon Maxwell, in legal limbo on "forced administrative leave," claims he was scapegoated. <em>“I had no involvement to any degree with decisions on security and the funding of security at our diplomatic mission in Benghazi.”</em><br />
<br />
05/21/13 <br />
Report: Two more whistle-blowers set to emerge: Stevens’ mission in Benghazi was to buy back Stinger missiles from al-Qaeda groups issued to them by the State Department, not by the CIA who refuse to do so; pressure put on General Carter Ham, commander of (AFRICOM) not to act to protect US personnel; leaking of Petraeus’ affair to silence the former CIA chief on these matters.<br />
<br />
05/21/13 <br />
FBI identifies five suspects in Benghazi attack - no arrests have been made yet.<br />
<br />
05/23/13 <br />
President Obama declares an end to the Global War on Terror.<br />
<br />
05/23/13 <br />
Lawmakers release letter dated 5/17 by Rep. Issa, chairman of House Oversight and Reform Committee, to Sec. of State Kerry requesting 13 current and former State Department employees be made available for testimony.<br />
<br />
05/23/13 <br />
White House announces President Barack Obama intends to nominate Victoria Nuland as assistant secretary for European and Eurasian affairs, a position that requires Senate confirmation.<br />
<br />
05/28/13 <br />
House Oversight Committee Chairman Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) subpoenas State Department documents related to the Benghazi talking points.<br />
<br />
05/30/13 <br />
The Republican National Committee announces that it's filing a Freedom of Information Act request for the release of all "Benghazi Emails Between Obama’s Reelection Campaign and State Department." <br />
<br />
6/3/2013<br />
State Dept.'s Rewards for Justice program offers $23 million in rewards
for information on key leaders of terrorist organizations in West Africa:
al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), the Movement for Unity and Jihad in West
Africa (MUJWA);and the groups known as the Signed-in-Blood Battalion and Boko
Haram.<br />
<br />
6/5/2013 <br />
President Obama replaces retiring National Security Advisor Tom Donolin with Susan Rice.<br />
<br />
6/12/2013<br />
Libya’s government releases al Qaeda terror suspect Faraj al Chalabi, (also spelled Shibli) who US officials say was involved in planning the Benghazi attack. Chalabi, detained by Tripoli government in March, is released based on claims there is lack of evidence to hold him in custody.<br />
<br />
6/12/2013<br />
CIA Director Mike Morell resigns. <br />
Morell signed off on the requested edits of the CIA's Benghazi talking points. <br />
He will join the President’s Intelligence Advisory Board, the White House said.<br />
<br />
6/13/2013<br />
The release of al Chalabi is first reported by the Benghazi publication <i>New Quryna Online.</i><br />
<br />
6/14/2013<br />
<em>“A cyber security firm hired by CBS News has determined through
forensic analysis that Sharyl Attkisson’s computer was accessed by an
unauthorized, external, unknown party on multiple occasions late in 2012.
Evidence suggests this party performed all access remotely using Attkisson’s
accounts. While no malicious code was found, forensic analysis revealed an
intruder had executed commands that appeared to involve search and exfiltration
of data.</em><br />
<em>This party also used sophisticated methods to remove all
possible indications of unauthorized activity, and alter system times to cause
further confusion.</em><br />
<em>CBS News is taking steps to identify the
responsible party and their method of access.”</em> <br />
<br />
6/20/2013<br />
State Department declassifies first official photos from aftermath of Benghazi attack that includes jihadi graffiti.<br />
<br />
6/24/2013<br />
House Republican chairman Issa subpoenas four State Department officials, saying the department is stalling on efforts to interview them.<br />
<br />
6/26/2013<br />
House Armed Services Committee questions military members in the AFRICOM chain of command in a closed hearing. The witnesses include commander of Special Operations Command Africa Rear Adm. Brian Losey and former AFRICOM commander Gen. Carter Ham.<br />
<br />
7/5/2013<br />
Members of Congress want to interview Marine Corps Col. George Bristol who was in a key position in the AFRICOM chain of command during Benghazi attack, but they don't know where he is and the Pentagon isn't telling. Pentagon spokesman Major Robert Firman says that the Department of Defense "cannot compel retired members to testify before Congress."<br />
<br />
7/10/2013<br />
Former State Dept. spokeswoman Victoria Nuland, nominated by President Obama to be assistant secretary of State for European and Eurasian affairs, tells Senate Foreign Relations Committee that she sought changes in the CIA talking points draft because it was “inappropriately crafted” and misleading. Nuland said she played only a limited role in the review of the Benghazi explanation and never discussed it with Hillary Clinton or Susan Rice.<br />
<br />
7/17/2013<br />
Defense Department officials have told members of Congress that Marine Corps Col. George Bristol
cannot be forced to testify because he retired after stepping down during a
March change of command ceremony.<br />
<em>“Col. Bristol was not invited by Congress to testify before he retired,” said
Air Force Maj. Robert Firman, a spokesman with the Office of the Secretary of
Defense. “The DoD has cooperated fully with Congress and the Accountability
Review Board since the beginning of this investigation, and we will continue to
do so.”</em><br />
That isn’t the case, however. While Bristol is preparing for retirement, he
is on active duty through the end of July, said Maj. Shawn Haney, a Marine
spokeswoman. He will be placed on the inactive list on Aug. 1, she
said. That contradicts statements that Pentagon officials have issued to both
Congress and the media.<br />
<br />
7/18/2013<br />
Congressman Frank Wolf on the House floor: survivors of the Benghazi terror attack have been forced to sign non-disclosure agreements.<br />
<br />
7/19/2013<br />
Former head of US forces in Africa (AFRICOM) retired General Carter Ham speaks about Benghazi attack at the Aspen Security Forum: We all knew <em>"pretty quickly that this was not a demonstration. This was a violent attack."</em><br />
<br />
7/31/2013<br />
CNN able to interview lead Benghazi suspect, Ahmed Abu Khattala, for two hours. He has <strong>not</strong> been contacted by the FBI. Khattala is described as the leader of the al Qaeda-affiliated militia group Ansar al-Sharia.<br />
<br />
8/1/2013<br />
CNN report: 21 CIA agents were on the ground during Benghazi attack, and the agency is going to great lengths to make sure whatever it was doing, remains a secret. 35 Americans were in Benghazi on night of attack - seven wounded.<br />
<br />
8/6/2013<br />
Justice Department files charges in sealed criminal indictment against Ahmed Abu Khattala and two others.<br />
<br />
8/12/2013<br />
Unsubstantiated report: Over 400 surface-to-air missiles went missing after 9/11 Benghazi raid.<br />
<br />
8/19/2013<br />
Secretary of State Kerry determines that the four State Department
officials placed on administrative leave by Hillary Clinton last December after the
attack in Benghazi do not deserve any formal disciplinary
action and has asked them to come back to work at the State Dept. starting
8/20.<br />
A senior State Department official confirms that
all four officials placed on administrative leave were now returned to regular
duty and would not face any formal disciplinary action.<br />
<br />
8/23/2013<br />
US special operations team in Libya assigned to track Benghazi attackers being pulled from region.<br />
<br />
9/9/2013<br />
NYT: Libyan government, which has little to no control over significant parts of the country, has rebuffed the Obama administration’s efforts to arrest the Benghazi suspects. <br />
<br />
10/23/2013<br />
State Department is asked why the Benghazi Terrorists are not part of the US 'Reward for Justice' Program.<br />
<br />
10/25/2013<br />
Sources: ex-Guantanamo detainee Sufian bin Qumu, who is suspected of running camps in eastern Libya where some of the Benghazi assailants trained and a "respected member" of Ansar al-Sharia, was on site during the Benghazi attack.<br />
<br />
10/31/2013<br />
Report: Masked from public view, two of the U.S. military’s elite special operations commandos have been awarded medals for bravery. <br />
Sources directly familiar with the attack say that a unit of eight special operators — mostly Delta Force and Green Beret members — were in Tripoli the night of the attack, on a counterterrorism mission that involved capturing weapons and wanted terrorists from the streets and helping train Libyan forces.<br />
When word of the Benghazi attack surfaced, two members of that military unit volunteered to be dispatched along with five private security contractors on a hastily arranged flight from Tripoli to rescue Americans in danger.<br />
The two special operations forces arrived in time to engage in the final, ferocious firefight between the terrorists and Americans holed up in the CIA annex.<br />
<em>“Yes, we had special forces in Tripoli, and two in fact did volunteer and engaged heroically in the efforts to save Americans."</em><br />
<br />
4/2/2014<br />
Morell re-testifies before House Intelligence Committee, revises previous testimony - misspoke, mixed up recollection. Regarding seeing Rice on Sunday talk shows: <em>"My reaction was two-fold. One was that what she said about the attacks evolving spontaneously from a protest was exactly what the talking points said, and it was exactly what the intelligence community analysts believed. When she talked about the video, my reaction was, that's not something that the analysts have attributed this attack to."</em><br />
<br />
4/30/2014<br />
Court ordered release of Ben Rhodes email of 9/14/2012 at 8:09 PM.<br />
<br />
5/1/2014<br />
Former NSC spokesman Vietor: "Dude, this was like two years ago!"<br />
<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-85935349348312001892012-10-28T12:14:00.002-04:002012-11-07T09:01:30.045-05:002012 POTUS Prediction Models<span style="color: black;"><a href="http://washingtonexaminer.com/barone-going-out-on-a-limb-romney-wins-handily/article/2512470#.UJQ8jcXA901"><span style="font-size: large;">Michael Barone:</span></a><span style="font-size: large;"> </span></span><span style="color: #990000; font-size: large;"><strong>Romney 315 - 223</strong></span><br />
<a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map"><span style="font-size: large;">Simon Jackmon/HuffPo:</span></a><span style="font-size: large;"> <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>Obama 277+</strong></span></span><br />
<a href="http://rove.com/uploads/0000/0740/Romney-ObamaROVEPrediction.pdf"><span style="font-size: large;">Karl Rove:</span></a><span style="font-size: large;"> <strong><span style="color: #990000;">Romney 279 - 259 , <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204846304578090820229096046.html">pop. vote</a> 51 - 48 Romney</span></strong></span><br />
<a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/"><span style="font-size: large;">Nate Silver:</span></a><span style="font-size: large;"> <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">Obama 314 - 223 , pop. vote 50.9 - 48.2 Obama</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;">Perception As Reality:</span><strong> <span style="color: #990000;">Romney 271 - 267 , pop. vote 50 - 49</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/">Larry Sabato:</a> <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">Obama 290 - 248</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><a href="https://twitter.com/john_mcguirk/status/265831457203818497">Scott Rasmussen:</a> <strong>pop. vote <span style="color: #990000;">Romney 49.35% - 47.88%</span></strong></span><br />
<em></em><br />
<span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Gallup </span><a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/158399/2012-electorate-looks-like-2008.aspx"><span style="font-size: large;">Model:</span></a></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">US [D 37 , R 39 , I 24 = R +2] , [W52 - M48]</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black; font-size: small;">[W52 - M48]</span><strong><span style="color: black;"> Pop. Vote</span> --- <span style="color: #990000;">Romney 51.15% - 48.85%</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: small;">[W53 - M47]</span> <strong>Pop. Vote --- <span style="color: #990000;">Romney 51.11% - 48.89%</span></strong></span></span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;">Final Tracking <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx">Poll 11/5</a> ---</span> <span style="color: #990000;">Romney 49% - 48%</span></span></strong><br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;">Rasmussen</span> </span><a href="http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation"><span style="font-size: large;">Model:</span></a></strong><br />
September --- US [D 34.2 , R 36.8 , I 29 = R +2.6] <br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;">Pop. Vote ---</span> <span style="color: #990000;">Romney </span><span style="color: #990000;">52.58% - 47.42%</span></span></strong><br />
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse; table-layout: fixed; width: 1207px;" x:str="">
<tbody>
<tr height="17" style="height: 12.75pt;"><td class="xl68" x:num="0.36799999999999999">October --- US [D 33.3 , R 39.1 , I 27.5 = R +5.8]<br />
<strong><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;"></span></span></span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="color: black;">Final Tracking Poll 11/5 --- </span><span style="color: #990000;">Romney 49% - 48% </span> </span></span></strong><br />
<br />
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong>2008 Model:</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">US [D 39 , R 32 , I 29 = D +7] , [W 53 - M 47] </span><br />
<span style="color: #0b5394; font-size: large;"><span style="color: black; font-size: small;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: black;">Pop. Vote ---</span> <span style="color: #0b5394;">Obama 51.03% - 48.97%</span></span></strong></span></span><br />
</td><td class="xl68" x:num="0.34200000000000003"></td><td class="xl68" x:num="0.29"> </td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<span style="color: black; font-size: large;"><strong>2004 Model:</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: black;">US [D 37 , R 39 , I 24 = R +2] , [W 54 - M 46]</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-size: large;">Pop. Vote --- <span style="color: #990000;">Romney 51.07% - 48.93%</span></span></strong><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">*No candidate that has won the</span><a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2012/09/independents-2012-presidential-election.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;"> Independents</span></a><span style="font-size: x-large;"> AND the </span><a href="http://perceptionasreality.blogspot.com/2012/04/gender-gap-president-election-exit.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Gender Gap</span></a><span style="font-size: x-large;"> has lost the election.</span><br />
<br />
<br />skoorbekimhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04595145974687431574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6207794206379395459.post-56700776979376499612012-09-27T18:29:00.000-04:002012-11-07T09:03:53.490-05:00Independents, 2012 Presidential Election PollsIndependents have decided presidency in 8 of the last 10 elections...<br />
<br />
<strong><span style="font-size: x-large;">2012 PARPA <span style="font-size: small;">(PerceptionAsReality Poll Average)</span> = </span></strong><br />
<strong><span style="color: #990000; font-size: x-large;">Romney +8.8% among Independents (+16.8% vs McCain 2008)</span></strong><br />
<br />
11/1972 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> N+16</span></strong> <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/independents/data-presidential.html">61 - 35</a> <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/independents/data-party-identification.html">(19% of vote)</a><br />
11/1976 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">F+11</span></strong> 54 - 43 (34%) <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong> [lost election]</strong> </span><span style="color: black;">(F+4?)</span><br />
11/1980 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+25</span></strong> 55 - 30 (26%)<br />
11/1984 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+27</span></strong> 63 - 36 (26%)<br />
11/1988 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">B+12</span></strong> 55 - 43 (27%)<br />
11/1992 US <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">C+6</span></strong> 38-32-30 (26%)<br />
11/1996 US <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>C+8</strong></span> 43-35-17 (26%)<br />
11/2000 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>B+2</strong></span> 47 - 45 (27%)<br />
11/2004 US <span style="color: #0b5394;"> <strong>K+1</strong></span> 49 - 48 (26%) <strong><span style="color: #990000;">[lost election]</span></strong><br />
11/2008 US <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 52 - 44 (29%)<br />
<em><u></u></em><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">2012 PARPA <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>CO = Obama +5.6% <span style="color: #990000;">(-4.4% vs 2008)</span></strong></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">2012 PARPA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">FL = Romney +4.9% (+11.9% vs McCain 2008)</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">2012 PARPA <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><span style="color: #0b5394;">IA = Obama +2.6%</span> (-12.4%)</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">2012 PARPA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">NH = Romney +2.8% (+22.8%)</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">2012 PARPA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">OH =</span> <span style="color: #990000;">Romney +6.3% (+14.3%)</span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">2012 PARPA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">VA = Romney +12.9% (+13.9%)</span></strong></span><br />
<em><u></u></em><br />
<em>11/2008 AZ <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+5</span></strong> 51 - 46 (30% <a href="http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/">of vote</a>) *based on CNN exit polls</em><br />
<em>11/2008 CA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+33</span></strong> 64 - 31 (28%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 CO <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+10</span></strong> 54 - 44 (39%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 CT <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+18</span></strong> 57 - 39 (31%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 FL <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+7</span></strong> 52 - 45 (29%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 HI <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+47</span></strong> 72 - 65 (34%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 IN <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+11</strong></span> 54 - 43 (24%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 IA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+15</span></strong> 56 - 41 (33%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 MA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+17</span></strong> 57 - 40 (40%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 MI <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+10</span></strong> 52 - 42 (29%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 MN <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+17</span></strong> 56 - 39 (25%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 MO <strong><span style="color: #990000;">M+6</span></strong> 51 - 45 (26%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 NV <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+13</span></strong> 54 - 41 (32%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 NH <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+20</span></strong> 59 - 39 (45%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 NJ <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+14</strong></span> 51 - 47 (28%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 NY <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+15</span></strong> 56 - 41 (25%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">M+21</span></strong> 60 - 39 (27%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 OR <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+23</span></strong> 59 - 36 (37%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 OH <strong> <span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 52 - 44 (30%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 PA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+19</span></strong> 58 - 39 (18%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 VA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+1</span></strong> 49 - 48 (27%)</em><br />
<em>11/2008 WI <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+19</span></strong> 58 - 39 (29%)</em><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"> <em>(vs. 2008)</em></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/05/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+16</span></strong> 53 - 37 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+24)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://cms.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/c8af3c69-d7c7-4f41-9749-99d4fa948484.pdf">Monmouth/SurveyUSA</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/05/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+15</span></strong> ?? - ?? <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+23)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/265454357846315009">Rasmussen</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/05/12 NH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+13</span></strong> 49 - 36 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+33)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2012_election110412.pdf">UNH/WMUR</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/05/12 VA <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+7</strong></span> 47 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+8)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204349404578098631613708560.html?mod=wsj_share_tweet#project%3DLASTPOLL1105%26articleTabs%3Dinteractive">WSJ/NBC</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/05/12 VA <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+21</span></strong> ?? - ?? <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+22)</span></em></strong> <a href="https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/265453478745350144">Rasmussen</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/04/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+22</span></strong> 59 - 37 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+30)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/04/top16.pdf">CNN/ORC</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/04/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+4</span></strong> 46 - 42 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+12)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/11-4-12%20Election%20Weekend%20Release.pdf">Pew</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/04/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+7</span></strong> ?? - ?? <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+15)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/265155510469292032">NBC/WSJ/Marist</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/04/12 US <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+1</span></strong> 44 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+7)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=BF146003-AEB2-4CAE-81CF-578919B83017">Battleground/GWU</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 AZ <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></strong> 51 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+13)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZMT_1104.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+2</span></strong> 48 - 46 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+5)</strong></em></span> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FLNC_1105.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 51 - 43 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+7)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IANH_1104.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 NH even 49 - 49 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+20)</span></em></strong> PPP</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+15</span></strong> 55 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;">(O+6)</span></em></strong> PPP</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+2</span></strong> 49 - 47 <em><strong> <span style="color: #990000;">(R+10)</span></strong></em> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_ReleaseOHVA_1104.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 PA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+5</span></strong> 48 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+24)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/blog_pennsylvania_ave/mc--morning-call-2012-pennsylvania-presidential-election-survey-20121104,0,3980627.htmlpage">Morning Call</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/04/12 VA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+2</span></strong> 50 - 48 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+3)</strong></em></span> PPP</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/03/12 FL <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+6</strong></span> 49 - 43 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><em> (R+13)</em></span></strong> <a href="http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/national/article1259531.ece">Times/Herald</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/03/12 MI <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+3</span></strong> 49 - 36 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+7)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MI_1103.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/03/12 MN <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+13</span></strong> 49 - 36 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+30)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/11/aff-poll-minnesota-a-tossup-148296.html">AFF</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/03/12 NH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+22</span></strong> 54 - 32 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+42)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2012_pres110312.pdf">WMUR/UNH</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/03/12 PA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+4</span></strong> 49 - 45 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+15)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_PAWI_1103.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/03/12 WI <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+17</strong></span> 57 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+2)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_PAWI_1103.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/02/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+7</strong></span> 51 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+15)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2012/11/02/National-Politics/Polling/question_8924.xml?uuid=WN6xziUwEeKS-H-cTa8nag">ABC/WAPO</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>11/02/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+3</strong></span> ?? - ?? <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+11)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/264358111219957760">Rasmussen</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/02/12 CT <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+2</span></strong> 47 - 45 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+20)</strong></em></span> </span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MACT_1102.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/02/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+5</span></strong> 43 - 38 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><em>(R+20)</em></span></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/11/final-iowa-public-opinion-poll2012.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/02/12 MA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+7</span></strong> 52 - 45 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+24)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MACT_1102.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/02/12 MI <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+12</span></strong> ?? - ?? <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+22)</em></strong></span> <a href="https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/264483605894529024">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/02/12 NH <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+2</strong></span> 50 - 48 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+22)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/11/final-new-hampshire-poll-2012.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/02/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+2</span></strong> ?? - ?? <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+10)</span></em></strong> <a href="https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/264460767036841984">CNN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/01/12 CO <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+2</strong></span> 49 - 47 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+8)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/cnn-poll-tight-race-in-rocky-mountain-battleground-2/">CNN/ORC</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/01/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+7</span></strong> 41 - 34 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+8)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/IApolls/IA121028/General%20Election%202012/Complete%20November%201,%202012%20%20Iowa%20NBC%20News_WSJ_Marist%20Poll%20Tables.pdf">NBC/WSJ/Marist</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/01/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+12</span></strong> 52 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+3)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/01/rasmussen-wisconsin-tied-romney-up-1-in-iowa/">Rasmussen</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/01/12 NV <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+7</span></strong> 49 - 42 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+20)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.lvrj.com/news/obama-widens-lead-in-nevada-176737281.html">SurveyUSA</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/01/12 WI <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+4</span></strong> 48 - 44 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+15) </em></strong></span> <a href="http://maristpoll.marist.edu/111-competitive-contest-in-wisconsin/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+PebblesAndPundits+%28Pebbles+and+Pundits%29">NBC/WSJ/Marist</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">11/01/12 WI <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 51 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+11)</span></em></strong> Rasmussen</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/31/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+7</span></strong> 46 - 39 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+15</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/10/31/fox-news-poll-race-for-white-house-dead-heat/">FOXN</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 FL <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+6</strong></span> 50 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+13</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/florida-poll-results-10-31-2012.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+5</span></strong> 49 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+12</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.scribd.com/doc/111619086/Quinn-10-31-FL-OH-VA?secret_password=2l8php1ck5l2c2wr8j6x">CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+2</span></strong> 42 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+13</span></em></strong> <a href="http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2012/103112_HP_Presidential_Topline.pdf">Iowa University</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 MN even 41 - 41 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+17</span></em></strong> <a href="http://dyn.realclearpolitics.com/twitter/archive/message.php?message=263434270067003394&date=1351642599">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+3</span></strong> 49 - 46 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+24</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_1031.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+6</span></strong> 49 - 43 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><em>R+14</em></span></strong> CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 OH even 45 - 45 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/OhioPollingMemo103112.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+14</span></strong> 46 - 32 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;"> O+6</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.ipr.uc.edu/documents/op103112.pdf">Cincinnati University</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 PA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+16</span></strong> 48 - 32 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+35</span></em></strong> <a href="https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyoct12_1.pdf">Franklin & Marshall</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 VA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+21</span></strong> 57 - 36 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+22</span></em></strong> CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/31/12 VA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+26</span></strong> 59 - 33 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">R+27</span></em></strong> <a href="http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_October_31_2012.htm">Roanoke College</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/30/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+12</strong></span> 51 - 39 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+20)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://www.scribd.com/doc/111613441/Oct12c-Elec?secret_password=8xoezp0lujp1hfpd3k7">CBS/NYT</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/30/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+12</span></strong> 51 - 39 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+20)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://media.npr.org/documents/2012/oct/NPROctpoll.pdf">NPR</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/30/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+5</span></strong> 45 - 40 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><em>(R+12)</em></span></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7160c83f-98c8-4802-9758-bd492cdeb362">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/30/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+12</span></strong> 50 - 38 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;"> (O+9)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2012/10/30/11719832/1351636612-WRAL_News_poll_results.pdf">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/30/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+11</span></strong> 48 - 37 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+19)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=11cca51d-06ab-40f5-8ba1-0c8ddc33d855">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/29/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+15</span></strong> 55 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+23)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_20121027.html">ABC/WaPo</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/29/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></strong> 48 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+16)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/10-29-12%20FINAL%20Political%20Release.pdf">Pew</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/29/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+10</span></strong> 50 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+18)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/politico_gwbgp_oct29_questionnaire.html">Politico/GWU</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/29/12 CO <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 50 - 42 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+2)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/CO12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/29/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+5</span></strong> 51 - 46 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+12)</strong></em></span> <a href="http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/10/29/topfl3.pdf">CNN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/29/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+17</span></strong> 44 - 27 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;"> (O+4)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/102912_PollExecutiveSummaryAndData.pdf">Elon University</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/28/12 MN <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+6</strong></span> 43 - 37 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+11)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.startribune.com/politics/175992121.html">Mason Dixon</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/28/12 NH <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+2</span></strong> 47 - 45 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+22) </span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NH_1028.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/28/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+12</span></strong> 53 - 41 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+20)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/gravis-marketing-ohio-poll-results.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/28/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+4</span></strong> 50 - 46 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+12)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1028.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/27/12 MO <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+23</span></strong> 57 - 34 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+17)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.stltoday.com/post-dispatch-news-kansas-city-star-poll/pdf_5d146531-1663-5e98-9be6-8409e3e95a55.html">Mason Dixon</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/27/12 NJ <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+6</span></strong> 48 - 42 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> <em>(R+8)</em></span></strong><em> </em> <a href="http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/NJpoll/20121026_Poll__Obama_leads_Romney_by_10_points_in_N_J.html">Philadelphia Inquirer</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/27/12 NY <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+3</span></strong> 44 - 41 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+18)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=83b2c728-72f7-4422-b09c-bc923c33dc69">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/27/12 PA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+21</span></strong> 56 - 35 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;"> (O+2)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.philly.com/philly/gallery/102812_pennsylvania_poll.html?viewGallery=y">Philadelphia Inquirer</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/27/12 VA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+27</span></strong> 58 - 31 <em><strong><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+28)</span></strong></em> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/virginia-presidential-and-senate-poll.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/26/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+12</span></strong> 48 - 36 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+27)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/iowa-public-opinion-poll-shows-obama.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/26/12 NV <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+35</span></strong> 65 - 30 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+48)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/gravis-marketing-nevada-presidential.html">Gravis</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/26/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+28</span></strong> 61 - 38 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+7)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/gravis-marketing-north-carolina-public.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/26/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+5</span></strong> 49 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+3)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/10/26/topoh2.pdf">CNN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/26/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+21</span></strong> 57 - 36 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+29)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/OH12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/25/12 CO <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 51 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+2)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_1025.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/25/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+10</span></strong> 52 - 42 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+17)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/florida-poll-shows-romney-and-obama.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/25/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+1</span></strong> 46 - 45 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;">(O+22) </span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_1025.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/25/12 VA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+22</span></strong> 53 - 31 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+23)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/10/25/fox-news-poll-virginia-oct-25/">FOXN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/24/12 CT <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+6</strong></span> 50 - 44 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong> (R+12)</strong></span> <a href="http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1811">Quinnipiac</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/24/12 NV <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+9</span></strong> 53 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+22)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NV_1024.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/24/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></strong> 47 - 39 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+16)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=86d85b21-8b9a-4661-99ab-3b88b2335cf2">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/24/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+15</span></strong> 53 - 38 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+23)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://swampland.time.com/2012/10/24/time-poll-obama-leads-by-5-in-ohio/">Time</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/23/12 CT <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+2</span></strong> 45 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+16)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fded7065-4b8e-4e70-b960-a4bedb974516">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/23/12 NV <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+6</span></strong> 50 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+7)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/NV12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/23/12 NH even 48 - 48 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+20)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/NH12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/22/12 Boca Raton Debate</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/22/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+19</span></strong> 52 - 33 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+27)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/0e2e970e-a544-4f4d-8659-6233705b8ae7.pdf">Monmouth/SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/22/12 NH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+1</span></strong> 37 - 36 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+21)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2012_pres102212.pdf">Granite State Poll</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/22/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+7</span></strong> 49 - 42 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+15)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57536922/poll-obamas-lead-in-ohio-narrows/">CBS/Quinnipiac</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/22/12 PA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+18</span></strong> 52 - 34 <em><strong><span style="color: #990000;">(R+1)</span></strong></em> <a href="http://www.mcall.com/news/breaking/mc-document-october-22-muhlenberg-collegemorning-call-poll-20121022,0,3133450.htmlstory">Morning Call</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/21/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+1</span></strong> 47 - 46 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+6)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.wptv.com/dpp/news/political/obama-romney-in-virtual-dead-heat-in-florida-wptv-scripps-poll-shows"> PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/20/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+4</span></strong> 44 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+11)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ac0d63ea-75f1-42aa-ba9c-e6955f64c76b">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/20/12 NJ <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+14</span></strong> 51 - 37 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+28)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=05315234-10af-4717-99a0-c1f060932768">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/20/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+19</span></strong> 52 - 33 <em><strong><span style="color: #990000;">(R+27)</span></strong></em> <a href="http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/gravis-ohio-poll-shows.html">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/20/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+7</span></strong> 49 - 42 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+15)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1020.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/19/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+1</span></strong> 38 - 37 <em><strong><span style="color: #990000;">(R+9)</span></strong></em></u> <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Courant_UConn_1019.pdf">Hartford Courant/UCONN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/19/12 FL even 46 - 46 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+7)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/10/19/topgenstate5.pdf">CNN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/19/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+8</span></strong> 51 - 43 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+15)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/10/19/fox-news-poll-results-romney-now-ahead-in-florida/">FOXN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/19/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+4</span></strong> 46 - 42 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+11)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IANH_1019.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/19/12 NH <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+6</span></strong> 51 - 45 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+14)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IANH_1019.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/19/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+24</span></strong> 52 - 28 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+32)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/10/19/fox-news-poll-results-support-for-obama-dips-in-ohio/">FOXN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/19/12 OR <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+4</span></strong> 40 - 36 <em><strong><span style="color: #990000;">(R+19)</span></strong></em> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=242a16b4-1a4c-47eb-a09e-52040667cc42">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/18/12 CO <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+9</span></strong> 51 - 42 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+1)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_1018.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/18/12 MI <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+9</span></strong> 39 - 30 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+19)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/10/michigan_poll_race_between_oba.html">Denno Research</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/18/12 MN <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+3</span></strong> 45 - 42 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><em>(R+20)</em></span></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2c5df6fe-ac56-44ec-ba5b-73fdf4769eab&c=72">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/18/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></strong> 41 - 33 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+16)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9fe706c7-86ef-4698-b0d3-15ec2d79d203">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/17/12 CT <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+5</span></strong> 46 - 41 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+13)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/1012CTPolRelease.pdf">Siena</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/17/12 NV <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+18</span></strong> 52 - 34 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+31)</em></strong></span> <a href="http://www.lvrj.com/news/obama-ahead-romney-gains-independents-in-nevada-poll-174535301.html">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/17/12 NJ <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong> O+2</strong></span> 46 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+12)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.politickernj.com/60445/obama-leads-romney-seven-new-jersey-six-definite-voters">Neighborhood Research</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/16/12 Hempstead Debate</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/16/12 NJ <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+9</span></strong> 51 - 42 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+23)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1806">Quinnipiac</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/16/12 PA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+7</span></strong> 50 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+12) </span></em></strong></span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1807">Quinnipiac</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/15/12 US <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></strong> 48 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+16)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx">IBD/TIPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/15/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+4</span></strong> 48 - 44 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+19)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/IA12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/15/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+14</span></strong> 54 - 40 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;">(O+7)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_1014.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/15/12 PA <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+10</strong></span> 47 - 37 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+29)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/blog_pennsylvania_ave/mc-read-muhlenbergtmc-pa-presidential-election-survey-10152012,0,1372801.htmlstory">Morning Call</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/15/12 PA <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+10</strong></span> 51 - 41 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+9)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_PA_1014.pdf"> PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/15/12 VA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+12</span></strong> 52 - 40 <strong><span style="color: #990000;">(R+13)</span></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/VA12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/14/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></strong> 51 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+15)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_1014.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/13/12 AZ <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+10</span></strong> 41 - 31 <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong><em>(O+5)</em></strong> </span><span style="color: black;"><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/RMP_AZ_1013.pdf">Behavior Research Center</a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/13/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+5</span></strong> 50 - 45 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+13)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1013.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/12/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+4</span></strong> 49 - 45 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+11) </em></strong></span> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/FL12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/12/12 NH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+3</span></strong> 48 - 45 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+23)</em></strong></span><span style="color: black;"> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/NH12.html">ARG</a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/11/12 VP Debate</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/11/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+3</strong></span> 44 - 41 <em><span style="color: #990000;"><strong>(R+11)</strong></span></em></u> <a href="http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/f84548f8-7dcc-4d33-9b5c-56d2e18df7f5.pdf">Monmouth/SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/11/12 CA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+9</span></strong> 44 - 35 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong> (R+42)</strong></em></span> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollPrint.aspx?g=b04e8f04-f3fd-4ced-9b18-5b374f5f13d8&d=0">SurveyUSA</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u><strong></strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/11/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+13</span></strong> 52 - 39 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+20)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/10/11/3045712/poll-strong-debate-helps-mitt.html">TBT/MiamiHerald/Mason-Dixon</a></span><br />
<strong><u><span style="font-size: x-large;"></span></u></strong><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/10/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+12</strong></span> 44 - 32 <em><span style="color: #990000;"><strong>(R+20)</strong></span></em></u> <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/10/10/fox-news-poll-race-shifts-toward-romney-after-debate/">FOXN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><strong><u></u></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/10/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"> <strong>R+20</strong></span> 54 - 34 <em><span style="color: #990000;"><strong>(R+28)</strong></span></em></u> <a href="http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx">IBD/TIPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/10/12 NV <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+7</strong></span> 52 - 45 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+6)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NV_101012.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/10/12 OH <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+9</strong></span> 44 - 35 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+17)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=564b76d9-2e24-4689-a7a6-8b760fc858a6">SurveyUSA</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/09/12 CO <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+1</span></strong> 48 - 47 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><em>(R+9)</em></span></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/CO12.html">ARG</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/09/12 MN <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 49 - 41 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+9)</strong></em></span> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MN_10912.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/09/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+20</span></strong> 57 - 37 <strong><span style="color: #990000;"><em>(R+28)</em></span></strong> <a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/OH12.html">ARG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/09/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+4</span></strong> 50 - 46 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+4)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/10/09/topgenstate4.pdf">CNN</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/09/12 PA <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+1</span></strong> 31 - 30 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong> (R+20)</strong></em></span> <a href="http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/Siena_PA_political_FINAL.pdf">Siena</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/08/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+4</strong></span> 46 - 42 <em><span style="color: #990000;"><strong>(R+12)</strong></span></em></u> <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/10-8-12%20Political%20Release.pdf">Pew</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u><strong></strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/08/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+16</strong></span> 51 - 35 <em><span style="color: #990000;"> <strong>(R+24)</strong></span></em></u> <a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82122.html">Politico/GWU/Battleground</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/08/12 MA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+1</span></strong> 48 - 47 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+18)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/10/president_barack_obama_holds_3.html">WesternNEUniversity</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/08/12 VA even 46 - 46 <em><strong><span style="color: #990000;">(R+1)</span></strong></em> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_1007.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/06/12 WI <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+9</strong></span> 51 - 42 <span style="color: #990000;"><strong><em>(R+10)</em></strong> </span><span style="color: black;"><a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_1006.pdf">PPP</a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/05/12 NV <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+5</strong></span> 48 - 43 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+8)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Gravis_NV_1005.pdf">Gravis</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/04/12 CT <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+3</span></strong> 48 - 45 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+15)</strong></em></span> <a href="http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1802">Quinnipiac</a> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/04/12 HI <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+3</span></strong> 44 - 41 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+44) </span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.civilbeat.com/articles/2012/10/03/17279-civil-beat-poll-obama-gets-aloha-in-hawaii/">Civil Beat/MRG</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/03/12 Denver Debate</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/03/12 AZ <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 52 - 44 <em><strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">(O+3)</span></strong></em> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZ_1003.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/03/12 MO <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+6</span></strong> 51 - 45 <em><strong>(even)</strong></em> <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MO_1003.pdf">PPP</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/03/12 NJ <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+8</span></strong> 47 - 39 <strong><em><span style="color: #0b5394;">(O+4)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://www.rci.rutgers.edu/~redlawsk/EP/Tables2013/2012NJPresSep2012.pdf">Rutgers</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u><strong></strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/02/12 US <strong> <span style="color: #990000;">R+8</span></strong> 49 - 41 <strong> <em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+16)</span></em></strong></u> <a href="http://nationaljournal.com/daily/obama-romney-tied-among-likely-voters-20121002">National Journal</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u><strong></strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/02/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+2</strong></span> 47 - 45 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+10)</strong></em></span></u> <a href="http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1801">Quinnipiac</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/02/12 MO <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+16</span></strong> 51 -35 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;"> (R+10)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/02/horse-races/">WeAskAmerica</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/02/12 NV <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+15</span></strong> 50 - 35 <em><strong><span style="color: #990000;">(R+28)</span></strong></em> WeAskAmerica</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/02/12 VA <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+13</strong></span> 45 - 32 <strong><em><span style="color: #990000;">(R+14)</span></em></strong> <a href="http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_Sept_Oct_2012.htm">Roanoke</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u><strong></strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/01/12 US <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>R+8</strong></span> 49 - 41 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+16)</strong></em></span></u> </span><a href="http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/10/01/rel11a.pdf"><span style="font-size: x-large;">CNN/ORC</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u><strong></strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>10/01/12 US <strong> <span style="color: #990000;">R+4</span></strong> 47 - 43 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+12)</strong></em></span></u> </span><a href="http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/bg_brushfire_tables_oct12012.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Politico/GWU/Battleground</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/01/12 IA <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+7</span></strong> 45 - 38 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+8)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/01/heartland/"><span style="font-size: x-large;">WeAskAmerica</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/01/12 MI <strong>even</strong> 43 - 43 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+10)</strong></em> </span><span style="color: black;">WeAskAmerica</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/01/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+15</span></strong> 55 - 40 <span style="color: #0b5394;"><em><strong>(O+6)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/NC12.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;">ARG</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/01/12 NC <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+18</span></strong> 54 - 36 <span style="color: #0b5394;"><em><strong>(O+3)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_9301.pdf"><span style="font-size: x-large;">PPP</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">10/01/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;"> R+1</span></strong> 42 - 41 <span style="color: #990000;"> <em><strong>(R+9)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_930.pdf"><span style="font-size: x-large;">PPP</span></a><span style="font-size: x-large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">09/30/12 MA <span style="color: #990000;"> <strong>R+3</strong></span> 33 - 30 <em> <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>(R+20)</strong></span></em> </span><a href="http://www.boston.com/multimedia/2012/09/30poll/poll_web_sunday.pdf"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Boston Globe</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">09/28/12 NH <strong><span style="color: #0b5394;">O+9</span></strong> 51 - 42 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+11)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/NH12.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;">ARG</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">09/28/12 VA <span style="color: #0b5394;"> <strong>O+3</strong></span> 48 - 45 <span style="color: #0b5394;"><em><strong>(O+2)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/VA12.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;">ARG</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u><strong></strong></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>09/27/12 US <span style="color: #0b5394;"><strong>O+4</strong></span> 43 - 39 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+4)</strong></em></span></u> </span><a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/09/27/fox-news-poll-voters-want-change-president-to-stand-up-for-free-speech/"><span style="font-size: x-large;">FOXN</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">09/27/12 CT <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+7</span></strong> 50 - 43 <em> <span style="color: #990000;"><strong>(R+25)</strong></span></em> </span><a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CT_927.pdf"><span style="font-size: x-large;">PPP</span></a><span style="font-size: x-large;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">09/26/12 OH <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+1</span></strong> 47 - 46 <strong> <span style="color: #990000;"><em>(R+9)</em></span></strong> CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">09/26/12 FL <strong><span style="color: #990000;">R+3</span></strong> 49 - 46 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+10)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57520341/poll-obama-opens-substantial-leads-in-key-swing-states/?pageNum=3&tag=contentMain;contentBody"><span style="font-size: x-large;">CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac</span></a><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;">09/26/12 IA <strong>even</strong> 47 - 47 <span style="color: #990000;"><em><strong>(R+15)</strong></em></span> </span><a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_926.pdf"><span style="font-size: x-large;">PPP</span></a>
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